Kevin Hammons
Analyst · Jefferies. Please go ahead
Thank you, Tim, and good morning, everyone. As Tim mentioned, we saw meaningful volume recovery and expense management in the fourth quarter and as expected, achieved our highest volume and earnings performance of the year. While lower acuity of inpatient admissions and payer mix changes pressured our top line, the improvements we made in length of stay and contract labor and our management of non-labor expenses below inflation contributed thus having our best EBITDA quarter of the year, excluding pandemic relief funds. Additionally, sequential improvements in same-store net revenue, key volume metrics and EBITDA bode well for us as we begin 2023. In the quarter, we also continued to take advantage of opportunities to improve our capital structure by reducing our debt, while maintaining adequate liquidity. Moving to fourth quarter results. Net operating revenues came in at $3.142 billion on a consolidated basis. On a same-store basis, net revenue was down 1.3%, compared to the fourth quarter of 2021. This was the net result of an 8.2% increase in adjusted admissions and an 8.7% decrease in net revenue per adjusted admission, which as I mentioned, was pressured by lower acuity inpatient admissions and changes in payer mix, primarily attributable to the Delta wave of COVID experienced during the fourth quarter of 2021, during which we saw a proportionately higher percentage of commercially insured COVID patients during that surge. Adjusted EBITDA was $404 million. During the fourth quarter, we recorded $2 million of pandemic relief funds, compared to $46 million recognized in the prior year period. Excluding pandemic relief funds, adjusted EBITDA was 402 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 12.8%. As a reminder, we did not include any pandemic relief funds in our 2022 adjusted EBITDA guidance. And going forward, we do not expect to receive or recognize a significant amount of pandemic relief funds from the government. With regard to expenses, on the labor expense side, combined salaries, wages and benefits and contract labor expense improved on a year-over-year basis by approximately $40 million and improved approximately $13 million sequentially. Specifically related to employee costs, we experienced an increase of 4.5% in our average hourly rate for employees on a year-over-year basis. On a sequential basis, base pay inflation grew at approximately 1.5%. On contract labor expense, we continued our sequential improvement, as well as making significant progress over the prior year. During the fourth quarter of 2022, contract labor was approximately $80 million, compared to $140 million in the prior year quarter. On a sequential basis, in 2022, our contract labor was $190 million in the first quarter, $150 million in the second quarter, $100 million in the third quarter, and $80 million in the fourth quarter. We anticipate continued progress reducing our contract labor throughout 2023, albeit at a slower pace. We have effectively executed several cost reduction initiatives and thus, non-labor expenses continue to trend below inflation. Overall, we experienced a moderate increase of approximately 3% over the prior year, despite a $30 million increase in medical specialist fees, a $40 million increase in malpractice insurance, and $8 million related to Hurricane Ian. All other increases and decreases in non-labor expenses netted to a reduction of approximately $40 million. We've been able to keep the growth of these costs well below inflationary levels due to the commitment and discipline of our employees to execute on our margin improvement program. Turning to cash flows. Cash flows provided by operations were $300 million for 2022, compared to cash used in operations of $131 million for 2021. Excluding the repaid Medicare accelerated payments in 2021, cash flows provided by operations were $950 million for 2021. The timing of certain cash payments prior to year-end and a few expected cash receipts, which did not arrive prior to year-end, impacted our cash flows from operations for the year ended 2022. We expect these cash inflows to now come in during 2023. Also, due to the timing of certain payments in 2022 that normalize next year, we expect our working capital to improve in 2023. Moving on to CapEx. Full-year 2022 CapEx was $415 million, compared to $469 million in the prior year and was in-line with our expectations. As we mentioned on last quarter's call, we effectively adjusted our pace of spending on capital expenditures to reflect the operating environment without materially slowing our growth opportunity. We continue to improve our capital structure through a combination of privately negotiated transactions and open market repurchases. In the fourth quarter, we repurchased $378 million of debt with $171 million of cash, capturing $193 million of discount. As we look to the full-year of 2022, we took advantage of market conditions in the early part of the year, while interest rates were favorable by refinancing and extending $1.5 million of debt maturities, lowering our interest rate from [6.25% to 5.25%] [ph]. And in the second half of the year, we repurchased a total of $645 million of debt for an aggregate cost of $345 million of cash, capturing $300 million of discount. These transactions combined lower our cash interest on an annualized basis by over $58 million. The company's net debt-to-EBITDA is currently 7.9x, due mostly to the lower EBITDA attributed to the current operating environment. As we manage through this environment, we remain focused on our longer-term goals of lowering our leverage and increasing our free cash flow. Although we use more of our cash in order to repurchase debt and we experienced lower free cash flows than we anticipated, we retained $118 million of cash on the balance sheet at the end of the fourth quarter and we still have the availability of substantially all of our ABL with $852 million of borrowing base capacity. As a reminder, we have no debt maturities until 2026. As we previously mentioned, we continue to have interest from outside parties related to potential divestitures, and we are also assessing opportunities to add to our portfolio. As these opportunities emerge, we analyze the future growth and earnings profile of specific assets and assess the impact potential transactions would have on our future financial leverage and free cash flow generation. During the quarter, we received $85 million of cash proceeds for the sale of one facility in West Virginia, which closed on January 1, 2023. And we also signed an agreement to sell our last remaining facility in West Virginia, which we expect to close on March 31, 2023. We remain engaged in continuing discussions about other potential transactions. We believe these transactions, if they come to fruition, will provide opportunities to further pay down debt, as well as allow opportunities to reinvest resources to areas of our portfolio to advance their long-term growth in earnings. Now, I will walk through our full-year 2023 guidance. Net operating revenues are anticipated to be $12.2 billion to $12.6 billion. This represents a 4% to 6% growth in same-store net revenue. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be $1.475 billion to $1.625 billion. Net loss per share diluted is anticipated to be a $0.65 loss to a $0.05 loss per share based on weighted average diluted shares outstanding of 130 million to 131 million shares. Cash flow from operations are anticipated to be $675 million to $825 million. CapEx is expected to be $450 million to $500 million and cash interest is expected to be $760 million to $780 million. In summary, we are optimistic about 2023. We expect to accelerate our growth initiatives, strengthen our workforce in advanced safety and quality, while leveraging expense management to drive positive financial results and free cash flow. We remain committed to our objectives, which are designed to position the company for long-term and sustainable success and are focused on the opportunities, which lie ahead for us. Shelly, at this point, I'll turn the call back over to you.