Mark Vergnano
Analyst · BMO Capital Markets. Your line is open
Thanks Mark. Beginning with the review of our fluoroproducts segment on the next side, we generated over $730 million of sales in the quarter. The 12% year-over-year increase was driven by strong demand for both our Opteon refrigerants and fluoropolymer products. Price came in line with last year's first quarter, a result of mix across the segment, which I’ll review a bit later. Adjusted EBITDA improved 33% to $206 million. This translated into an adjusted EBITDA – margin expansion of nearly 450 basis points to approximately 28%, exemplifying the capability of this segment. Opteon refrigerants continued to see increased adoption, primarily within Europe and the United States, driving the year-over-year volume increases. In Europe, the increase was and continues to be from demand for stationary HFO blends in response to the 2018 F-gas quarter reductions. In the United States, the mobile market is moving towards the full conversion to low GWP technology, encouraged by cafe carbon credits. As a reminder, we anticipate that current café standards, that are in place, to drive the U.S. mobile market to full conversion by the end of 2021. Base refrigerant volume was flat in comparison to last year's first quarter as we were able to completely offset the impact of quota facedowns in Europe, with higher demand for our base refrigerants in developing countries. Quota facedowns in Europe, as well as tightening global supply drove a favorable price increase in our base refrigerants, mostly offset in the Opteon contractual pricing commitments. In April, we completed the acquisition of ICOR International, a supplier of ozone safe refrigerants and related products for heating, ventilation, air conditioning and refrigeration applications in North America. This acquisition enhances our ability to meet our customer needs in North America, while also expanding our U.S. market channel access. In fluoropolymers, volume growth rates for our products were above global GDP for the seventh quarter in a row. We continue to see increased demand from favorable market trends, paired with environmental regulation enforcement in China, which has constricted global supply. Fluoropolymer price also improved year-over-year, a result of the increases implemented during 2017. We expect the additional price increase announced earlier this year will lead to further price momentum in 2018. Current fluorochemical market trends are expected to fuel the technology transition toward Opteon refrigerants. We anticipate Opteon topline to grow over 20% in 2018, compared to last year, driven by further continued adoption of low GWP stationary blends and mobile refrigerants. We remain committed to supporting our customer’s requirements both on the base refrigerant side as they move towards adopting Opteon technology. As such, we are managing our quarters given the regulatory environment and expect base refrigerant demand to be relatively flat for the year. We anticipate prices for our base refrigerants to modestly increase in comparison to last year, driven by the tightening global supply of those base refrigerants. At the same time, the favorable market trends in combination with our application development work in automotive, energy storage and electronics are leading to a higher demand for fluoropolymers. We expect this momentum will continue through 2018 and beyond. As we look over the course of the year, we have planned maintenance outages at certain fluoropolymer facilities in the second and third quarters. We're working closely with our customers to ensure that their supply needs are met during this time. Moving to our Chemical Solutions segment on the next slide. Sales in the quarter rose 4% to $144 million on higher year-over-year demand across the segment. The segment generated $11 million of adjusted EBITDA in the quarter, reflecting lower technology licensing income along with higher increased variable costs. This also included higher distribution expense and cost related to the construction of the new mining solutions facility in Mexico. Mining solutions demand is anticipated to remain strong throughout 2018, while performance chemicals and intermediates is expected to improve modestly. We mentioned in our release that the construction of our new facility in Laguna, Mexico has been delayed as a result of a complaint filed against several local and federal authorities involved in the permitting process of our facility. We are working with the community and our stakeholders to address any additional questions they may have regarding our operations. We are committed to working with all stakeholders and believe that our investment in Laguna not only benefits the local community, but also serves the growing market need for our products in Mexico. We have previously stated that our current mining solutions facility is sold out, and we expect it will remain sold due to sustained strength in demand in the Americas. Turning to Slide 10 to review our Titanium Technology segment. Sales increased over $200 million to $854 million versus last year's first quarter. The improvement was primarily driven by higher global average prices for Ti-Pure titanium dioxide, up 22% year-over-year. We also communicated price increases to certain customers in North America and Asia Pacific during the quarter. The most recent communications were affected in April 1. These communications aligned with our value stabilization strategy, while also taking into account our expectation of higher raw material costs for the remainder of the year. As you may recall, last year's first quarter saw a very strong demand even against that tough comparison, continued preference for our products resulted in 5% volume growth year-over-year. We saw increased Ti-Pure TiO2 demand from the plastics, coatings and laminate end markets. Adjusted EBITDA improved $135 million to $294 million, an 85% increase compared to last year's first quarter. This translated into approximately 900 basis points of margin expansion. As anticipated, higher global average prices were partially offset by increased raw material costs. We also incurred higher distribution costs in the quarter. Looking to the remainder of the year and consistent with our value stabilization strategy, we expect volume growth to be modestly higher than global GDP in 2018. Our team continues to work with customers to implement previously communicated price increases. Based on this, we expect to realize further margin expansion throughout the remainder of 2018. Turning to Slide 11 to review our outlook. As we reflect on our strong first quarter performance and look forward through year-end, we have great confidence in our previously disclosed 2018 outlook. We expect to deliver adjusted EBITDA at the top end of our previously communicated range supported by the continued positive momentum of all of our businesses. We also anticipated adjusted EPS to be above our original range taking into account the impact from the share repurchases we have already completed. Our fluorochemicals business continues to successfully optimize its product portfolio, supporting customers on both sides of the technology transition as they move towards low global warming potential refrigerants. Solid demand for our fluoropolymers products along with steady price improvement is expected to carry through the remainder of this year and beyond. And within Titanium Technologies, the implementation of previously communicated price increases for Ti-Pure TiO2 are expected to result in sequentially higher average prices in the coming quarters. We continue to expect CapEx to be within a range of $475 million to $525 million for 2018, even with the delay of construction in Mexico. Not only do we have other high return projects to fund, but we are also committed to reducing the environmental impact of our products, and continuously improving our manufacturing operations. Owing to the strength of the first quarter and our expectations for healthy results for the balance of the year, we now expect 2018 free cash flow to be in excess of $700 million. Let us take another look at our three-year targets on the next slide. Based on our anticipated results for the full-year 2018, we have full confidence in the longer -term goals we previously described. We continue to anticipate revenue across the company to grow above global GDP rates with expanding margins translating to even higher profits on the bottom-line. Adjusted EPS is expected to grow at a compounded annual growth rate of at least 15% to 20%. Free cash flow is expected to remain healthy, generating approximately $2 billion to $3 billion on a cumulative basis. The new mining solutions facility construction delay is not expected to impact 2018 operating results. We expect to exceed our three-year targets for the overall company in spite of this delay. We are energized by our first quarter performance and expect to leverage this momentum throughout the next three years. With that, we’ll now open the call for your questions.