David A. Roberts
Analyst · Robert Baird Company
Thank you, Jennifer. Good morning, and welcome to Carlisle's Second Quarter 2013 Conference Call. On the phone with me is our CFO, Steven Ford; our Chief Accounting Officer, Kevin Zdimal; and our Treasurer, Julie Chandler. Before we get started with the details of the second quarter, I want to discuss the noncash $100 million impairment we took in the quarter through our Transportation Products segment. We have been testing CTP's goodwill for impairment on a quarterly basis by comparing its fair value with its book value. Its fair value has been determined by discounting future cash flows. On March 31, using a 9 1/4% discount rate, our fair value exceeded our book value by 6%, resulting in no impairment. During the current quarter, long-term interest rates rose sharply, causing our discount rate for estimating CTP's fair value to increase 75 basis points. Applying a higher 10% discount rate to the future cash flow projections used in the first quarter, our calculation resulted in a fair value of approximately $25 million below CTP's book value. This necessitated further goodwill testing. Further testing included a hypothetical allocation of our estimated fair value to CTP's assets with any residual amount being allocated to goodwill. Based on our initial allocation estimates, the following -- and following the required asset step-ups, we believe there won't be any residual value to allocate to goodwill, resulting in the current impairment charge of all $100 million of the segment's goodwill cost. It is important to remind everyone that the charge is noncash and relates to goodwill recorded from acquisitions that were transaction -- transacted more than a decade ago. Despite it not being a cash charge, we take any writeoff of goodwill as a serious reminder that we must be diligent with our shareholders' money when making acquisitions. Over the last 6 months, we've been dedicated to moving the company to a higher profit profile, improving our return on invested capital and utilizing less working capital than we have in the past. Hence, the 15s in our strategic goals: 15% operating margins, 15% return on invested capital and 15% working capital as a percent of sales. As we reconfigure the company, we are looking to invest in businesses that will provide us the best opportunity to achieve these goals. The one company that has been a question mark in -- is our Transportation Products segment. During the second quarter, we decided that despite our efforts to improve the margins at CTP, the probability of it becoming a consistent double-digit margin performer was going to be a challenge. Consequently, we deemed that CTP is no longer a strategic asset. With that decision, we've retained SunTrust Robinson Humphrey to advise us on evaluating strategic alternatives for the business. I will answer any questions related to our plan, keeping in mind they've not entirely solidified during the question-and-answer period following my opening remarks. Let's now turn to the slides on our website. These slides will detail our performance in the second quarter. But before I begin, let me set the stage for that conversation. We knew the comparisons to 2012's first and second quarter record sales and earnings were going to be difficult. As I predicted during our first quarter call, the Brake & Friction business continued to lag 2012's results, as our customers continue to adjust their finished goods inventories. What I didn't anticipate was the continuation of the wet weather we experienced in the first quarter that continued into the second quarter. This wet weather had a negative impact on Construction Materials and Transportation Products. In a recent Wall Street Journal article, a weather analysis firm was quoted as saying the weather in the quarter was the wettest in more than 50 years. It was this wet weather that kept roofing contractors off roofs and farmers out of their fields. Both businesses lacked the growth we anticipated during our first quarter call. While Interconnect Technologies saw declines in their military and industrial business, we had double-digit growth in our test & measurement business. More importantly, our commercial aerospace business began to recover from the issues our customers experienced during the first quarter. We saw strengthening in our core FoodService business, but our healthcare business declined during the quarter. Most encouraging was the continuous improvement in FoodService margins throughout the quarter. The good news for all of Carlisle is that we do not feel we lost any market share during the quarter. There does appear to be a general weakness in some of our markets either driven by the weather or softness in demand for economic reasons. Despite a slow quarter, we remain cautiously optimistic for the remainder of 2013. Let's now turn to the presentation, which starts on Slide 2, which is our forward-looking statements. This slide is different than what we've seen previously, as it provides not only our forward-looking statement information but also a simple explanation of the use of non-GAAP financial measures that I will refer to occasionally during the call. If you are considering an investment in our company, I urge you to read this slide. It details the risks associated