Robin Lu
Analyst · Thomas Chong of Jefferies. Please ask your question
Thanks Vincent. Before providing more details about our financials, I would like to take some time to address our non-distribution model take rate which is defined as service revenue as a percentage of non-distribution GMV. As we know, this is one of key metrics used by the market to assess our performance. Even though internally we do not believe it's an appropriate measure to use for benchmarking and we do not use this terminology or metric for internal measurement purpose either. By nature, take rate by category fluctuates significantly as each category tends to exhibit different patterns and serving model. I will say that category mix could be the key factor in shaping the blended take rate over a certain period of time. During the fourth quarter, there were noteworthy structural differences by category in the growth rate. Electronics, especially [indiscernible] outperformed other sectors and was quite active during the Singles Day shopping festival, accounting for a larger proportion of our total GMV. Men's and women's clothing in general saw weaker growth. Luckily, within the apparel category, we are primarily exposed to sportswear which continues to perform well. Overall, the slowdown in non-sportswear apparel reduced its GMV component in the apparel category. In addition, we have a growing GMV component from the broader FMCG category, respectively food, health and the home which typically fell within the service fee model as well. As such, the dramatic change in category mix in the past year has actually led to a different blended take rate profile. I want to also highlight that we achieved a solid positive free cash flow for full-year 2019. Our operating cash flow totaled over RMB300 million and achieved first ever positive free cash flow. We view this as a milestone in working capital management and as a validation of our high quality growth strategy. This is especially important as the turbulence created by macroeconomic uncertainty and the pandemic persists. We believe it is more essential than ever to accelerate the execution of our high quality growth initiative to build our business in a more sustainable way. Lastly, a fire broke out at our third-party warehouse in Shanghai on October 29, 2019. Fortunately, no one was hurt in the accident. It was a one-off event that impacted our bottomline as the accrued an operating loss of RMB45.5 million for the quarter. Because the products stored at this third-party warehouse will generate slow moving goods, we do not anticipate any meaningful topline growth impact for 2020. This operating loss is below our previous estimate of RMB53 million as we were able to recover some of undamaged product when the site was reopened by local authorities in late February. Now let's go over the fourth quarter 2019 financial results in detail. We believe a year-over-year comparison is the best way to review our performance. All percentage change I am going to give will be on that basis. Once again, please note that all figures that I mentioned will be in RMB. Total GMV during the quarter increased by 48% to RMB17.8 billion. The growth rates of business models rebounded from the previous quarter. Distribution GMV grew by 29% to RMB1.5 billion and on our non-distribution business once again outperformed with a GMV increase of 49% to RMB16.3 billion. Total net revenues increased by 26% to RMB2.8 billion. Breaking this down, product sales revenue increased by 33% to RMB1.3 billion and services revenue increased by 22% to RMB1.5 million during the quarter. The increase was primarily attributable to robust growth during our Singles Day campaign as well as incremental contribution from new brands. In particular, product sales growth was also boosted by the contribution from the newly added entertainment electronics brand, which we launched in December. Service revenue was impacted slightly by the weaker performance in both men's and women's clothing. Total cost and operating expenses were RMB2.6 billion compared with RMB2 billion in the same quarter last year. In particular, cost of products increased to RMB1.1 billion from RMB790 million last year, primarily due to higher costs associated with an increase in product sales revenue. Due to category mix change, our gross for product sales declined slightly to 18.2%, compared with 19% a year ago. Our blended gross margin totaled 62%, a decline of 2%, which was mainly due to an increase in proportion of product sales revenue. Fulfillment expenses increased to RMB665 million from RMB512 million last year, mainly due to an increase in GMV from our distribution and consignment model and warehouse rental expenses, an increase in warehouse capacity to address additional growth opportunities. The increase was partially offset by improvements in efficiency. Our cost control