Matt Clark
Analyst · Piper Sandler
Thank you, David. Third quarter comparable sales at the Cheesecake Factory restaurants declined 23.3%. The sales recovery was largely linear throughout the quarter, improving from a decline of 32% in July to down approximately 10% in September. Off-premise represented approximately 45% of total Cheesecake Factory restaurant sales during the third quarter. Revenue contribution from North Italia and FRC totaled $63.9 million. North Italia comparable sales declined 22%. Sales per operating week at FRC, including Flower Child were approximately $61,120. And including $17.8 million in external bakery sales, total revenues were $517.7 million during the third quarter of fiscal 2020. As we would have expected, most of the year-over-year expense variances in the third quarter were due to COVID-related sales deleverage. So I will provide the usual line item detail. Cost of sales increased 10 basis points, primarily reflecting a shift in sales mix. Labor increased 230 basis points, primarily attributable to the cost of maintaining our full restaurant management team and group medical benefits in the reduced sales environment. This was partially offset by lower hourly labor. Other operating expenses increased to 30.7% of sales, due primarily to sales deleverage, increased marketing and costs such as additional cleaning and PPE associated with COVID. We are pleased with the sequential margin improvement we drove in our third quarter versus the second quarter. Based on Cheesecake Factory restaurants, comparable sales performance in aggregate, third quarter restaurant level margins were solid with approximately 35% flow-through year-over-year, inclusive of COVID-related costs and restaurant level management deleverage. This performance was within our expectations, particularly when you consider the changing nature of capacity restrictions that our operators had to contend with. And G&A increased 110 basis points, also reflecting sales deleverage, net of savings initiatives. Pre-opening costs were $2.4 million in the quarter, roughly in line year-over-year. Two Flower Child locations opened during the third quarter versus one Cheesecake Factory opening in the prior year period. In the third quarter, we recorded a $10.4 million impairment charge associated with our portfolio optimization efforts as we continue to take a hard look at underperforming locations. Approximately $5.4 million of this charge was related to cash lease termination expense for the Cherry Hill, New Jersey, Grand Lux Cafe location that closed in the third quarter and RockSugar which is scheduled to close at the end of the year. The remainder was primarily related to non-cash accelerated depreciation associated with Grand Lux Cafe, Cherry Hill, and accrued lease termination expense associated with another Grand Lux Cafe that we expect to close by the end of the year. In addition, Flower Child, Rockville will not reopen following its COVID-related closure. We recorded approximately $2.6 million of COVID-related expenses in the third quarter for costs such as sick pay, additional sanitation and personal protective equipment. Approximately 80% of these costs were in the other operating expense line as I referenced, with the remainder in labor and G&A. a specific breakdown between line items can be found in the related footnote in our earnings release issued this afternoon. GAAP diluted net loss per share was $0.76, reflecting the potential impact of the conversion of the company’s convertible preferred stock into common stock and excluding the COVID-related costs, impairment charge as well as other items, including $1.4 million in acquisition related contingent consideration. Adjusted net loss per share for the third quarter of 2020 was $0.33. Now turning to our balance sheet and cash flow. We ended the third quarter with $244 million in cash and $376 million in debt. The company generated positive cash flow from operating activities of $3 million. Note that this is net of cash lease termination expense associated with our portfolio optimization. With the business stabilizing and returning to positive cash flow generation, subsequent to quarter-end, we repaid $96 million on a revolving credit facility, bringing our debt balance down to $280 million. This will enable meaningful cash interest expense savings while maintaining our overall liquidity position. CapEx totaled $8.8 million during the third quarter for required maintenance and completion of construction for the recent unit openings. A $4.8 million dividend for the third quarter of fiscal 2020 was paid in kind to holders of the company’s convertible preferred stock. But we will not be providing specific guidance given the level of continued uncertainty associated with the virus; we want to provide some thoughts on our expectations for the balance of year and 2021. With the number of indoor dining rooms we currently have open and that current comp sales levels under continued capacity restrictions, we would anticipate generating positive operating profit and earnings per share for the fourth quarter. For modeling purposes, we’re using a normalized tax rate of approximately 10%. While we still expect some deleverage in labor as we continue to think long-term with respect to maintaining our restaurant management teams, as well as in other operating expense line, we would expect it to ease somewhat versus the third quarter, enabling us to continue to work toward recapturing our pre-COVID margins. Based on these assumptions, we expect to generate a meaningful level of cash flow from operating activities. After an anticipated $10 million to $15 million in CapEx and a $17 million acquisition consideration payment to FRC, we would still expect to build our cash balance during the fourth quarter, after accounting for the debt repayment and anticipated seasonal working capital inflows. Looking ahead to 2021, the operating environment continues to be very dynamic. Based on early indications from our supply chain, we are expecting commodity inflation of approximately 2%. And while we were still evaluating the potential effects of COVID on the labor environment, based on current governmental roadmaps for minimum wage, we expect wage rate inflation to be slightly more favorable in 2021 versus recent years. With our anticipated building cash position, we are in the early stages of developing our initial capital deployment plans for next year. Currently, we are rebuilding our development pipeline to set some baseline expectations, depending on the course of the virus from here; we believe we could open as many as 12 to 14 new restaurants next year, spread across our portfolio of concepts. We would anticipate approximately $105 million in CapEx to support this level of unit development, as well as required maintenance on our restaurants. We will refine these assumptions as more clarity on the operating environment emerges. And note, that we have a strong balance sheet that we expect will allow us to navigate additional challenges COVID could present. In closing, I’m very pleased with our operating and financial performance. We were able to return to a positive operating cash flow position during the third quarter, despite an unprecedented restaurant operating environment. We were very encouraged by our sales recovery and our fourth quarter to-date comp sales at the Cheesecake Factory restaurants, given the continued capacity restrictions. At these levels, we would expect momentum and our cash flow generation to continue into the fourth quarter and fiscal 2021. I believe this outlook and the strength of our balance sheet will continue to enable us to act in the company’s best interest for the long-term. Our concepts and our people stand out in today’s restaurant environment, which we believe will enable us to take market share. And as the operating environment normalizes, we expect to be in a position to further accelerate our growth. With that said, we’ll take your questions. In order to accommodate as many questions as possible, please limit yourself to one question and then re-queue with any additional questions.