William M. Cook - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Analyst · Longbow Securities. Please go ahead
Thanks Tom, and good morning everyone. In the next few minutes and before we open the call up to your questions, I'd like to cover three topics. First, I'll talk a little bit about our fourth quarter highlights, then our outlook for fiscal '09 and then I'll give you an update on two of our growth initiatives. So starting first with our fourth quarter highlights, as Tom mentioned our sales growth was 16% and say that at constant exchange rates, it was 9%. Looking at our fourth quarter sales by region and in local currencies, sales were up 9% in NAFTA, 8% in both Europe and Asia-Pacific, and 19% in South Africa. As you may already know, we have two reporting segments; Engine and Industrial, which are lead by Jay Ward and Charlie McMurray respectively, and I'd like to give you some of their quarter highlights. But before I get started, please note that all of the fourth quarter sales numbers I will cover will be stated in local currency. So they exclude the positive impact of exchange rate movement, and therefore are more indicative of our real business conditions and strength. So starting first with our Engine segment in Europe, our European Engine business grew by 6%, due to good performances and our sales to off-road equipment OEMs as well as sales of replacement filters in the aftermarket. We attribute our off-road OEM growth of 7% during the quarter, to the combination of solid production rates of new equipment by our customers, as well as our own market share gains. Our European Engine aftermarket business grew by 7%, aftermarket growth in the European emerging markets has been as we've mentioned before, one of our key growth priorities. We continue to expand our distribution of sales coverage in the Eastern Europe, Russia and the Middle East. And during the past year, this emerging market initiative delivered a 20% year-over-year sales increase. Now switching to Asia, all of our engine businesses, OEM off-road, OEM on-road and the aftermarket had strong quarters up 24%, 14% and 8% respectively. Off-road equipment production by our customers is strong across Asia, as the heavy construction, mining and ag end markets there remain in the growth mode. Truck production picked up in Japan, leading to our sales increase there. And continued healthy economic activity generally throughout the Asia-Pacific region had demand for our replacement filters growing in the quarter. And now finally in NAFTA, our Engine business is up 3%, off-road equipment sales were up 9%, due primarily to a very strong performance by our aerospace and defense business unit. Their sales were up over 40% in the quarter, due to the combination of continued strong demand for filters for the new MRAP vehicles as well as replacement filters for the military equipment already in the field. In addition, sales by one of our newest acquisitions, AFS of our Retrofit Air Filtration Systems for the Blackhawk helicopters have been very good. On the other hand, our NAFTA transportation business was down 27% in the quarter. Heavy truck build rates that our customers appeared to have now stabilized, but medium and light duty build rates continue to decline. And in our NAFTA Engine aftermarket business, sales were up 8% in the quarter, a strong equipment utilization rates for larger off-road equipment that are used in heavy construction, mining and ag offset the weaker conditions in both the truck and smaller construction equipment related to the housing industry. Now I switch to the other part of our company, the Industrial Group to talk about some of their highlights. So within the Industrial Group, the sales for our Industrial Filtration Solutions business were up 10%, as all 3 major regions grew between 8% and 11%. In Europe, we saw solid demand for our IFS products in Western and Central Europe. Our NAFTA sales were strong for both new equipment and replacement filters. And in addition, our third quarter acquisition of LMC West contributed about 5% of the 11% sales increase in NAFTA during the quarter. Our Gas Turbine business had an extremely strong shipment quarter with sales reaching $60 million, which represented a 26% increase over the same quarter in the prior year. Growth has been good globally in both the power generation and oil and gas end markets we serve. And finally, our Special Applications business set... they closed out a record year with sales up... full year sales up 11%. The fourth quarter sales of our disk drive filters and membrane filtration products were up 2% over a very strong finish last year. Now I am going to switch gears and talk about our outlook for the New Year for fiscal '09. And as you can see in our press release, we have provided our initial guidance and that is for our company sales to be up between 9% and 11%. Please note that this includes the benefit of some pricing as Tom mentioned, but excludes the impact of any potential future acquisitions. It also assumes that exchange rates remain at current levels. So I'll start first with a general overall comment, we are expecting organic volume growth to be lower next year than the year we just ended, as general economic conditions are expected to be weaker in Europe. Now talking about each of the businesses, and starting first with engine. Our full year Engine business sales are forecasted to up between 10% and 12%. Within our Engine business, heavy construction and mining equipment production rates by our customers remain solid. However, production rates for smaller equipments used primarily in residential construction are expected to remain weak. We see our NAFTA truck-related business remaining at current levels through the first half of our fiscal year and then beginning to grow in the second half. It is expected that another pre-buy will begin during calendar 2009, in advance of the 2010 diesel emission regulations. And that the calendar 2009 build rates will increase by 30% to 35% over 2008. However, the exact timing of this projected improvement is difficult to gauge at this time. Our customers ag equipment production rates is expected to remain strong, as the