Doug Linde
Analyst · Evercore ISI. Your line is open
Thanks Owen, good morning everybody. I’m going to focus my comments this morning on the operating additions in our market and our portfolio, and that includes our existing development assets. I’m also going to say a few things sort of sprinkled throughout my comments about some specific property investment and leasing decisions that we are making in the operating portfolio. And they have some impacts on our future results, so I just sort of want to give you a little foreshadowing of some of those things as well. So, as Owen said, overall leasing in the quarter was 1.5 million square feet which is actually pretty similar to where it was in 2014. But it’s actually pretty high on a relative basis, the last 10 years our average was about 1.1 million square feet. I wanted to spend a couple of minutes talking about the leasing statistics that I did notice a few things in the notes about them. If you think back to what we discussed last year, we talked a lot about the major law-firm lease expirations primarily in New York City. And you may recall that we explain that in some cases, the leases had a very significant roll-up at the General Motors building with Weil and at 601 Lexington with Kirkland & Ellis. But that at 599 Lexington Avenue, Reed Smith and K&L Gates, were also renewals that we did but there was a roll-down. Well, the two renewals at the 599 Lexington Avenue, this property 250,000 square feet are actually in the first quarter 2015 leasing statistics leading to that reduction in the mark-to-market in that particular place. If you look forward at our New York City lease expirations over the next few years, based on current market rents, the overall mark-to-market is basically flat to slightly positive. And the majority of the rollover is at 399 and at 601 where Citibank is going to be doing their consolidation from to their properties out in Greenwich Street. In Boston and in San Francisco, as you can see from our leasing stats and the supplemental, the improvement in market conditions is reflected in the mark-to-market, we were up 14% in Boston and 37% at San Francisco and that’s running through the portfolio. In DC, the statistics are biased by a flat as is renewal on a 260,000 square-foot lease with the GSA in Northern Virginia but they still are pretty fair reflection of overall market conditions, not a lot of movement in DC. Now let’s turn to the actual markets themselves. So, in DC, there have been a number of re-analyst market events in the last couple of weeks. And I assume many of you have either seeing first hand what’s been going on down there or read the summaries. But simply put, the DC market predominantly the CVD continues to be very competitive since, there isn’t lot of significant increases in demand. We are competing for and winning market share, on our vacated law-firm based on our JV properties, so at Market Square North, where we’re getting 90,000 square feet back, we’ve already released 60,000 square feet. We are getting this space back in July of ‘15, but as with all the new long-term deals in DC, there is free rent so, there is going to be very little income recognition from that space into late in 2016. We also completed another 38,000 square feet of extensions in that building. At 901 New York Avenue, we talked about the 250,000 square-foot Finnegan lease renewal last quarter but as part of that deal, we are providing 40,000 square feet of currently rented space as free swing space as the concession to the tenant. It’s going to begin in August and they’re going to have that space free for the duration of 2016. We also got back 90,000 square feet from another firm and we’ve completed 34,000 square feet of leases there most of those have already started. And our availability is down to 45,000 square feet in a 556,000 square-foot building. And then finally in our JVs, at Net Square, we have about 200,000 square feet expiring at the end of 2015 including 122,000 square feet at the top of the building and this space continues to be some of the best space in the city. The one wholly owned building where we have some near term exposure, law-firm expiration is at 1330 Connecticut Avenue and we’re actively engaged in conversations there to retain that major tenant. There does continue to be additional supply coming into the DC market in the formerly the personally let buildings for lead tenants, the space there vacating as well as stacking the construction in the CBD and NOMA and in Southwest. Our development at 601 Mass is scheduled to open in five months, the building is 83% leased and it’s income contribution is going to ramp up in 2016. Reston Town Center continues to be the best performing market in the DC region, it’s the combination of walk-able retail, high quality new multifamily community programming and improving access to metro, all continue to draw new tenants to that market. Small tenant demand is strong, technology tenants are expanding, we have Google and FireEye and Appian who all have expanded in the last quarter. And Bechtel which moved to Reston Overlook in July of 2012 now leases 290,000 square feet from us. And we continue to try and relocate other tenants that they can bring they are relocating to the Town Center. Earlier this month, we negotiated