initiatives continue to drive operating efficiency improvements and optimization of delivery resources. As a percentage of GMV, our fulfillment expense ratio improved to 3.7% from 4.3% a year ago which marked the fourth consecutive quarter that we will achieve greater operating leverage for fulfillment. Sales and marketing expenses increased to RMB648 million from RMB 544 million last year. And as a percentage of GMV, our sales and the marketing expense ratio improved to 3.6% from 4.5% a year ago. The decrease in sales and marketing expenses as a percentage of GMV reflects an increase in leverage we are getting as our business grows to scale, especially in the Singles Day season and the effectiveness of our marketing activities leading up to Singles Day back in the third quarter. Technology and content expenses increased to RMB109 million from RMB84 million a year ago. We continue to invest in innovation and productization in a very disciplined, focused and streamlined manner. During the fourth quarter of 2019, our investments in innovation and productization totaled RMB23 million compared with RMB21 million last year. Leveraging from expanding business scale, technology and the content expenses as a percentage of GMV declined slightly to 0.6% from 0.7% a year ago. G&A expenses increased to RMB67 million from RMB43 million last year. In addition to increased spending in administrative, corporate strategy and business planning staff as the business scales, we also accrued a bad debt allowance of RMB9 million during the quarter for accounts receivable from one specific brand partner in the women's clothing category which began business liquidation in 2019. During the quarter, we incurred net other operating loss of RMB42 million, which was mainly due to the loss related to the third-party warehouse fire of RMB45.5 million that I mentioned earlier. All-in-all, income from operations decreased to RMB196 million from RMB230 million in the same quarter of last year and our operating margin declined to 7% from 10.4%. On a non-GAAP basis, income from operations was RMB217 million, a decrease of 12% from RMB247 million last year. Non-GAAP operating margin was 7.8%, compared with 11.2% in the same quarter of last year. As a reminder, operating income and the margin during the quarter included RMB45.5 million impact from the fire. Offsetting interest income, interest expense totaled RMB6.8 million compared with RMB3.5 million a year ago. The increase in interest expense was mainly due to the issuance of convertible bond in April 2019, which also embedded a debt accretion treatment, which is a non-cash item based on the accounting treatment associated with CB finances. Income tax expenses totaled RMB38 million and we had an effective tax rate of approximately 19%, compared with 13% last year on a non-GAAP basis. The increase in income tax was mainly due to higher effective tax rate as some tax incentive policies was applied to the same period last year. In the fourth quarter, net income attributable to ordinary shareholders of Baozun totaled RMB141 million. Basic and diluted net income attributable to ordinary shareholders of Baozun per ADS were RMB2.42 and RMB2.36, respectively, compared with RMB3.29 and RMB 3.17, respectively, during the same period of last year. Non-GAAP net income attributable to ordinary shareholders of Baozun totaled RMB151 million. Basic and diluted non-GAAP net income attributable to ordinary shareholders of Baozun per ADS were RMB2.77 and RMB2.71, respectively, compared with RMB3.59 and RMB3.46, respectively, for the same period of last year. As of December 31, 2019, we had RMB2 billion in cash and cash equivalent and short term investments compared with RMB514 million as of December 31, 2018. The significant improvement in cash was mainly attributable to strong positive operating cash flow for full-year 2019 as a result of working capital optimization as well as our CB financing back in April 2019. Turning to guidance. We continue to closely monitor the ongoing pandemic across the globe and are carefully evaluating its impact on our business. Now since then, provided the macroeconomic environment does not deteriorate further, we anticipate that GMV during the fourth quarter 2020 will grow by at least 10%, compared with the same period last year. We expect total net revenues during the fourth quarter of 2020 to be between RMB1.4 billion and RMB1.45 billion, which represents a growth rate of 9% to 13%, compared with the same period of last year. Even though we see positive signs of the recovery of our business, there are many unknowns as to the duration and the severity of the pandemic. We have decided to temporarily suspend full year net revenue guidance until we have greater visibility. This concludes our prepared remarks. Thank you. Operator, we are now ready to begin the Q&A session. Thanks.