Stephanie Kushner
Analyst · Macquarie. Please go ahead
Thanks, Joni. It was a busy first quarter for us, starting with the successful acquisition of Red Wolf, LLC, which adds both scale and diversification to Broadwind. Our financial performance was strong with first quarter revenue at $56.1 million, up 20% and at the top end of our guidance. Our gross profit rose to $6.4 million, 11.4% of revenue and up nearly 300 basis points from last year. And we reported EPS of $0.43, including a $0.34 one-time tax benefit. Excluding this one-timer, $0.09 EPS was up sharply from the $0.02 loss in the first quarter of 2016. EBITDA of $3.9 million exceeded guidance and the 7% of sales. Importantly, we saw the first tangible evidence of a recovery in the markets for years, following four down years for mining and more than two weak years for oil and gas. On the next slide, we booked $40 million of orders in the quarter, up slightly from last year. Despite high levels of enquiry activity, from turbine manufacturers, we’ve not closed the tower orders we need to fully utilize 2017 production capacity, particularly for our Manitowoc plant. The IRS deadline for securing qualification for 100% PTC was mid-April. And developers and turbine OEMs scrambled to ensure they could meet the 5% minimum spend threshold required to qualify their advanced stage projects. Like other tower manufacturers, we were producing full out to support this demand. As the last several weeks have unfolded, it has become apparent that some developers have now paused, filling their supply-chain pipelines after meeting these initial purchase requirement. Although we anticipated this somewhat when we established our operating plan for the year, the impact has been more severe than we expected. At the same time, we have seen an increasing number of towers being imported. That number has risen steadily and was back to almost 1,000 last year. The net effect of these factors is that we have had to react quickly to remove headcount and weekend shifts at our Manitowoc plant in order to reduce production in the near-term. Our customers indicate that order flow should normalize as the year progresses, providing us better visibility later in the year and into 2018. On the positive note Gearing orders rose sharply to $7.3 million in the quarter, double last year and far in excess of our intake rate during the past two quarters. And we booked $3.6 million for our new segment, Process Systems. Including the addition of $9 million of opening backlog from the acquisition of Red Wolf, we ended the quarter with $182 million in backlog. Next slide. Despite the short-term hiatus in tower orders we have experienced recently, the U.S. wind market remains fundamentally strong. During the first quarter, 2 gigawatts of projects were placed into service and 4.5 gigawatts of new projects moved into construction or advanced development, bringing the total active projects to nearly 21 gigawatts. As shown in the pie chart on the right, 80% of those projects are located in Texas and the Plains states or in the Midwest in reasonable proximity to our plants. Turning to Gearing, I mentioned already that we have been seeing the first tangible evidence of improved Gearing market. This slide prepared by IHS for the American Gear Manufacturers Association confirms an inflection point in gearing demand in late 2016, with a growth rate forecast for the entire market in the range of 7% per annum for the next several years. The table on the right highlights the forecast for the markets where we participate, where the larger very high precision gears are used, with strong near-term growth rates in the double-digits. We reported strong Q1 gear orders, double the prior year. And that trend has continued in April. So for the four months our orders totaled $13 million, or nearly triple our 2016 level for the same four-month period. Now, I don’t think we can necessarily annualize this four-month number since there is often an early surge as supplier pipelines get refilled after an order drop. But we are cautiously optimistic that 2017 orders will be nearly double 2016. And we’ll approach the $30 million annual run rate we now need to be profitable in this business. On the consolidated financial results, I already highlighted several of these numbers. I would say in general, the Red Wolf acquisition will help increase our gross profit margin, but will also increase our operating expense. We’ve not fully finalized our purchase accounting, but booked preliminarily an intangible amortization charge of $240,000 for the two months, which flows into operating expenses. As I said, our adjusted EBITDA was $3.9 million for the quarter, more than double the 2016 level. I’d like to provide a little more detail about the one-time $0.34 tax adjustment associated with the Red Wolf acquisition. Basically, this arises because Broadwind have not tax affected our losses since startup, and we have over $200 million in that operating loss carry forward. Therefore, we have a full valuation allowance against our deferred tax assets, which will reverse and be taken into income when we and our auditors are confident that we will be profitable for the foreseeable future, generally following three years of profitability. The reason that this $5 million was taken to income in the first quarter is that purchase accounting on Red Wolf dictated that we established our deferred tax liability on the acquisition, because of book tax timing differences associated with the purchase. Once established, because Broadwind can immediately shelter that liability, the deferred tax assets and liabilities were netted in consolidation, and part of the valuation allowance was released and taken into income. Turning to Towers, we sold 133 towers in the quarter and had revenue of $48.9 million. We did better than planned, managing our labor costs and also our variable overhead. We hit all customer deadlines and navigated through a complex product changeover in Abilene. This is the testament to the progress our operations and supply chain have made during the past 12 to 18 months. The year-over-year comparison also benefitted, because the first quarter of 2016 had some residual cost associated with production problems in Abilene during 2015. The net effect was to increase segment earnings to $5.8 million in the current quarter or 11.9% of sales. EBITDA was also strong at $7 million or just over 14% of sales. I already mentioned our reduced production level