W. Larry Cash
Analyst · UBS
Thank you, Wayne. As Wayne has mentioned, our consolidated results are that of CHS and HMA acquisition effective January 27, 2014. Our historical first quarter 2013 financial results include only the historical CHS reported results. Our same-store statistical information includes legacy CHS for all months and includes HMA for February 1 forward for both 2013 and '14. We believe our same-store information is more meaningful to compare this way. I'll predominantly discuss same-store results since that would be the most meaningful use of statistics, unless stated otherwise. The same-store numbers for 2014 reflects the synergies discussed after the deal was completed. All comparisons will be the first quarter 2014, unless otherwise stated. Of course, the information we discuss excludes the litigation and merger cost of the HMA transaction, approximately $53 million, the majority of which were banker fees and severance payments related to the HMA transaction; the impairment along with assets for approximately $24 million; and the amortization of software to be abandoned at approximate $42 million, the write-off of [indiscernible] approximately $73 million in legal fees associated with HMA government litigation related to the contingent value of rights of approximate $3 million. The impairment and decelerated amortization of software to be abandoned relates to a corporate integrated decision to replace selected CHS legacy IT systems with Cerner that CHS began to use in 2013. This accounting transaction does not relate to the HMA IT system. First like to discuss the impact of the weather. The weather effect will vary among company spatial and geographic locations. We've used various methods to estimate our loss volumes, net revenue and adjusted EBITDA on all our hospitals and physician practices. We have estimated we've lost approximately 2,600 admissions and 6,000 adjusted admissions. This equates to our estimates of approximately $58 million of revenue, $28 million of estimated lost adjusted EBITDA, and a $0.14 estimated negative impact on our adjusted diluted earnings per share from continuing operations. We need to also point out in addition to the 3 hospitals previously mentioned in discontinued operations, we've included a few smaller hospitals and reclassified Midwest City, Oklahoma back to continuing operations. The total impact on the quarter net revenue for all the facilities in discontinued operations was approximately $70 million in revenue. Our consolidated net revenue of $4.2 billion was reduced by the weather and current continued -- discontinued operations. Same-store net operating revenues declined 4%, and this resulted in the following volume declines. On a same-store admissions declined approximately 8.1% or approximately 18,000 admissions, as a result of approximately 6,100 fewer admissions from lower volumes related to flu and other respiratory cases as last year's first quarter had very strong volumes due to the January and February flu season; approximately 5,000 fewer admissions and short stays including the effect of the 2-midnight rule; approximately 15% of the decline due to the weather impact that we previously discussed; and our readmissions declined 1,600 admissions. Various service closures also reduced admissions about 900. Same-store adjusted admissions declined 5.3% or approximately 2,400 adjusted admissions due to similar reasons. Total same-store self-pay adjusted admissions dropped 5,500 or about 15%, and now, there have been about 7.2% of adjusted admissions versus 8%. Our surgical cases declined 5.1% or approximately 1,400. We did lose surgical cases due to weather, or about 25% of our drop was due to the weather. We do believe we'll see some of the business return, for example, the surgeries that some of the purely medical business has never regained as patients recover from the illness without hospital treatment. The weather and lack of flu had a greater effect in the first 2 months of the quarter. We'd like to note that our adjusted admissions volume in March and April were within our annual guidance range. We've got a current annual guidance range of minus 4 to flat, reflecting lower volumes from the first quarter. We continue to see the shift to outpatient setting. Our same-store outpatient revenue now represents 55% of our total revenue compared to 53.5% in the first quarter of 2013. We continue to be pleased with pricing intensity as we saw our same-store net revenue per adjusted admission after bad debts increased approximately 1.4%, and our Medicare inpatient case actually increased 2.3%. On the expense front, salaries and benefits declined approximately $48 million or 2.4%, although as a percentage of net operating revenue, they increased 80 basis points. We were impacted on productivity due to the weather and on overhead payroll, we started downsizing an office in Naples. We'll continue to see improvements in this area as we continue to integrate our 2 organizations and further see synergies we have previously estimated. Supply expense decreased $30 million or 4.6%, and declined 10 basis points as a percentage of net operating revenue. We believe we should see continued improvements to this area we continue to increase our overall compliance in the group purchasing organization and through decreased pricing as it relates to CHS '14 facilities, which is our term for HMA. This is another area that we have estimated we'll be achieving synergies. Our cash flow from operations was $65 million compared to $57 million in first quarter. The following items impacted our cash flow from operations. We had the negative impact of the HMA integration cost, the legal fees of $56 million, HMA investment banking fees that were in payables and we paid for in this quarter, $33 million in other costs incurred by HMA, an accrual that we paid this quarter for legal and other transaction expenses of $18 million. Adding these items back, we'd have had a cash flow of $172 million. On CHS legacy, we had a buildup in AR of about $70 million due to some systems conversions and Medicaid supplemental programs in a couple of states. Also our Medicare Advantage receivables were up about $30 million, which we're working on bringing back down. Our CapEx was $181 million or 4.3% of revenue, which approximately $2 million is for replacement facilities. Now let's turn to the Affordable Care Act. As we said earlier, in a 3-year timeframe, we expect our self-pay