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Transcript
OP
Operator
Operator
Good day, ladies and gentlemen. And welcome to the Deluxe Corporation’s Third Quarter Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants' are in a listen-only mode. Later, we'll conduct a question-and-answer session and instructions will be given at that time. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, today's conference is being recorded. I'd now like to introduce your host for today's conference Mr. Ed Merritt, Interim Chief Financial Officer, Treasurer and Vice President of Investor Relations. Sir, you may being.
EM
Ed Merritt
Analyst
Thank you, Chelsea, and welcome everyone to the Deluxe Corporation's third quarter 2016 earnings call. I'm Ed Merritt, Interim Chief Financial Officer, Treasurer and Vice President of Investor Relations. Also, joining me on today's call is Lee Schram, our Chief Executive Officer. At the conclusion of today's prepared remarks, Lee and I will take questions. I'd like to remind you that comments made today regarding financial estimates, projections and management's intentions and expectations regarding the company's future performance are forward-looking in nature, as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. As such, these comments are subject to risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected. Additional information about various factors that could cause actual results to differ from those projected are contained in the press release that we issued this morning, as well as in the company's Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2015. The financial and statistical information that will be reviewed during this call is addressed in more detail in today's press release, which is posted on our Investor Relations website at deluxe.com/investor. This information was also furnished to the SEC on the Form 8-K filed by the company this morning. Any references to non-GAAP financial measures are reconciled to the comparable GAAP financial measures in the press release as part of our remarks during this call. Now, I'll turn the call over to Lee.
LS
Lee Schram
Analyst
Thank you, Ed, and good morning, everyone. Deluxe delivered a solid quarter and we are well-positioned to grow revenue 5% for the year despite a continued sluggish economic environment. We reported revenue in the middle of our outlook range and adjusted earnings per share at the top end of our outlook range. Revenue grew better than 4% over the prior year quarter, driven by financial services growth of 11% and small business services growth of 3%. Marketing solutions and other services revenues grew 16% over the prior-year and represented about 33% of total third-quarter revenue. Adjusted diluted earnings per share grew more than 5% over the prior year quarter. We generated strong operating cash flow of $208 million for the first three quarters, and we withdrawn $418 million on our credit facility at the end of the quarter. We repurchased $50 million in common shares in the quarter. We continued our brand awareness campaign to help better position our products and services offerings and drive future revenue growth. We also advanced process improvements and slightly exceeded our cost reduction commitment for the quarter. In a few minutes, I will discuss more details around our recent progress and next steps, but first Ed will cover our financial performance.
EM
Ed Merritt
Analyst
Thanks, Lee. Earlier today we reported diluted earnings per share for the third quarter of $1.19 compared to $1.13 last year. Both year’s results included $0.03 per share for restructuring charges and transactions costs. Excluding these restructuring charges and transaction costs, adjusted diluted EPS of $1.22 is at the higher end of our previous outlook and increased 5.2% above the $1.16 reported in the third quarter of 2015. The increase was driven primarily by strong earnings performance and lower average shares outstanding. Revenue for the quarter came in at $459 million, and grew 4.3% over last year. The growth rate, excluding Datamyx, FISC, Inkhead and Payce Payroll acquisitions was about 1%. Small business services revenue up $299 million, grew 3.4% versus last year primarily due to growth in marketing solutions and other services. We saw some revenue short falls compared our expectations in Safeguard distributor and major accounts in the quarter and continue to be impacted by the sluggish economy. In small business services, we delivered growth in marketing solutions and other services, and form a channel perspective, we grew our online, major accounts, and dealer channels. Financial services revenue was $123 million in the quarter and grew 10.9% above last year. Excluding revenue from acquisitions, financial services would have grown 1% in the quarter. Higher marketing solutions and other services revenue driven by Datamyx, WAUSAU, and Deluxe Rewards, and price increases more than offset the impact of lower check orders. In the direct check segment, revenue was $37 million or down 7.3% from last year. Now from a product and services revenue perspective, check revenue was $215 million, representing 47% of total revenue. Market solutions and other services was $154 million or about 33% of total revenue. And forms and accessories was $90 million or about 20% of total…
