Earnings Labs

Dine Brands Global, Inc. (DIN)

Q2 2018 Earnings Call· Wed, Aug 1, 2018

$27.46

-0.36%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Welcome to the Second Quarter 2018 Dine Brands Global, Inc. Earnings Conference Call. My name is Sofia, and I will be your operator for today's call. [Operator Instructions]. Please note that this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the call over to Ken Diptee. Mr. Diptee, you may begin.

Ken Diptee

Analyst

Good morning, and welcome to Dine Brands' Second Quarter 2018 Conference Call. I'm joined by Steve Joyce, CEO; Tom Song, CFO; Darren Rebelez, President of IHOP; and John Cywinski, President of Applebee's. Gregg Kalvin, Corporate Controller, will also be available during Q&A. Before I turn the call over to Steve, please remember our safe harbor regarding forward-looking information. During the call, management may discuss information that are forward-looking and involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results to be different than those expressed or implied. Please evaluate the forward-looking information in the context of these factors, which are detailed in today's press release and 10-Q filing. The forward-looking statements are as of today and assumes no obligation to update or supplement these statements. We may also refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures, which are described in our press release and also available on Dine Brands' website. With that, I'll turn the call over to Steve.

Stephen Joyce

Analyst

Thanks, Ken. Good morning, everyone. So positive sales momentum for both brands continued into the second quarter as Applebee's and IHOP's comp sales outperformed their respective categories by a wider margin in the second quarter compared to the first quarter. Applebee's reported strong comp sales growth of 5.7%, driven by improvement across each day part and every single region across the United States. These underscores the affinity that our guests have nationwide for Applebee's, the leader in its category for the last 10 consecutive years. The brand's performance was also supported by sharp increase in second quarter to-go comp sales, which was primarily driven by traffic. Additionally, IHOP posted a 0.7% increase in comp sales, attributable to continued solid performance from the brand's off-premise business and positive comp sales across all but one region. Also, the lunch and dinner day parts experienced a significant lift in both sales and traffic immediately following the very successful launch on June 11 of IHOP's all-new Ultimate Steakburgers platform. I'd like to point out that each brand's strong off-premise business is highly incremental and a direct result of several enhancements made over the last year. This include upgrading our guest-facing technology, improvements to our websites and developing to-go packaging to ensure that our food is easily portable and remains warm. John and Darren will provide you with more details on the specific performance drivers of their respective brands a little later. Our broad-based growth plans to drive sustainable positive performance have gained solid traction. While we are pleased with the results, we know that there is more work ahead of us as we execute on several initiatives and improve our strong adjusted free cash flow profile. Turning briefly to Applebee's franchisees financial health. We are also very pleased with the overall condition of the system. We are currently working on solutions for the remaining franchisees that need assistance and expect to have this result within the next couple of months. Please note that we will not comment on individual franchisees. Now as part of the resolution process, we do have the ability to selectively take back and manage restaurants on an interim basis until these units are re-franchised. By doing so, we often see opportunities to deliver attractive returns and improve unit level performance. Due to the improvement in both the health of our Applebee's franchisees and the impressive growth in comp sales, we believe that the issues related to the collectibility of advertising and royalty fees have been largely resolved. With that, I'm going to turn the call over to Tom and discuss the financial results. Tom?

Thomas Song

Analyst

Thank you, Steve. Good morning, everyone. Let me start by saying that I'm very pleased to join the Dine Executive team during. Since joining the company two months ago, I've become even more impressed with the talented team and capabilities that we have for our guests and franchisees. I'd like to also thank my colleagues here at Dine for the warm welcome I've received. With that, I'll begin with a summary of our results for the second quarter of 2018. Adjusted EPS was $1.03 compared to $1.34 for the second quarter of 2017. The decline was primarily due to a decrease in gross profit for franchise operations as a result of our previously announced special contribution totaling approximately $16.5 million to the Applebee's national advertising fund for the quarter. This represents $12.2 million after taxes or $0.69 per share. This decrease was partially offset by IHOP restaurant development and openings over the past 12 months, an improvement in both brands' domestic same-restaurant sales. Year-to-date through June 30, we have completed the special $30 million contribution to the Applebee's national advertising fund, which was $22 million after tax or $1.25 per share. I've seen significant improvement in the brand's performance. To provide some color on franchise operations, IHOP's same-restaurant sales of 0.7% for the second quarter of 2018 is in line with our range of guidance for the whole year. Applebee's same-restaurant sales of 5.7% for the second quarter of 2018 far exceeds the range of guidance previously provided for the whole year. I will provide an update on our guidance a bit later. Total revenues were approximately $184 million for the second quarter of 2018 compared to approximately $189 million for the same quarter a year ago. The decrease was primarily due to the refranchising of nine IHOP company-operated restaurants…

