Dave Loretta
Analyst · Baird. Please go ahead
Thanks, Sam, and good morning, everyone. Before jumping into the results for the quarter, I also want to welcome Sam. Ironically, we both spent significant time at Nordstrom early in our careers, and we now share an appreciation for the future potential of Duluth. Turning to the first quarter results. We reported net sales of $133.4 million, up 21.4% compared to the prior year with both our store and digital channels delivering growth this quarter. Retail store sales were up 93%, a significant increase from the comparable period when all stores were closed roughly half of the quarter. In addition, the combined store and digital sales in our store markets grew 33% over last year, as many customers who shifted their spend last year to direct during the early stages of the pandemic now shifted back to the stores. As we move through the second quarter and lap the period when stores were gradually reopening under COVID precautions, we expect the retail channel will land roughly 50% up from last year. Our direct channel was up 2%, topping last year’s growth rate of 32% when most consumers were under stay at home orders and online shopping surge. In Q1 2020, our deep promotional actions and digital prospecting drove record high online orders and new buyers. This year, the number of new buyers was less than last year by 29%, but sales per customer was up 20% overall. Breaking down Q1 direct sales month-by-month, momentum accelerated in February through mid-March with sales up 50% year-over-year in that channel, but then flipped below last year by the end of March as we lap the heavy promotional offers. During April, the direct channel was down 38% versus last year. In May, comparable direct sales were down 20% and our outlook for the second quarter is that direct channel sales will land down in the mid-teens range. Regardless of the sales shift between channels, we continue to see broad growth momentum in our seasonal and year-round assortment as well as our emerging brands. Our men’s business overall was up 25% compared to last year and women’s business was up 15%. In both men’s and women’s, we’re receiving favorable response to our spring and summer collections, especially for outdoor activities that played to our strengths like gardening, hiking and fishing. In men’s, seasonal outerwear, outdoor active and underwear led the way. New incremental sales from 40 Grit and Best Made contributed 500 basis points with the men’s total growth rate. We relaunched 40 Grit in April with an enhanced creative and copy approach to drive steady volume each week. Customers responding well to seasonal basics, accounting for 40% of the 40 Grit business, we’ve also introduced a handful of core 40 Grit styles on Amazon, the further test and learn alternative channels of distribution. Sales for our new premium Best Made brand were above our expectations. We reinstated the brand’s traditional red sale event to exit acquired inventory prior to our plan relaunch later this summer. In Alaskan Hardgear, sales were up 79%, driven by clearance of winter outerwear items and healthy full price selling on the lightweight spring and summer collection. In women’s, we have a strong response to woven bottoms, line extensions in core fabrication, such as Dang Soft for underwear and seasonal goods, such as shorts, skorts and capris. We continued our commitment to newness with launch of our women’s swimwear line, which has been well received. On April 7, we launched a women’s line for 40 Grit, a no-frills workwear line that appeals to younger, more price sensitive customers. Early results are positive with 40 Grit shorts, overalls and knit tops as the most popular items. We also have plans to unlock the potential of our Alaskan Hardgear and Best Made brands with the addition of a women’s line for both of those brands. As we mentioned on our last call, we entered into a pilot test with Tractor Supply Company to have Duluth Trading displays of Buck Naked underwear in 13 of their stores. Early results of the pilot support a rollout to an additional 100 Tractor Supply stores during July. We see this as a great opportunity to expand our brand awareness with a top tier partner and we’ll continue to monitor progress for future expansion. The initiatives we undertook throughout last year to make the company stronger and more competitive are producing results and generating investment capital. In addition to the investments in our customer data platform, which deepens our ability to personalize the marketing outreach, our decision to pause and reevaluate new store growth and getting inventory levels under control has strengthened our balance sheet and sources of growth capital. Also, by reallocating marketing dollars out of the first quarter and into the second, third and fourth quarters, we have the flexibility to go on the offense with our emerging brands, while still driving deeper customer penetration in our core Duluth brand. As I’ll share shortly, the quarterly shifts and certain expenses may flex bottom line results up or down, but our commitment to realize operating margin expansion in 2021 overall is very much intact. Last quarter, we mentioned the likelihood of near-term delays and inventory receipts due to shipping channel disruptions and congestion caused by record high imports. Certain core items and seasonal resets were impacted due to the delays. While offset the inventory strains, we shifted the timing of some marketing events that drove full-price selling out of Q1 into Q2. Even with these actions, we achieved a first quarter gross profit margin improvement of 230 basis points to 49.9%, reflecting a higher mix of full-price sales overall. To mitigate ongoing supply disruptions, we’re pulling key fall winter inventory receipts forward, where we can and will be flexing our promotional events in the later quarters as needed, if inventory flows continue to be constrained. That said, we do expect year-over-year gross margin rate to increase in the second and third quarters, although less than the increased just realized in the first quarter. Turning to expenses, SG&A for the first quarter decreased 9.3% to $64.6 million compared to $71.3 million last year. As a percentage of net sales, SG&A expense decreased to 48.5% compared to 64.9% last year. This included an increase