Ashley Fieglein Johnson
Analyst · CL
Thanks, Mike. Let me begin by providing some of the highlights from our fourth quarter and full year 2013. For the fourth quarter 2013, we delivered $77.2 million in revenue, up 15% from the $67.3 million delivered in Q4 of 2012. This was in line with our guidance of $75.5 million to $79.5 million for the quarter. For the full year 2013, we delivered $272.5 million of revenue, up 12% year-over-year and also in line with our guidance of $271 million to $275 million. For the full year and the fourth quarter, our cloud and data services business represented approximately 6% of our revenue, while managed services represented approximately 94%. As we continue to shift our business to a subscription model with our technology platform, both organically and through acquisition, we expect cloud and data services to represent an increasing percentage of our revenue. Beginning in 2014, we will break out revenue and gross margins for each of these business lines in our quarterly results and guidance. We continue to invest in our operating expenses to build out and grow our technology subscription business. These investments have included growth in our professional services teams, hiring engineers and product management in R&D to develop and expand our product footprint and sustaining our investments in sales and marketing to reposition the company and enhance our market presence. Our non-GAAP gross margin declined on a year-over-year basis, both in Q4 and overall in 2013, due to the increased expenditures for professional services and our SaaS operations cost, as well as the reclassification of some of these expenses from R&D to cost of revenue, as we move from the products being in development to having deployed customers on Renew. Our full year adjusted EBITDA of $17.7 million was in line with our guidance of $16 million to $19 million, and reflects the investments I've highlighted and increasing our market visibility and bringing our customers live on Renew OnDemand. Similarly, our non-GAAP net income on a full year basis was $5.2 million, or $0.06 per diluted share, also in line with the guidance. Moving to the balance sheet. Accounts receivable were up $9.2 million sequentially, to $73.1 million on higher revenue in the fourth quarter 2013. Overall, the quality of our receivables portfolio remains healthy, and our cash collection, thus far, in the quarter have been strong. DSOs in the fourth quarter were 85 days, improved from 86 days in the third quarter, and in line with the guidance we provided for DSOs in the mid-80s. Deferred revenues were $6.3 million, inclusive of both short- and long-term deferred revenue and approximately 2x our deferred revenue balance at the end of 2012. Cash flows from operations were $912,000 for the fourth quarter and $15.7 million for the full year, up from $10.6 million in 2012. Capital expenditures were $2.1 million for the fourth quarter and approximately $5.2 million for the full year. Free cash flow in the quarter was negative $800,000 and positive $11 million for the full year, after allowing for the effect of exchange rate changes on cash. A significant improvement from negative free cash flow of $10 million in 2012. Finally, we ended the year with total cash and cash equivalents of $275.1 million. As Mike discussed, 2013 was a year of learning, with both the unbundling of our products and the realignment of the business. As I turn to guidance, I will provide you with a more detailed view of our business by segment, applying some of the same levers we have discussed historically and noting how they are changing as our business model evolves. Turning first to managed services. Managed services is the foundation of our business and has been a profitable growing business for us over the last decade. We generate profit and strong customer reference ability from this business, which supports our investments and our technology and builds and expands our who's who customer base. The 4 key levers for managed services remain consistent. First, the timing and quantity of new ACV added throughout the year influenced our revenue growth in the year. We're starting the year with estimated managed services ACV of $281 million. We expect modest growth in managed services as our business focus shifts to our SaaS subscription businesses. We expect new business for managed services in 2014 to be weighted to H2. But should we see more of the ACV signed in H1, this will provide upside to our revenue forecast. Second, we assume ramp times of new ACV will be consistent with historical average of 2 to 3 quarters for the managed services business. On new business ramps, managed services faces gross margin compression, as we incur cost before our revenue reaches its full potential. Third, quarterly seasonality that we experienced in our managed services business further exacerbates this gross margin compression in Q1 and often in Q3, as well, as these are typically the lightest seasonal quarters for revenue. And finally, as Rick mentioned in the past, the important lever for growth is our ACV retention rate. In 2013, we returned to our historical ACV retention rate, averaging