John Cywinski

Analyst

Thanks, Tom, and good morning, everyone. We are certainly pleased with our progress in Applebee's as we've now posted three consecutive quarters of growth, including 26 consecutive weeks of positive comp sales here in '18. Q2 comps were up 5.7% with virtually all of this growth coming from traffic. For context, our year-to-date 4.5% comp sales growth represents an 1,160 basis point swing from a year ago. Collectively, these past three quarters represent the best sustained performance Applebee's has delivered in more than a decade, and we're clearly stealing share from competitors as we've consistently outperformed casual dining, fast casual, family dining and QSR on both traffic and sales. Now to put this in proper perspective, for the first six months of this year, according to Black Box, Applebee's has outperformed the casual dining category, excluding Applebee's, by 465 basis points on comp sales and 685 basis points on comp traffic. So it's certainly apparent to me and our franchisees that America has rediscovered its love for Applebee's. While still early, we plan to build upon this momentum one guest, one step, one quarter at a time. As I've stated on prior calls, our momentum is the result of a multidimensional growth strategy that we put in place this past year. It starts with our franchisee partners and their restaurants. We remain fixated on our guests and team members with restaurant excellence as our top priority. Guest satisfaction continues to improve, while system variability on all operating metrics continues to narrow. Now having operations, marketing and culinary leadership with a keen understanding of ops complexity and simplification is a real brand strength. We simply don't introduce initiatives, our restaurant GMs and team members can't execute with a high degree of proficiency and confidence. Importantly, our franchisee collaboration and partnership is…

Darren Rebelez

Analyst

Thank you, John. Good morning, everyone. IHOP's second quarter sales increased 0.7%, marking our second consecutive quarter of positive comp sales growth. This stands in stark contrast in the family dining category, which saw a 1% decline in second quarter comp sales according to Black Box data. We're currently executing on a multipronged strategy to drive sustainable positive sales and traffic, and we're pleased with the year-to-date comp sales results. Based on our projections for the year, we're raising our expectations for comp sales to range between positive 0.5% and positive 2%. Regarding the second quarter, the improvement in comp sales was mainly driven by stronger sales across the lunch and dinner day parts, solid growth in our off-premise business and the positive impact from the initial leap of the highly anticipated launch of our all-new Ultimate Steakburgers lineup. Although the launch occurred during the last three weeks of the quarter, it had a significant positive effect on sales and traffic, particularly during the dinner day part. Guests were excited about the launch, which garnered a significant amount of national media attention and created quite a buzz. I'll discuss this in more detail shortly. The current momentum we are experiencing with the brand is the result of our continued execution and focus against our four strategic imperatives: significantly enhancing the guest experience, running great restaurants, driving traffic to those restaurants and being where the guest is. I'll begin my comments with significantly enhancing the guest experience. A key part of our strategy is significantly enhancing the guest experience through IHOP's Rise N' Shine remodel program. All franchisees completed 58 remodels in the second quarter, and we expect to have approximately 275 completed this year. Since the inception of the Rise N' Shine remodel program, over 720 restaurants have been remodeled,…

Stephen Joyce

Analyst

Thanks, Darren. To wrap up, we have taken several strategic steps to build a solid platform for sustainable long-term growth. These include investments in our brands across technology, advertising, talent, operations, development of incremental revenue channels and international expansion. We remain focused on taking share from the competition while driving top line growth and margin expansion for our franchisees over the long term. Now we're happy to take any questions you might have. Operator?

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. And our first question comes from Brian Vaccaro from Raymond James.

Brian Vaccaro

Analyst

[Indiscernible] with the Applebee's comps and then wondering if you can provide more color on the monthly cadence you saw and how some of the promotions performed. Any color or quantification on the alcohol promotions maybe compared to Q1 and also on the food side, how the two for $20 after adding steak is doing and also the grill combos? Any color on that would be great.

Stephen Joyce

Analyst

So Brian, this is Steve. Good morning. We're actually very pleased with the way both are going. John, why don't you give them some specifics?

