Judy Hong
Analyst · BMO Capital Markets
Thank you very much, David, and good morning, everyone. I plan to focus my comments on a review of our third quarter results, actions we're taking to achieve profitability and perspectives on the near-term outlook. So let's start with a review of our third quarter results. Our Q3 results point to a start of revenue stabilization with 7% sequential revenue growth, led by strong growth of our U.S. businesses, which is offset by softness in our Canadian recreational business. During Q3, we generated net revenue of CAD141 million, representing an 8% decline over the prior year. Excluding acquisitions, our net revenue declined 17% versus the prior year. Our reported gross margin in Q3 was 7%, and our adjusted gross margin was 13%. Adjusted EBITDA in Q3 amounted to a loss of CAD67 million, which improved by 1% versus last year. And free cash flow in Q3 was an outflow of CAD168 million, representing a 24% greater outflow versus the prior year, partly due to the timing of working capital. Now let's dive deeper into revenue performance in the third quarter, starting with the global cannabis segment. Global cannabis sales decreased 20% year-over-year and excluding the impact of acquisitions, was down 34%. Our total Canadian recreational business declined 25% year-over-year driven by the following: B2B revenue declined 23% due mainly to declines in our flower sales. Our flower sales continued to be impacted by ongoing price compression in the value-priced flower category as well as the limited supply of single-strain high-potency flower products. Now the good news is we're starting to see new single-strain flower products hitting the market with strong reception, and we expect additional supply to come into market in the coming months. Our recreational B2C cannabis sales in Q3 decreased 28% versus the prior year, which was largely driven by increased competition. Our Canadian medical cannabis sales were down 7% as higher average order size was offset by a lower number of orders. Our international and other cannabis business had a few puts and takes during the quarter. We grew our U.S. CBD business by 25% versus the prior year. We also benefited from a bulk sale of flower into Israel medical market that generated approximately CAD4 million in revenue. This was more than offset by declines in our C3 and German flower business resulting from increased competition. Turning to other consumer products. Q3 net revenue increased 19% versus the prior year. BioSteel had its record quarterly revenue, increasing 130% year-over-year due to strong distribution gains of ready-to-drink beverages in the U.S. as well as higher international sales of its ready-to-drink and powdered beverage mixes. Storz & Bickel also posted a record quarterly revenue increasing 5% year-over-year, which was driven by strong consumer demand for the new limited-edition product VOLCANO as well as the MIGHTY+ vaporizers. And this was declined 2% year-over-year due to lapping of strong prior year sales. Now let's now move to gross margins. Reported gross margin in Q3 was 7%. Our adjusted gross margin was 13%, which excludes the impact of CAD3 million of inventory step-up charge from the Supreme acquisition as well as the CAD5 million charge related to inventory write-downs resulting from strategic changes to our business. Gross margin in Q3 was further impacted by the following: First, we continue to see pressure on gross margin from lower production output and price compression in the Canadian rec business, notably in the value-priced flower category. Second, as we scale up our U.S. businesses, including our CBD products as well as BioSteel, we are still experiencing under-absorption of fixed cost. We're also facing higher supply chain costs, such as freight that many in the industry are currently facing. And third, decreased contribution of higher-margin C3 revenue also negatively impacted our overall gross margin. These factors were partially offset by payroll subsidies in the amount of CAD7 million that was received from the Canadian government pursuant to COVID-19 relief program. Now turning to operating expenses, demonstrating continued discipline, our overall SG&A expenses in Q3 decreased 19% versus the prior year. G&A expenses declined 47%, primarily due to reductions in staffing and professional fees as well as the benefit of payroll subsidies. Excluding the payroll subsidy benefit, G&A expenses declined 27% versus last year. R&D expenses in Q3 declined to 53% versus the prior year, principally due to a more focused and disciplined approach to R&D investments. Sales and marketing expenses increased 20% year-over-year, primarily due to higher marketing investments behind BioSteel and our U.S. CBD brand. The Supreme acquisition also increased our sales and marketing expenses when compared to the prior year. Now turning to free cash flow. Our free cash flow in Q3 was an outflow of CAD168 million, which represents a 24% increase over the prior year. CapEx declined to just CAD1 million, which was down 98% from the prior year. The increase in cash used in operation during Q3 compared to a year ago reflects increased interest paid as well as the timing of working capital. I'd like to now take this opportunity to speak to the efforts underway to improve our profitability. Taking a step back, as an organization, we built the structure and operations that can support a significantly higher revenue base than we're currently generating. And while we remain optimistic about the long-term prospects of this industry as well as Canopy's position to succeed, we recognize that we need to adapt to the realities of our business today. We've already made significant progress rightsizing our footprint and realizing cost savings from our previously announced cost savings program. Through the end of third quarter of fiscal '22, we've generated approximately