the recapture of 55,000 square feet at our Overlook property in order to provide expansion to Bechtel and we’re working on another two floors in that same building for 2016. Our design and permitting on blocks four and five in the urban core for an additional 520 residential units and 275,000square-foot office building is progressing. And we are working towards an early 2016 commencement the apartment component. The Avant, which is the apartment building that we have now completed in Reston finished the first quarter at 95% leased, 15 months after its initial November 2013 opening. And as Owen said, we continue to chase a large GSA consolidation requirement in Springfield Virginia, we’re actively making proposals on 1001 Fifth Street and we have to build the suites that we’re chasing in Reston as well. The market with the most significant pick-up activity is clearly New York City this quarter for us. It’s been a really good market but with 10% availability and lots of uncommitted new construction, rental increases are pretty moderate still. During our last call, we talked about early loss from renewals. This quarter, we find ourselves in a position of having multiple tenants looking for expansion space with limited availability on our portfolio. At 601 Lexington Avenue, we have leased the first floor of our 2016 City expiration. This resulted in a termination payment and a reduction in our remaining 2015 revenue. We’re in discussions on two additional floors and have 200,000 square feet tenant looking for additional space in the building. With virtually no vacancy, our New York team is actively looking at ways we can control currently leased space for the benefit of these growing users. We’re also in the planning stages on major repositioning of the retail and the low rise of 601, that’s 138,000 square feet on floors three through six. And hope to be able to share those plans in the coming quarter. At 599 Lexington Avenue, in order to speed up the rebuilding process for our recent law-firm renewals and get that space back on to the market quicker, this quarter we negotiated a full floor recapture with a payment from the tenant to allow us to provide three swing space and from mid 2016. As further evidence of good activity in Manhattan, a year ago we had 95,000 square feet of availability and expirations at 540 Madison. In the past 12 months, we’ve done 12 deals on 80,000 square feet including six deals and 53,000 square feet since the beginning of 2015. And today, we’re sitting on 15,000 square feet of availability and we have actions on 10,000 of that right now. At 250 West 55th Street, we are in lease discussions with 11 separate tenants ranging from 5,000 square feet pre-built suite to two-floor users for over 145,000 square feet of the 188,000 square feet of available space, that’s lease discussions not tours. The bulk of our available space today is on floors 30 through 35 and our rents range from the low $90s to well over $100 per square-foot for the top of the building. Our taking rents are very consistent with the forward-looking pro forma expectations when we restarted the building in 2011 though our concessions are higher. A lot has been written about the values and the rents associated with high-end retail space, specifically on Fifth Avenue, where we’re coming up on the lease expiration of FAO Schwarz at the end of 2016. The FAO space is over 60,000 square feet includes 14,000 square feet on the ground, 34,000 square feet on the second floor which has 20-foot slab-to-slab ceiling and 11,000 square feet of concord space. On the one hand, the front door for this space is 125 feet off of Fifth Avenue front and the other were told 4.6 million people visit the Apple store on an annual basis. The FAO Schwarz space is going to go through a major renovation and downtime as part of any re-leasing and if possible that we may be able to work with FAO to expedite this transition sooner than the expiration of their lease. Princeton continues to outperform the New Jersey markets. During the quarter, we completed 260,000 square feet of leasing and we continue to see expansion from the far end pharmaceutical tenants. Our suburban New York team engineered a very creative recapture with a tenant payment again and relocation in order to secure a 10-year commitment from Solvay a global chemical company for 110,000 square feet and a new addition to Carnegie Center. Switching over to Boston, the Kendall Square market of Cambridge continues to dramatically outperform the rest of the urban Boston market with asking rents well over $70 per square-foot. Our Cambridge portfolio is essentially 100% leased and we have no short-term availability. What we do have our existing tenants that want to expand. There are a number of large expansion requirements in the market. We are working with the city on the up-toning of our Kendall Square project up to 600,000 square feet of office space. And the Volpe transportation site continues to be a potential expansion for the market. But the marketing process there has been delayed. Our residential project as Owen said, adjacent to Kendall Center has received its entitlement during the quarter. And we hope to commence construction in 2015. In the Back Bay, we’re underway with our repositioning and re-branding at 120 St. James, the