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Everest Re Group, Ltd. (EG)

Q1 2023 Earnings Call· Tue, May 2, 2023

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day and welcome to the Everest Re Group First Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note today’s event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Matt Rohrmann, Senior Vice President and Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Matt Rohrmann

Analyst

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the Everest Re Group Limited first quarter of 2023 earnings conference call. The Everest executives leading today’s call are Juan Andrade, President and CEO; and Mark Kociancic, Executive Vice President and CFO. We are also joined by other members of the Everest management team. Before we begin, I will preface the comments on today’s call by noting that Everest SEC filings, including extensive disclosures with respect to forward-looking statements. Management comments regarding estimates, projections and similar are subject to the risks, uncertainties and assumptions as noted in these filings. Management may also refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures. These items are reconciled in our earnings release and financial supplement. With that, I will turn the call over to Juan.

Juan Andrade

Analyst

Thank you, Matt. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us. Everest started off strong in 2023, with significant growth, increased underwriting profits and operating ROE over 17% and total shareholder return in excess of 14%. We continue to diversify and expand our plan with both of our underwriting businesses delivering profitable broad-based growth. In reinsurance, our leadership position was abundantly clear in the ongoing hard market flight to quality. Our team’s consistent execution resulted in record gross written premiums and expanded margins. We continue to invest in scaling our primary business while remaining disciplined. We capitalized on the diversification of our portfolio and strong pricing environment. This led to stronger underwriting profits over last year. Everest is uniquely positioned to succeed in this market. We are bringing the full power of the Everest global franchise, together with underwriting discipline and the best talent in the business to drive sustainable returns. With that, I will turn to our first quarter financial highlights beginning at the group level. Group underwriting profit, net investment income, operating income and net income all increased meaningfully in the quarter. Growth was excellent and we continue to see great opportunities for continued expansion. We grew gross written premiums by almost 20% in constant dollars year-over-year, led by the reinsurance division, which achieved record quarterly premiums. Continued rate increases, exposure growth and strong underwriting discipline create margin expansion and keep us ahead of loss trend. We delivered $443 million in net operating income, up over 9% from prior year. The group combined ratio was 91.2%, a 40 basis point improvement from last year. It includes 3.7 points of catastrophe losses from the Turkey earthquake and the New Zealand floods and typhoon. We have no meaningful loss activity from the spring storms in the U.S. as our derisking…

Mark Kociancic

Analyst

Thank you, Juan and good morning everyone. As Juan mentioned, Everest had a strong start to the year. The company reported operating income of $443 million or $11.31 per diluted share in the quarter. The operating ROE was 17.2% for the quarter, while total shareholder return, or TSR, stands at 14.1% year-to-date. We improved our overall attritional loss ratio while generating double-digit growth in constant dollars in both segments as pricing and terms remain attractive in a number of lines – business around the globe. The company’s strong performance in the first quarter was led by our team’s high level of execution in our core markets, and we have a number of tailwinds that are back throughout the remainder of the year. Looking at the group results for the first quarter of 2023, Everest reported gross written premium of $3.7 billion, representing 17.5% growth year-over-year or 19.5% growth in constant dollars. The combined ratio was 91.2%, which includes 3.7 points of losses from natural catastrophes. Group attritional loss ratio was 59.7%, a 30 basis point improvement over the prior year’s quarter, led by the reinsurance segment, which I’ll discuss in more detail in just a moment. The group’s commission ratio improved 40 basis points to 21.3% on mix changes, while the group expense ratio was 6.4%, up modestly year-over-year as we continue to invest in our talent within both franchises. Moving to the segment results and starting with reinsurance. The reinsurance gross premiums written grew 23.2% in constant dollars during the quarter. The strong growth came from the successful execution of our 1/1 renewal strategy. A significant amount of the premium growth came from property and casualty pro rata treaties, which will earn in more gradually in excess of loss treaties over the coming quarters. As Juan said, this will…

