Carrie W. Teffner - Crocs, Inc.
Analyst · Stifel
Thank you, Andrew. First quarter revenues were $283.1 million, up $15.2 million or 5.7% from a year ago. This exceeded our guidance of $265 million to $275 million. We delivered solid results across all channels, despite store closures and business model changes, which reduced revenues by approximately $12 million. Our DTC comp was a positive 11.2% and currency positively impacted first quarter revenues by $13.4 million. We sold approximately 17 million pairs of shoes in the quarter, an increase of 3.9% over last year's first quarter. Our average selling price for footwear was $16.28, a 1.1% increase compared to the $16.11 in last year's first quarter. The positive reception to our Spring/Summer 2018 collection drove strong results across each of our three channels. Global wholesale sales increased by 6.5%. Success with last year's Fall/Holiday line and an enthusiastic response to our Spring/Summer 2018 collection led many of our accounts to increase their pre-books over last year's first quarter, particularly in the Americas. And as Andrew touched on earlier, the LiteRide introduction drove incremental sales, as accounts added the LiteRide franchise to their Crocs lineup. Our retail comp was 7.6%, our third consecutive quarter of positive comps. While the Easter shift had a modest impact, our strong retail comp was driven by higher traffic due to the strength of our product, more impactful marketing, and improved retail operations. Global retail sales were down 3.7%, as we operated 117 fewer stores compared to the end of the first quarter of 2017. Our e-commerce business grew 24.1% during the quarter, and we generated double-digit growth in every region. This was our fourth consecutive quarter of double-digit e-commerce growth. Strong product was central to this progress. In addition, the digital marketing and social media activations that took place in Q1 relating to LiteRide, Drew Loves Crocs, and our latest Come As You Are campaign materials, including Crocs: The Musical, all helped drive traffic to our sites. From a regional perspective, the following revenue amounts are as reported. The Americas generated revenues of $123.8 million in the first quarter, an increase of 5.2% over last year's first quarter with each channel growing as we benefited from increasing demand for Crocs across our largest region. Currency had minimal impact on the region. Wholesale revenues grew 2.3%, reflecting continued strength in the clog silhouette. Our Americas DTC comp was a positive 13.1%. Our retail comp was a positive 10.9% and total retail sales grew by 5.7% despite having 12 fewer stores than in last year's first quarter. E-commerce sales increased 18.5% on strong traffic gains and an increase in units per transaction. Turning to Asia, first quarter revenues of $97.2 million decreased 1.2% compared to last year's first quarter, primarily reflecting the lower store count in the region. Currency favorably impacted the region by $5.9 million. Wholesale revenues increased 1.1%, our Asia DTC comp was a positive 10.4%. Our retail comp for Asia was a positive 4.7%, driven primarily by higher conversion. Retail sales declined 18.2% as we operated 83 fewer stores compared to the first quarter of 2017. E-commerce sales increased 33%. We grew our business in each country and turned in particularly strong results in China, Korea and Japan, our key markets in the region. In Europe, our revenues grew 19.7% to $61.8 million over last year's first quarter, reflecting strong double-digit wholesale and e-commerce results. Currency positively impacted the quarter by $7.5 million. Wholesale revenues grew 22.9% due to strong pre-books and at-once sales. Our Europe DTC comp was a positive 4.2%. Our retail comp was a negative 2.6% and total retail sales decreased 3.3% due to operating 22 fewer stores. High street and mall traffic fell in January and February due to the harsh winter, however traffic rebounded sharply and turned positive in March as conditions improved. Our e-commerce business grew by 31.2% as we benefited from a double-digit increase in traffic to our sites. Turning to other items on our P&L, our gross margin at 49.4% came in 40 basis points above expectations and 50 basis points below last year's 49.9% rate. As I mentioned on our last call, our first quarter's gross margin was impacted by the shift of our inventory costing methodology to FIFO. This reduced our gross margin by approximately 80 basis points in the quarter, but will have no impact on the full year. Adjusting for this, gross margin for the first quarter would have been 50.2%. Our SG&A expenses were lower than projected, coming in at $114 million. Non-recurring charges associated with our SG&A reduction plan were $2.5 million this year compared to $2.2 million in last year's first quarter. SG&A as a percentage of revenues improved by 380 basis points, declining to 40.2% from 44.0% in last year's first quarter, as we benefit from our SG&A reduction efforts. Our income from operations was $25.9 million, growing 66.4% compared to last year's first quarter. Net income attributable to common stockholders after preferred share dividends in equivalence of $3.9 million was $12.5 million. After adjusting for the