Dave Adams
Analyst · Baird. Please go ahead
Thanks Chris. Since 2013, we’ve discussed numerous initiatives in support of our relentless pursuit of top quartile performance. We’ve demonstrated an intense focus upon our cost structure and a continuous rationalization of our product and businesses, unit portfolios to drive margin improvement. We have been proactive in these pursuits and remain committed to achieving our most recent goal of 17% operating margin, albeit delayed slightly due to the impact of the pandemic. More recently, we’ve been discussing the balance between sustaining profitable growth for Curtiss-Wright and satisfying customer needs. This included the acceleration of restructuring actions within commercial aerospace, particularly in light of the expected volume declines facing this industry over the next several years. In yesterday’s press release, we highlighted the strategic decision by our management team to discontinue a portion of our commercial aerospace actuation business at the end of 2020. These actions include restructuring our operations that support the Boeing 737 MAX program, including a reduction in our manufacturing footprint in Mexico. To put a little color on the subject, our 737 actuation contracts with Boeing has seen continued margin erosion over the last decade. Prior to the last round of negotiations over our current contract, margins had slipped to a dilutive position to the overall enterprise. This was largely due to the build-to-print nature of the work. If you recall, as we enter 2019, we experienced some delays in negotiations on our current contract. After several months of dialog, we signed a contract at a substantially higher contract margin and establish a benchmark with regard to the future profit expectations on this product line. During 2020 pricing discussions continued with regard to future production against our strategic profitability interests. At the same time and as you are aware, Boeing has been accumulating inventory and we estimate that they have between 18 months and 24 months of inventory based on our continued output of 52 ship sets per month. Rather than put ourselves in a difficult position with regard to under absorption for the next two years and except the significantly dilutive contract when production resumes, we have elected to exit this business. Further, the removal of this build-to-print contract helps to strengthen Curtiss-Wright’s IP portfolio and aligns with our strategy to continue to perform at best-in-class financial levels amongst our peer group. For 2020, this business will represent approximately $70 million in sales and $0.30 and diluted EPS. We intend to adjust our financials to remove this product line from our commercial industrial segment when we provide restated 2020 results and 2021 guidance in February. Over the past few months, we have been very vocal about our plans to cover the potential sales gap. This has included driving continued growth in defense revenues, as well as potentially pursuing growth via acquisition. Our recently announced acquisition of PacStar covers both of those bases and then some. PacStar is a leading supplier of secured tactical communications solution for Battlefield Network Management. Their proprietary software facilitates rapid deployment of assured communications in the battlefield. PacStar rugged communication system are similar to Curtiss-Wright’s secure Cox-based processing, data management and communications technologies. This combination provides the unique opportunity to deliver best-in-class platform network integration and tactical data link network management to the warfighter. It is particularly timely as it supports the U.S. military modernization efforts in the war fighting theater. Similar to our previous acquisitions, we are very excited about the strategic fit of this business. We paid approximately 12 times next 12 months EBITDA slightly above what we have historically paid, but in line with our stated willingness to pay slightly more for high IP or software businesses. In 2020, PacStar is expected to generate more than $120 million in revenue and maintain its high single-digit pace of revenue growth for the foreseeable future. While we expect the deals to be dilutive to overall Curtiss-Wright operating margin in the first year of ownership. We believe this is an exceptional financial and strategic fit, providing strong topline growth within our most profitable business segment. PacStar supports our long-term acquisition criteria and our financial objectives of topline growth, margin expansion and free cash flow generation. We expect this transaction close in the near future and therefore are not including PacStar within our guidance at this time. Our management team remains focused on accelerating topline growth through investments and acquisitions and is committed to providing a consistent return to shareholders. The graphs on the slide display our capital allocation since 2013. Since that time we have returned more than $1.1 billion to our shareholders through share repurchases and dividends. Also, despite the fact that we just announced the acquisition of PacStar, the largest transaction in the company’s recent history, the Board and I are confident in our ability to drive strong free cash flow generation. As a result, we are pleased to announce the $200 million increase in our total share repurchase authorization and our intent to buy back at least $50 million opportunistically in the fourth quarter. Our balance sheet remains strong with sufficient capacity and low leverage to support our healthy acquisition pipeline. Finally, we will maintain our focus on prudent operational investments, including increased R&D and capital investments to deliver improved organic growth. Next, I’d like to spend a few minutes reviewing some of the strengths of our defense businesses, and why we remain confident as we approach the November 3rd election. Curtiss-Wright is a critical supplier to the defense industry with long-term visibility on key defense platforms. For the past 20 years, U.S. defense budgets have grown at a 5% CAGAR, a point that often gets overlooked is that Curtiss-Wright has a proven track record of growing at or above the base-budget growth. In fact we have outpaced the R&D T&E growth regardless of who’s been in office over the past three presidential terms and also through a period of reduced budget growth at sequestration. Further, we have consistently demonstrated our ability to proactively align with the DoD’s top investment priorities through a combination of organic growth and strategic acquisitions. The DoD is expected to remain focused on these top investment priorities whether or not the overall budget is flat or declining. As a result, we believe Curtiss-Wright will continue to benefit. Let me explain why. As outlined on the left-hand side of the slide, we maintained a strong and stable outlook in naval defense, for the majority of our work, particularly for nuclear propulsion equipment, such as reactor, coolant pumps and valves. We are the premier supplier of the content. We enjoy strong sole source positions on the three largest platforms Ford-class aircraft carrier, Virginia-class submarine and Columbia-class submarine, which we expect to provide consistent revenue and free cash flow well beyond this decade. Beyond the big three platforms, we have strong capabilities and numerous applications to support the Navy’s desire to grow its non-nuclear platforms. As a result, we anticipate that our naval funding is fairly secure and should receive strong bipartisan support, particularly for the DoD’s Indo-Pacific strategy. Turning to the right-hand of the slide, we are a leading supplier of defense electronics equipment to the primes, while also generating industry-leading profitability in our embedded computing business. Overall, defense electronics represent of approximately 80% of our defense segment revenues, which as a reminder, generates well north of 20% operating margin. One of our key strengths within defense electronics is our extensive knowledge and position and secure cards embedded computing technology. Our investments in research and development are aligned with the highest DoD priorities, such as encryption, cyber security and anti-tamper technologies that help secure the battlefield. Together, our industry position and focused investments ensure that we win strategic positions on numerous high priority programs. We also benefit from consistent industry outsourcing from the primes and DoD program managers, which tends to increase during periods of challenging budget environment. Overall, Curtiss-Wright is well positioned to deliver solid growth in our defense markets, despite election and budgetary uncertainty. As I wrap up our prepared remarks, I would like to emphasize that Curtiss-Wright is an agile and flexible business, we will remain well-positioned to whether this challenging environment led by our diversified business mix, aggressive drive to improve profitability and our strong free cash flow generation. We are benefiting from our stable positions in our defense markets, which are helping to offset some of the challenges in our commercial markets. We’re driving solid execution in light of the current environment and our leveraging the benefits of our ongoing margin improvement initiatives. As we’ve demonstrated today, we also maintain a healthy and balanced capital allocation strategy to support our top and bottomline growth. In summary, we remain keenly focused on delivering long-term value for our shareholders. At this time, I’d like to open up today’s conference call for questions.