Jeffrey W. Henderson
Analyst · Robert Jones with Goldman Sachs
Thanks, George. Good morning, everyone. My thoughts and best wishes also go out to everyone affected by the storm. Today, I plan to cover the drivers of our Q1 performance and key financial trends, and then make a few comments on our full year outlook. I'll also discuss our recent capital deployment actions. You can refer to the slide presentation posted on our website as a guide to this discussion. With our first quarter 11% non-GAAP EPS growth, I believe we're off to a solid start to the year. Our Q1 EPS growth was driven by 6% non-GAAP operating earnings growth, favorable interest and other and a lower share count versus 2012. Gross margin dollars increased 7%, with a rate up 43 basis points. Distribution, selling and G&A expenses also rose 7%, driven by recent acquisitions which are worth about 2 percentage points of this growth, as well as an increase in IT costs, including our Medical Business Transformation, investments in certain key strategic priorities and $10 million of higher relative deferred compensation costs year-on-year, an amount that is offset in our other expense line. Our consolidated non-GAAP operating margin rate increased 16 basis points to 1.81%. Interest and other expense came in $9 million favorable compared to last year, largely driven by the changes in the value of our deferred compensation plan that I just mentioned, as well as income related to an outstanding equity investment we hold. If you look at net interest expense only, that line was about $3 million higher in Q1 of FY '13 versus last year. Our non-GAAP tax rate for the quarter was 37.8%, which is consistent with our prior year's quarter and slightly higher than our expectations. During Q1, we repurchased $200 million of shares, including the $100 million we mentioned in our August 2 call. This brings our diluted average shares outstanding to 344 million for the first quarter, which is 5 million favorable to the prior year's quarter. At the end of Q1, we had $650 million remaining under our existing board approval. Now let me comment on consolidated cash flow and the balance sheet. Our Q1 operating cash flow was $568 million, which is above last year's amount. Looking forward, and as a reminder, we have previously called out 2 significant items that we expect to moderate cash flow this year, including the negative working capital impact of the nonrenewal of the Express Scripts contract and some large tax payments when we ultimately resolve past IRS audits. Our working capital days ended the quarter higher than the prior year due mostly to the impact of lending receivables related to our Medical Business Transformation and continued growth in China. Brand-to-generic conversions impacted both our inventory and payable space, however they largely offset. Now let's move to segment performance. I'll start with Pharma. As we anticipated, Pharma segment revenue decreased 4% to $23.5 billion for Q1 due to continued brand-to-generic conversion, which George mentioned in his remarks. This decrease was partially offset by sales to new customers and higher volume in Specialty Solutions. Of particular note, sales to non-bulk customers were up 7% for the period. Our generic programs continued to perform well, posting an increase of more than 20% versus the prior year. Our stores generics drove much of this increase. Brand inflation was about as we expected in the high-single digits. In Specialty Solutions, we continue to add new distribution customers, growing revenue over 70% versus the last year's quarter. Pharma segment profit increased by 10% to $400 million in the quarter, driven by the overall strong performance under our generic programs within Pharmaceutical distribution. In fact, we saw growth in both our base generic business, as well as a positive contribution from new item launches this quarter. We continue to see inflation on a few generic products in Q1, which more than offset the deflation on the balance of our generics portfolio. Segment profit margin rate increased by 21 basis points compared to the prior year's Q1, a reflection of the strength of our generics programs and our focus on margin expansion, as well as the industry's brand-to-generic conversions. As many of you are aware, while this conversion is dilutive to revenue, it is accretive to our margin. We also benefited from continued mix shift as our non-bulk customer percentage of sales reached 63% in Q1. But even with the in-customer categories, margin expansion was strong. In fact, margins were up across all customer class of trade within Pharmaceutical distribution. I was particularly pleased with Pharma's growth and margin expansion versus last year given the favorable $17 million impact included in last year's results for the resolution of certain manufacture-related disputes. As George already said, Nuclear had a challenging quarter due to volume softness in the low energy or SPECT market. While we have seen softness in the space for a while, the continued downward trend was below our expectations. We are taking appropriate actions internally to adjust our structure and platform to reflect the new environment. In Specialty Solutions, a downturn in our high-margin pharma services business, in which we disclosed the customer loss in Q3 of last year, continue to impact our year-over-year earnings comparison. All things considered, our Pharma segment performed very well again this quarter. Now turning to Medical, Medical's off to a slower-than-expected start this year in terms of revenues which are up slightly at $2.4 billion. Let me walk you through the puts and takes. Last year's Futuremed acquisition in Canada contributed 2 percentage points to the segment revenue growth rate in the quarter. Preferred products, over 20% of our Medical segment revenue, continue to be an important driver of the Medical segment sales and profit growth and a key strategic area for us. These items were partially offset by the impact from one fewer sales day in the quarter and lower volume from existing customers. We believe this volume softness is driven at least in part by lower-than-expected procedure volume. One final comment that relates to both revenue and earnings. Although we typically do not comment on specific contracts, given that the Department of Defense med-surg contract is already in the public domain, I will note the Department of Defense has reduced its order volume from what we were expecting, a decrease which we believe is related to troop reductions. Profitability in the Medical segment declined 6% versus a year ago due to a few