Matt Rohrmann

Analyst

Thanks Mark. Operator, we are now ready to open the line for questions. [Operator Instructions]

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And today’s first question comes from Elyse Greenspan with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Elyse Greenspan

Analyst

Hi, thanks. Good morning. My first question, starting with reinsurance. I appreciate the comments on the call, pointing to it taking time for some of these rate increases to earn in. Just hoping to get a little bit more color on just the cadence of this and how you expect like the strong rates you talked about at 1/1 as well as at 4/1 to earn into your margin, right? So how should that 58% underlying loss ratio that you saw within reinsurance trend over the balance of the year?

Juan Andrade

Analyst

That’s great, Elyse. This is Juan Andrade. Good to hear from you. Let me kick it off in first of all, by saying our operating performance for the quarter was excellent. As I just talked about in my opening remarks, we had significant top line growth. We had underwriting profit, operating income and net income all up meaningfully quarter, generating a 17% operating ROE and a 14% TSR. And I mentioned all of this because we’re just getting started. And so directly to your question, it’s important to understand that the current environment, particularly in reinsurance, is providing us with meaningful margin expansion. We expect to grow rapidly in 2023 as our reinsurance franchise is very scalable. And our combined ratio should continue to improve on the strength of the rate and improved terms and conditions and mix of business. Now directly to your question, I think it’s also important to understand that the earned premium that we saw come through in the first quarter of the year was really mostly from the fourth quarter of 2022, which basically means that as this earns in into the second quarter, third quarter and fourth quarter, it’s going to be earning in at those much higher rate levels that we experienced at January 1 and that we are now experiencing at the April 1 renewals at the same time. So again, I think the timing of this is going to be over the next few quarters for the rest of the year, but I expect this to be very accretive and to have a positive impact on the portfolio. But let me ask Jim Williamson to maybe add a little bit of color just to give you some perspective, particularly on the 4/1.

Jim Williamson

Analyst

Yes. Thanks for the question, Elyse. And I think to add some color to what Juan laid out, just want to give you a little more perspective on what we’re actually seeing under the covers, particularly starting with the Jan 1 renewal and then continuing. And a little bit of a view, if you don’t mind, on where we see this market going. As Juan indicated, we had excellent operating performance in Q1, the Jan renewal and really in the lead up to the January renewal which really translated into us having a broad set of opportunities. And when I say broad, I really mean just about every class of business starting clearly with prop cat, but also including casualty, specialty lines, financial lines really in every market around the world. And our growth was very broad-based that way, including our North America treaty business, our international treaty business as well as facultative. And so when you think about us attacking that, clearly, Jan 1 renewal we talked about a plus 50% in North America, plus 40% international on property cat. That continued into the April renewal where we were over 40% in North America, mid to upper 20s internationally, which included markets that started taking rate in 2022. So that was exceptional. At the same time and very important and Mark had touched on this in his opening remarks, we also saw terrific opportunities in both casualty and property pro rata. And so we took those opportunities. And I think our ability to constructively engage our clients and cedents gave us preferred positioning around those opportunities. And what are we seeing? Well, on the casualty side, rate continues to stay ahead of trend. That’s what our clients are experiencing. Ceding commissions are also starting to come down. And so…

Elyse Greenspan

Analyst

Okay. That’s helpful. And then my second question is on the insurance margin, right? You guys had called out the medical stop loss, the impact in the quarter. So if we adjust for that, should we assume that the starting point for the second quarter and the rest of the year should be a 90% or better current accident year ex cat combined ratio in insurance given that, that medical stop lock issue isn’t expected to repeat?

Mark Kociancic

Analyst

Elyse, it’s Mark. Good morning. So look, we have the one bump in the medical stop loss this quarter. It’s roughly $15 million charge. We are confirming, and I mentioned it in my script in the prepared remarks, 91% to 93% combined. So we feel very good about the margin that we’re adding, the growth that we’re adding both domestically and globally. So I think the attritional loss ratio is showing good improvement, definitely sustainable with the margins that we have, and we feel confident about remaining in that 91% to 93%.

