William M. Cook - Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer
Analyst · Kevin Maczka with BB&T Capital Markets
Thanks Tom and good morning all. As you may know, we have two reporting segments Engine and Industrial; and what I'd like to do next is give you a few of their respective highlights from the quarter. So starting first with our Engine segment in Europe; our European engine OEM business declined by 2% local currency. Sales to our European customers and manufacture agricultural equipment remained healthy; however the markets for our customers' new trucks and construction equipment were weak. Now switching to Asia; our Asian engine businesses were up combined 6% in local currency. Both our OEM offered equipment and aftermarket businesses had strong first quarters up 5% and 9% respectively. And in NAFTA, our engine business was up 8%. Within our off-road equipment business, a particular note were our sales for military applications, which were up on continued strong demand particularly for filters for the new MRAP vehicles and replacement filters for existing military equipment in the field especially for the Blackhawk Helicopters. Sales to our customers for their production of large Ag and mining equipment also remained good, while demand for small off-road equipment remained weak due primarily to the continued weak residential construction end market. In our NAFTA engine after market business, sales were up 10% in the quarter as demand remained strong for large off-road equipment replacement filters as well as our retrofit emission control devices. And finally our NAFTA heavy and medium duty truck business, sales declined 17%, while Class A truck builds at our customers were up 7% in the quarter the medium duty build rates dropped 31%. Now, I am going to switch to the other part of our company, the Industrial segment; and within that, our Industrial Filtration Solutions business had a good quarter up 13% local currency. Europe was up 8% as we continued to see solid demand for our products in both Western and Central Europe. Asia was up 25% with strong sales of both industrial dust collection equipment and compressed air filtration products throughout the region. Our NAFTA sales were up 13% as a result of good demand for both new dust collection equipment as well as replacement filters. In addition, last years acquisition of LMC West contributed about 2% of the 13% sales increase in NAFTA. Our global gas turbine business had another extremely strong quarter with sales of $60 million, which represented a 22% increase over last year. Both continued to be good in both the power generation and oil and gas end markets. And finally, our global special application business sales were up 2% in local currency. Sales of our disk drive filters declined slightly, but these were offset by strong sales growth from our PTFE membrane filtration products. So, now switching to a talk a little bit more about our outlook and we provided, as Tom mentioned, updated guidance for fiscal 09 in our press release yesterday. So, the following are some summary thoughts. As everyone is aware, global economic conditions have changed since we provided our initial guidance in early September. As a result, in local currency or at constant exchange rates, we are now expecting low single digit growth of full year sales growth in both engine and industrial segments. The good news is that we continue to expect that many of our businesses will deliver unit volume growth this year despite the current recessions in the U.S., Europe and Japan. However, given the recent rebound in the strength of U.S. dollar, which is up 14% versus the euro since August, and as Tom mentioned, we are now expecting a significant headwind from foreign currency translation. This will offset our local currency or unit volume sales growth and result in our overall company sales to be flat or slightly down. Bottom line: we now expect our full year fiscal 09 sales to be between $2.15 billion and $2.23 billion. Continuing with our outlook and I'll talk about our engine business first. The end markets for aerospace defense and larger off-road equipment remain good. Recent forecasts from our customers indicate that both heavy construction in mining equipments rates, production rates should remain solid. And our customers that produce agricultural equipment continue to expect growth in the sales of larger tractors and combines. We should also benefit from the recent acquisition of Western Filter. Western brings us extensive liquid filtration capabilities and customers in the military and aerospace markets that we already served with our air filtration products. Within our transportation or truck business, we expect NAFTA Class A truck builds to remain flat through the remainder of our fiscal year as we no longer expect to pre-buy in advance of the 2010 diesel emission regulations. We also expect NAFTA to classify the seven build rates to be lower than last year. Finally, we are expecting new truck build rates to decline at least 10% in both Europe and Japan. Now, engine after market, we expect our sales to grow as we focus on a continuing to develop new geographic markets and create proprietary replacement opportunities. Now switching to the outlook for our Industrial segment; within our IFS business, which includes our industrial dust collectors and compressed air filters. While our visibility is typically weeks versus months, we do expect that our recent strong shipment patterns should continue for a while. In addition, we believe that we will benefit from the demand from our newly introduced products. As a result, we expect low single digits sales growth in local currency in fiscal 09. In our global gas turbine business, we have good visibility of our shipments over the next few quarters. We expect our full year local currency growth rate to be in low single digits. The industry is still expecting demand for turbines to continue growing at least through the balance of our fiscal year. And finally, we expect our global special application business to be flat in local currency. We are