Robert Steers
Analyst · KBW
Thank you, Matt, and good morning, everyone. Needless to say the first quarter was challenging for many of our key strategies and markets. Rising expectations for global growth, U.S. inflation and interest rates, feeling acceleration of the headwinds that have been affecting interest rate sensitive investment strategies for the past few years. To put this in perspective, over the past one and three year periods ended March, the S&P 500 generated annualized returns of 14% and 10.8% respectively. By comparison U.S. REITs returned negative 0.4% and 2.8%. Global listed infrastructures' comparative returns have been 6.6% and 5.1%. And despite the rebound in oil prices, midstream energy has had negative returns of 14.8% and 9.1%. This sustained underperformance despite positive or improving fundamentals has put these strategies in historically undervalued territory, especially real estate, commodities and midstream energy. Interestingly, we are seeing a material divergence in flows by strategy between the wealth and institutional markets in response to these trends. The U.S. open-end fund channel while still net positive, has shifted away from strategies perceived to be the most interest rate sensitive and toward low duration and global strategies. Conversely, institutional investors are eager but hard-pressed to find investment opportunities that deliver positive fundamentals while also trading at historically cheap valuations, a scarce commodity in today's markets. With regard to our results, this was another quarter of outstanding relative performance, and I think some of these numbers, they are repeating. 8 of 10 core strategies beat their benchmarks in the quarter, and 7 out of 10 did so over the latest 12 months. 96% and 93% of our AUM have outperformed over the last 1- and 3-year time periods, and 86% of our open-end fund assets under management are rated 4 or 5 stars by Morningstar. Consistent with our view that over time, there will be a small number of big winners in each asset class, our strong performance is a major contributing factor supporting our ongoing market share gains versus other active managers, and it's a key factor supporting our high success rate in competing for institutional mandates. Turning to the wealth channel, our U.S. open-end funds overall had net inflows of $84 million. However, we saw a $134 million of net outflows from our preferred securities fund, while over $200 million of net inflows went into our low duration preferred fund, which is now approximately $1 billion. As you may recall, we launched this fund in 2015 to provide investors a solution for when interest rates would migrate higher. Also, while U.S. REIT flows were down slightly, our global real estate fund enjoyed its third consecutive quarter of net inflows bringing in a record $107 million in the quarter, as international securities outperformed and our relative performance is strong. As I touched on last quarter, our registered European mutual funds are growing in number and strategic importance. Phase I of our European product and distribution plan is now complete. Today, we offer investors global listed infrastructure; European real estate; global real estate; active commodities; preferred securities; and shortly, our multi-strat real asset strategies. And our business development team is in place and fully staffed. Although, we did experience net outflows due to the rebalancing in the quarter, bringing our total open-end fund flow slightly negative. We've made great progress towards completing distribution agreements with important intermediaries in Europe, which we are confident will translate into increasing flows. Institutional advisory flows continued to be strong with $278 million of net inflows in the quarter. As has been the trend, the inflows were broad-based both by strategy and geography. Mandates focused on U.S. real estate, global real estate and global listed infrastructure were funded in the quarter, and we won our initial midstream energy mandate. In addition, our U.K.-based institutional team is starting to generate traction in Europe and the Middle East. We were awarded our first German sub-advisory account, our first Middle Eastern sovereign wealth fund relationship and a large Swiss sub-advisory client. Again, these are green shoots which reflect our commitment more than two years ago to substantially expand our business development teams in the region. Our current pipeline of awarded but unfunded mandates is a solid $924 million across 6 strategies. In the quarter, mandates totaling $265 million were funded while $345 million of new mandates were added. We removed $255 million of assets in mandates that were previously accounted in the pipeline but that have been delayed or reduced in size, and we are currently waiting -- awaiting the outcome for over $500 million of searches that have been completed. Sub-advisory extra pan flows were a mixed bag in the quarter. Although, we experienced net inflows into global listed infrastructure, global real estate and preferred strategies, we lost $196 million commodities relationship resulting in total net outflows in the quarter of $34 million. Japan sub-advisory net outflows were $336 million in the quarter and distributions totaled $600 million. Net outflows declined by over 30% sequentially which is encouraging. That said, in all likelihood, it will be another 6 to 9 months until we know of the headwinds affecting these funds, including U.S. REIT performance in Yen terms, reconciliation of fund distribution policies and regulators response to lower distributions are behind us. Looking ahead, our focus will remain on listed real assets and alternative income strategies. However, going forward in response to rapidly change -- rapidly changing marketplace, we will need to go deeper and be even more focused to deliver value to our clients. Multifamily offices, super RIAs, OCIO firms, sovereign wealth funds and other large asset allocators are becoming an increasingly dominant factor for active managers. Because of their size and unique investment requirements, they tend to be disciplined asset allocators who typically allocate to real assets. So to better serve these markets, we will be moving beyond our standard offerings to provide portfolios targeting specific objectives such as high alpha-focus strategies, custom combinations of real asset classes and thematic concepts. As Matt alluded to, to properly capitalize on these market segments, we have and will continue to add both investment professionals and relationship managers in support of these new efforts. We're excited about the opportunity to go even deeper into our asset classes, while staying focused on delivering results for our clients. Now with that, I'll ask the operator to open the floor for questions.