W. Larry Cash
Analyst · Morgan Stanley
Thank you, Wayne. First, the fourth quarter operating results for consolidated and same-store are identical, as all acquired hospitals are now considered same-store. Additionally, I will just disclose some consolidated operating results, excluding the $3.5 million reserves established for TRICARE and Medicaid in the fourth quarter and the $101.5 million reserve established for the government settlement to 2005, 2010 for short-stay admissions and other claims related to our Laredo, Texas, in TRICARE and Medicaid. We also excluded HMA-related acquisition expenses: for fourth quarter, about $8.8 million; and the year, $14.1 million. Our fourth quarter admissions decreased 10.5% compared to the same period last year. As previously reported, our small hospitals continue to experience lower volume, and our larger facilities' adjusted admissions decreased 6.7%. And the following specifics contributed to the lower admissions in the fourth quarter and represent about 80% of the decline: lack of flu, 29%; reduction in cardiology cases, primarily low intensity, 22%; service closures, weather and other, about 17%; lower readmissions, about 8%. Decline in admissions in women's services was 5%. We did have an effect on the 2-midnight rule, which was about a 60 basis points effect to the thirds quarter on Medicare. Excluding specifics, same-store admissions would've decreased 2% for the quarter. Net revenues in the fourth quarter decreased $3,277,000,000 last year to $3,231,000,000. Physician office conversions from paper records to electronic health medical records reduced physician practice net revenue by approximately $4 million in the fourth quarter; year-to-date, it's about $24 million. We had an unfavorable revenue adjustment of approximately $10 million for Indiana Medicaid supplemental programs and an approximately $5 million reduction for the 2-midnight rule. Additionally, a portion of the decline can be contributed to an 80 basis point increase in bad debt. For the fourth quarter, same-store net revenue per adjusted admission increased a strong 5.7% versus the same period in 2012. While same-store surgeries in fourth quarter declined 1.1%, we did see a significant increase in knee injury [ph] cases, representing higher-level acuity contributing to our same-store Medicare case mix, up 5.2% versus last year. Our all-payor case mix increased 3.1% in the fourth quarter. Our same-store Emergency Room visits decreased 5.7% against a tough comp in 2012, which had a very strong flu season. And the same-store ER business in the fourth quarter, up over 8%. Our consolidated EBITDA was $454 million for the fourth quarter versus $482 million the same period. The fall affected the fourth quarter, which was strike issues, which lowered EBITDA by $10 million. Supplementary Programs in Indiana represented $13 million unfavorable adjustment. The HR conversions affected EBITDA by $4 million, lower equity earnings reduced EBITDA by $3 million and Medicare -- two 2-midnight rule affected EBITDA by about $5 million. On a same-store basis, EBITDA was $458 million for the quarter. Consolidated operating expense as a percentage of net revenues increased 90 basis points in the fourth quarter due to an increase in salaries of about 30 basis points. Supply was 50 basis points; and net operating, 10 basis points. Sequentially, wages decreased 10 basis points compared to the third quarter. As I discussed in the revenue section, increase in supply expense was driven by the increase in orthopedic surgeries contributing to an increase of implant expense of about 40 basis points. There was also an increase in our cardiology-related supplies. The increase in other operating expenses was driven by an increase in Medicaid supplemental provider taxes, as well as some expenses associated with HMA and other acquisitions and the strike expense I've previously discussed. On a sequential basis, the quarter -- fourth quarter 2013 versus third quarter 2013, our operating expenses increased 0.9% or 90 basis points. Excluding HITECH and equity and unconsolidated affiliates, sequentially for same period percent 2012, expenses increased 3.1%. On a year-to-date basis, consolidated admissions decreased 6.7% and consolidated adjusted admissions decreased to 4%. Same-store admissions decreased 7.2%. The following factor contributed to the decrease: decreased cardiology, lower intensity, 22%; lack of flu and respiratory, 18%; lower admissions for women's services, 11%; readmissions, 9%; the service closures, weather and other, about 8%; involuntary physician turnover, 6%; system conversions, 3%; a decline in self-pay admissions, about 4%. Same-store adjusted admissions were down 4.6%, and the adjusted admission guidance for 2014 ranges from a minus 3% to 1%. Our consolidated net revenue, year-to-date, was $13 billion, a slight decrease from a year ago. Our year-to-date revenue decreased by approximately $24 million, the cost of physician office system conversions that affected our productivity. We also had an unfavorable adjustment in the supplemental programs. On a consolidated basis, net revenue per adjusted admissions increased 3.9%. On a same-store basis, net revenue per adjusted admission increased 4.7%. Same-store surgeries were down 2.4%, and same-store ER visits were down 2.2%. Our same-store Medicare case mix for the year ended December 31, 2013, increased 3.6%, and our all-payor year-to-date case mix increased 3%. Consolidated adjusted EBITDA was $1,840,000,000 for the year ended December 31, 2013, and same-store EBITDA was $1,855,000,000. Consolidated EBITDA for the year was reduced to get to the adjusted number for the acquisition costs of $14 million; some strike issues of $13 million; and lost physicians' revenue due