Timothy K. Flanagan
Analyst · JPMorgan. Your line is open. Please go ahead. And just a reminder that if you are asking a question, to unmute your device. Thank you
Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. The third quarter marked another important period for GrafTech as we continued to advance the commercial, operational, and strategic initiatives designed to improve our long term profitability and strengthen our competitive position. We are particularly encouraged by the progress we are making on the pricing front. As higher price customer commitments reinforce our confidence, that we have reached an inflection point in our realized pricing. During the quarter, we also announced a significant step in our strategy to improve the efficiency and competitiveness of our manufacturing footprint. Through the planned closure of our Monterrey, Mexico, facility. These actions, together with our ongoing efforts to improve our cost structure, advocate for fair trade, capitalize on emerging market opportunities, reflect our commitment to taking decisive steps to strengthen GrafTech's financial performance. We also remain confident in the longer term fundamentals of our end markets. Supported by improving steel industry conditions across many of our key regions, the continued transition towards electric arc furnace steelmaking, and the growing strategic importance of synthetic graphite. This morning, I would like to begin with an update on our strategic priorities, followed by our perspectives on the steel market and broader industry environment. I will then discuss safety before turning the call over to Rory for a review of our financial results. On the commercial front, our disciplined commercial approach is beginning to produce tangible results. During the third quarter and early in the fourth quarter, we continued to secure customer commitments at higher-priced levels than those secured earlier in this period this year. Reinforcing our expectation for meaningful improvement in realized pricing in 2027. Restoring graphite electrode pricing to more sustainable levels remains essential to supporting continued investment in high quality manufacturing capacity, ensuring reliable supply for our customers. As we have seen in prior industry cycles, changes in the balance between supply and demand can result in relatively rapid and significant movements in graphite electrode pricing. While the timing and magnitude of any recovery will depend on market conditions, we believe the combination of improving commercial momentum, and actions to better address industry overcapacity create the potential for meaningful price recovery. To put our recent pricing progress in perspective, market pricing continued to decline early in 2026 before beginning to recover during the second quarter. On the heels of the price increase we announced in March. Since then, we have seen sustained improvement in prices reflected in new customer commitments. However, because of our realized pricing, reported to date in 2026 reflects commitments that were primarily entered into in prior periods, those improvements have not yet translated into our quarterly results. Our weighted average realized pricing was approximately $3.9 thousand per metric ton in the third quarter. Essentially flat with the second quarter. However, based on our current order book, and the timing of shipments against these higher priced commitments, we expect a mid single digit percentage increase in realized pricing in the fourth quarter. Looking ahead to 2027, we are seeing positive results in securing customer commitments at significantly higher prices than those reflected in our 2026 business. While a substantial portion of our anticipated 2027 volume remains to be committed, is typical for this point in the year, these initial results reinforce our confidence in the pricing momentum we are building. Importantly, our objective is not simply to achieve near term improvement in pricing, but to establish a more sustainable pricing environment. We believe our efforts to better align production capacity with underlying demand together with the value customers place on reliable, high quality supply, provide important support for that objective. We remain focused on securing commitments that appropriately reflect the value of our differentiated products technical capabilities, and reliable supply. Maintaining discipline in how we allocate our available production capacity. We look forward to providing a more comprehensive update on our 2027 commercial position when we report our fourth quarter results early next year. Beyond our own commercial progress, we are also seeing positive industry developments. In China, graphite electrode prices have increased throughout the year. Supported in part by higher raw material costs. At the same time, Chinese graphite electrode exports have declined approximately 10% year over year. Taken together, we view these developments as further indications that the prolonged period of low industry pricing is beginning to change. We are also seeing strengthening conditions in the petroleum needle coke market. Needle coke prices have steadily increased throughout the year, reflecting a combination of high raw material costs evolving supply and demand conditions. At the same time, interest in our own needle coke production capabilities is growing amongst potential customers serving various end markets. Historically needle coke and graphite electrode pricing have been closely correlated with an average spread between the 2 of approximately $4 thousand per metric ton. Over the past 20 years on an inflation adjusted basis. Therefore, we believe the strengthening needle coke