Elyse Greenspan

Analyst

Thank you.

Juan Andrade

Analyst

Thanks, Elyse.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question today comes from Yaron Kinar with Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Yaron Kinar

Analyst

Good morning, everybody. My first question goes to the loss picks. And I’m just curious if you saw any increases in liability or financial lines loss picks, both in insurance and reinsurance?

Jim Williamson

Analyst

Yes. So Yaron, this is Jim Williamson. Thanks for the question. I’ll start with reinsurance. So when I look at our loss picks for the first quarter, I’d really indicate a few things. One, within casualty, obviously, we’re always evaluating in a very granular way, our picks even at the subline level. And there were a number of puts and takes within casualty. But the overall casualty loss pick as it earned into the first quarter is very consistent with where we were last year. And our view is we’re continuing to see rate in excess of trend. That’s a good guide. At the same time, it’s a pretty high-risk environment. And so we’re being prudent about that. On the financial line side, that’s for us, in reinsurance, that really means our mortgage portfolio. And again, we saw incredible opportunities in 2022, in particular, with to GSEs, which is a very high-margin business. But again, we’re very prudent in the loss selections there and our loss picks 2023 are exactly the same as our loss picks in 2022 even though we’ve been moving further away from loss. And then lastly, on property, on the XOL side, we do see improving loss picks over last year. But again, we’re still being, I think, relatively prudent and we don’t book cat XOL at zero. We’re just a little under 20 for an attritional loss pick there, which is an improvement over last year.

Yaron Kinar

Analyst

Actually, I do have a second one, if I could. And just on premium growth, if I may. One, the XOL premium growth was clearly a bit lower than the pricing you saw in property cat. And I just want to confirm if that’s a function of moving to higher layers? Or is it a function of shrinking limits? Or what’s behind that?

Jim Williamson

Analyst

Yes, Yaron, it’s Jim again. Look, I guess the way I would describe that is really in a couple of ways. One, the first thing we do when we’re confronting the breadth of opportunity that I described in the earlier question, is we look to create our own capacity. So a lot of that is moving away from any area of the portfolio where we’re not seeing the expected returns we want. An example of that, which was really a factor in 2022 as we were trimming some of our pro rata portfolios, which do have a heavy amount of premium with them. And then obviously, the second factor, as you described is we are moving further away from loss. And so you do tend to see lower premiums per dollar of exposure, all other things being equal. But what I would also say is all of these things are clearly not equal. The rates online that we’re seeing in our portfolio overall from a cat XOL perspective are up year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter, even though we’re moving further and further away from loss. So that’s what’s driving what we expect to be a very strong premium growth, both in the first quarter and through the rest of the year. But what I would also say, and I think this is crucial, is our modeled expected profit is growing much faster than our written premium. And that’s because you’re seeing the scissoring of margin expansion happening in those cat XOL treaties, I think that’s a really terrific result and our expectation is, and it’s certainly been proven out. Jan 1, April 1, May 1, we believe June 1 and really through January 1, 2024, we expect that scissoring effect to continue.

Yaron Kinar

Analyst

Thanks so much.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question today comes from Mike Zaremski with BMO. Please go ahead.

Mike Zaremski

Analyst

Great. Ceding commissions improving. I believe on the reinsurance side, we mentioned a couple of times in your prepared remarks. Can you provide any updated color and let us know if one impacting the financial statements and if you expect that to continue into the midyear renewals?

