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CECO Environmental Corp. (CECO)

Q4 2012 Earnings Call· Thu, Mar 7, 2013

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

A very good day to you ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Q4 2012 CECO Environmental Earnings Conference Call hosted by Benton Cook, Interim Chief Financial Officer. And my name is Gary, I'm your event coordinator today. [Operator Instructions] The conference is being recorded for audio replay purposes. I would like to hand over to Benton to begin. Over to you.

Benton L. Cook

Analyst

Thank you. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us this morning. Also joining us on the call this morning will be our Chairman, Phil DeZwirek; and our CEO, Jeff Lang. Before we begin, I would like to caution investors regarding forward-looking statements. Any statements made in today's presentation that are not based on historical fact are forward-looking statements. Such statements are based on certain estimates and expectations and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties. Actual future results may vary materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. We encourage you to read the risks described in our SEC filings, including our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2011. Except to the extent required by applicable securities laws, we undertake no obligation to update or publicly revise any of the forward-looking statements that you may hear today, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Before I turn the call over to Jeff, I want to make a few brief comments on the quarterly and annual results. For the fourth quarter of 2012, net sales were $34.3 million as compared to $37.8 million in the same period of 2011. This year-over-year decrease was related to timing on projects, the process and schedule for project completion with conversion to the revenue in the period. Gross profit was relatively unchanged at $11.2 million, compared to $11.3 million. Gross margin increased to 32.7%, compared to 29.9% for the same quarter in 2011. Operating income increased to $4.4 million in 2012 as compared to $3.8 million in 2011, a 15.8% improvement. Operating margin increased to 12.8% from 10.1%. Net income was $3.1 million, compared to net income of $2.7 million, a 14.8% improvement. Income per diluted share was $0.18, compared to…

Jeffrey Lang

Analyst

Thank you, Ben. Good morning, everybody. Thank you for participating in the CECO Q4 and Full Year 2012 Earnings Call today. We appreciate your continuing interest in CECO Environmental Corporation. As you can see, CECO had a good -- another good quarter and excellent full year of profitability for our shareholders and employees. Our core organic business is very strong, coupled with the 2 recent strategic acquisitions. We are now moving into the $190 million to $200 million revenue range, which is pretty exciting for us. We are pleased with our position, and growth is a priority. 2012, we continued to focus on our core strategies of profitable growth, operational excellence, building a high reoccurring revenue model, acquisitions, global growth and margin expansion. And the CECO team, we believe, is heading in the right direction and are very motivated to continue growing and improving our business for our shareholders. Some comments about last year. We booked $139 million last year, similar to that number in 2011, but at the same time grew our profitability significantly. We see our current quotation activity very strong, and we also see Q1 coming in favorably with intake of orders and so we're pretty excited about this year. We're anticipating a solid organic growth year, coupled with the 2 acquisitions to drive continued earnings for our shareholders. Last year, we had $0.65 of EPS, compared to $0.51 the previous year. That's a 27% year-over-year increase of earnings growth, and the team's aspirations are to continue growing that this year. Now I'd like to comment on some of the businesses in 2012. Our parts business grew very well last year. They had a record year in revenue and operating margins, and we see that continuing. This is one of our core reoccurring revenue businesses that targets…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We do have our first question from the line of Ajay of FBR Capital Markets.

Ajay Kejriwal

Analyst

So congratulations on getting the 2 deals done here in quick succession. You've added about 35% of the company. But on a pro forma basis, you still have very little debt if not no debt. And arguably, your capacity for acquisitions is higher now because of the EBITDA from these deals. So maybe talk from a capital allocation perspective. How should we be thinking about additional deals? It sounded like there's more in the pipeline. I mean, would there be any limiting factors? Meaning, would there be a lot of integration effort involved with these 2 deals that would take mind share? Or is it more of the availability in the right kind of deals for you?

Benton L. Cook

Analyst

I think the first short answer is, the integration of Aarding and Adwest, Ajay, should be relatively soft and easy. They complement our businesses, we've been working with them for a while. So I don't see that as a complex event. I think over the next 3 or 4 months, that integration will go quite smooth and favorably. Regarding future opportunities, as you know, Ajay, globally and domestically, the air pollution control technology sector is fragmented. It's probably hyper-fragmented compared to other industries, and there's a lot of opportunities out there. And we're looking at a handful. The board studies them quarterly or actually monthly. And we have -- as we've stated for 3 years, we have -- we always several in the queue that we're studying and going through due diligence side and would like consider going forward on. But we have pretty strict capitalization guidelines. We have pretty strict M&A requirements so that deals are accretive. They're good fit. They bolster our technology, but I think capitalization opportunities are pretty good for us. And typically, the 3:4:1 EBITDA to debt has been good rules of thumb that we follow. But I think there's a lot of opportunities for CECO in 2013 and 2014.

