Mike Bless
Analyst · Cowen and Company. Please go ahead
I’ll answer your last question first because it’s an easy one, 100%. We’re not making any purity today. So after the – and we haven’t since, let’s see, we quit it since – we haven’t for the last two years, and so after or 21 months, I would say. So after the market was saturated with product from two regions, in particular, these are called out, of course, in the Commerce Department’s report, the Persian Gulf and Russia, as well, well, well below our established market prices. We stop purity production at Hawesville, it didn’t make any sense to us. So the answer is 100%. I’m not sure, Novid, I’ll try to answer what, I think you were asking in the first part of your question, but you redirect me please or come back if I’m not exactly on point. So that incremental EBITDA, again, assumed very little incremental purity, just a smidge. As I said, Hawesville has proven that it can produce up to 100,000 tons. So if you assume that we did bring up the fourth and fifth potlines which again, is our strong intention, assuming the 232 order makes sense to us and can correct the market. We believe that there could be a good chunk of that second 50,000 tons and the third 50,000 tons that could be high-purity. As I think you know, I mean,, the typical market over time for 0202 has been well, well, well over $200 a ton, approaching $300 a ton and more, we make a little 0101 as well, which can be $500 a ton to $800 a ton. And even 03 and 04 traded $0.04 or $0.05, $0.06 I’m sorry, $100, $150 a ton. So there’s good incremental opportunity there for just pure incremental cash flow. As we told you in the past, it doesn’t cost us significant additional operating expense to make the purity. You just need to amend those potlines with experienced people who know how to attend those sales, and you are limited somewhat in your alumina choices. There’s maybe six to seven or eight aluminas to which you’re limited. But that’s won’t narrow our current supply base at all. So I’ll stop talking now and you tell me if I got it or didn’t.