preferred share participation rights of $2.1 million, adjusted net income available to common stockholders comes to $10.4 million. Our diluted EPS attributable to common stockholders was $0.15 compared to $0.08 in last year's first quarter. The weighted average diluted common share count used to calculate EPS was 71.7 million shares compared to 74.6 million shares at the end of last year's first quarter. Turning to the balance sheet, we ended the quarter with $102 million in cash and no outstanding borrowings on our credit facility. This compares to $88.9 million in cash and $3.5 million of outstanding borrowings at the end of Q1 2017. During Q1, we repurchased approximately 1.4 million shares of our common stock for approximately $20 million at an average price per share of $14.32. This leaves just under $200 million available for future repurchases. Inventory at the end of the first quarter was $148.2 million, a $30.3 million or 17% decrease compared to last year's first quarter ending inventory. This reduction reflects our continued focus on improving the quality of our revenues as well as our lower store count. Cash used in operating activities was $46.6 million, an improvement of 6.6% compared to the first quarter of 2017. Before providing our guidance for Q2 and the full year, I want to remind you that our guidance is on an as reported basis. For the second quarter of 2018, we expect revenues of $315 million to $325 million, compared to $313.2 million in last year's second quarter. This includes the loss of approximately $23 million of revenue associated with our reduced store count and business model changes. Gross margin for the second quarter is expected to be slightly above last year's 54.2% rate. Our second quarter SG&A is expected to be essentially flat to last year's $140.4 million. This includes approximately $6 million of non-recurring charges, consisting of approximately $1 million associated with our SG&A reduction plan and approximately $5 million relating to the closure of our Mexico manufacturing operation. Non-recurring charges in last year's second quarter were $1.8 million. Absent the approximately $6 million in non-recurring charges and approximately $4 million of negative currency impact, our second quarter SG&A would be approximately $10 million lower than the prior year. In total, we will incur approximately $10 million in non-recurring charges to close our Mexico manufacturing operation split pretty evenly between Q2 and Q3. Approximately half of the non-recurring charges will be non-cash. Let me now turn to our full-year guidance. With respect to revenues, we now expect revenues to increase by low-single digits compared to 2017. Double-digit e-commerce growth and moderate wholesale growth are expected to more than offset declining retail revenues. Previously, we had guided to flat revenues year-over-year. Store closures and business model changes will reduce 2018 revenues by approximately $60 million compared to 2017. Absent those, we would expect revenues to be up high-single digits for the year. We continue to expect our gross margin to increase by 70 to 100 basis points over last year's 50.5% rate. On an annual basis, the closure of our Mexico operations is expected to improve gross margins by approximately 30 basis points. This benefit will be reflected in our 2019 results. SG&A for the full year is now expected to be approximately $485 million compared to our prior guidance of $475 million. We now anticipate incurring approximately $15 million of non-recurring charges, approximately $5 million of this relates to the implementation of our SG&A reduction plan and $10 million relates to the closure of our Mexico's manufacturing operation. As I noted before, approximately half of the Mexico-related charges are non-cash. After adjusting for the non-recurring charges and the currency impact, our full-year 2018 SG&A reduction would be approximately $45 million against our 2019 SG&A reduction goal of $75 million to $85 million. We are maintaining our guidance with respect to income from operations at approximately $50 million, up from $17.3 million last year. The higher revenues we now anticipate will offset the increase in non-recurring charges. We now expect our adjusted EBITDA to be approximately $95 million compared to $67 million last year and our earlier guidance of $85 million. We define adjusted EBITDA as income from operations, plus depreciation, amortization and non-recurring charges. 2018 adjusted EBITDA is expected to include approximately $30 million of depreciation and amortization and $15 million of non-recurring charges. 2018 income tax expense is now expected to be approximately $17 million compared to $7.9 million in 2017. Looking beyond 2018, I want to reiterate my belief that we are on a clear path to double-digit EBIT margins, which based on our current level of depreciation and amortization would translate into a 13% adjusted EBITDA margin. In summary, I continue to be pleased with our ongoing progress and I am confident that the ongoing benefits we are realizing from successfully executing against our strategic priorities will continue to result in increased shareholder value. At this time, I'll turn the call back over to Andrew for his final thought.