Ashley Fieglein Johnson
Analyst · CLSA
Great. Thanks, Mike. Good afternoon, everyone. As you heard from Mike, Q3 was a quarter of solid progress for our business. I'd now like to take a few minutes to walk through our financial results from the third quarter and provide context and guidance for the fourth quarter, as well as full year of fiscal 2013. As a reminder, non-GAAP metrics do not include noncash expenses related to stock-based compensation, the amortization of internally developed software and non-cash interest expense related to the issuance of convertible notes. You can find a reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP metrics in today's press release and on the Investor Relations section of our website. To begin, let me take you through some of the numbers. Revenue for the third quarter totaled $66.5 million, at the upper end of our guidance and reflecting growth of 13% year-over-year. Revenue in North America grew 20% year-over-year, as new business that landed in region late last year and early in 2013 moved beyond the early ramp phases of deployment. International regions grew more slowly, based primarily on quarterly seasonality. In addition, in Asia, we saw one large customer move away from a pay-per-performance model that skewed heavily to Q3 to a more ratable subscription model that now includes Renew OnDemand. GAAP gross margins were 40%, slightly down from 42% from Q3 2012, as scale and outperformance in our managed services business was offset by the increased professional services expenses incurred in the quarter. Non-GAAP gross margins were 43% at the high end of guidance, and down approximately 1 percentage point year-over-year. Moving to operating expenses. Sales and marketing was relatively flat year-over-year and down quarter-over-quarter, primarily due to lower sales commissions offset by increased marketing spend. R&D expenses increased year-over-year, as we are no longer capitalizing R&D expenses related to the product. R&D expense is down quarter-to-quarter, primarily due to the reclassification of configuration engineers from R&D to professional services, as these individuals are now primarily engaged in revenue-generating activities. In addition, as we start to scale out our internal development team, we saw a shift from third-party contractors to internal hires in engineering. G&A was relatively flat quarter-to-quarter and up year-over-year due to hiring and investments in our IT infrastructure to support our global operations. Adjusted EBITDA in the third quarter was $5.3 million, above guidance, primarily due to the factors I just highlighted. This compares to $4.8 million in Q3 of 2012. Focusing on the bottom line, our GAAP net loss in the quarter was approximately $5.5 million or $0.07 per share, as compared to a net loss of approximately $3.6 million or $0.05 per share for the same period of 2012. Our third quarter non-GAAP net profit was $2 million or $0.02 per diluted share, similar to our non-GAAP results in the same quarter 1 year prior and above our prior guidance of negative $0.02 to a positive $0.01 per share. Moving to the balance sheet and cash flow metrics. DSOs were up 86 days, up from 81 days in Q2, primarily due to seasonality in international business, and down from 89 days in the same period last year as we continue to improve our invoicing and collections practices. We expect DSOs to trend in the mid-80s for the foreseeable future. Accounts receivable were approximately $64 million, up approximately $3 million from Q2, reflecting the higher DSOs. As a reminder, we currently invoice most of our subscription customers on a quarterly basis, so the change in deferred revenue quarter-to-quarter is not yet a relevant metric for tracking our subscription billings. Cash flows from operations were $3.1 million in the quarter, down from Q2 due to seasonality but ahead of our expectations due to lower operating expenses. Capital expenditures were just under $1 million, resulting in positive free cash flow of approximately $2 million after adjusting for exchange rates. During the quarter, we raised $136 million in cash through our convertible debt issuance. We issued $150 million of convertible notes, which brings our cash balance to a record $278 million at the end of the quarter. Overall, we had another solid quarter financially. Our managed services business generated strong top line performance by delivering for our customers, while at the same time driving efficiencies that enhance our bottom line and enable us to invest in strategic growth initiatives. We're beginning to accelerate our investments into our rapidly growing cloud and data services business as outlined last quarter, most of which will ramp in Q4 and extend into 2014. We also launched our managed services presence in Japan, which will give us a stronger platform to turn around our growth trajectory and to allow us to pursue Japanese expansion opportunities, which, we believe, have the greatest growth potential in the region. Turning to our guidance