of $2.5 million in general and administrative expenses offset by a $9 million decrease in advertising and marketing expenses and $200,000 of selling expenses. Selling expenses as a percentage of net sales decreased 330 basis points to 15% compared to 18.3% last year, driven by shipping costs leverage from a lower percentage of direct sales versus store sales combined with higher average order size and direct. Within our distribution centers, we are experiencing challenges in hiring as competition for hourly staff has been extremely tough. Our plans beginning this summer are to increase hourly wage rates in our distribution network in order to attract and retain quality team members and better position of company competitively. Factoring in the wage rate increases, we still expect to gain operating leverage on selling costs through the balance of 2021, due to the efficiency gains we’re realizing in direct fulfillment activities, higher average order size compared to last year and productivity gains from the capital investments and expansion of our distribution network. On the advertising front, we considerably decreased our spend compared to last year, largely due to pulling out of national TV media in the quarter, reduced digital prospecting spend and shifting some catalog releases from Q1 into Q2. Advertising and marketing costs as a percentage of net sales decreased 1000 basis points to 8.4% compared to 18.4% last year. As I mentioned earlier, our plans for ad spend in 2021 is to shift dollars to periods where spend can make a greater impact on either driving sales or building brand awareness. Also, investing deeper in the brand development of Alaskan Hardgear, 40 Grits and Best Made will likely offset the efficiencies we’re gaining on core Duluth advertising. As a result, we expect the next three quarters, we will see deleverage on our advertising expense, but the full year we’ll be flat to last year on a percent of sales basis. General and administrative expenses as a percentage of net sales decreased 310 basis points to 25.1% compared to 28.2% last year, due to higher sales volume. Our current store count of 64 reflects the closing of our Mall of America pilot store in April. As we discussed before, we have paused our retail store expansion until there’s more clarity around consumer buying patterns post-pandemic. Right now, we have only one signed lease in Cherry Hill, New Jersey for 2021. Looking beyond this year, we’ll be studying several new store concepts in conjunction with a deeper strategic growth assessment led by Sam. Over the next two quarters, we will see incremental workforce costs that represent new skills and talent in our product development, creative, marketing and digital areas. We will also see added expenses related to the recovering the short-term cost savings we took last year on staff and leadership compensation. As such, we don’t expect to realize leverage on G&A expenses in the second and third quarter. Adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter was $10.1 million, an increase from the negative adjusted EBITDA of $11.6 million in Q1 2020. Our net income was $500,000 or $0.02 per diluted share compared to a net loss of $15 million or a loss of $0.47 per share reported in the first quarter last year. Moving on to the balance sheet. As Steve stated, we are in the strongest position in recent years. We ended the quarter with net working capital of $73.5 million, including $26.1 million in cash and $17.6 million outstanding on our term line of credit. We enhanced our liquidity position with the renewal of our credit facility that extends to a new five-year term. The facility is now an all revolved restructure of $150 million plus an optional $50 million accordion feature if we need to expand for strategic growth opportunities. On a side note, this facility is the first corporate syndicated loan facility to include the new Bloomberg benchmark BSBY rate as a replacement to LIBOR. The improved loan structure and loan pricing tiers lowers our borrowing costs by over 100 basis points. Before the facility renewals and subsequent to quarter end, we paid off the term loan balance and currently have $5 million outstanding on the new revolver. We expect our peak borrowing needs will be between $30 million to $40 million in the fall, which compares to $92 million at its peak last fall. Our overall inventory position is back in sync with our sales demand, which led to improved inventory turns and free cash flow generation of $10.4 million in Q1. As I mentioned before, the strong positive cash flow and increased liquidity position will allow us to fund growth initiatives such as scaling our emerging brand platform, investing in core category expansions and new product innovations, as well as investing in greater automation in our distribution center network. Given our first quarter financial results, the current business trends by channel and the potential for elevated inventory flow disruptions and inflationary pressures, we are updating our guidance for fiscal year 2021. We now expect to deliver the following: net sales in the range of $695 million to $710 million, gross profit percentage improvement of 50 to 100 basis points, operating margin improvement of at least 100 basis points, depreciation and amortization is estimated at $31 million to $32 million, adjusted EBITDA is expected to be $68 million to $71 million, EPS in the range of $0.66 to $0.72 per diluted share and capital expenditures, including the software hosting implementation costs of $15 million to $16 million. In closing, we’re pleased with the momentum in the business today, yet cautious about an uneven consumer recovery and supply chain challenges. Where we’re most optimistic is the power of our brand development capabilities and potential to scale the emerging brands through digital capabilities, widen our customer base and cement dilute as the premier can-do lifestyle brand. Sam and I look forward to sharing more on our next call about the strategic initiative that will enable this growth and realize our value creation mandate. And finally, I’d like to thank Steve on behalf of the entire organization for his years of dedicated service, especially over the last 20 months as he led the company through some very challenging time. With that, I’ll open the call for questions.