Kent J. Thiry
Analyst · Goldman Sachs
Okay. Thanks, Jim, and I'm going to assume that nobody heard anything I said clearly. So I will start from the top. First, this is relatively a sober quarterly call, somewhat symbolic that we had telephone problems. From a business point of view, kidney care performed fine in the quarter, both clinically and operationally. I will discuss the loss contingency reserve a little bit later, as well as normal covering clinical outcomes and a public policy update before I talk about HealthCare Partners and then ultimately our outlook. We will continue to present our clinical outcomes first because that is what comes first. We now serve approximately 1 out of every 3 dialysis patients in America, as well as about 800,000 population health members to HealthCare Partners. On the kidney care side, first, with respect to adequacy, which is essentially how well we're doing at removing toxins from our patients' blood. This quarter, 98% of our hemodialysis patients had a Kt/V greater than 1.2. Second, with respect to vascular access, 71% of our patients have fistulas, which is the preferred form of vascular access. For these and virtually all other clinical measures, including nutritional status, vaccinations, et cetera, our patient outcomes compare very favorably with national averages. This quality care not only results in healthier people but also drives reductions in hospitalizations and surgical procedures, and therefore, drives significant savings to the U.S. health care system. Now, on to the issue of the reserve. This is regarding the 2 physician relationship investigations that we've previously disclosed, now for about 3 years in total. We took a reserve, as you have noted, for $300 million. That is a part of a comprehensive offer to settle all the related civil, administrative and criminal matters. To be clear, we may not reach a final settlement. This is an estimate. An important reminder, this investigation is solely about physician relationships. It primarily relates to our physician joint ventures that, as you know, are subject to complex regulations under both anti-kickback and other laws. There have been no allegations concerning: One, the quality of care we provide; number two, the cost to the government; or number three, the utilization of medical services. Nonetheless, the government attorneys have taken the position that some or all of our joint ventures do not comply with the anti-kickback statute. We disagree, but we are talking with the government about its concerns and perspectives. We believe our joint venture practices were consistent, not only with regulations and the law, but with the kidney care community and with health care services overall. We look forward to working with the government to establish greater clarity and a level-playing field for JVs in the industry. We understand that you may have many questions on this topic. Please, we ask you to understand that we can't answer most of them until such time that the process is concluded in a settlement, hopefully. In addition, as of April 2013, our HealthCare Partners subsidiary was served with a civil complaint regarding Medicare patient coding practices. The suit names HCP, along with a number of defendants, including several of the nation's larger health insurance companies. We also did have some good news on the legal front in the quarter. As the Turner-Hooks matter, one of the previous Qui tam matters that we have previously disclosed, was dismissed with prejudice, which means that the matter is done with, with no discovery, no trial, no settlement, no fine, no finding against DaVita at all. On to public policy on the kidney care side. With respect to the ESRD Seamless Care Organizations or ESCOs, as most of you know, CMMI did delay implementation a couple of months. We now have a deadline of May 15 for indicating our interest, and binding proposals would be due by July 1. CMMI has continued to be a constructive partner, listening to the community, so we are hopeful that there will be some changes to the program design. And our participation, as you know, is contingent on seeing some changes in the design so that it is set up to be successful, because we do believe that if we're allowed to provide integrated care on a sustained basis to that population, we can do dramatically wonderful things for the patients, their families, physicians, caregivers and the taxpayer. On that front, I'll actually share one new and bright success story in the area of kidney care services. A recent study published by the American Journal of Kidney Disease, a peer-reviewed article, found that patients who used DaVita Rx, our integrated medication management services, are 21% more likely to live longer and 14% -- have spent 14% fewer days in the hospital each year than patients who do not use that service. And we now have over 50,000 patients on that service, something that we invested in for several years before we could get it to breakeven and the wonderful clinical and economic results that we're now experiencing. On the HealthCare Partners front. And very good news on that performance. And HCP's 3 legacy markets continues to be solid and in line with our expectations. On the growth front, we closed some tuck-in acquisitions in the first quarter. On the reimbursement front, the bad news is that the Medicare Advantage cuts that we feared would take place and talked about at the time that we announced the combination have actually taken place. It was on April 1 that CMS announced its final 2014 reimbursement decisions. While those rates were better than the preliminary ones announced in February, they still represent a significant decline for HCP, in particular due to the recalibration of patient risk coding when you compare '14 to '13. We estimate that, that final notice will represent a rate reduction of about 6% to 9%, somewhere in that range, on average, across our Medicare Advantage patient population. About 10% of that will be offset through contractual pass-throughs to the provider network. We, in addition, expect to offset some of the remaining rate cut impact but will not be able to give you very specific guidance with respect to that. Up to half of the remaining hit could be offset through benefit design changes that our health plan partners can and may make, because CMS will allow up to a $34 increase in per member per month total beneficiary cost. And since our 3 legacy HCP markets are currently no-premium markets, that means more or less the average payer could use that full $34 a month and still [indiscernible] 75% of the current gap in benefits. In other words, the extra benefits that an MA beneficiary receives versus a normal fee-for-service beneficiary that you could use the full $34 allowance and still retain, on average, about 75% of the current superiority. So given the size of that benefit gap, we do expect many plans will reduce their benefits or increase beneficiary cost, but we could be wrong. It is their decision, not ours, in virtually every case. In addition to plan design, we will, of course, work on incremental cost and efficiency initiatives to try to offset even more of this dramatic rate reduction. And, of course, as we move forward, we will give you updates as we have them. As to our overall outlook regarding the balance of 2014 (sic) [2013], we are increasing the lower end of our range. Our 2013 operating income guidance, excluding the impact of the loss contingency reserve, is now $1.8 billion to $1.9 billion. This includes dialysis and its related businesses' operating income in the range of $1.4 billion to $1.45 billion, and then HealthCare Partners OI in the range of $400 million to $450 million. As always, we could end up above or below this guidance, but it does capture a majority of the probabilistic outcomes and incorporates all known swing factors. I will now turn the call over to Jim Hilger.