John Cywinski

Analyst

Yes, Brian. We'll resist providing any sequential data on a monthly basis, but both the culinary promotional programs and the beverage programs are performing well. They're accomplishing our objectives. In particular, in this quarter, we had a combination of some impressive to-go results as a result of some overt to-go messaging and marketing; bigger, bolder combos; and two for $20 steak, which very much resonated with our guests, in particular, around the steak proposition. And without providing any color or commentary, you know we're currently on air with all-you-can riblets and tenders, which is a revisit of the very successful program that kickstarted the year for us. So very pleased as are our franchisees.

Stephen Joyce

Analyst

I guess the -- yes, so I think the other thing just to add is while we had a very strong quarter, that momentum has carried into July.

Brian Vaccaro

Analyst

All right. And that's a great segue into the next question, I guess. Would you be willing to even directionally say how the Applebee's and IHOP comps look quarter-to-date, given the riblets -- return to riblets at Applebee's and obviously some of the comments by Darren as well?

Stephen Joyce

Analyst

I would be happy to and I'm going to say the same thing I said before, the momentum that we built has continued through July.

Brian Vaccaro

Analyst

Fair enough. Shifting gears just to the Applebee's segment profit and the royalty collections piece, I think in the first quarter you said it was $2 million of sort of net uncollected royalties, net of the bad debt recoveries. It looks like it was basically back to full collection to this quarter, including a year-on-year decline in the bad debt expense. But could you just speak to what your expectation is for the back half of the year as it relates to royalty collections and then movement in bad debt or maybe speak specifically to franchise expense at the Applebee's segment?

Stephen Joyce

Analyst

Yes, let me start kind of at an overall level, and then I'll have Tom get into the detail. So the great news is on the royalty side, we're getting paid by everybody, so that's a big change from where we were a year ago. So that's very exciting. And the other as we get into the detail of where we are continuing to work, the other great news is we have a path to a solution. Now the agreements are in varying stages, but we have a path to solution for the two remaining franchisees that we're still working to actually paper an agreement. But we have a solution that will work for everybody, and so we're pretty confident that we can execute those over the next couple of months. And so that's all a very strong story. Obviously, the strong comp sales have led to strong profit increases, which has led to strong increases in the overall health of the entire system. It's obviously -- it's mixed in some places depending on what the franchisee's condition was as we turned into this. So from an overall perspective, we're actually a little ahead of where we thought we would be, which is a great fix. So Tom, do you want to give a little detail?

Thomas Song

Analyst

Yes, let me go through some of the numbers here for you, Brian. So in the second quarter, bad debt expense came down by almost $2 million to just under $1 million compared to the second period of 2017. Year-to-date, the bad debt figure decreased by $6.7 million compared to first couple of quarters of 2017. So I know on the last call we indicated that for the year, we're going to probably land around $9 million. That's going to tone down probably closer to $7 million for the year.

Brian Vaccaro

Analyst

Okay, that's helpful. And then one last one on the Applebee's franchisee health. I noticed in the Q, I think you disclosed there has been $14 million in loans that you extended to franchisees. Can you just provide some more color on those loans? And how from an accounting perspective that's impacting Applebee's franchise segment income?

Stephen Joyce

Analyst

Well, so the way to think about those loans is they are the extension of some past due receivables into longer-term notes that give the franchisees some breathing room to pay them. So the great news is in all those cases, we were not writing off any of the receivables. And then in terms of -- can you give a little more detail on it, Tom?

Thomas Song

Analyst

Yes, and I think I kind of indicated with respect to our update on free cash flow guidance, that we're starting to bring in some of those loans. They're trying to get paid back so again some favorable signs there.

Brian Vaccaro

Analyst

So that's breathing room on previously uncollected royalties and on current sales, the royalty flow is current and so we shouldn't see those loans grow meaningfully from here. Is that a correct interpretation?

Thomas Song

Analyst

Yes, with the exception of -- we still have two franchisees that we're working through. There could be some additional loans from that, but they will be simply that. They will be rolling up previous to amounts into receivables. And so you may see some more of that depending on -- and I'd want to get to the specifics of solutions for both. But then for all intents and purposes, we would be done.

Operator

Operator

We have no further questions at this time.

Stephen Joyce

Analyst

Okay. So thank you again for your time today. We're scheduled to report results for the third quarter on October 31. We look forward to speaking with you again and soon, and thanks for your interest in Dine Brands.

Operator

Operator

Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. This concludes today's conference. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.