Jim Williamson

Analyst

Yes, Mike, this is Jim Williamson. Thanks for the question. Yes, we have seen improved ceding commissions primarily driven on the casualty side, but also on the property pro rata side. Now remember, when we talk about improved ceding commissions, and we mentioned it in our fourth quarter call, when we were talking about the January 1 renewal, we’re giving you indications on a written basis. And so what we had said last quarter, and I would repeat it, is that we’ve seen about 1 point improvement in casualty ceding commissions and a little less than that on property, mainly because properties, ceding commissions were already relatively lean. We found them to be pretty attractive. So that’s on a written basis. Now that’s going to take time, similar to the other comments that we’ve made, particularly when you’re talking about pro rata premium that really earns over 2 years, it takes time for that to be reflected in the financials. So you really haven’t started to see that yet, but we expect it to emerge over the coming quarters.

Mike Zaremski

Analyst

Okay. That’s helpful. Also another follow-up on the – in the prepared remarks, the optimism about the property side about beginning stages of a major correction, maybe you can kind of elaborate there, why we’re in the beginning stages. Is this simply because some of the primaries are seeing their reinsurance rates go up a lot, and there is clearly a lot of replacement cost inflation. So the primaries are getting ahead of – trying to get ahead of an issue or – what are you seeing there? And why do you see that growth being so attractive if some of your primary partners see themselves as kind of being a bit behind the inflation curve?

Juan Andrade

Analyst

Yes. Mike, this is Juan Andrade. Let me start and then I’ll ask Mike Karmilowicz to add something to this answer as well. Look, I think it all starts with the fact that we do have a structural supply and demand imbalance, that’s taking place in both insurance and reinsurance, frankly, on property cat, right? So on the supply side of things, you have essentially less capacity being deployed by rated companies. You also have less of the ILS capital coming into the market. And on the demand side, we have all the issues that we’ve all lived through together, right? You have inflation, which is putting upward pressure on values, there is volatility in the environment, social inflation and other things. So our ceding partners basically are requiring to buy more insurance, more reinsurance along those lines. So that structural supply and demand imbalance, I think, is really what begins part of the equation. Now Jim has talked about what we have seen on the property side in reinsurance, which is very attractive from a pricing perspective, and we expect to see that through January 1, 2024 maybe beyond. On the primary side, we’re seeing basically the same things. We’re now basically seeing property rates up in the high teens into the 20s. And if you’re in wholesale, it’s plus 30, right? So you’re definitely seeing that. And keeping in mind that we have both a wholesale and a retail channel, we are getting that rate on both sides of the equation. So from our perspective, that also makes a lot of sense for us. Also keep in mind that we have also been derisking the insurance side of our business, not just the reinsurance side. It’s one of the reasons why you don’t see us picking up losses from the spring events in the U.S. Basically, we had $2 million of cat loss in the Insurance segment. So we are seeing pretty significant rate increases on the primary side. We have continued to de-risk and our strategy and property has moved more towards middle market retail than anything else. So all of these things, I think, is what makes it fairly attractive for us. But Mike, maybe you can add a few more...

Mike Karmilowicz

Analyst

Sure. No, I think that’s well said, Juan. I guess I would just add a couple of other comments, Mike, to that. One, we continue to push out on the retail side. At the same time, given the market conditions, we’ve been able to continue to deemphasize the concentration of risk, particularly in the peak zones, the cat prone zones, particularly in the wholesale market. In addition to that, we’ve actually now basically helping out with our foundational work we do with our international expansion. We’re now spreading that out and diversifying our portfolio across the globe, giving us a lot better balance and overall more risk-adjusted returns that are more consistent and sustainable over the long haul.

Mike Zaremski

Analyst

Great color. Thank you.

Juan Andrade

Analyst

Thanks, Mike.

Operator

Operator

And our next question today comes from Brian Meredith with UBS. Please go ahead.

Brian Meredith

Analyst

Hi. First question, just looking at Florida renewals with the legislation that went through on what are your expectations or what that means for potential capital moving in? And how do you think Everest still position itself for that 6/1 renewal, meaning quota share versus excess of loss?