LS
Lee Schram
Analyst
Thank you, Ed. I will continue my comments with an update on MOS revenue, highlight progress in each of our three segments using our eight strategic initiatives for a perspective on how we progressed in the third quarter, and then provide some context looking forward to 2017. Here's an update on our four subcategories revenue framework for marketing solutions and other services. We ended the third quarter slightly below our expectations in revenue with mixed, lower and small business marketing solutions. First, small business marketing is expected to represent approximately 39% in 2016 with expected growth of approximately 17% to 18%. Key 2016 growth initiatives include profitably scaling integrated marketing, on-demand solution offers with the largest opportunity in major account verticals, including retail, healthcare, financial services, hospitality, service franchises, automotive, real estate, and telcos. We also see strong growth opportunities and promotional products and holiday cards and specifically in distributor, dealer and major account channels. The second category, web services, which includes logo and web design, web hosting, SEM, SCO, email marketing, social, and payroll services is expected to represent approximately 19% in 2016, with expected growth rates in the mid-single digits. Key 2016 growth initiatives include scaling, web services offers through our Deluxe marketing suite across all customers and channels, delivering partnerships, an inquisitive opportunities that both “double down on existing capabilities and address gaps within our portfolio”. The third category, fraud, security, risk management and operational services are expected to represent approximately 13% in 2016 with expected low single-digit declines. Key focus areas for growth in this category in addition to our standard fraud and security offerings include performance management by adding banker's dashboard customers, as well as strategic sourcing new financial institution wins. In addition, we continue to see growth from scaling e-checks including scaling in many…
OP
Operator
Operator
[Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from the line of Jamie Clement with Macquarie. Your line is now open.
JC
Jamie Clement
Analyst
Hey, Lee, hi, Ed, thanks a lot for taking my questions in advance.
LS
Lee Schram
Analyst
You’re welcome.
JC
Jamie Clement
Analyst
Actually, first question maybe for Ed, if I may. The comments for next year surrounding Datamyx, is the difference between reconciling the double-digit EBITDA margin comment with the EPS neutrality, is that actually deal related amortization?
EM
Ed Merritt
Analyst
Yes. That's this year too, Jamie, 2016.
JC
Jamie Clement
Analyst
Right. That I already got. I was just into next year with the growth there, that was confusing me. Just changing gears, as you talk about the safeguard and major account channels as being potentially a little bit soft, is – do you think that is macro small-business related? I mean you had comments on the small business economy and obviously it's certainly been a rough stretch and obviously I saw that data you were referring to about the sentiment six-month out that kind of thing, but what are you hearing from some of these customers strong.
EM
Ed Merritt
Analyst
What we've seen is we've seen two things. We've seen a slowdown in what they are doing and then we have seen a push out. And sold to me when you see slowdowns and push outs, and they happen to be and what I would call more of the discretionary accessories and kind of marketing related areas. Those are the natural things where we see a pullback more related to the economy, and unfortunately, these art significant changes, but they are changes are not to pull back on what we saw both in Q3 and then we just believe that we're not sure the momentum is going to be there in Q4 as well. That's where you see a little bit of the pullback right now.
JC
Jamie Clement
Analyst
Okay.
EM
Ed Merritt
Analyst
The other thing I will highlight is that we also had an acquisition that we were looking at in that space that was really in line to get done and then we just decided it didn’t make sense for us so we got further into it, and it would have been more kind of the forms and accessories space, as well, and we just decided to step away from it.
JC
Jamie Clement
Analyst
Do you consider a business card, lighting accessory in that area. I’m not the business card or greeting card in that area or is that totally separate product line.
EM
Ed Merritt
Analyst
Holiday cards would be in our MOS space, and we see growth there. Don't get me – we see still real positive growth. We just see a little bit of a pullback compared to what we [indiscernible].
JC
Jamie Clement
Analyst
I mean we will be seeing this every coupon of years. Changing gears a little bit, it seems like any company this earnings season that touches the kind of printed product in office-supply market, there's been some strange kind of sentiment or perception of softness and some folks have asked the gone so far as to reference the aftermath of the SEC turning down Office Depot, and concerns about what are these guys going to do now, that kind of thing. Any length of that whole world to your business that you are aware of?