adjusted admissions to decrease from approximately 8% to 4% in 2016. About approximately 55% of our self-pay population should be eligible for expanded Medicaid if all states expanded Medicaid according to the statistical data in our markets. We've estimated a 15% reduction in self-pay admissions in 2014. Historically, on an adjusted admissions basis, approximately 25% are expansion states, and 75% are non-expansion states. In the first quarter, same-store self-pay admissions as a percentage of total admissions in expansion states declined 140 basis points to 5.2%, and adjusted admissions declined 180 basis points to 5.3%. Medicaid admissions increased 250 basis points to 21.7%, and adjusted admissions increased 270 basis points to 23.3%. In expansion states, self-pay admissions decreased 1,050 or 28%, and adjusted admissions decreased 2,400 or 29%, while Medicaid admissions increased 460 admissions or 4% and adjusted admissions increased 1,800 or 8%. Self-pay emergency room department visits decreased 16% in expansion states, but did increase 1,600 in non-expansion states for a total overall decrease of about 2%. And in non-expansion states, both self-pay and Medicaid admissions as a percentage of total admissions and adjusted admissions remained relatively constant. Overall, on a combined basis, expansion and non-expansion states self-pay as a percentage of total admissions and adjusted admissions declined in the same proportion that Medicaid increased. We do treat medical pending as self-pay until we obtain Medicaid approval. We did see an increase in Medicaid pending in expansion states for about 35%, and about 10% in non-expansion states for CHS legacy hospitals. From the end of the year, June compared to March 2013, the increase in expansion states was 43%, and over the next few months, they should work their way to be approved as Medicaid. For about half our states, we've been monitoring Blue Cross patient visits with specific, its change identifications, and we saw about 4,800 patients. For these selected Blue Cross patients, approximately 41% were actual patients in 2013. Of those 4,100 about -- patients, about 38% were previously uninsured and 62% were previously insured. But about 59% of the 4,800 are all new patients that we did not see in 2013. Again, this is a limited test. We did not see -- we did see very good monthly sequential growth in our enrollment efforts here in the quarter, as each month of 2014 increased approximately 34% from the previous month. From an enrollment perspective, our internal eligibility screening service company at present 80 of our legacy hospitals experienced continued improvement in each of the months in 2014, much like the Federal Exchange number. We expect to grow our internal service coverage to at least 120 hospitals by the next enrollment period in the fall of 2014. We expect to see continued strength in Medicaid enrollment in expansion states during 2014, and some benefit from the woodwork effects. Our eligibility on-site representatives continue to look for opportunities to enroll self-pay individuals on its changes in 2014 if they've experienced a qualifying event outside of open enrollment. On Medicaid, we continue to have benefit from [indiscernible] currently eligible for Medicaid in 2014, often references to woodwork effect. We continue to monitor states presumption of eligibility programs for opportunities. Currently we're enrolled in these programs in Virginia, New Mexico and Alabama, and we are expecting at this time not to have any change in our 2014 health care reform guidance. We believe we have recognized, although on a roughly calculated basis, at least $10 million from the woodwork effect and Affordable Care Act for additional Medicaid business. We will work to refine this system throughout 2014. Now for guidance. We adjusted the upper end of our range downward as a result of the first quarter, the weather impact, the additional facilities including discontinued operations and the change in accounting estimate at HMA for 2013. We believe the total HITECH reimbursement should range from approximately $190 million to $250 million, which we believe the reimbursement in the second quarter should be a sequential increase of approximately 60% from the first quarter. We've gotten lots of questions about the long-term outlook for HITECH, meaning 2015 to 2017. We believe HITECH reimbursement and capitalized software and capitals will continue to be there and start winding down in 2017. But our 2015 and '16 incentives should be somewhere around $200 million, and the capital expenditures and capitalized software somewhere in the $225 million range. And in '17, the incentives and the capital expenditures is about $10 million each. Loss of this HITECH dollars, we believe, will be offset by improvements in productivity. The less convergence expenses we're incurring and the fuller benefits of the Affordable Care Act. Other items that we should call your attention are as follows: The share count in the second through fourth quarter will be larger due to the shares issued in late January that have outstanding for all 3 months of each of these quarters. We're not changing the guidance on our number but you will -- have around approximate average range of 115 million to 116 million shares in the last 3 quarters of 2014. Remember, the HITECH reimbursement has been achieved mostly in the second half of the year. Our synergies of $100 million will grow throughout the year and are not evenly distributed. Second quarter synergies are estimated to be approximately $25 million, the other 65% will come in the second half of the year. We still believe the Affordable Care Act rollout as the year progresses and will be much more of a second half improvement with probably approximately 75% being recognized in the second half the year. We filed an 8-K on April 8, 2014, which we included the reconciliation on the HMA adjusted EBITDA. Based on our work, we estimate the impact on 2013 EBITDA run rate is about $35 million, for a run rate of $725 million. The California provider tax that we received about $17 million in the second quarter 2013 will not be there in the second quarter of 2014. Although as we said on our last call, we'll receive about -- expect to receive $25 million for the California provider tax in the fourth quarter 2014. We've also included on Slide 18 a bridge for our adjusted EBITDA to our guidance. And Wayne will now provide a brief recap.