Jim Williamson

Analyst

Sure, Brian. It’s Jim Williamson. Thanks for the question. Yes, look, I mean, first of all, let me just say that our view on the reform that has occurred is it’s incredibly constructive. I think the fact that the government in Florida was able to get such a broad-based perform past is just excellent work. And we think over time, that will be incredibly healthy for the Florida insurance market and will provide much needed relief for our homeowners there. At the same time, we think it’s going to take time for the effects of that reform to prove itself. We don’t expect the plaintiff bar to sit idly by while the reforms are implemented. And I think it remains a little bit to be seen on exactly what that will mean. And so we’re being very cautious on that. Now we have been a very consistent provider of capacity to the Florida market. And our expectation is that will continue. And our view on pricing, terms and conditions in Florida, for 6/1, we expect really modeled returns to exceed what we saw at Jan 1. So we think 6/1 will be better than Jan 1. The headline rate increases may not be as large because we already took significant rate in ‘22 but the economics of those programs should be outstanding. And so our view is as long as that has proven to be true, we will continue to deploy a similar level of capacity to that market than we did in prior year. Now in terms of our participation, we’re almost exclusively an XOL market in Florida. We do have a couple of targeted quota share deals, but they are a relatively small part of the portfolio. And I don’t really expect that mix to change.

Brian Meredith

Analyst

Great. Thanks. And then my second question. I’m just curious, of the cat loss, how big was Turkey. And then on that, I’m just curious, given that those are types of programs that have fairly low rate on lines and I’m not sure what the return dynamics are there. Why would you be running that type of business now given just the strength of pricing and the attractive returns in areas like the U.S. and Europe and in other areas of the world?

Jim Williamson

Analyst

Yes, sure, Brian. It’s Jim again. Yes. So, on the Turkey quake, a couple of things, one, our loss was $70 million for the Turkey quake. And what I would describe to you in terms of that market is we have been a long-term participant in the Turkey cat market. We have earned outstanding returns in that market, similar to the things that we have done in other parts of our portfolio, that were coming in over the last 2 years, we have really significantly reduced our participation in Turkey, primarily in our quota share treaties, which we have cut back significantly. But we are still an XOL player. We have made a lot of money. Even after this event, our profit position is very strong and the return profile is very good. The other thing that I would indicate on that $70 million losses, if you were to compare what happened in Turkey versus what happened, say, in the U.S. in the first quarter, I think it’s an important contrast to point out. That Turkey quake was probably something like a 1 in 50 events. You have 50,000 people killed in Turkey alone, another 10,000 in Syria is a huge human tragedy, our view is that is a real cat loss. And that’s where Everest and its value proposition is meant to be called to help that country recover. And I would contrast that with the U.S. storms in the first quarter, which really, in our view, should be an attritional event for the primary market. And you saw that play out in our portfolio. So, that gives you a sense of how we are playing those dynamics and really focusing on leveraging our capacity, we are getting high return and also where you have actual cat losses.

Brian Meredith

Analyst

That makes sense. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question today comes from Meyer Shields with KBW. Please go ahead.

Meyer Shields

Analyst

I think Juan, you touched upon this a little bit with reinsurance, but I was wondering if you could talk about how, I guess from the conditions our expected returns are evolving in the international insurance market?

Juan Andrade

Analyst

Say that again, Meyer, please.

Meyer Shields

Analyst

I am trying to get a sense of – look, I think that has a great sense of what’s going on in property, but for other lines in insurance, I am not sure I have a great handle on the opportunity that you are seeing there in terms of how expected returns are evolving.