Ajay Kejriwal

Analyst

Good. And it sounds like you have a nice portfolio of products in the natural gas sector with Aarding and Adwest. So maybe talk about would be areas of interest for you. Is that building out further in natural gas? Or are there other end markets you should be looking at?

Jeffrey Lang

Analyst

I think there's a few other markets. I think for 2013, I think our natural gas portfolio is in good shape. Our traditional utility business is in good shape. If there's a few items that we could bolt on to build out the systems in both of those, we will do that. And there's a couple of things we are looking at. As we've stated, there are some things we're looking at to continue growing our reoccurring revenue side of the business, the parts and the services, to get us into that 30%, 35%, 40% gross profit. And as you know, Ajay, one of our core strategy is to build a high reoccurring model to scale us through any type of economic cycle and outperform our peers. So but I'll also say there's other air pollution control type of businesses and product recovery type of businesses that we would like to add to our portfolio that exists. So there's a few more products -- and a few more -- and a couple of other companies that we're looking at.

Ajay Kejriwal

Analyst

Good. And then maybe on Aarding, if you can talk about the synergies with Flextor. Sounds like you have complementary product lines, and they are a very big international presence. So just color on what synergy should we expect here over time.

Jeffrey Lang

Analyst

Yes. Quite a bit. It's a great fit. It passed all our tests. The number one, Aarding standalone is clearly accretive to our business, favorably accretive. Number two, the Flextor division that's been participating in the natural gas arena for 20 years has the ability to, in my view, at least double in size in the next few years as the Aarding engine pulls all this global business into CECO. So there's significant revenue synergies for Flextor, and that's part B of the equation. And there is some -- thirdly, there is some cost synergies in blending the Aarding, Flextor and EFFOX businesses together. But we purchased Aarding for a long-term growth engine, but there are additional revenue synergies and cost synergies. And fourthly, we have an excellent business model in China that I think could help accelerate Aarding's growth in the Pacific Rim.

Ajay Kejriwal

Analyst

Good. And maybe one more for me before I pass it on. So in the prepared remarks, I think you mentioned timing on projects that hurt fourth quarter sales. Maybe talk a little bit about that. I mean, any color on what project should we expect those revenues to show up in the first quarter? And it seems like gross margins come in very -- at high levels in the fourth quarter. What should be the expectation on the base business in 2013?

Jeffrey Lang

Analyst

Well, number one, Ajay, our bookings are up nice -- I mean, our backlog is up nicely. We're $60 million today versus $55 million a year ago. And actually, it's greater than that if you look at some of the businesses we kind of deemphasized. So and secondarily, we had probably 4 or 5 projects that we thought we were in position to be awarded in Q4, both domestically and in China. And those orders that were still in good shape on will be left to us in Q1 or Q2. And actually, some of those -- a couple of those have already been awarded to us. So I see Q1 being strong from a bookings perspective. Our overall activity and RFQ metrics are strong. And as we've stated for several years, we want to be in the minimum of 10% to 15% year-over-year revenue growth both organically in terms of acquisition. So we're looking for a very solid organic growth here in 2013, maybe slightly above average.

Ajay Kejriwal

Analyst

And then gross margins on the base business?

Jeffrey Lang

Analyst

Well, we certainly don't want to take any points off the board. So we're going to hold the line on gross profit from 2012, but we also think there's some upside. There's some upside synergies in pricing, there's some upside synergies in costing and cost of operations. So we don't want to dilute any of that. We hope we can improve on our gross profit. At the same time, we want to be very aggressive in bringing in business. So it's a fine line of balancing gross profit improvement and bringing in a lot of revenues. So I would say we will at least hold the line in 2013 maybe slightly above.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Rob Stone of Cowen.

Robert W. Stone

Analyst

So I wonder if you could comment. You said that there's only a handful of competitors in the natural gas space. Now that you have Aarding and Flextor combined, what do you think CECO's competitive position is relative to others?

Jeffrey Lang

Analyst

Strong, global. I think when you put up a natural gas power plant, it's -- you're putting in complex, highly differentiated engineered equipment. And there's probably 3 or 4 players that the OEMs look to or the major EPC firms look to, to buy. You have to have a strong track record. You have to be able to meet page -- 20, 30 pages of specifications. So I think it would put us in the top 3 globally, and in the next 2 to 3 years, we'd like to see ourselves being the leader.

Robert W. Stone

Analyst

Okay. And you mentioned that the transaction was going to trigger some one-time expenses in Q1 could you or Benton, quantify that.

Jeffrey Lang

Analyst

Good question. We're working on that, Rob. And we figured you -- all the questions we cover that. We haven't calculated the exact value, but it's coming in and we would like to report that in Q1. So -- but maybe in the next couple of weeks, we'll have a better answer, but we'll try and dimension that for you and some of the other research analysts in the next few weeks. But it will be a one-time event, and we are working on that.