latest reports forecast both U.S. crop prices and farmers' incomes to be up, which is a positive sign for the ag equipment market. And finally, in the Engine business, we expect our aftermarket filter sales to grow, as we continue to create proprietary replacement opportunities for ourselves, and as we focus on developing new markets internationally. Now switching to the fiscal '09 outlook for our Industrial segment, in our Industrial business overall, we see full year sales growing at 8% to 10%. Within our IFS business, which includes our best collectors and compressed air filters, our order backlogs are good and suggest a strong start to the new year. In addition, we should benefit from market share gains from our new line of recently introduced PowerCore dust collectors. As a result, we expect sales growth of 8% to 12% in fiscal 2009. In our gas turbine business, we have good visibility for shipments over the next few quarters. We expect our full year sales growth rate to be in the 5% to 10% as there are now some industry capacity constraints. We still expect that demand for gas turbines and our filter systems will continue to grow through 2011. And finally, we expect our special application business to be up 5% to 10% in fiscal 2009. This is expected to be led by continued growth in our PTFE membrane filtration products business. Now, let me give you an update on two of our major growth initiatives, and the first is PowerCore. We talked about this for quite a while and we continue to be very successful with this breakthrough air filtration technology. Our engine-related PowerCore sales were up 56% in the quarter to $19 million, as first fit [ph] sales grew 26% and replacement filter sales grew 76%. And as you may have seen, earlier this year, we raised the bar again with the introduction of our PowerCore Generation2 or Gen2. PowerCore Gen2 allows us to further reduce the system size or enhance the system performance, which is critically important for our customers, given the new engine technologies and their vehicle space and weight constraints. We have already won 10 platforms, five on-road and five off with Gen2. And 70% of the platforms we currently have in either the proposal or development stage are with our new Gen2 technology. In the gas turbine we are continuing to market... the market introduction of our PowerCore technology. Since introduction, we shipped 32 systems and have orders for an additional two systems already in hand for fiscal '09. And finally, as I mentioned a minute ago, we've now introduced a new line of dust collectors in our IFS business, these new products also use our PowerCore technology, and allow us to deliver a system that is 50% smaller than the traditional baghouse system it replaces. We introduced this product this spring and have been very pleased with this strong initial market acceptance. The other growth initiative I want to cover is our expansion projects and as Tom mentioned, we expect the CapEx to be between $70 million and $80 million in fiscal 2009. In addition to supporting numerous process improvement and cost reduction projects, we have a number of major expansion projects underway to support our continued growth. We recently finished our major expansion of our existing engineer filter plant in Klasterec in the Czech Republic. We are nearing completion of the start up of our air filtration manufacturing line in Brazil. And we should... that should be a production later this fall. In India, we're expanding our existing filtration plant. This expansion essentially represents the tripling of the current facility and is necessary to support the continued growth of our customers in India. And finally, the expansion of our disk drive filter plant in Rayong, Thailand is proceeding on schedule. And we expect to have additional manufacturing capacity available later this year. Now before we open the call up to your questions, I'd like to offer a few summary comments. I hope what has happened into our fiscal '08 results is the strength of the business model we have pursued over the past 20 plus years. The essence of this business model is our relentless focus on growing our company through extensive geographic and end market diversification. We have determined that this diversification has reduced the negative impact of any one end market or regional economic cycle. It allows us the opportunity combined with effective execution to do two things. The first is obviously to serve our customers. The second is to continue to deliver record financial results for our shareholders. Looking forward, we will continue to grow and further diversify it within our targeted filter markets. We expect that the combination of our diversified portfolio of filtration businesses combined with our effective execution will allow us to deliver yet another record year of sales and earnings in fiscal '09. As Tom mentioned, our EPS guidance for fiscal '09 is between $2.30 and $2.40 per share, which is both a new record and up between 8% and 13% over the year we just completed. Achieving this will result in our 20th consecutive earnings record. That is our target. And finally, before we move to Q&A, I would like to remind you that we will be at the New York Stock Exchange tomorrow to do two things. The first is to host an analyst day and the second is to ring the closing bell to celebrate achieving our first $2 billon year in revenues. Our analyst day will be webcast on the Investors page of our website. We will also provide a link on that page to view the bell ringing ceremony. Regarding that ceremony, earlier this year, we decided to have some fun with this impending milestone and we created a guess the date we hit $2 billion in sales event. Approximately 6000 of our fellow employees around the world submitted guesses. Kim Webster is one of our 150 employees who guessed the correct date, which was June 30th. Kim is a senior buyer from our Leicester, UK plant and with his wife, Deborah he will represent our company and our achievement by ringing the closing bell tomorrow afternoon. Please tune into see it. Nicole, that concludes our prepared remarks. Now I'd like to open up it up to the questions. Question And Answer