EM
Ed Merritt
Analyst
No.
JC
Jamie Clement
Analyst
I mean I figured it was a stretch, but it seems like it is just kind of been a little bit pervasive in this earnings season so far. Okay. I will let someone else get some questions. I'll get back in the queue. Thank you.
EM
Ed Merritt
Analyst
Thank you, Jamie.
OP
Operator
Operator
Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Joan Tong with Sidoti and Company, your line is now open.
JT
Joan Tong
Analyst · Sidoti and Company, your line is now open.
Hey, Lee and Ed, good morning. A couple of things here. Maybe just drill down again on the small business, just wanted to get a sense the operating environment, what do you are seeing out there. Do you feel like the small business customer is kind of holding back and wait to see what is going to happen regarding the presidential elections, and so maybe after that you probably would see some sort of like rebound in demand?
LS
Lee Schram
Analyst · Sidoti and Company, your line is now open.
I think you see that in those sentiment, optimism information that comes directly from small business. I think once the election is clear, I think that is why the optimism is higher six-month out. I think everybody in the United States just wants to get through the election and figure out who is going to be the President and then go through whatever changes – there's going to be a change in the sense of bomb, obviously she is going out - Obama is going out. So think there is that going on right now and I think there's just a little bit of hesitancy is seen in any optimism and information that's out on the small business right now.
JT
Joan Tong
Analyst · Sidoti and Company, your line is now open.
Okay. Thank you. And then also for next year, you gave us some color in terms of how you think about next year, and I think, Lee, you mentioned marketing solution group 11% to 15% but did you exclude some of those acquisitions? You talked about 67% or mid to high single digit type of growth. I just want to make sure I got this right.
LS
Lee Schram
Analyst · Sidoti and Company, your line is now open.
We try to be as clear as we can here. We said 12% to 15% total, so if you think 16% to 17% this year in total, 12% to 15% and we did get it right, 6% to 7%. Think of it when you adjust our base. If you take the base 6.20% to 6.25%, you adjust for the 16 that we mentioned that's in there this year, and then you take that out, you grow six to seven, and then you add the 37% to 42%, that will be the amount of revenue from the deals that we've closed. And you add something roughly in line with what we done this year to that 2016 number, your magic comes in at that 37% mix and that 12% to 15% and you can back in the 2% to 4% of the total company growth. Yes. We are really – and by the way, we have couraged to put the guidance out now no matter what we think is going to happen with small business economy because we believe in what we are doing and we believe that the products and services that we are adding to the portfolio are things that our customers, whether they be in a small business area or in the financial institution space. Our spaces that – products and services are really going to help them. So we are very enthusiastic and very optimistic that again I say we have the courage to put his perspectives of the right now because we believe in what we are doing.
JT
Joan Tong
Analyst · Sidoti and Company, your line is now open.
Right, right. So I assume that mid to high-single digit marketing business growth organically, you take into consideration some of these small business, might linger a little bit, so macro adjustment.
LS
Lee Schram
Analyst · Sidoti and Company, your line is now open.
We took that into consideration, absolutely, when we came up with that, yes.
JT
Joan Tong
Analyst · Sidoti and Company, your line is now open.
Okay, got it. And then another question is regarding the thought process of paying down for redeeming the 6% $200 million note. What do you think is a good timing , we didn't do it earlier, and also for next year guidance, 3% to 6% EPS growth, how much do you think that is contributed by lower interest expense from the redemption of the notes? Thank you.
EM
Ed Merritt
Analyst · Sidoti and Company, your line is now open.