factors. The volume softness I referenced earlier had an impact on profitability as well. The impact of the Medical Business Transformation was a headwind for the quarter, worth a net of about $10 million year-on-year when you consider both the negatives and the positives this period. We incurred $7 million of depreciation, some incremental expenses to refine parts of the system and ensure customer service and have small amount of lost profitability due to orders that may have been temporary placed with backup vendors during the period. Some of the benefit realization we're planning for also got pushed out as we work to ensure customers were getting product on a reliable basis and that the system and process changes were clearly understood. I'm happy to report that the functionality of the system is stable and both internally and externally, we are learning to use the system to its full potential. On the positive side of the ledger, as mentioned earlier, we did see continued earnings growth in preferred products and double-digit earnings growth in Canada. Commodities and foreign exchange were also of slight benefit during the quarter, in line with our expectations. Finally, I will remind you that in the first quarter of FY '12, we did incur some incremental expense related to the FDA Presource matter, which are not in this year's results. All in all, although Medical did not get up to the start we hoped, we are focused on taking the right actions in a still sluggish environment and we remain uniquely positioned across product lines and channels. We continue to target the double-digit Medical segment profit growth guidance for fiscal 2013 that we provided on our August 2 call. Now I'll provide some color on Cardinal Health China, which spans both segments. We once again posted strong double-digit revenue growth and now are beginning to approach an annual run rate well above $1.5 billion. Our local direct distribution business continues to outperform expectations, growing revenue at a rate of almost 90%. We're continuing to expand the product and service platforms, including agreements with medical device manufacturers and partnerships with more suppliers and consumer health to expand the offering in retail pharmacies. China continues to be a strong and exciting strategic growth area for us. On Slide 6, you'll see our consolidated GAAP results for the quarter, which includes items that had a negative $0.02 per share net after-tax impact. Included in this net $0.02 per share was the exclusion of $0.05 of acquisition-related costs, primarily made up of the amortization of acquisition-related intangible assets, which was offset by $0.04 of litigation recoveries related to legal settlements. In the same quarter last year, GAAP results were $0.05 lower than non-GAAP results, primarily driven by acquisition-related costs. Now let's talk briefly about guidance. As George mentioned, our full year non-GAAP EPS guidance range remains unchanged at $3.35 to $3.50. We still have 3 quarters ahead of us and lots of moving pieces as we consider the rest of the year. Within that overall context, I want to point out a few changes to our fiscal 2013 assumptions. Given the recent share repurchases I referenced earlier, we are revising our full year share count projection to approximately 345 million shares from the 347 million which we guided to in August. In addition, we're updating the previously provided guidance for amortization of acquisition-related intangibles to $86 million, to include a few recently closed acquisitions, although keep in mind that, that amount is excluded from our non-GAAP earnings. For the Medical segment, our current visibility into commodity and foreign exchange impacts is such that we now expect these items to be a net benefit to our year-on-year medical results, although there are still high volatility in these [ph] input factors due to market price variability. We are also targeting meaningful benefits from our Medical Business Transformation over the next 3 quarters. But given our slower-than-planned start in Q1, our original goal of net accretion for the full year may be a stretch to attain. Everything else remains unchanged. Finally, let's talk about capital deployment for a moment. Today, we announced a dividend increase of 16%. This decision was based on careful consideration of our balance sheet, capital deployment philosophy, shareholder feedback and desire to continue to augment total shareholder return. Our balanced capital deployment philosophy has remained largely consistent over the past 3 years. Today's announcements are a reflection of this philosophy and also recognize the need to evolve with the environment and our shareholders. For context, over the past 3 years, our strong earnings growth has outpaced our dividend growth. This 16% increase, when taken together with the 10.5% increase realized in July, brings our quarterly payout to $0.275 per share and reassess the anticipated dividend payout on an annualized level to more than 30% of our expected non-GAAP fiscal 2013 EPS. At the same time, we are reaffirming our goal to grow the dividend at least in line with our longer-term earnings trajectory from this new base. We also repurchased $200 million of shares in Q1 of fiscal '13. We will continue to proactively evaluate our capital deployment opportunities to maximize shareholder value. Finally, I do want to point out that in fiscal years 2012 and 2013, through dividends and share repurchases, we have returned or expect to return to shareholders more than 60% of our actual and forecasted operating cash flow. This followed fiscal 2011 a year in which we dedicated a fair amount of our capital deployment to selective strategic M&A. We believe this 3-year period really demonstrate our balanced and flexible approach, which is to return a substantial portion of our cash to shareholders while investing in sustainable business growth and maintaining the flexibility in certain areas to engage in selective acquisitions which fit with our strategic direction. So let me wrap up. I'm pleased with our overall performance this quarter, although admittedly we didn't arrive at the results exactly as expected. We still have some work ahead of us in a few areas. And our relentless focus on being best-in-class from a cost and capital efficiency standpoint will not let up. In today's health care environment, it's imperative that we demonstrate each and every day that we are taking waste out of our structures in a process through which we work with our partners both upstream and downstream. With that, let's begin Q&A. Operator, our first question?