Juan Andrade

Analyst

Yes, absolutely. I am happy to start and then I will ask Mike Karmilowicz to jump in. Look, I think there is a few dynamics to keep in mind in international markets. By definition, they tend to be more short-tailed in nature. So, that means that they are going to carry lower ELRs than what we have in North America because of our long tail focus in North America traditionally. So, I think that’s an important thing to keep in mind. When we look at the broad trends though, we see pricing actually to be quite good in places like Europe, Latin America and Asia for that short tail business. And so for us, that remains pretty attractive. And as we were saying earlier, I said in my prepared remarks, one of the great things that we are building right now is really a very diversified global insurance company by geography, by product line and by distribution wholesale retail, which enables us to play and deploy capital where we find the most attractive areas. So, for example, in the U.S. in the quarter, when we see public D&O and maybe workers’ compensation, not as attractive as other lines of business, we can move away from those lines, be cautious as I have said, and deploy that capital into other lines of business, which could be again, short tail property in Europe or in Latin America or even within the U.S., given what I said earlier. But that gives us a sense of how we manage the portfolio to get the most economic benefit for the company.

Mike Karmilowicz

Analyst

Yes. And I think, Meyer, I would just add a comment on the short tail piece. Not only are we seeing the opportunity within property, but also within marine and aviation businesses as well, given our nature of some of these lines, which we don’t have legacy issue too, particularly for marine and for specifically aviation. We have tremendous upside. We have hired great talent. We have got good teams that have great people and capabilities to Juan’s point. And given what’s happening in the reinsurance market, you think on the short-tail lines, you are just now starting to begin to see that rate environment starting to play through with just giving us ample opportunity to be able to capitalize on the marketplace right now.

Meyer Shields

Analyst

Okay. That’s very helpful. Thank you. And then one small follow-up, and I may be trying too hard. But I think both Juan and Mark reaffirmed the 91% to 93% in insurance for this year’s combined ratio, so I was hoping you could update us on the reinsurance side?

Mark Kociancic

Analyst

Yes. Meyer, it’s Mark. Good morning. So look, on the reinsurance side, we have got a great rate environment right now. And I think Jim articulated a lot of the points that are behind that. We have clearly got loss experience, supply-demand factors impacting capacity, and our Q1 results are really demonstrating some solid growth. And our reinsurance franchise is very scalable, so we are able to take advantage of that. I think the rate is well established. We define that quite a bit in our press release and in our opening remarks. And you are going to see property I think, become a larger component of our combined ratio over time, we are still using prudent loss picks no matter what, because you do have the loss experience of the past cannot go down to the bottom line that quickly, but it is shorter sale business on the property side. So, we would expect to realize margin notwithstanding the loss experience of the current year over time. So, I think what we have got is fairly meaningful strength underpinning our combined ratio going forward. So, as you see the net earnings earning out with the increase of 2023 premiums, whether it’s the pro rata side or the excess of loss with this strong rate environment, the shift towards more property versus casualty and the combined ratio. I think you will see improvements in the combined ratio within reinsurance specifically. And we definitely see the margin expansion through the renewals, and we know that’s going to filter down through the combined ratio over time. So, I see this combined ratio question kind of solving itself through actual results in the coming quarters on an improved basis.

Juan Andrade

Analyst

Meyer, I would add just to Mark because I think that was well said. This is one. And I would repeat what I said to Elyse earlier in the call is that our combined ratio should continue to improve on the strength of the rate improved terms, mix of business, everything that Mark was talking about. And you look at the combined ratio that reinsurance had in this quarter, and I think that gives you a starting point.

Meyer Shields

Analyst

Okay. Fantastic. Thank you so much.

Operator

Operator

And our next question today is a follow-up from Yaron Kinar with Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Yaron Kinar

Analyst

Thank you. I just want to ask a follow-up on the earning of the pro rata premiums and reinsurance over a 2-year period. I thought it would be 1 year. Is there a multi-year treaty component there, or is that just how pro rata is earned? I guess it’s a bit new to me.

