Mark Vergnano
Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is open
Thanks, Mark. Moving the Slide 6, our titanium technology segment generated approximately $800 million in revenue and approximately $250 million in adjusted EBITDA, an increase of over $100 million from the previous year. This improvement was primarily a result of higher global average prices, up high teens percent compared to last year. We sent letters to customers in September and October communicating additional price increases. Based on implementing these and our previous letters, we anticipate average price to increase sequentially in the fourth quarter. We continue to be on-track with our plans for Ti-Pure pricing, and are working closely with our customers to manage the impact of their portion of the value chain. We believe there is an opportunity to change The Chemours experience for Ti-Pure titanium dioxide from one of large cycles to a more stable earnings performance over time. We anticipate this being the foundation of our future growth and we look forward to discussing it further at our December Investor Day. During the third quarter demand for our Ti-Pure titanium dioxide remained healthy across all regions and applications and led to an 8% increase versus last year's third quarter, a result of customer preference for our Ti-Pure products along with global supply tightness. As we have mentioned before we expect full year volume to be up high single digits. Our facilities are currently highly utilized and we would anticipate running that way for the remainder of the year. This strong financial performance was partially offset by the input in distribution costs that were previously mentioned. As Mark reviewed in our adjusted EBITDA bridge, input costs such as coke, energy and chlorine were up modestly in the quarter while ore spot prices also traded at higher prices in comparison to last year. At this point we would expect this trend to continue into 2018. As a reminder, increased production does require some greater use of higher grade ore in our process. We see these costs as manageable and our pricing anticipates raw material movements. During the quarter we made modifications to our Mississippi distribution center alleviating some of the challenges and costs that we incurred in the quarter. Overall, our titanium technology business continue to strengthen and grow profitably. Our adjusted EBITDA margin for the third quarter of 2017 improved 800 basis points to 31%. As we look towards the end of the year, we would expect further adjusted EBITDA margin expansion. Turning to our fluoro products business on Slide 7. We generated $637 million in revenue and $158 million in adjusted EBITDA in the third quarter. We saw higher prices in base refrigerants compared to the prior year quarter, mostly a result of tightness in EMEA due to F-gas regulations. While it seems strong prices all year in comparison to 2016, we saw a peak in pricing for our base refrigerants last quarter, in line with seasonal demands. Volume of our base refrigerants was lower year-over-year due to quarter reductions in Europe, as well as the transition to HFO refrigerants. Given regulatory phase downs for some of our base refrigerants over the next decade and beyond, we anticipate being able to maximize the profitability of our products through the changing environment. Also connected to F-gas regulations, we saw notable adoption of our Opteon stationary blends in Europe as the regulations begin to shift customer demand toward our Opteon HFO technology. We are benefiting from a favorable European auto market this year and U.S. cap base standards which continue to incentivize auto manufacturers supplying the United States to convert to Opteon refrigerants. As a result, revenue from Opteon refrigerants grew nearly 50% year-over-year. Looking forward, we anticipate stationary HFO blends to contribute more meaningfully to results as they are gradually adopted over the next decade. We also saw a solid increase in our fluoropolymers volume. Demand was primarily driven by products sold into the automotive, semiconductor and oil and gas end markets. The strong fluoropolymer demand was coupled with steadily improving pricing over the course of this year. We believe we have reached an inflection point in the third quarter and could see some additional pricing benefits as we close out the year. As an example, we announced a targeted price increase for certain fluoropolymers in Asia effective July 1, 2017. We anticipate realizing price increases depending on the product or application of upto 5%. Our fluoro products results were partially offset by costs associated with the construction of our Opteon Corpus Christi facility, some increased input in distribution costs, and the impact of Hurricane Harvey. We do expect to see some additional costs associated with Hurricane Harvey and the ongoing water disposal at our fatal [ph] North Carolina site going forward. These costs are fully contemplated in our year-end guidance. Even including these offsets margin still improved a 100 basis points year-over-year to 24.8%. As we look to the end of the year, we continue to expect Opteon to deliver full year revenue growth of over 60% and we anticipate our fluoropolymers business to see further price momentum, as well as deliver year-over-year volume growth. We have mentioned in the past that our team has been working to realize the full value potential of our fluoropolymers portfolio through our commitment to our core markets while also focusing on high value applications. We plan to have an update on these efforts at our December Investor Day. Moving to Chemical Solutions segment on Slide 8; sales for the quarter were $148 million in comparison to $182 million in last year's third quarter. This reduction was primarily related to portfolio impacts from our divestitures and the closure of our Niagara site in 2016. Volume improved 5% in the quarter with contributions from both, our mining solutions and certain performance chemicals and intermediate products. Price was in line with last year's third quarter, an improvement in performance chemicals and intermediates price, primarily due to raw material pass-through's was offset by lower price in mining solutions. Adjusted EBITDA doubled year-over-year to $18 million, a result of lower fixed cost and strength in our retained businesses. Our mining solutions business has been and is expected to remain sold out until year end. In the fourth quarter we anticipate taking a planned maintenance outage in our Memphis facility which could reduce volumes available for sale. We continue to look for opportunities for cost improvements and efficiencies across this segment. Turning the Slide 9 to review our 2017 outlook. Our businesses continue to deliver strong year-over-year improvements and we are pleased with our progress so far this year. Performance has been driven by strength in preference for our Ti-Pure products, robust sales of Opteon refrigerants, maximize profitability of base refrigerants, improved pricing and solid demand for our fluoropolymers products and enhanced profitability in chemicals solutions. We are very proud of our performance and reiterate our expectation of delivering well above our original transformation goal. We anticipate 2017 adjusted EBITDA outlook to be within a range of $1.3 billion to $1.4 billion, supported by our year-to-date progress. Reinforced with our increased profitability, we now believe that we will generate positive free cash flow for 2017. Our team is one of our greatest assets, and their commitment to Chemours supports our ability to realize these strong results. I want to thank them all for their continued dedication. We'll now open the call for your questions.