Hancock Tower low-rise where we have 170,000 square feet of availability. Our asking rents on the low-rise base at the Hancock Tower are lower than the rents across the river in Cambridge. The base building work will be completed in the third quarter. Our 150,000 square feet block at the top of the tower is still under lease until the middle of the summer. While it is certainly available to show, the space, 20 years old won’t be in a market ready condition until the end of the year. Realistically, we are not likely to have rent recognition or commencement on these blocks until the back half of ‘16. However, when fully leased, the available space at the Hancock Tower should generate close to 40% increase over expiring rents. At 888 Boylston Street we signed leases for four additional floors bringing our committed space to 232,000 square feet of the 350,000 square feet of office space. The historically difficult weather we experienced January through March did impact our construction spend during the first quarter but we still anticipate having tenants in the space during the third quarter of 2016. We are having extensive conversations with retailers for the 65,000 square feet of retail space at 888, the prudential flagship expansion which is well underway as well as our major food court renovation repositioning. We hope to have a number of signed leases to report over the next few months or days. Our predevelopment activity at North Station in the Back Bay Garage which involved designing and permitting are ongoing. The Waltham Metro West market continues to get stronger driven by expansion by life science and tech companies. While there were tenants that are relocating to urban locations, there continues to be urban growth on 128. We have limited current vacancy in our suburban portfolio. The harsh weather had minimal impact on our two Waltham developments and we expect to deliver our stack retail building which is now 100% committed in October of this year, and 10 City Point 74% leased is on schedule for rent commencement in mid 2016. In the phase of lots of growing tech demand, we’re working with the owners of 1265 Main Street, that’s the former pulled away property adjacent to City Point to complete a 50-50 joint venture and 119,000 square-foot lease with a global shoe company. This development would commence construction next quarter. This project is part of a larger master-plan that could allow for over an additional 1 square feet of office and retail development in the future. Finally going to San Francisco, San Francisco continues to have the strongest overall demand in the country. And as we’ve discussed in the past, with the expected [indiscernible] restrictions coming into play it’s only going to be facing more and more supply challenges. Other than new development, there is perhaps one block of 150,000 square feet of available contiguous space in the City. And unlike in the first quarter of ‘13 to ‘14, there have been no big deals this quarter other than 200,000 square-foot Uber deal [indiscernible] market, likely the lack of available supply maybe a factor. Overall activity in the market while down from the first quarter of ‘14 when you had the Salesforce and the Twitter and the Dropbox deals or large deals get done, actively continues to be very strong. During the quarter, we completed four single or multi-floor office lease renewals at EC totaling 174,000 square feet. The mark-to-market on a growth space was between 35% and 70%. None of these transactions are in our same-store statistics for the quarter. These deals had starting rents between $65 and $73 per square-foot. We are actively engaged with additional full floor tenants with 2016 and 2017 leased expirations. There were significant opportunities for rental increases in all of our transactions in Embarcadero Center. I do want to mention though, one trend that we are seeing is San Francisco particularly in high-rise space. There has been significant compression in the market between the less expensive and the premium space. During the last cycle, the range of starting rents we thought EC was from the low $40s to close to $90 a square-foot. Today, the range is more like the low $60s to the mid-$80s. At 535 Mission, we’ve now completed leases with four tenants and have two more leases out for signature which will bring us the 240,000 square feet or 79% of lease. We have a number of active full floor proposals under discussion on the remaining four floors and our acting rents are in the high 70s about 10% higher than our original pro forma. Construction at Salesforce Tower continues to progress. We were overly aggressive with our spending schedule for 2015 and our contractor has allocated a heavier spend to 2016. With the mid-2017 delivery for space at the top of the building, we’re still not yet in the window for much in the way of leased expiration driven leasing under our 100,000 square feet. However, our marketing team continues to actively market the building across the bay area, and there is a continuous flow of users that have expressed interest in the building. Over the last quarter, we had 12 preliminary presentations for users in excess of 50,000 square feet. That was a lot of information I went quickly. But I’ll turn it over to Mike to jump into the financials.