in Manitowoc. We are expecting Q2 revenue per towers of about $30 million to $32 million, and operating income of $1 million to $2 million. As you can see in the chart on the left, we now expect 2017 to be a down year for us in terms of tower volumes, the first break in our steady growth trajectory of recent years. We’ve demonstrated our ability to produce consistently and reliably, and we expect to get past this market correction by late 2017 or early 2018. We are completing several capital investments, so it’ll further improve our product flexibility and give us additional capacity at Abilene, Texas market, which is particularly strong at this time. In addition, we continue to focus on taking costs at our production processes to improve competitiveness. Next slide. Our first quarter in Gearing was weak as expected, due to low order intake during the back half of 2016. We shipped $3.9 million of gears, and incurred an operating loss of $1.5 million. In addition to lower sales, the quarter was impacted by higher compensation expense associated with the order growth, and the absence of asset sale gains experienced in 2016. We expect this to be the low point for the year, given the recovery in orders, Q2 sales should exceed $6 million with an operating loss of about $0.5 million and positive EBITDA. Quarterly sales should then increase in the back half of the year to $7 million or more per quarter. We expect full-year revenue in the $24 million to $25 million range with positive full-year EBITDA. Gearing organization has made solid progress since the beginning of last year, raising on-time delivery rates, improving labor productivity and streamlining core business processes. We are well positioned to deliver improved financial results as our markets recover. Tuning to Process Systems, just a reminder, our new segment includes the CNG business we started up recently out of Abilene, plus Red Wolf, which was acquired on February 1. First quarter results were low due to relatively lower shipments from Red Wolf, following strong January shipments prior to the transaction close, also no CNG unit sales which are intermittent. Impacting income for Red Wolf was the adverse one-time impact of $230,000 revaluation of inventories due to acquisition accounting, and adverse purchase price variance of $130,000, and $240,000 of intangible amortization expense. This last item is subject to change, because we are still finalizing the purchase accounting on this transaction. Q2 should be of more normalized performance. We expect $5.5 million to $6 million in sales in Q2, with positive EBITDA and breakeven operating income. Our full-year outlook is for about $28 million to $30 million of sales for the segment, and EBITDA up $3 million to $4 million. This is lower than the $4 million to $5 million EBITDA estimate provided at the time of the acquisition, because both CNG and the gas turbine, new unit order intake have started the year lower than anticipated. We remain very enthusiastic about the opportunities available to us because of this acquisition. Expansion into the global utility gas turbine equipment market adds breadth of product, customer and geography. Turning to working capital, our operating working capital, which was essentially zero at year-end, returned to a more normal run rate during the first quarter. As shown on the left, DSO rose back to over 30-days reflecting that some of our tower shipments were skewed toward the end of the quarter, and also incorporating Red Wolf payment terms, which are generally longer. Inventory turns declined slightly, but we are still a very healthy 7.7 turns. Our customer deposits declined slightly during the quarter as well. All of these factors contributed to pushing our cash conversion cycle up to 28 days. And our operating working capital back up to $0.07 per dollar of sales. As I’ve said in the past, due to volatility in material receipts and customer deposits. We generally plan for working capital to be in the range shown by the yellow band on the right chart, between $0.07 and $0.15 per dollar of sale. We’ve been outside that band from time to time, due either to unusual operational factors like the tower production issues we used to experience or the West Coast port strike. We’ve improved our supply chain management very significantly and our production processes. So the remaining volatility is more typically market and customer driven. On the next slide, our balance sheet, our cash assets dropped as expected due to the $16.5 million initial purchase payment for Red Wolf, and the increase in our operating working capital. As you can see here, receivables rose sharply due to the high tower production rates and our customer deposit balance decline. At quarter end, we had $10.5 million of debt and capital leases outstanding, including $6.5 million drawn on our credit line with The Private Bank, and $2.6 million New Markets Tax Credit, which is scheduled to be forgiven next year. Following the Red Wolf acquisition, we exercised our option to increase The Private Bank facility to $25 million, so we can borrow against the Red Wolf working capital. At this size, we believe the credit line is adequate to meet our operational liquidity needs. As you can see in the right hand chart, our CapEx continues to be elevated to about 5% of sales, about double our normal run rate. In addition to the investments to improve our coatings process and expand the Abilene tower plant, we have initiated the rebuild of our crane systems in Abilene to improve product flow in that plant. We are now on track for full-year capital spending of about $8 million, which is up slightly from what I said at year-end. Coming off a very strong Q1 we are now expecting a flat year-over-year comparison in the second quarter, with weaker tower segment financials offset by improved Gearing, Process Systems and corporate result. For the full year, we’ve lowered guidance to revenue of $180 million to $185 million, EBITDA of $11 million or more, and EPS of $0.44 million to $0.46 million, including the one-time tax item. Our focus today is on selling tower capacity, completing our large capital projects, completing the Red Wolf integration, and gaining traction with the market expansion initiative, and successfully managing through the recovery of the Gearing business. We are continuing to look additional growth opportunities to support our strategy. This now completes my prepared remarks, and I’ll turn it over for questions.