for Q4 and fiscal year 2013. For the fourth quarter of 2013, we're forecasting revenue in the range of $75.5 million to $79.5 million, an increase of approximately 15% over the fourth quarter 2012 at the midpoint of the range. We expect non-GAAP gross margins to be in the range of 44% to 46% versus 49% in Q4 of 2012, compressed by the continued investments in bringing new customers live on Renew OnDemand and our white glove approach to these early implementations. We are forecasting adjusted EBITDA to be between $7 million to $10 million. And our forecast for non-GAAP net income in the quarter ranges from $2.5 million to $4.5 million, or $0.03 to $0.05 per share. Finally, free cash flow for Q4 is forecast to be in the range of a loss of $5 million to a loss of $3 million. Turning now to guidance for the full 2013 fiscal year. Given the strong performance in H1, along with Q3 results at the high end of the range, we are modestly raising our revenue guidance from the prior range of $270 million to $274 million to a range of $271 million to $275 million, representing year-over-year growth of 12% at the midpoint. Non-GAAP gross margins remain in the range of 43% to 44%, consistent with our prior guidance. Based on the higher revenue guidance for the year, we're raising our forecast for adjusted EBITDA from $15 million to $18 million, to $16 million to $19 million. We will continue to ramp up our investments around R&D and market awareness in Q4, consistent with the guidance we've provided at the end of last quarter. Accordingly, our guidance for non-GAAP net income for the year increases to $4.5 million to $6.5 million, or $0.06 to $0.08 per diluted share, up from prior guidance of $0.05 to $0.07 per share. Turning to cash flow. Based on our performance in Q3, we're raising our guidance on free cash flow to $7 million to $9 million for the year versus prior guidance of $2 million to $4 million. This increase is reflective of the more positive cash flow metrics associated with our subscription business, improved financial operations and our lower capital expenses for the business. Our revised estimate for CapEx on the year is now $5 million to $7 million, down from $7 million to $9 million, reflecting operational efficiencies combined with a shift in IT spend to OpEx as we adopt more cloud-based solutions internally. Our non-GAAP guidance metrics assume a normalized tax rate of 40% and a share count of approximately 85 million shares for Q4 and 83 million shares for the year. Let me now give investors an update on our outlook for net ACV growth for the year. As a reminder, the path to net ACV growth is defined by 3 factors: market, which is reflected in our pipeline; sales execution, reflected in our close rates; and customer satisfaction, reflected in our ACV retention metrics. Our investments in Renew OnDemand and brand awareness create leads and opportunities to continue to expand our market and grow our pipeline, which has remained strong all year. Similarly, our investments and customer success have stabilized our ACV retention rates at or above 90%. Our key area of focus is on improving our sales execution and overall close rates, both units and dollars. As Mike alluded to earlier, we were disappointed with our dollar close rates for new ACV in Q3, especially on the heels of such a strong last 4 quarters. With close rates back on par with the levels we've seen in the past few quarters, we would expect our annual net ACV growth to be in the mid-teens. With the early signings in Q4, the team is laser-focused on getting close rates above historical levels, which would get us back on track for net ACV growth in the high teens. Importantly, the strong performance by the sales team in the first half of the year, driving both new ACV and subscription bookings, combined with the efforts of customer success around ACV retention puts us in a strong position for continued revenue acceleration in 2014. Given our current and forecasted bookings for Q4, we believe that subscription business should continue to grow at a strong cliff, and our overall business should be able to achieve organic top line growth of 13% to 15% in 2014. Overall, we believe the changes we have undertaken as a business have put us in a position of greater flexibility, and therefore, greater strength for attacking the market opportunity in front of us. Our managed services business performs well, driving growth and profitability. Our cloud and data services business opens new opportunities to us, as we're able to give customers more choice in how they purchase and deploy our solutions for recurring revenue management. The early results have been revealing, with subscription bookings up over 300% year-on-year and annual recurring revenue increasing accordingly. We'll dive into all of these metrics in more detail, as well as our growth strategy and long-term financial model at our Analyst Day later this month, where we hope you'll join us. And with that, I'd like to turn it back over to Mike for closing comments.