with making an investment in Carlisle. I also encourage everyone to also review our SEC filings and to be fully aware that some of the information we discuss during this call is not in accordance with GAAP. Let's now turn to the details of the quarter. Overall company sales in the second quarter increased 1% to $996 million, and EBIT declined 13% as we earned $123 million. The $123 million is a non-GAAP number adjusted for the impairment charge at Transportation Products. Organically, the quarterly sales were down 1.4%, heavily influenced by the harsh weather and the lack of sales of heavy equipment, offset by acquired growth of 2.6%. As I mentioned earlier, the weather had the greatest impact on Construction Materials and Transportation Products, our 2 largest businesses. Sales were down 25% in Brake & Friction, but sequentially, were up over the first quarter of 2013. Interconnect Technologies grew 4% organically and 27% overall, and FoodService's sales were lower by 1% in the quarter driven by a decline in healthcare product sales. EBIT was down 13% on a non-GAAP basis as margin declined 190 basis points, on negative price at Construction Materials and lower volume at Brake & Friction and Transportation Products. Having a positive impact on our earnings in the quarter was the improvement in profit margin at FoodService. On Slide 4 details our quarterly sales bridge. Price reduced sales 80 basis points. Volume reduced it an additional 60 basis points, and as we did in the first quarter, we elected to reduce our inventory as compared to building inventory to absorb overhead costs in our plants, especially at CTP. Overall, inventory was down $21 million compared to the first quarter and $67 million compared to the second quarter of 2012. The reduction at CTP was $16 million compared to our first quarter reduction of $27 million year-over-year. Acquisitions added 2.6% to our growth, and FX had no impact on sales. Organically, both CCM and CIT grew 4%, while Transportation Products declined 4%, Brake & Friction declined 25%, and FoodService was down 1%. On Slide 5, you'll find our EBIT margin bridge. It details the 190-basis-point margin decline in the quarter. Price on raw material, primarily at Construction Materials, negatively impacted margin by 150 basis points. Volume had a 50-basis-point impact. Mix had another 70-basis-point impact, while COS added 80% to our margin line. We earned $122.5 million on a non-GAAP basis compared to $140.3 million last year. On Slide 6, we begin our review of the individual business segments, starting with Construction Materials. Sales increased 4% in the quarter, while pricing was negative 1%, and volume was up 5%. Pricing was down as competitors chased work that was available in the quarter. The quarter did not grow as anticipated, as wet weather continued to impact the number of roofing days. As with the last quarter, the good news is the slow sales growth was not a result of declining demand. Our contractors continue to have heavy backlog comprised of both new construction and reroofing projects. Reroofing appears to have been impacted more than new construction, which makes sense. It is more difficult to replace a roof on a building that is in use than it is on a new building where the building envelope needs to be waterproofed before the interior work is started. On the new construction side of the business, we saw a 15% growth in our waterproofing and coatings products and 18% growth in our Insulfoam products, which is an exterior building insulation. Both are indicators that new construction continues to gain momentum. EBIT was 9% lower as we earned $78.2 million compared to $85.5 million in 2012. Despite the fact that we had lower margins in the quarter, resulting from lower selling prices and higher raw material costs, our margins remain very healthy at 16%. As we enter the third quarter, we are seeing a pickup in demand for roofing products, stabilizing raw material cost and less pressure on pricing. If the weather holds as it has done for the first 2 weeks of the quarter, we should have a strong third quarter in Construction Materials. Our new polyiso insulation plant went online in Seattle, and the Montgomery, New York plant is coming online early in the third quarter. We are tracking in line with the $5.5 million of full year start-up costs we mentioned during our first quarter conference call. The $5.5 million should be spread evenly quarter-to-quarter throughout the year. Slide 7 details the performance in Transportation Products segment where sales were down 4%, with volume down 3% and price down 1%. Outdoor power equipment volume was down 10%, ag and construction tires combined with belts were down 4%, high-speed trailer sales down 3%, while power sports grew 5%. Outdoor power equipment continues to suffer from a full retail channel, while ag suffered from wet weather. Transportation Products EBIT was down 32% on a non-GAAP adjusted basis. We earned $13.2 million compared to $19.3 million last year. As I stated earlier, we elected not to build inventory in the quarter. Instead, we reduced inventory $16 million sequentially from the first quarter to the second quarter and $27 million in the quarter compared to 2012. Reducing inventory and reduced sales volume impacted margins by 260 basis