Mark Kociancic

Analyst

Yaron, it’s Mark speaking. So, it’s a standard accounting convention to earn pro rata on what’s called an 8s basis, so over an eight-quarter period of time. And it’s not a multiyear treaty. It’s definitely a 1-year treaty, but your cedents are obviously producing business throughout the year, so they could produce premium, for example, in December, and it takes time to earn that out. So, the premium recognition or earnings is really standard in the business for pro rata and it’s earned on an 8s basis. And in the first quarter, without getting too technical, you have kind of a slow ramp-up because you would essentially start that earnings really at the midpoint of the first quarter, the 45th day of a 90-day quarter and then it ramps up over time throughout this eight-quarter period. And so you have got last year’s pro rata, whether it’s property or casualty, still learning into the ‘23 earned, for example, you got the ‘23 writings earning out. And so that shift will occur through the year, combined with whatever the loss picks are and the weighting for those specific segments.

Yaron Kinar

Analyst

Got it. That’s helpful. And then one other follow-up, if I may. I think you called out some timing issues with expenses. When do you expect that to normalize?

Mark Kociancic

Analyst

Well, I will break it into two parts, so corporate and underwriting. So, on the corporate side, look, we have two components. The largest of which is really interest expense. We have a meaningful component of floating rate debt through the FHLB and then a floating rate sub debt and that’s based on three-month sulfur. And so that increased, I would say, roughly $3 million a quarter on the run rate versus, say, Q1 of last year. I think that stabilizes for ‘23. It’s difficult to see sulfur moving that much this year. So, I think what you see in Q1 will hold for the remaining of the year, potentially go down if sulfur goes down. Corporate expenses, I think last year’s run rate of approximately $16 million a quarter is a pretty good run rate for this year. So, I see pretty good stability, generally speaking, for the corporate side. On the underwriting, two pieces, reinsurance, insurance. So, I think on the reinsurance side, we feel good about our expense ratio in general, you see a slightly elevated number in Q1 really for platform expenses for the most part. But I think somewhere in the 2.6%, 2.7% expense ratio type area is a good number for reinsurance in 2023. On the insurance side, we see that elevating a bit into the mid-15% area. We started off the year at a 15.9%, and I think that’s a combination of two things talent acquisition and then a bit on the platform expense as we are building out and scaling our operations in internationally and also domestically, but we are adding meaningful talent, especially at a senior level globally within the insurance franchise. So, I think that will pay off over time, but you do pay for it early on in terms of the expense load. I would point out a couple of things. So one, we feel – we still feel very good about the technical ratio and insurance profitability that’s coming in from the commission and ELRs on that standpoint. And hence, my comments in the prepared remarks of affirming our assumption of 91% and 93% combined for the insurance division as a whole. So, we see a bit of a mix here in terms of elevated underwriting expense, but still good on 91% and 93% based on sound fundamentals of diversified businesses and the good margin that we are seeing in that business. And I think you will also see a pretty good growth rate in the – for the remainder of the year. Typically, we start seasonally with a lower production in Q1 for insurance, and then it tends to ramp up Q2, Q4, in particular. So, we do feel that there will be some economies of scale occurring as the division grows even more.

Yaron Kinar

Analyst

Thanks for taking my additional question and for the comprehensive color.

Operator

Operator

And our next question is a follow-up from Elyse Greenspan with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Elyse Greenspan

Analyst

Hi. Good morning again. So, I want to go back also to the reinsurance discussion. I appreciate right that you guys are saying some of these contracts are going to take a couple of years to earn in. But maybe asking it in a different way, you guys printed a 58% underlying loss ratio in the first quarter. When this business is fully earned in, and we see the full impact of the rate increases in your financials, what can that 58%, what can that number drop to?

