Robert Steers
Analyst · Evercore ISI. Your line is open. Please go ahead
Thanks, Joe. With Joe’s market commentary as the backdrop, I’d like to comment on the recent results and outlook for our key strategies and markets. In a nutshell extreme uncertainty and sentiment chefs’ beginning in the first quarter was a major change in the mix of fund flows which in turn highlighted the importance of having complimentary strategies and diverse markets. As Joe said earlier this year, U.S. real estate and preferred security strategies saw market declines that resulted in net outflows in the wealth channel. In addition, is U.S. REIT share price declines will compound it by a weak dollar making it difficult to reverse the outflows from our Japanese sub advisory relationships. At the outset of the second quarter, retail market sentiment remained negative towards U.S. REIT and preferred securities strategies and outflows stayed elevated. Concurrently, inflows into our non-U.S. strategies such as global real estate made up for a portion of these outflows. In addition, as investors who were concerned about rising interest rates sold out of long duration strategies we benefit from record inflows into our low duration preferred fund which we launch less than three years ago. The point here is that early in the year as market preferences abruptly shifted away from U.S. REITs and preferred securities. We were positioned to successfully offer investors the right alternative solutions. Turning from individual strategies to markets and channels here to we’re seeing positive momentum and the benefits of expanded breath. The green shoots in Europe which we spoke about in the first quarter have grown into meaningful flows in the second quarter further diversifying our sources of asset growth for both the advisory and wealth management businesses. Also in the quarter, Japan sub advisory showed good improvement and it’s potentially approaching an inflection point. As has been the recent trend both are institutional advisory and open-end fund businesses are experiencing solid net inflows. The investments that were made in strategically adding new products such as low duration preferred and midstream energy and new markets like the media have helped us to defend well and the face of an uncertain market environment and position us for continued growth. Before discussing asset flows in more detail I also want to touch on why we report and discuss net flows both before and after distributions. Given that virtually all of our strategies have a material income component we fully appreciate that for us distributions have a meaningful impact on our total net flows and financial results. However, to understand, manage and evaluate the outlook for our various product and market we believe that net flows for distributions are a better way to understand our current and future growth prospects. Turning to our market segments, U.S. Open-end funds had net inflows of $99 million in the quarter. Coincident with the strong demand in the performance of U.S. REITs net inflows into our U.S. focus funds began to improve and ultimately turned positive. Our preferred securities fund experience to second consecutive quarter of outflows as investors remain concerned about duration risk. Importantly, almost all of the $264 million of net outflows were captured and offset by $259 million of net inflows into our low duration preferred fund. Lastly, we are optimistic about the growth prospects for our midstream energy fund which was named by Alerian as the 2017 midstream energy fund of the year and is among the best performers in its category since its inception almost five years ago. We see an outstanding opportunity to capitalize on the outlook for this industry leading fund which took in $27 million of net inflows in the quarter. In Europe, our non-U.S. open end funds slipped from $88 million of net outflows in the first quarter to $20 million of net inflows from third party investors this quarter. This is attributable to the early progress being made by our business development team in London focused on the well and an intermediary channels and we expect this positive momentum to continue. With the launch of our multi strategy real asset C Cab [ph] in the second quarter and we now have five offshore funds available for investors and we continue to sign distribution agreements with leading intermediaries. Our advisory group at $450 million of net inflows with $178 million of that amount attributable to our European institutional group also a result of our recent commitment to the region. The overwhelming majority of the advisory group flows were focused on global real estate and preferred securities and include first time mandate from the Middle East and Germany. The awarded but unfunded pipeline a quarter-end stood at $535 million and we are finalists or awaiting the results on $460 million undecided searches, RFP activity remains strong. Notwithstanding the possibility of additional distribution cuts the trends in our Japanese sub-advisory business have been improving. Quarterly pre-distribution net outflows declined from $494 million in the fourth quarter of last year to $336 million in the first quarter and were $152 million in this quarter. In fact, of the two U.S. refunds that have been and out flows the larger of it too had modest inflows in the quarter. In addition, to the passage of time since the distributions were first cut there were several additional factors which contributed to the improved flows. First, a strong rebound in the performance of U.S. REITs and the U.S. dollar all sort investor confidence in the sector. Second, several major distribution partners increased their sales and marketing activity in the quarter and we are preparing to support higher levels of this client outreach. Sub-advisory extra pan had a difficult quarter with $260 million of net outflows. This was primarily the result of under-performance and our active commodity strategy which show spoke about and the consequent loss of a $183 million mandate, the remainder of the outflows from mainly attributable to rebalancing. Looking out to the balance of the year, our core strategies which include real estate, infrastructure, midstream energy and preferred securities are performing well and enjoying positive investor demand. Our investments in new products and distribution opportunities are paying off and paying an increasingly important role. In that vein, as we discussed last quarter, we’re making progress and growing our business development and investment teams focused on the multifamily office endowment and OCIO markets. This includes developing an expanded product set tailored to this audience. With that, I’ll ask the operator to open the floor for questions.