Peter Matt
Analyst · Credit Suisse. Please go ahead. Your line is open
Thank you, Jean-Marc, and thank you everyone for joining the call today. Turning now to Slide 7, you will find the change in adjusted EBITDA by segment for the third quarter and the first nine months of 2020 compared to the same periods of last year. For the third quarter of 2020, Constellium achieved €126 million of adjusted EBITDA, a decrease of €13 million or 9% year-over-year. P&ARP adjusted EBITDA of €85 million increased by €13 million or 20% compared to last year. A&T adjusted EBITDA of €10 million decreased by €33 million or 77% compared to the third quarter of 2019. AS&I adjusted EBITDA of €33 million increased by €7 million compared to last year. Lastly, Holdings and Corporate costs of €2 million were comparable to last year. In the first nine months of 2020, Constellium achieved €354 million of adjusted EBITDA, a decrease of €87 million or 20% year-over-year. P&ARP adjusted EBITDA of €209 million decreased by €1 million compared to last year. A&T adjusted EBITDA of €93 million decreased by €66 million or 41% compared to the first nine months of 2019. AS&I adjusted EBITDA of €66 million decreased by €19 million or 23% compared to last year. Lastly, Holdings and Corporate costs of €14 million were €1 million higher than last year. We expect H&C costs of approximately €18 million in 2020. Now turn to Slide 8 and let's focus on the P&ARP segment. Adjusted EBITDA of €85 million increased 20% compared to the third quarter of last year. Volume was a headwind of €14 million in the quarter. Packaging shipments fell by 9%, primarily as a result of the temporary shutdown in March of our Neuf-Brisach plant in France and reduced consumption of cans in Europe, both due to COVID-19. We believe these effects are temporary and we expect stronger shipment levels in the fourth quarter. Shipments to the North American can sheet market in the third quarter increased slightly year-over-year. Automotive shipments increased 7% compared to last year as demand from our automotive OEM customers recovered rapidly. Costs were a tailwind of €30 million due to improved recovery and strong broad-based cost control with labor and maintenance as important contributors. FX translation, which is non-cash, was a headwind of €2 million due to the weakening of the U.S. dollar during the quarter. While we have not provided Bowling Green result separately for the past few quarters, I want to provide an update on the trajectory of improvement. Bowling Green’s adjusted EBITDA increased from negative €48 million in 2018 to negative €15 million in negative – 2019 to what we estimate will be a positive €15 million in 2020. I think we can all agree that this is an impressive improvement in over two short years – or over two short years. Now turn to Slide 9 and let's focus on the A&T segment. Adjusted EBITDA of €10 million decreased by 77% compared to last year. Volume was a headwind of €52 million on lower aerospace and TID shipments. Aerospace shipments fell 48% compared to last year. As aerospace OEM and distributors continued to reduce orders to match lower build rates. We expect a similar decline in year-over-year shipments in the fourth quarter. TID shipments declined by 27% to lower – due to lower industrial activity in both Europe and the U.S. We expect some recovery in the fourth quarter on recent evidence of stronger demand in the U.S. Price and mix was €2 million tailwind. Cost were a tailwind of €19 million due to strong broad-based cost control with labor and maintenance as important contributors. FX translation was €1 million headwind in the quarter. Looking-forward, despite the challenging market conditions we expect A&T to remain a positive adjusted EBITDA contributor in 2021, but at a lower level than 2020 as we expect the segment will face difficult year-over-year comparisons through the first half of 2021. Now turning to Slide 10 and let's focus on the AS&I segment. Adjusted EBITDA of €33 million increased by €7 million compared to the third quarter of 2019. Volume was a €3 million headwind. Automotive shipments were comparable to last year strong demand recovery from automotive OEMs. Industry shipments declined 5% due to lower industrial activity in Europe. Price and mix was €1 million tailwind. Costs were €10 million tailwind on strong cost control with labor, maintenance and subcontractors as important contributors. I wanted to in particular compliment the Auto Structures team for its efforts to restructure the business and get it back on track. Lastly, FX translation was €1 million headwind in the quarter. Now turning to Slide 11, I want to highlight our continued strong performance on cost. In the third quarter, we flexed our cost by 96%. Cost flex represents the change of cost over the change in revenues for the third quarter of 2020, as compared to the third quarter of 2019. Effectively for every dollar change in revenue, we're able to flex our cost by 0.96. This compares favorably to the 83% cost flex we provided last quarter. At the bottom of the page, you can see that each of our businesses demonstrated strong cost control. With P&ARP at 111% cost flex, A&T at 78% and AS&I at 122%. Cost flex in excess of 100% reflects cost reduction in excess of revenue declines, partially due to the structural cost reductions during the quarter. Excluding metal and depreciation, we reduced cost by approximately €65 million compared to the third quarter of last year. These cost savings were driven by strong cost control across the business, including labor maintenance and professional fees. Labor represented over half of the total €65 million decrease, these cost savings include approximately €5 million benefit from European state employment aid related to COVID 19. As you know, we are very committed to reducing costs and running a lean operation. Fixed cost reduction is a major platform of our Horizon 2022 initiative, the successor project to Project 2019. I am pleased to announce our initial Horizon 2022 cost reduction goal of €75 million of savings. From where we stand today, we estimate in excess of one-third of these annualized Horizon 2022 savings have already been secured. Combined with our savings from Project 2019, which you'll remember was €78 million. We have cumulatively removed over €150 million out of our cost base. I remain excited about the significant cost reduction opportunities that are in front of us. We are working to emerge from this crisis with improved margins and a stronger financial profile than when we entered it. Fixed cost reduction is an important tool in the strategy. Now let's turn to Slide 12 and discuss our balance sheet and liquidity position. At the end of the third quarter, our leverage was 4.3 times, and our net debt was €2.05 billion, which is more than €100 million lower than our net debt position at the end of 2019. We remain very committed to capital discipline. As you know, we reduced our 2020 CapEx target to approximately €175 million, a €96 million reduction from 2019. Through the first nine months of 2020, we spent €46 million less CapEx than in the same period of last year. Our free cash flow was €75 million for the third quarter and €129 million for the first nine months of 2020. We are extremely proud of these achievements, given the business environment. They underscore our commitment to be a consistent and strong, free cash flow generator. As Jean-Marc noted earlier, we expect to generate €100 million to €350 million of free cash flow in 2020, based on our current view of market conditions. Generating free cash flow is a firm priority and we remain committed to de-leveraging. As you can see in our debt summary on the bottom left-hand side of the page, we have no bond maturities until 2024. Our liquidity was over €1 billion at the end of the third quarter. We remain very comfortable with this liquidity position. I'll now hand the call back to Jean-Marc.