Mark Kociancic

Analyst

That’s – look, Elyse, that’s – it’s a difficult question to answer. Let me frame it with a few of the components that will be taken into consideration. So, I mentioned to you the composition of the business itself. So we do see property coming in stronger. And I think both Juan and Jim really articulated the level of rate increase that we are seeing. I think the growth is self-evident. You are seeing very strong rate. Jim is talking about risk-adjusted returns that are significantly higher. So, we believe the margins there are superior, really, really good. On the flip side, you are still seeing significant casualty growth, especially on the pro rata, and we are using prudent loss picks there because we are in an elevated risk environment. We are getting paid to take that risk. And so you got a mix of business that is still meaningfully impacted by casualty. And so those are the kind of factors that mix and then the rate itself, which we feel good about, that are going to determine that over time, not to mention whatever the loss experience. But again, the fundamentals are great. This is truly a generational hard market, in particular. For reinsurance property, we are just getting started. We love our positioning and the ability of our franchise, how we are globally positioned to take advantage of it and really be selective and adding value to our clients in this process. So, I think that combined ratio will solve itself based on the sound fundamentals.

Elyse Greenspan

Analyst

Thanks. And then my – one other for me, your PMLs, given your expectations for what you expect could transpire at midyear, it sounds like you guys are still pretty positive about the reinsurance pricing environment, where would you expect your PMLs to trend once we get through the June and July 1, catastrophe reinsurance renewals?

Jim Williamson

Analyst

Sure, Elyse. This is Jim Williamson, great question. So, first of all, we do see tremendous opportunity, and we are leaning into that, and we have selectively deployed incremental capacity, always within the defined appetite of the group, and we have talked a number of times about our willingness to put both our earnings and capital at risk, and we have plenty of room within that defined appetite to maneuver, and that’s certainly what we have been doing. The other thing that I would say that’s a repeat of what you have heard from me in the past, but we always start with creating our own capacity. In any portfolio, there is good, better and best deals. And I can tell you the good deals are not getting capacity anymore. It’s really moving to the best deals. And so what that’s allowed us to do is selectively expand available capacity. What does that mean, that means gross PMLs go up modestly. It wasn’t a huge move, as you saw 1/1 when we printed our PMLs. I expect that trend to kind of play out through the rest of this year. As I indicated earlier, if 6/1 meets our expectations for pricing and terms, I expect total capacity deployed to be consistent with last year, which I think will produce meaningful increases in premium even more meaningful increases in expected profit, very modest or no real change in PMLs. And then as you roll through the rest of the year, I would expect, again, modest increases in gross PMLs, with even larger increases in premium and profit. So, that should give you a view. I don’t expect a wild move on the PMLs by any stretch of the imagination.

Elyse Greenspan

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And ladies and gentlemen, today’s final question is a follow-up from Mike Zaremski at BMO. Please go ahead.

Mike Zaremski

Analyst

Great. Just one quick one. Just kind of thinking through the bullish outlook, generational hard market that term was used dislocation. Just curious, is there – would there be a scenario in the cards where Everest would want to opportunistically raise capital? The debt capital was – levels were increased last year, which looks like a great move, just curious if there is any scenarios in which equity capital need to be raised as well.

Mark Kociancic

Analyst

Mike, it’s Mark. So look, we feel very good about our positioning in this market, our ability to execute our plan. We have got the franchise on a global basis. We are a leading reinsurance market. So, I think the platform is clearly well demonstrated to meet this opportunity. We have got a lot of financial flexibility, and I will just leave it that we are always exploring and evaluating our market opportunities and our capital structure to make it better.

Mike Zaremski

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And ladies and gentlemen, this concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Juan Andrade for any closing remarks.

Juan Andrade

Analyst

Thank you, and thank you all for being with us today. I think as you can see, our operating performance was excellent in the first quarter. We are off to a strong start, and we are on offense. You have heard some of our commentary here regarding the market and regarding the bullishness. The momentum is strong and our ambitions were high. We are building on our first quarter momentum to continue delivering exceptional value for all of our stakeholders. So, with that, I thank you for your questions, for your time and for the support of the company, and we will see you soon at our second quarter results. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today’s conference call. You may now disconnect your lines and have a wonderful day.