market provides another catalyst for higher electrode pricing while vertical integration positions GrafTech favorably as these market dynamics evolve. Second, with respect to our manufacturing footprint, In the third quarter, we announced the planned closure of our graphite electrode manufacturing facility in Monterrey, Mexico. This represents an important step in our efforts to optimize our manufacturing network, improve operational efficiency, and better align production capacity with market demand. Over the past several years, the graphite electrode industry has faced persistent structural overcapacity, reflecting significant capacity additions in certain markets that have outpaced underlying demand growth. These conditions have contributed to a prolonged period of depressed pricing, and have made it increasingly difficult to justify maintaining excess manufacturing capacity. We have taken meaningful actions over the past several years to improve our cost structure and operational efficiency. However, given the continued imbalance between industry supply and demand, we determined that further action was necessary. Following the phased wind-down of Monterrey, customer requirements currently served by that facility will transition to our manufacturing operations in Calais, France and Pamplona, Spain. The transition of connecting pin production capacity to Pamplona is also in process and on track. Transition to our manufacturing operations in Calais, France and Pamplona, Spain. The transition of connecting pin production capacity to Pamplona is also in process and on track. Upon the completion of this transition early in the second quarter of 27, our annual graphite electrode production capacity is expected to be 127 thousand metric tons. Importantly, we are confident this consolidation will enable us to serve our customers more efficiently through a more competitive manufacturing footprint. While preserving the differentiated product capabilities and technical expertise that are central to GrafTech's value proposition. We expect the initiative to strengthen our cost structure, improve operating efficiency, and reduce future capital requirements. We are managing the transition carefully with a focus on safety, maintaining supply continuity, and meeting our customer commitments. I also want to reiterate our support for the employees impacted by this decision. The Monterey team has made important contributions to GrafTech over many years, and we are committed to treating our colleagues with respect, supporting them throughout the transition. Taken together, our ongoing manufacturing productivity, and cost reduction initiatives, this action represents another meaningful step towards establishing a more sustainable foundation for long term profitability. Following the wind down of operations, a permanent removal of graphite electrode production capabilities at Monterey, we intend to pursue the sale of the property and have already begun preliminary activities in preparation for a potential transaction. Any proceeds from a future sale would provide additional opportunity to support our liquidity position and reduce our outstanding debt, consistent with the requirements of our loan to us. Third, with respect to trade policy. We continue to advocate for fair trade and more balanced competitive commit conditions across the graphite electrode industry, including through our supportive of trade proceedings in key commercial jurisdictions. As we discussed last quarter, the U. S. Department of Commerce has been investigating imports of large diameter graphite electrodes from China and India. Since our last call, Commerce has issued its preliminary anti-dumping determination While we were disappointed with the preliminary outcome as it related to India, it is important to emphasize that the investigation is not yet complete. Information submitted by the Indian respondents remains subject to verification by commerce and the final determination is expected during the first quarter of 27. We will remain actively engaged throughout the remainder of this process and continue to support efforts to address unfair trade practices that undermine the competitiveness of domestic graphite electrode manufacturing. More broadly, we believe appropriate trade enforcement is an important component of establishing a healthier and more sustainable competitive environment. Particularly as governments increasingly recognize the strategic importance of maintaining domestic and regional industrial capabilities. Finally, with respect to emerging opportunities. We continue to believe that the growing strategic importance of synthetic graphite presents attractive, longer term, opportunities for GrafTech. As we have discussed previously, graphite electrodes are essential to electric arc furnace steelmaking, which we expect to benefit from the continued transition towards more sustainable methods steel production. At the same time, demand for high quality synthetic graphite petroleum needle coke is expanding into applications beyond traditional steel making. Including battery materials, energy storage, certain defense and industrial applications. These trends are reinforcing the importance of reliable, high quality supply chains particularly in North America and Europe. GrafTech's vertical integration into petroleum needle coke extensive manufacturing capabilities, and expertise in graphite and carbon science provide a differentiated foundation from which to pursue these opportunities. An example of our progress in this area, which we are quite excited about, is a collaboration with Antora Energy that we announced in September. Antora develops thermal batteries designed