Luis von Ahn Arellano
Analyst · Ross Sandler with Barclays
Yes, it's a great question, and one we think about a lot. We know today, a few years ago, maybe 4, 5 years ago, we did a bunch of research that shows that Duolingo was about as good as a classroom for language learning. We've gotten better to the point where I'm pretty sure we're better than a classroom now. But we are today not as good as a one-on-one human tutor. Nothing has gotten as good as one -- a good one-on-one human tutor is still better than where we're at now. We think that over the next few years, we will be able to be as good as a one-on-one human tutor because we just see how much we're improving every year. I mean, the thing about one-on-one human tutors is that they're not improving. They're like, it's about as good as they'll be, but we're improving. So we think we're going to get there. Now there's something very important to mention, which is that to a large extent, even though one-on-one human tutors are very effective at teaching, to a large extent, most people don't want to do that. I mean, there's a small fraction of people that are willing to do that, but most people just don't want to even if it's given up for free. It's just -- it happens that it's not that compelling of an experience on your mobile phone when compared to TikTok or Instagram or whatever. It's just not that compelling. So what we want to do is we wanted to have something that is as effective as a one-on-one human tutor, and we think we can do it, but it will not look like a one-on-one human tutor. It will, in the end, still feel gamified because ultimately, the thing that is most important, even though one-on-one human tutors are very efficient and effective, the thing that is most important, the major failure mode is people just dropping off. Like, you can have a very effective one-on-one human tutor, but people just will be like, yes, I'm going to stop going to that. So what we're working on is it'll still feel gamified, but you will see a lot more AI in there for us trying to meet you where you are. I mean, by the way, the reason one-on-one human tutors are better than a classroom or better than what we do right now is that they are really good at adapting to you. They're just -- and they do even things like they read your facial expression. When they're saying something to you, they can see that you're, like, you look confused. So you don't even have to say and then they quickly adapt to you. That's why they're so good. And this -- I believe the technology to do that is just getting better and better, and we'll be able to do that. It'll take some time, but we'll get there, I think.