Randall Stuewe
Analyst · Goldman Sachs
Yes, I mean, clearly, as the team on the call here starts to analyze and you guys do a really nice job of trying to model the business. It's a simple business with volume, finished product price and energy. But then there's a ton of moving parts underneath each one of those metrics. And under the volume side, the weather -- remember, deadstock, there's 2 things attached to it. One, you charge somebody to haul away the animal and two, it's not tied to any formula pricing so there's no profit-sharing in most cases on that. So that stuff falls straight to the bottom line. And given where protein and fat prices are, deadstock's very profitable. The tonnage wasn't there. So that's probably the biggest key. Our packers on the beef side ran as expected, a few Saturdays that they didn't run or most Saturdays they didn't run given the high price of cattle, that's an all formula business. And the same with the poultry side, very few Saturdays there, but it's been that way for quite a while. The big uptick that we get in the poultry side when we're running is the pet grade products that we make out of that and the ingredients for the pet food industry. That business was fairly steady. Those prices both never really reacted down nor did they react up here during first quarter. So the poultry side was steady. The beef packer side was fairly steady. And then, it was the earnings impact was mostly attributable to the deadstock side. Also point out to remember a lower portion of, in the rendering segment, is the used cooking oil side, Lindsay, and that volume was off more than we'd anticipated, both year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter. And with that, not being on formula, and remember that the prices came off in yellow grease pretty dramatically. That hit the bottom line. That's the one that will highly be offset or have the best counter hedge in Diamond Green Diesel. The other piece that I would add to help connect the dots here is that our export plants in LA, Tacoma, San Francisco, Newark, Tampa, New Orleans, Houston -- when Europe had its issues on biofuels, meaning they kept changing their rules on double counting and really, the regulatory arbitrage that was going on, it all but shut off yellow grease exports out of this country. And that was really felt in first quarter here. So all the coastal plants that by their location and position get those premiums for just being in export position built inventories. Thus, you saw on the balance sheet, you saw that the growth there of inventories, which is related to -- while it wasn't obvious to some, it should be because volumes grew substantially while price went down. So the dollars look like they were relatively unchanged, but the volumes are in-store right now and being moved out of position now back at a higher price.