to provide reliable energy supply for industrial applications such as AI data centers. And our collaboration is focused on leveraging our manufacturing capabilities at our St. Marys, Pennsylvania, facility to support this technology. Although still in its early stages, this represents tangible progress in our efforts to leverage existing assets and technical capabilities to develop new revenue opportunities. We continue to engage with prospective customers and strategic partners and policymakers to evaluate opportunities that leverage our existing capabilities and infrastructure. These opportunities remain at various stages of development, and we believe they offer an attractive potential to diversify our business over time and create additional value from our assets. In summary, we are making progress on several important fronts. Pricing momentum is building, and we are taking decisive steps to improve our manufacturing footprint and cost structure. And we continue to position GrafTech to benefit from longer term growth opportunities. We believe these actions will strengthen our competitive position enhance our ability to generate improved earnings and cash flow as industry conditions recover. With that, let me turn to the broader steel market environment. Turning to slide 5. Let me spend a few minutes discussing the broader steel market, as steel industry fundamentals remain the primary driver of long term graphite electric demand. Overall, we continue to see improving trends across several of our key regions, supporting our expectation for modest growth in graphite electrode demand during 2026. Through the first 2 months of the third quarter, global steel production, excluding China, totaled approximately 142 million metric tons, an increase of approximately 2% compared to the corresponding period last year. In The United States, steel production continues to benefit from favorable trade policies and resilient domestic demand, with steel capacity utilization reaching 80% for the second consecutive quarter. While the pace of improvement varies by region, we are also encouraged by recent policy developments in Europe that we believe will support a more favorable environment for regional steel producers over time. Taken together, these trends reinforce our view that steel industry fundamentals outside of China are gradually improving providing constructive foundation for graphite electrode demand. Turning to slide 6. Beyond the improving conditions we are seeing today, several potential catalysts could support additional growth in steel demand over the coming years. These include infrastructure investment, higher defense spending, investments associated with the energy transition, and growing demand related to artificial intelligence and data center infrastructure. We also see opportunities for additional demand growth as construction activity recovers, investment in steel intensive manufacturing increases, and geopolitical tensions ease. While the timing and magnitude of these individual catalysts will vary, we believe their combined impact provides a favorable backdrop for steel demand growth over the medium term. Importantly, this perspective is supported by the World Steel latest short range outlook published earlier this month. The World Steel Association is projecting finished steel demand growth outside of China of approximately 1.5% in 2020 accelerating to 4% in 2027. We view this anticipated acceleration as encouraging indicator of improving industry fundamentals with positive implications for graphite electrode demand. Specifically in Europe, which remains 1 of our most important commercial regions, we see important developments aimed at strengthening the competitiveness regional steel production. As we discussed last quarter, the implementation of the European Union's carbon border adjustment mechanism together with increased trade protections for steel, has potential to improve the competitive position of European steelmakers. More broadly, we believe these catalysts will drive increased regional steel production over time and support our view that graphite electrode demand outside of China will increase at a compound annual growth rate of approximately 3% in the coming years. While the pace of improvement will depend on broader economic and market conditions, we believe that these demand drivers, combined with other strategic actions, we are taking to improve our commercial performance, and cost structure, position GrafTech to benefit as the industry conditions strengthen. Before turning the call over to worry, I would like to briefly discuss an area that will always remain our highest priority which is safety. I have always believed that no business objective is ever more important than ensuring our people return home safely at the end of every shift. And I am proud of the continued focus our employees have demonstrated across our global operations. Through the first 9 months of 2026, our total recordable incident rate was point 7. While this is above our full year 2025 performance, it remains substantially below the levels we experienced several years ago reflecting the meaningful progress we have made in strengthening our safety culture. We recognize that maintaining a strong safety performance requires constant attention and a commitment to continuous improvement. Safety must remain embedded in every aspect of how we operate, rather simply than a metric being reported each quarter. On behalf of our leadership team, I would like to thank all of our employees for their dedication to operating safely while delivering for our customers every day. Their commitment is the foundation of everything we accomplish as a team.