Yeah, the note redemption was really driven on the call date, which is in November of this year. That's the first call date, so that's the first opportunity that we really have an opportunity to take those out. And bottom line is it’s as interest expense arbitrage for lack of a better term. We’ve notes that are costing us on average 5.2% right now. They are swapped fixed to floating. So our cost today is 5.2%. When put those on the credit facility we're paying around 2%. So do the math, we are saving 3.2% of interest expense on $200 million, it is pretty substantial, $6.5 million savings number for us. So that’s really the logic behind it. We continue to look at the capital structure and what’s the makeup of debt, long-term, short-term credit facility and for right now this makes sense, it keeps our capital structure strategy in place to be flexible. We are managing interest expense in light of this low interest expense environment and that’s where the logic of it.
JT
Joan Tong
Analyst · Sidoti and Company, your line is now open.
Okay. All right, thank you, guys.
LS
Lee Schram
Analyst · Sidoti and Company, your line is now open.
You are welcome, Joe.
OP
Operator
Operator
[Operator Instructions] And our next question comes from the line of Charlie Strauzer with CJS Securities. Your line is now open.
CS
Charlie Strauzer
Analyst · CJS Securities. Your line is now open.
Hi, good morning.
LS
Lee Schram
Analyst · CJS Securities. Your line is now open.
Hi, Charlie.
CS
Charlie Strauzer
Analyst · CJS Securities. Your line is now open.
Couple of questions for you guys. When I look at the declines in check rates kind of 4% there, I know this has always kind of a really tough thing to pinpoint, but what are you hearing from your commercial bank customers in terms of what’s driving the lower decline rates? Is there anything that they can pinpoint on that?
LS
Lee Schram
Analyst · CJS Securities. Your line is now open.
No. This is one of the hardest things to try to do, Charlie, is to predict this, and what we do is we talk to our customers, we survey our consumers, and we pull every trend – statistical trend model we can. When you add those up, some of the things we are seeing, though, is the areas where consumers are writing checks, one of the surprising things that we found is that there is a little bit of an uptick in what we would call retail establishments, and we do hear from consumers that the fraud and security issues around electronic vocation, we received feedback that says, I the consumer I’m concerned with that and to us that drives the correlation to – are they worried about losing electronic forms of payment. Now, if you notice that we also said five to six next year, and the reason we did that is we don't believe this will be a sustainable trend meeting the 4% charge. We think this will come back up to what we see more traditionally over the last three, four years, around that 5% to 6% when the effect of fraud and security starts to wean a little bit more and the public becomes a little bit more used to that. So that is our logic, that is our thought process. We try every way to talk to the FIs, to talk to our consumers, to look at trending, to look at what’s happening, and that’s how we combine – get to the decline rates that we have.
CS
Charlie Strauzer
Analyst · CJS Securities. Your line is now open.
That’s fair enough. I think some of it may be related to kind of the – similar to what you’ve see in kind of the e-book marketplace where you saw rapid growth in e-book substitution for printed books, that slowed down significantly over the last couple of years as the adoption is kind of peaked. Does it feel like there has been more of a peak also on the e-payment side that maybe the number of checks you write is just kind of a finite amount now versus in the past where you basically did a lot of that online?
LS
Lee Schram
Analyst · CJS Securities. Your line is now open.
All I can give you is what I just gave you. I think that's the best input that I've got.
CS
Charlie Strauzer
Analyst · CJS Securities. Your line is now open.
Understood. And then as we look into kind of the MOS business, kind of being at 37% of revenue by the end of 2017, really kind of getting you very close to that 40% number for 2018 and kind of the goalpost are moving closer obviously. And you look at your balance sheet at kind of under 1.5 times debt-to-EBITDA, you’ve got the firepower to do – continue to do acquisitions, but are there thought of making a more sizable acquisition to kind of really rapidly transform going forward here or is it more kind of the singles and doubles versus the homerun swing?
LS
Lee Schram
Analyst · CJS Securities. Your line is now open.