to conversion issues of $24 million; and the supplemental programs in Indiana of about $15 million; and the Medicare 2-midnight rule, about $5 million. For the year, consolidated operating expense as a percentage of net revenue increased 110 basis points from the prior year. Payroll increased 100 basis points. Supplies increased 20 basis points. Other operating rent increased 10, offset by improvement in HITECH of 30 basis points. Same-store operating expenses increased 70 basis points. Compared with the same period in 2012, payroll was up 60 basis points and supplies and other operating rent were up 10 basis points each. Year-to-date, I believe we achieved our targeted expense savings in the third and fourth quarter, which will help 2014. I'll take a few minutes to discuss the HMA unaudited performance for the year ended December 31, 2013, and the same volume statistics for the fourth quarter. We've excluded the significant transaction costs, as well as costs associated with the change of control. On a consolidated basis for the year, admissions declined 4%; adjusted admissions declined 1.6%. Revenue was $5.8 billion, increased 0.7%; and EBITDA of $760 million decreased over 20%. On a same-store basis, the admissions declined 7.6% and adjusted admissions declined 4.1%. On a consolidated basis, admissions declined 3.7% and adjusted admissions declined 2.6% for the quarter. On a same-store basis, for the quarter, admissions declined 8.1% and adjusted admissions declined 5.3%. Additionally, the BNA/SSI settlement of approximately $36 million from the government that was expected in fourth quarter was not received, and they informed us of that late December. The tax refund for $60 million was received in the fourth quarter. HIT expected return of $13 million was also received. February [ph] 2014 Mississippi Blue Cross contract issue was resolved effective January 1. Total A/R days were 67 at December '13, an increase of 9 days from the end of 2012. The increase in A/R days was due to a growth in state supplemental programs by 3 days, system conversions related to HITECH of about 2 days and also growth in some recovery audit contractor balances. The allowance for doubtful accounts was $2,448,000,000, or 51% at December 31, 2013. The allowance for doubtful accounts and related contractual allowances for self pay was approximately 84% of self-pay receivables at December 31, 2013. Community Health Systems continues to have a favorable payor mix. For the quarter ended December 31, 2013, the net revenue by payor source was as follows: Medicare, 24.4%; Medicaid, 9.2%; managed care and other, 52.8%; and self-pay, 13.5%. On a year-to-date basis, the payor mix was: Medicare is 24.9%; Medicaid, 9.7%; managed care and other, 51.7%; and self-pay, 13.7%. 134 of 135 CH hospitals in 29 states are participating in health care insurance exchange, for a total of 450 contracts. 12% of our CHS hospitals participate in the state-run exchange, 15% in partnership and 73% in federally run exchanges. 26 states are expanding Medicare coverage. 13 states were CHS's hospitals. Five more states are considering expansion. That would be Indiana, Missouri, Pennsylvania, Tennessee and Virginia. And we're still hopeful Florida will also expand. 83% of hospitals are participating in lowest-cost bronze plan, and 75% in lowest-cost silver plan. CHS hospitals participating in the first or second lowest-cost bronze plan are 89%, and first and second lowest-cost silver plan are 92%. 95% of CH hospitals are participating in lowest-cost bronze plan in their respective markets, and 94% in their respective markets in the lowest-cost silver plan. Turning to health care reform. Back in October, we sent out 50,000 letters, with minimal response due to the website issues. We sent out an additional 115,000 letters in January 2014 to frequent users. We've been helping approximately 500,000 unique self-pay patients this year. We've restarted this effort in the HMA hospitals since the acquisition. We're partnering with community organizations in our markets to provide enrollment assistance during local events, as well as generating enrollment awareness through the local media, including newspaper and TV. We have approximately 400 certified application counselors in our facilities, as well as our internal Eligibility Screening Service, ESS, in 83 of our hospitals. It is focused on a callback campaign. The government website has improved, and individuals are reporting positive experiences from enrolling. Medicaid enrollments for the fourth quarter 2013 were up 7%, 5% in expansion states and 8% in non-expansion states. Historically, about 20% of our Medicaid patients do not complete the Medicaid application process, and the mandated publicity will reduce this percentage going forward. ESS has [ph] the weekly records, and we are working with third-party eligibility companies to push exchange enrollment. This is just the shift in self-pay to Medicaid and to private option in Arkansas represents a real strong positive for us. We've had anecdotal evidence that individuals under 100% of the poverty line that have been unable to get coverage in expansion states who have then shown great interest to become covered. Comparing January 2014 to January 2013, our self-pay unique patients in expansion states have declined 10% versus a 7% decline in non-expansion. The self-pay adjusted admission decline in expansion states was 17% in January and declined 7% in non-expansion states. I'd now like to turn to our projection model and offer some of the more significant assumptions that were used to frame reform. First, let me reiterate that reform is not just a 2014 event. We are targeting a 50% reduction from 8% to 4% of our uninsured adjusted admissions by the third year, or 2016. We expect about a 15% reduction in uninsured visits in 2014. Medicaid growth will be higher than exchange enrollment. We've estimated about 55% of our uninsured will be eligible for Medicaid. A discount in managed care pricing will be no more than 10%. We have a strong presence. 