W. Larry Cash
Analyst · Deutsche Bank
Thank you, Wayne. Consolidated admissions decreased 4.4% in the first quarter of 2013. Our adjusted admissions decreased 3.5%. Our same-store admissions decreased 5.9%. Same-store adjusted admissions decreased 5.2%. As we previously discussed during the fourth quarter call, first quarter had a number of seasonality factors. January 1 fell on a Tuesday this year versus a Sunday. We lost a leap day in 2013. And finally, Easter fell in March, the first time since 2008. All told, seasonality represented approximately 50% of adjusted admission decrease in the first quarter. While flu was rampant during the year, end of the 2012, was no long a factor in our latter part of the first quarter and actually accounted for approximately 10% decrease for the entire quarter. We'll continue to see lower GYN and OB admissions, and this reduction accounted for 10% of the decline in adjusted admissions. There's also involuntary turnover in employed physicians since midyear 2012 in an effort to improve physician productivity that generated approximately 10% of the decrease in adjusted admissions. And finally, a decrease in self-pay adjusted admissions represented 10% of the decrease. Adjusted admissions have been slightly negative taken into consideration the seasonality of flu and our women services and a decline in [indiscernible] physicians and self-pay. We've decided to review our historical performance from the fourth quarter to the first quarter for only the same hospitals for the past 3 years. For 2012 first quarter, even adjusted for seasonality, had a much stronger volume growth in 2011 and 2010 versus the fourth quarter. So it simply states we had a very tough comp. I would also like to note that our managed care adjusted admissions decline, we're better than the overall company average. That's the most significant decrease was in Medicare and Medicaid. Our net revenues in the first quarter were $3,312,000,000 compared to $3,297,000,000 for the first quarter. I'm pleased to remember that the BNA settlement and the SSI adjustment off approximately $81 million were included in the consolidated revenue for the first quarter of 2012. Excluded this, consolidated revenue increased 3%. On a same-store basis, net revenue increased 1.4%. Same-store net revenue per adjusted admission increased 6.9% year-over-year due to higher intensity and improvement in payer mix. The March, 2012 first quarter revenue for adjusted admission was up only 1.9%. Our same-store Medicare patient mix increased 2.6% for the quarter. Overall, payer mix increased 2.9%. Same-store volume decreased 6.6%, with outpatient surgery just being slightly less than inpatient. Again, the seasonality issues explained earlier contribute to about 50% of the decline. Almost all the inpatient, outpatient surgical classifications were down. While our volume was down, our intensity increased, our same-store surgical case peaks [ph] for all payers, increased 3.1% for the quarter. Our same-store ER visits were up 0.7% for the first quarter 2013. Consolidated EBITDA was $494 million for the first quarter versus $535 million for the same period a year ago. Again, excluding the fact of industry-wide budget and traveling settlement, including expenses associated with the settlement in the SSI adjustment. And reserves set up in the first quarter, our consolidated EBITDA increased 3.4%. On a same-store basis, EBITDA was $496 million for the first quarter, a 4.3% increase. EBITDA margin for the first quarter on a consolidated basis was 14.9% versus 16.2%. Again, excluding the items that I discussed earlier, the margin was at 14.9%. Same-store margin improved 40 basis points for the quarter, 15.2% versus 14.8%. Consolidated operating expenses increased 130 basis points. As a percent of revenue in the first quarter, again excluding the BNA and SSI adjustments, the percentage of net revenue was affected by the first quarter 2012. Payroll benefits also affected the increase. Same-store operating expenses improved 40 basis points for the first quarter, while payroll was up only 10 basis points. It's very strong expense management supply, so 50 basis points. The supply savings were generated from reductions in cardiovascular, including pacemaker and stent, drugs, food and chargeable supplies. Total AR days were 60 at March 31, 2013, a 2-day increase from December 31, 2012. The amounts for doubtful accounts was $2,258,000,000 at the end of the quarter or 50.5%. The allowance for doubtful accounts or related contractuals for self-pay was approximately 84% of the hospital segment's pay receivables, at March 13, 2013, unchanged from December 31, 2012. I'm pleased to note while bad debt is seemingly flat, our uncompensated care was 22.6% and adjusted revenue for the first quarter 2013 compared to 21.4% for the same period of 2012 and an increase of 120 basis points. Community Health Systems has a favorable payer mix. For the quarter ended March 31, net revenue by payer source of a solid basis was as follows: Medicare, 26.1%, Medicaid, 8.8%, managed care and other, 51.7% and self-pay, 13.4%. Cash flow from operations for the first quarter was $57 million compared to $187 million at first quarter 2012. Cash flow from operations for the last 12 months ended March 31 was $1,150,000,000 or approximately 10% lower than last 12 months ended March 31, 2012. The following items affected our results for the first quarter compared to the first quarter of 2012: the 2-day increase in accounts receivable in the first quarter would cost about $75 million. Approximately $6 million was affected by the timing differences of payroll and some related liabilities; reduction of $24 million related to the legal settlement. We paid $10 billion in the first quarter of 2013 compared to an accrual of $14 million in the first quarter of '12; and there were significant reductions in accounts payable from accelerated payments in the first quarter of 2013. Cash flow for the first quarter 2012 also started off slowly. And similar to the results of Quarter 1 2012, we started off slowly in 2013. We'll be working to improve cash flow results for the remainder of 2013 but are maintaining our 2013 guidance of $1,225,000,000 to $1,300,000,000. Total capital expenditures for the quarter just ended were $113 million or only 3.4% of net revenue, and this compares to $185 million or 5.6% of net revenue for the first quarter of 2012. Our CapEx guidance range for 2013 ranges from $800 million to $850 million, a reduction of $50 million on the high side. Balance sheet cash at March 31, 2013 was $285 million. As of March 13, 2013, the company had available credit from the revolver of approximately $700 million, after outstanding letters of credit. Now looking at the balance sheet at March 31, 2013 we had $1.4 billion of working capital, $16.6 billion total assets. Total outstanding debt at March 31, 2013 was $9.5 billion, of which approximately 82% is fixed and our debt to capitalization at quarter end was 76%. At the end of March, we were a party to a $2.9 billion in interest rate swap agreements. During the quarter, we did buy back approximately 523,000 shares of stock at an average price of $35 or roughly $18.7 million. The company also amended its receivables securitization program to increase availability from $300 million to $500 million. Looking at a couple of other highlights for the quarter. Our revised 2013 projection of 0.5% to 0.7% versus a 0.3% to 0.8% includes the implementation of a sequester on April 1. Well, this also is an estimate for our revised Medicare -- disproportionate share and coding adjustments effective October 1st. The prior low end of 0.3% assumed the sequester would be implemented in the third quarter. We tightened our wide range, guidance range in revenue, EBITDA and EPS, but lower to higher and to recognize those changes. Well, what's the first quarter results. Also, please note, we lowered our adjusted admission guidance to reflect the first quarter results. Guidance will range from minus 2% to 1% positive. The slowdown in adjusted admission seems to be nationwide in the first quarter. The first quarter HITECH incentive was $21 million or $4 million below our guidance. The second quarter HITECH should be approximately 10% to 20% higher than the first quarter. Finally, our fourth quarter HITECH should be the highest quarter for 2013. The first quarter 2013 HITECH depreciation and amortization increased by $8 million, which reduced EPS in the quarter by approximately $0.05. Our EPS for the first quarter adjusted [indiscernible] debt was $0.87. The growth in diluted shares by about $3 million cost of production or approximately $0.03 and earnings per share in the first quarter of 2013.