We are enormous believers and we've used two very strategic outside marketing consultants to confirm our strategy that programmatic acquisitions provide the best long-term returns for shareholders, and we've looked at all the statistical information that we've had these two outside groups put that in front of us, and we continue to believe that that is the right approach for a company like Deluxe right now that is continuing to build richness in terms of both the financial services, as well as the small business portfolio. Does that mean, Charlie, we won't look at something as it comes up, we always are looking. So we will absolutely continue to consider things that make sense. We think the great work that Ed and his team and our whole company has done on our capital structure gives us that ability to do that if need be. So we are open to it, but at the same time, we fundamentally believe that the programmatic way that we are doing this has worked quite well and we believe can continue to work. We just announced on this call three deals again and we like everyone of these deals. We think these are strategically really fit the bill and are all going to help us. And I think that's what you should think about going forward. But, again, if we see something that makes sense, that's larger, we will absolutely go through the rigor and the process that we do on the ones that we are working today to consider that.
CS
Charlie Strauzer
Analyst · CJS Securities. Your line is now open.
Excellent. Thank you very much.
LS
Lee Schram
Analyst · CJS Securities. Your line is now open.
You are welcome.
OP
Operator
Operator
Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Josh Elving with Feltl and Company. Your line is now open.
JE
Josh Elving
Analyst · Feltl and Company. Your line is now open.
Hi, good morning.
LS
Lee Schram
Analyst · Feltl and Company. Your line is now open.
Hi, Josh.
JE
Josh Elving
Analyst · Feltl and Company. Your line is now open.
Most of my questions have been answered. I just had one kind of housekeeping question and that has to do with the tax rate. I know you provided an outlook for around 33% for the full year. I guess just been looking at the past couple years, the fourth quarter has been significantly lower than the balance of the previous three quarters. Do you kind of have anything along those lines here in this fourth quarter? Obviously, you can have a range of 3% or 4% in the tax rate and still end up at around 33% for the year. Just wondering if you could give any color on that?
LS
Lee Schram
Analyst · Feltl and Company. Your line is now open.
No. I would tell you that we expect it to be in line to get to that 33 for the year, which I think if you probably did the math, it might be somewhere in a little bit will lower than it’s rung out for the whole year in the fourth quarter, Josh, but, no, there is not anything major or anything extremely significant to call out there.
JE
Josh Elving
Analyst · Feltl and Company. Your line is now open.
Okay. And then on the redemption of the $200 million, I know you just commented on it. Is that – so you are essentially refinancing that with like a short-term credit facility. Does that get fixed at some point and does that change your potential rate once it does get fixed?
EM
Ed Merritt
Analyst · Feltl and Company. Your line is now open.
Yeah, so what we did, if you recall earlier in late September we put out [indiscernible] expanded the credit facility from $525 million capacity to $725 million.
JE
Josh Elving
Analyst · Feltl and Company. Your line is now open.
Okay.
EM
Ed Merritt
Analyst · Feltl and Company. Your line is now open.
So essentially we are doing a Term A through the credit facility at a 2% interest rate. It is offloading right now. We continue to monitor the market and we will make a decision maybe if that makes sense to lock it into a fixed rate. That is an option, but today we are basically offloading, which is consistent with what we have been, if you recall the $200 million 2020 notes are also floating. So there is no change there, but we will continue to monitor that if that makes sense, we could lock something in that at that point in time.
JE
Josh Elving
Analyst · Feltl and Company. Your line is now open.
Okay. All right, that’s it for me. Thank you, guys.
LS
Lee Schram
Analyst · Feltl and Company. Your line is now open.
You are welcome, Josh.
OP
Operator
Operator
Thank you. And we have time for one follow-up question from Jamie Clement with Macquarie. Your line is now open.
JC
Jamie Clement
Analyst
Yeah, thanks very much. As we head into New Year here shortly, I was just looking for an update on the company's strategy with respect to e-checks. I don't think that's a product that's necessarily well understood by potential consumers, certainly not well understood by investors. Can you kind of give us an update where that stands?