99% of our hospitals have exchange contracts, with 450 contracts. We have a very small crowd-out effect. We have reasonable assumptions to increase utilization for the new linked [ph] year. We expect better payment for Medicaid as intensity will increase versus the prior Medicaid business, which is comprised, primarily, of women and children. Bad debt on deductibles and co-payments should be up from current levels, but the silver plan purchases will have minimized the bad debt. Medicare cuts will be approximately 80 basis points on Medicare, and that's in the loss. Also, it's in our market basket update. And approximately 10% of our health care reform benefit to EBITDA will be the Medicaid woodwork effect for people currently eligible for Medicaid that have not enrolled. Guidance for health care reform represents 0.5% to 0.8% of revenue or $95 million to $160 million of revenue. Cash flow from operations was $648 million for the quarter. On a year-to-date basis, cash flow from operation, $1,089,000,000 versus $1,280,000,000 for 2012. The variance has to do with lower net income, offset by higher depreciation of $57 million, lower cash flow from accounts receivable of about $80 million, a decrease in cash flow due to timing differences and compensation liabilities, increase in income taxes due to a refund received last year of $17 million, approximately there was $78 million of timing differences, and we did get a 2012 receipt of the BNA of $48 million net of taxes. Our cash flow guidance for 2014 would be $1,006,000,000 to $1,800,000,000, representing only 11 months for HMA. Year-to-date capital expenditures were $614 million or 4.7%. Replacement hospital expenditures were approximately $62 million or 0.5%. Our 2013 expenditures were very tightly managed. They came in at about $135 million lower than the low end of our guidance for 2014. We expect the guidance to range from $975 million to $1,150,000,000, obviously higher for 2014 due to the HMA acquisition. Replacement hospital guidance for 2014 is approximately $150 million. Balance sheet cash at December 31 is $373 million, and we have available credit of $731 million. Looking at the balance sheet. We had about $1,290,000,000 in working capital and $17 billion in assets. Total outstanding debt was $9,453,000,000, of which approximately 73% is fixed. And our debt-to-capitalization was 75%. At the end of the quarter, we were party to $2 billion in interest rate swaps, a decrease of $400 million from the third quarter. We currently have 2 forward interest -- starting interest rate swaps totaling $400 million effective July 25, 2014, upon a maturity of $900 million in swaps on the same day. I'd like to focus on the financing we accomplished for HMA acquisition. This information is on Slide 18. Term Loan B has been replaced by a new Term Loan B and E. Term Loan B is $4,602,000,000. Term Loan E is $1,677,000,000, issued at a slight discount. Maturity is 2017. And the rate, LIBOR plus 3.25% at no floor. Secured notes of $1 billion issued at par matures July 2021 at 5 1/8% coupon, and unsecured notes of $3 billion, issued at par, matures January 2022 of 6 7/8% coupon. As you can tell, we, in essence, refinanced the company at what we consider favorable rates. For your reference, the deferred financing costs of approximately $50 million will be amortized over the life of the loan. The guidance provided for 2014 does take the refinance in consideration. Our interest expense will range from 5% to 5.2% of net revenue. Total fixed-rate debt, included swaps, will range from 60% to 70% of the total for 2014 [ph]. Some other important things to note for the earnings report and for our 2014 guidance. First, our original January 6 guidance had assumed a full year of HMA to help the understanding on our annual trends, and we stated there we'd adjust it once we had the closing date. Our same-store statistics for 2014 will include HMA hospitals from February 1 forward, similar to the Triad acquisition. We've included $100 million of synergies in the guidance, and that's a number we disclosed earlier. We've estimated about 0.5% and 0.8% of revenue. As to positive effect of health care reform, $95 million to $160 million. HITECH incentives for 2014 will range from 1% to 1.3% of net revenue. At the high end, that's about $260 million. We have excluded the 2 HMA hospitals representing the 2 we need to sell for the FTC. One additional hospital has exercised its right of first refusal, and one hospital is held for sale for 2014. All of those were included in the January 6 guidance for the full year. The BNA/SSI settlement from HMA is included in our guidance, as we were informed it will not be received for 2013. Any costs associated with CVR, either legal or settlement, have not been included in our guidance for 2014. We included the California Medicaid supplemental programs that's expected to be approved in 2014. We expect to receive the $25 million in the fourth quarter of 2014, compared to $22 million received throughout the year for 2013. Please note that the company's projection excludes any future loss, early extinguishment of debt, any impairment loss, the resolution of any government investigations, including government settlement reserves established during the third and fourth quarter of 2013, or other significant legal settlements or other significant gains or losses that neither relate to ordinary course of our business nor reflect our underlying business performance. Wayne will now provide a brief recap.