CAD85 million of cost savings across both COGS and SG&A. Our combined sales and marketing, G&A and R&D expenses are down 17% or CAD63 million lower year-to-date in fiscal '22 when compared to a year ago. And even excluding the payroll subsidy benefit, our SG&A expenses have decreased by 8% year-to-date, and this is inclusive of additional expenses that came with the Supreme acquisition. Now that being said, as consumer preferences continue to shift and the Canadian market structure remains challenged by low barriers to entry and onerous regulations, these cost savings are not enough for us to achieve profitability in Canada. So a key component of our path to profitability is further simplifying our businesses and optimizing our expenses and work is well underway to finalize our near-term revenue, operational and expense plans necessary to achieve profitability in Canada as soon as possible. Let me offer a bit more details on our SG&A expense structure. Our sales and marketing expenses comprised of around 40% in advertising and promotional spending, and 60% in sales and marketing overhead. We've made deliberate decisions to continue making strategic investments in these areas in our core markets. With a sizable portion of these investments currently being spent against emerging growth brands in the U.S., including BioSteel, Martha Stewart CBD, Quatreau and Whisl. These strategic investments account for approximately 1/3 of our total selling and marketing expenses. We also have our corporate-owned retail stores that carry a significant portion of our selling and marketing expenses. These expenses account for nearly 40% of our total selling and marketing overhead spending in Canada. Now we plan to continue to make strategic investments where we see high potential for payoff, but in a more targeted way. And in a market like Canada, where advertising is severely restricted, we're focusing more on the ground game to win with retailers. Now when you turn to R&D, we've already shifted our R&D focus away from long-term clinical trials to areas where we see near-term commercial benefit. And we plan to further tighten our focus and invest in R&D that is core to our strategy and has a tangible payoff in the near term. Now digging into our G&A expenses, the biggest areas of spending are public company costs, finance, IT, legal and regulations. We've built some of these functions with an expectation that our revenues would scale quickly and require a sophisticated level of support. However, until our growth catches up with our aspirations, we need to reclaim a more entrepreneurial mindset, which means being more nimble and scrap beer with our resources, while also identifying opportunities to further simplify our processes or structure to generate additional G&A savings. So as you can see, recognizing that our overall expense structure is built for a larger revenue base than our near-term projections, we are taking measurable steps to ensure that we can be profitable in Canada, while investing for growth in key strategic areas such as our U.S. THC strategy. So now I would like to provide some perspectives on our near-term outlook. From a top line perspective, in Canada, we note that retail store closures caused by elevated COVID-related staff absences, has likely had a modestly negative impact on retail sell-through as well as inventory replenishment orders. This could potentially present a headwind to our Canadian recreational B2B and B2C business in the current quarter. We do expect sales declines to begin to moderate in Canada as we focus on stabilizing and growing our share of premium and mainstream segments of the Canadian recreational market. In Europe, we expect our medical sales to be down on a year-over-year basis due to increased competition in our German flower business as well as divestiture of the C3 business, which closed on January 31. As a reminder, C3 generated net revenue of nearly CAD16 million in Q4 of last year. Our U.S. CBD business in the current quarter is expected to be up modestly year-over-year as we lapped last year's sales that were boosted by the sell-in of Quatreau beverages. We expect BioSteel revenue to continue to benefit from additional retail authorizations and resulting product load-in. For Storz & Bickel, we expect sales growth on a year-over-year basis as the brand continues to benefit from strong consumer demand for recent innovation while we're closely monitoring our global supply chain. From a margin standpoint, the divestiture of high-margin C3 business during the current quarter can be expected to present a modest gross margin headwind. We expect increased volume throughput and positive mix shift in Canada to contribute to a gradual gross margin improvement, though price compression remains a key watch out. And headwinds from start-up costs in the U.S. should begin to abate as we scale up our CBD and CPG businesses. So this could be offset by continued increase in supply chain-related costs in the near term that we're closely watching. And finally, we now expect our full year fiscal '22 CapEx to be in the range of CAD45 million to CAD60 million, which is down from the prior range of CAD100 million to CAD150 million. The decline in CapEx is primarily due to the deferral of certain projects and the elimination of CapEx related to the planning and construction of a new facility for C3. With the sale of C3 now complete, it's been removed from our budget. So in conclusion, we expect actions we're taking will drive improved execution, accelerate top line growth and allow Canopy to achieve profitability in Canada while also continuing to make strategic investments in key growth areas. We plan to share additional details around our path to profitability once we complete our annual planning that we have underway. This concludes my prepared comments. Kelsey, David and I will be happy to take questions from analysts.