expecting continued growth in our PTFE membrane products to offset lower disk drive filter sales. Now, I'll give you a brief update on two of our major growth initiatives, and the first is PowerCore. We continue to be very successful with this breakthrough air filtration technology. Our sales... our engine PowerCore sales were up 25% in the quarter to $16 million as first fit sales grew 21% and replacement filter sales grew 27%. I'm also very happy to report on the progress of our PowerCore Generation2 or Gen2. Gen2 allows us to further reduce the system size or enhance the system performance for our customers. We have already one 10 platforms, five on road and five off-road with our Gen2 technology. Combination of PowerCore and our other proprietary filtration solutions have allowed us to be very successful in winning air intake programs for the upcoming on and off-road diesel emission regulations in the U.S. and Europe. For these upcoming programs, we have won over 90% of the programs awarded to-date by the big seven OEMs and there are still many other new programs in play with these and other major OEM customers. On the industrial side of our business, we introduced PowerCore and our Torit dust collectors. These new dust collectors are 50% smaller than the Baghouse collectors they compete with. Since we launched Torit, PowerCore up this past spring, we've already received orders for 125 systems and shipped 90. What do these breakthrough technologies like PowerCore mean for Donaldson? Remember, our strategy is to provide the most compelling filtration solutions for our customers both in terms of technology and value. This strategy is working and we will grow our global OEM market share as these systems are installed over the coming years. Furthermore, we will also grow our market share in the replacement filter market as the ultimate owners of this equipment in the field will come back to our customers and us for the replacement filters. Second growth initiative I'd like to give you an update on is our expansion projects. As Tom mentioned, we now expect to spend between $60 million and $70 million on CapEx given the uncertain economic climate we have prioritized these projects to focus on those with the best and quickest paybacks. So, these investments are focused on two areas; first: supporting numerous process improvement and cost reduction projects around the world; and second: selective manufacturing capacity expansions to support our continued long-term growth and local customer support plans. But there are three of those that I would like to give you an update on; first is in Brazil. And our air filtration manufacturing line is complete there, and we will begin production now for customers in Brazil. Second is we have continued to expand our existing air filtration plant in India. This should be completed by the end of our fiscal year. This represents essentially a tripling of our current facility and is necessary to support the continued growth of our customers in India. And finally, the expansion of our disk drive filter plant in Thailand is proceeding on schedule, and we expect to have that additional cleaner of manufacturing capacity available on the next few months. Now, before I open the call up to your questions. I'd like to offer a few closing summary comments. Some of you have followed Donaldson for many years and may still remember the Donaldson of the 1980s. It was a great company, but very cyclical as it was mostly focused on a handful of end markets and mostly in the U.S. Our focus over the past two plus decades has been growing our company by diversifying it into a variety of filtration end markets around the world. I believe that you can see the results of our efforts over the past 20 years and our first quarter numbers. In the first quarter, 56% of our sales were outside of NAFTA, 43% were on replacement products and 46% was in our industrial business. Some have speculated that the current economic crisis could be as bad as twin recessions of the early 1980s. If it is, the Donaldson Company will have to deal with it significantly different and much stronger than the Donaldson of 1980. The essence of our business model has been our relentless focus to have both extensive geographic and end market diversification. Overtime, our diversification has reduced the negative impact of any one end market cycle and allows us the opportunity through effective execution to serve our customers and deliver consistent financial results for our shareholders. So, what are we doing today? So although we had a good first quarter with 9% revenue growth, a 12% operating margin and EPS up 13%, we have been very focused on proactively managing our business in order to protect our customers, our employee base, and our shareholders. We have taken a number of difficult, but very necessary steps to prepare ourselves in the event that our business conditions dramatically deteriorate. I mentioned that few of these actions earlier in our call. We can't forecast what is going to happen in the global economy of the balance of our fiscal year. But I can tell you that, we have been through other downturns and we are using our lessons learnt to... we will use our lessons learnt to successfully get though this downturn as we have in the past. We are focusing on numerous products and process cost reduction activities and our plans in our sales and administrative operations in order to reduce our costs, protect our margins, and the consistency of our financials. We know how to do this work and as a result of our plans and efforts we expect to deliver an operating margin that exceeds our long-term target of 11%. So, I hope what is evident to you in both our first quarter results and our outlook, is a many strengths of the business model we've developed over the past 20 plus years. The bottom line is we have our sight set on delivering our 20th consecutive earnings record with our EPS guidance for this year of between $2.16 and $2.36 per share. Brandy, that concludes our prepared remarks. Now we'd like to open up to the questions. Question And Answer