LS
Lee Schram
Analyst
Yeah. Look, every day we get more evangelists in the small business owners on e-checks. Every day we are growing the amount of e-check business that we are getting from them. The problem at this point, Jamie, is it is not sizable enough yet. So the things that we are working on was all that list of various different types of companies that I talked about in the prepared remarks, so what we are focused on is things that – think of them as the software and accounting services companies, the health and medical area, document management, and payment, we have a whole string of relationships that we are working and getting them over the hump, testing in with them. A lot of them want to make a bigger leap forward, but they all want to go through kind of these testing processes right now. And so we are kind of working with them, integrating with them, making sure that things are working well with them, but we remain bullish on this. We've also Jamie have looked at some new payment technologies and how they take off, and this is taking off very similar to other things that you've seen that now are becoming more commonplace into the marketplace, but we are being cautious because we are not trying to – we are predicting in our guidance here, big runoff right now in terms of that, but we remain very optimistic about what's happening here. What I would also tell you is that it's very interesting to see some of the small business customers that are financial institution customers that are using e-check. Yes, it is the big names that we have, the Citis and the Chases of the world. But very interestingly, some of the large financial institutions that are not our paper check customers today are also showing up as a very high mix of our e-check customers. What does that mean? That means somebody is sending them an e-check from a business and they are seeing it, obviously, liking it, and then ordering it, but they are not able to get those through the other provider at this point. So all those things give us cause for optimism, but I sure wish it would scale faster than it has at this point in time, but I also feel like we're doing a lot of the right things to make a new e-check market here.
JC
Jamie Clement
Analyst
Is there a strategic reason why you wouldn't look to one of the big FIs as almost like a quasi partner/ sponsor of the new technology that kind of thing in this endeavor. It sounds like the focus is on the ultimate user rather than kind of the FIs side. Is there an opportunity with the big FI?
LS
Lee Schram
Analyst
We are trying to do that.
JC
Jamie Clement
Analyst
Okay.
LS
Lee Schram
Analyst
The interesting thing is with all the various payment vehicles that are out there today and all the traffic around the new payment rail and what might happen, they are having to go through and look at all those things and swallow and absorb those, Jamie, as they are looking at this, as well.
JC
Jamie Clement
Analyst
Sure.
LS
Lee Schram
Analyst
But that’s literally what’s going on right now.
JC
Jamie Clement
Analyst
Yeah, I mean, at the end of the day, it’s a check though, right? I mean, it’s not that complicated.
EM
Ed Merritt
Analyst
Jamie, I think the simple way to explain is it is an e-mailable check.
JC
Jamie Clement
Analyst
Okay, yeah.
EM
Ed Merritt
Analyst
Something like that. It’s not so complicated. It’s not the sort of app technology. It is just a mailable check.
JC
Jamie Clement
Analyst
Right. All right. I guess people are worried about security and that kind of thing in this day and age, maybe that's why they do that, who knows. Okay, guys, thanks very much for your time. I appreciate it.
LS
Lee Schram
Analyst
You are welcome, Jamie.
OP
Operator
Operator
Thank you. And this concludes the question-and-answer session. I would now like to turn the call back to Mr. Lee Schram, Chief Executive Officer for any closing remarks.
LS
Lee Schram
Analyst
Yeah, I just have a couple of closing thoughts. I want to thank everybody for their participation, all the questions today and really three things to summarize. First, we delivered a solid third quarter. We delivered revenue at the midpoint of our outlook and with both diluted EPS and adjusted diluted EPS scoring over 5%. Second, our marketing solutions and other services revenue grew 16% in the quarter with a mix of MOS growing on track to account for about 34% of revenue this year, and we believe we are on track with the 37% I mentioned for next year to get to that 40% mix by the end of 2018. And then finally looking ahead in the next year, we believe we continue to be well-positioned to deliver another year of growth in revenue, earnings per share, and cash flow from operations And now we're going to get back, roll up our sleeves, get to work, and we look forward to providing another positive progress report on our next call. And I'm going to turn it over to Ed for some final housekeeping.
EM
Ed Merritt
Analyst
Thanks, Lee. Before we conclude today's call, I just like to mention that Deluxe management will be participating at several upcoming events in the fourth quarter where you can continue to hear more about our transformation. On November 14, we will be in New York at the Global Mizuho Securities Conference and on December 1, we will be in Scottsdale at the Credit Suisse 20th Annual Technology Conference. Thanks to all of you for joining us. And that concludes the Deluxe third quarter 2016 earnings call.
OP
Operator
Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in today's conference. This does conclude the program and you may all disconnect. Everyone have a great day.