around 90%. We are targeting the same or better in 2014. With this context, we are guiding for the managed services business as follows. Q1 revenue in the range of $59 million to $61 million, and full year 2014 revenue in the range of $270 million to $274 million, reflecting 5% to 7% growth year-on-year. Q1 non-GAAP gross margins are expected to be in the mid-30s, driven by quarterly seasonality and ramping of new business, with full year gross margins in the high 30s to 40%. Overall profitability for this business funds the investment in our technology subscription business, while providing meaningful leverage in our go-to-market strategy. Turning to our Cloud and Data Services business. Our SaaS subscription business experienced significant growth in 2013, and with the acquisition of Scout Analytics, now represents more than 10% of our total ACV. We believe the combined solution offers the opportunity for continued growth and market leadership in 2014. In terms of key drivers for this segment of our business, we're entering 2014 would subscription ARR of $31 million and we assume an increasing percentage of new ACV will come from subscription agreements to our technology platform. As with our managed services business, we expect that new business will be weighted to the second half of the year, and we assume that subscription agreements will be recognized ratably, starting the month after new business is signed. Our subscription gross margin should improve gradually throughout the year as the business scales, but we expect professional services to continue to be a loss-leader to drive successful enterprise deployments and adoption of Renew OnDemand. Please note that our subscription revenue guidance in 2014 reflects non-GAAP revenue, which does not account for the adjustment of deferred revenue required for GAAP purchase accounting. As we report our quarterly results, we will provide a reconciliation between GAAP and non-GAAP revenue. Based on these key assumptions, we guide our Cloud and Data Services business as follows. Q1 2014 subscription revenue in the range of $7 million to $8 million, up over to 225% from our subscription revenue in Q1 of 2013 and approximately $1 million of professional services revenue. Full year 2014 Subscription revenue in the range of $35 million to $38 million, up approximately 200% from our Subscription revenue in 2013, but approximately $3 million to $4 million of professional services revenue. Gross margins for our Subscription Revenue in the low 60s for Q1, improving over the course of the year to the high 60s. And as I mentioned, our professional services business remains focused on ensuring the successful deployments and adoption of Renew OnDemand, and is not at this time focused on the profit margins we would expect to achieve at scale. Summing it all up, for our Consolidated business, we are forecasting total revenue for Q1 of $67 million to $70 million, reflecting a 10% to 15% increase over Q1 2013, and full year revenue guidance of $308 million to $316 million, reflecting 13% to 16% growth from 2013. We will sustain our investments in professional services, sales and marketing and R&D to support the rapid growth in our Subscription business, while we will seek scale in areas like G&A. We are also investing in integrating the acquisition of Scout Analytics, with the goal of accelerating the potential revenue synergies for that acquisition. As such, we are forecasting non-GAAP gross margins for Q1 in the range of 33% to 35%, and full year gross margins between 38% and 40%. Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 in the range of negative $3 million to negative $6 million, and full year adjusted EBITDA between negative $4 million and positive $4 million. Q1 non-GAAP net loss of negative $0.04 to negative $0.06 per share and full year non-GAAP net loss in the range of negative $0.04 to negative $0.09 per share. This guidance assumes a normalized tax rate of 40% and a fully diluted share count of approximately 82.5 million shares for the first quarter and 84.5 million shares for the full year. Free cash flow is forecasted to be breakeven to positive $3 million for Q1, and in the range of negative $7 million to $15 million for the full year, reflecting the continued investments in our growth, and the integration of Scout. We expect capital expenditures for the year of approximately $8 million to $10 million. One final note on our non-GAAP metrics in 2014. In addition to excluding stock-based compensation and amortization, we will also exclude any one-time transaction costs associated with the Scout acquisition. Please see the reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP metrics available on the IR portion of our website. To wrap it up, we are moving to a new phase in our business evolution, with greater than 10% of our revenue generated from a rapidly growing technology subscription business. We continue to invest in all areas of our business where we see opportunities for market capture and growth, while shifting our business model to one with greater long-term leverage and scalability. With that, I'd like to open up the line for questions. Operator?