Robert W. Stone

Analyst

So excluding the impact of one-time costs, your expense run rate went up a little bit in the fourth quarter and now you've added on 2 businesses. So how should we think about the run rate of operating expenses perhaps as we exit Q1 and things are normalized for the acquisitions?

Jeffrey Lang

Analyst

Rob, we hit $25.4 million in total SG&A operating expense last year. And that was almost the same amount in 2011, around $25.4 million. We don't see -- we have added some sales engineering and some business development folks to drive revenues, but we think we can hold the line on that 18.8% of SG&A as a percent of sales and at the same time, the Adwest and Aarding organizations are similar or relatively similar to us. So we think we're going to be able to hold the line in SG&A as a percent of sales, given CECO's core business along with the 2 acquisitions.

Robert W. Stone

Analyst

Okay. Excellent. And finally, the Aarding corporate headquarters benefits your blended tax rate. Do you have a thought on what the range of effective tax rate might be for '13?

Jeffrey Lang

Analyst

We've been working on that. I'm glad you brought that up. The team is doing a very good job on our effective tax rate. The last 2 years, we've been around 29% of effective tax rate. So that's pretty good. The previous 2 years, '09 and '10, we're in that 35% to 37%. So the team's very focused on that. I do think our forward tax rate should be equal to or better for several reasons: one, Aarding brings us 25% effective tax rate, and that's a big chunk of business. Two, we're expecting more revenues and income out of China, which is a 25% or less effective tax rate. And thirdly, the team has been zooming in meticulously on these research and development taxation credits that the U.S. government provides. We picked up some in '12, and we're rigorously working on picking up more in 2013. So I would just say the general direction of our effective tax rate should be equal to or better than we see today.

Robert W. Stone

Analyst

Okay. You mentioned China and that was actually going to be my final question. You said the China business is strong. If you have the figures handy, could you say how much China contributed to 2012 revenues overall?

Jeffrey Lang

Analyst

Rob, I'd probably need to double check that. I know our bookings year-over-year in China were up. That was a positive. I do know some of the projects didn't get completed, so I'm not sure if it exceeded the income levels that we budgeted for. But at the same time, we think we're going to get roughly 10% of our earnings -- 10% of our revenues this year from China and that's typically at a much higher operating margin, which drives income and a lower tax rate. But we're pretty bullish on what we're going to pickup in China in 2013 and '14. But it was probably similar -- last year was probably similar to 2011 or maybe...

Robert W. Stone

Analyst

And the impact of the Chinese government, they've announced some plans to work harder on their air pollution problem overall. But beyond the announcement of those goals, do you see concrete action coming from the government to solve their air quality problems?

Jeffrey Lang

Analyst

We've seen a slow and steady seriousness out of China to improve a lot of their plans. So yes, our activity for cyclones is up. Product recovery activity is up. We just launched RTOs a few -- a couple of months ago. We already have half a dozen serious regenerative thermal oxidizer activity, and our filtration business is on the upswing. So I would say the fundamentals for China are very good for our sector, and we're going to continue investing organically and potentially to some bolt ons to grow that. So the answer would be, yes.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Larry Schnurmacher of Morgan Stanley.

Larry Schnurmacher

Analyst

Maybe there's a simpler way to ask some of these other questions. The 2 new acquisitions, do you have a sense, an idea, a target of how they're going to add to earnings per share this year?

Jeffrey Lang

Analyst

Larry, we've been studying that. We think it's going be positive. We don't give guidance. But if you were -- both of those businesses are accretive to our metrics. So if you look at our gross profit or operating margin or SG&A, those acquisitions are accretive and more specifically, the Aarding because that's the bigger of the 2. So if you model it with some decent growth, 7.5%, 10% or 15%, and you add in the core metric set of data point in your accretion modeling, you'll -- you should come up with something pretty solid. But we don't give guidance. But we acquired the business because it is accretive and it's going to add to our EPS.

Operator

Operator

And the next question comes from the line of Steve Shaw of Sidoti.

Steve Shaw

Analyst

Hey, Jeff, can you provide any color on what kind of free cash flow the 2 acquisitions provide?

Jeffrey Lang

Analyst

Probably should be pretty consistent with our current cash flow rates. We haven't published that, but it's very cash flow friendly. It's probably equal to or accretive to what CECO has been generating for cash flow. But we haven't published that, Steve.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And we have no further questions at this time.

Jeffrey Lang

Analyst

Thank you for joining the CECO earnings call. We appreciate that. Take care.

Operator

Operator

Thank you very much, ladies and gentlemen. That now concludes your conference call for today. You may now disconnect. Thank you very much.