points. As we look at the second half of the year, Transportation Products should see performance very similar to a typical second half performance. Our replacement tire business will be the main driver of sales and earnings should be similar to our profitability in the past in the second half of the year. I believe that 2014 will be a good year for CTP. The retail channel should be void of over inventory, which will suggest stronger demand next year. The good thing is that while the rain has hurt our business to date, it should be a future driver of Transportation Products growth. The wet weather will mean that grass is growing, which will drive the need for new mowing equipment and replacement tires for the equipment already out there. It should also mean a profitable year for the farming community, which will drive future equipment purchases. As I mentioned in the first few minutes of this call, we have retained SunTrust Robinson Humphrey to help us explore strategic alternatives for CTP. While Transportation Products remains a good business, it does not fit the financial criteria required to be a Carlisle core business. If we decide to sell the business and are successful in doing so, the proceeds will be reinvested into another core business, which will have similar characteristics to Construction Materials, Interconnect Technologies and Brake & Friction. If we are unsuccessful in finding a new core business in the short term, we will consider other alternatives that will create shareholder value, which would include share repurchases. Slide 8 details the performance of our braking business. We continue to suffer from lower sales as our customers worldwide clear their finished goods inventory. It drove our sales down 25% in the quarter. The market for heavy equipment was down 28%. Mining equipment was down 42%, while ag grew 11% in the quarter. We grew 3% sequentially from the first quarter to the second quarter, which is the first sign of growth in the braking business we've seen over the last 3 quarters. As in the first quarter, CBF management team did a good job working to keep their margins in the low double-digit territory. They generated margins of 13.2% in the second quarter, which translates into earnings of $12 million, which are 48% lower than our 2012. Our sales began to decline in the third quarter of 2012 and have been lower approximately 25% since then. On a comparison basis, the sales comp will come easier as we continue through the remainder of 2013. On the earnings side, comparisons in the third quarter will be difficult. As of third quarter of 2012, our margins were 17.1%. Pricing pressure could challenge our margins the remainder of the year, but I still feel we should end the year with double-digit margins. Other than the 3% sequential growth we saw from the first quarter to the second quarter, there are no strong signs that the business will show any significant growth the remainder of 2013 or into the first half of 2014. Interconnect Technologies grew 27% in the second quarter with 23% of that growth coming from the acquisition of Thermax. The remaining 4% of our growth came organically, as commercial aerospace grew 10% and test & measurement grew 29%. We acquired a new customer in the latter part of last year, and their growth positively impacted our test & measurement business. We saw our industrial business decline 28% along with further declines in military spending of 19%. This is the largest decline we've seen in military spending over the past few quarters. Our business today is heavily skewed to commercial aerospace, so while military and industrial sales are important to us, the declines do not have a dramatic impact on our overall sales. EBIT growth for the quarter was 28%, as we earned $22 million compared to $17 million last year. The Thermax acquisition contributed $5 million with margins of 18%. The remainder of the year should see double -- or mid-single-digit organic growth in Interconnect Technologies as the 787 continues to ramp up. We're building to a monthly schedule of 7 aircraft today, and the schedule is suggesting that, that build rate goes to 10 airplanes early in 2014. One of our customers has invited us to participate in their AOC program, which could challenge our margins, but we're still planning on margin improvement throughout the year. As you turn to Slide 10, you'll see our FoodServices revenue decline was 1% in the quarter. Volume in FoodService Products was actually up 4%, while sales in healthcare products declined 13%. Healthcare sales tend to be lumpy quarter-to-quarter. Selling prices were flat during the second quarter. EBIT was up 28%, as the management team continues to make operational improvements in the business. We earned $7 million in the quarter and generated margins of nearly 12%. The satisfying trend that we've seen through the first quarter of 2013 is that the margins have improved every month. We think margins will continue to improve throughout the year, and we should go out of 2013 with margins in the mid-teens. Sales at FoodService for the remainder of the year should remain relatively flat. This concludes my review of the business segments. I'll now turn the meeting over to Steve Ford who will review our balance sheet, cash flow and working capital slides. Steve?