Mike Cinnamond
Analyst · Scotiabank
Thanks, Clive, and good morning, everyone. So just running briefly through the operating results and some of the sort of key financial results that we've reported for the quarter. Firstly, on the revenue side, revenue of $366 million, and that reflects the sale of 195,000 ounces at an average realized price of $1,874 per ounce. So high gold price during the quarter, and sales were about 7,000 ounces higher than budget, which really mirrors the higher production that we saw in the quarter than budget. Speaking of production, the total consolidated production, including our share of Calibre's results, was 209,000 ounces, and we saw a higher-than-budgeted production at each of our 3 mines. Fekola is 102,000 ounces, so just 1,000 slightly above budget on slightly above budget. That was mainly due to higher than budgeted processed grade and offset by lower-than-budgeted process tonnes. And the process tonnes were lower as a result of a reduction in the saprolite processed. And that causes us a precautionary against some of the potential supply chain problems that we saw rising in Mali from sanctions earlier in the quarter. We prioritized the processing a higher fresh ore -- higher-grade fresh ore in the period to reduce reagent consumption. And that was a temporary measure. I would say the sanctions continue there, but our supply chain was normalized, and we've built up regular levels of reagent and fuel at site now. So as a result of that, saprolite was reintroduced back into the circuit at the end of February and processing is ongoing as budgeted. Remind you as well, Fekola's gold production is expected to be significantly weighted to the second half of the year as we had guided when we put out our budgeted numbers. And that's because the second half is really when we reach the higher-grade portion of Phase 6 in the Fekola pit, and we have the new Cardinal production stream fully online. That started Cardinal in –drilling from Cardinal started later last year, but we got it fully online through the course of this year. At Masbate, 60,000 ounces in the period, that was 6,000 ounces ahead of budget, so quite a beat there, mainly due to higher process grade. In the period with -- grade which was above budget because we mined additional unbudgeted higher-grade areas within the plant mine areas. And in addition, as part -- as a function of shorter haulage periods and haulage optimizations related to the expansion of the tailings facility, we did -- we were able to see increased mining rates, which contributed to the mining of higher than budgeted, higher-grade ore in the period, but that's a temporary issue, I think, as we were working on the tailings of the TSF. But that's all for the 6,000 ounce beat in the period. Otjikoto, 35,000 ounces, 2,000 ounces over budget. That's really -- it's kind of the same story for Otjikoto. It's usually slightly ahead of all factors, grade recoveries and mined ore. And again, Otjikoto is scheduled to be weighted to the second half of the year like Fekola, and that's because that's when we get to the higher-grade portion of Phase 3 of the Otjikoto pit and also in the second half of the year is when the Wolfshag underground mine really ramps up. Just talking a bit about costs related to that production. So this -- I'm talking here at cash costs, these are all on a produced basis. So consolidated cash costs for the Q were $699. So that was almost $100, $94 less than budget. And that's primarily a function of lower than stripping in some areas, lower than budgeted fuel at Fekola. And then higher than -- that was partially offset by higher than budgeted fuel costs at Masbate and Otjikoto. So I'll touch on each of those now individually. So Fekola, $624 per ounce produced, that's $157 lower than budget. And that's primarily a function of slightly higher-than-budgeted production, as I mentioned before, and then lower-than-budgeted mining processing and site general costs. And those costs were lower than budget, largely due to lower-than-budgeted fuel prices realized in the period. And just to remind everyone, I think as we've talked about it in previous calls, in Mali, the fuel prices are set in advance by the state. And therefore, you're always going to have some timing delay between costs that you might see in the broader fuel market and at the pump and then what we're realizing at site. We also had lower-than-budgeted volumes of fuel and consumables that we utilized in the period because we mined and processed lower overall tonnes than budgeted. And mine tonnes were lower than budgeted due to, again, a temporary change in mine sequencing to accommodate that temporary change of saprolite processing. Reminder to everyone as well on the power side. The solar plant of Fekola, which we got up and running last year, is running very nicely. And actually over 20% of the power that we generated in the first quarter of 2022 was solar. So that's been a great investment, I think, for current operations and as we look forward. Masbate cash cost per ounce reduced $710 per ounce. That was $50 per ounce lower than budget. And that was really, again, a result of higher-than-budgeted production, partially offset by higher-than-budgeted mining and processing costs, which, again, were driven by a little bit higher-than-budgeted diesel and HFO costs at Masbate for the period. And then Otjikoto, cash cost per ounce reduced $770, that was $35 less than budget, slightly lower than budget, and again, a result of higher-than-budgeted production and budgeted -- our operating costs were pretty much in line with budget. And those operating costs, they saw some increase in fuel prices, but that was offset by a weaker Namibian dollar. You might recall last year, we actually -- we saw maybe dollar strengthen. So it actually -- it increased our cost slightly this period so far. We've seen the dollar weaken. We budgeted at 14.5 and then maybe a dollar to U.S. dollar for the period, and we saw it come in somewhere over 15. So it's probably a benefit in the period of a couple of million bucks in foreign exchange gains. Touch briefly in all-ins. It's really same store of cash costs. So consolidated all-in sustaining costs, including our share of Calibrewas $1,036 per ounce sold, and that was $318 overall, lower than budget. And so it's a function of those almost $100 less on the cash operating cost side. And then also, higher-than-budgeted gold ounces sold as I mentioned earlier and lower sustaining CapEx. During the period, we were at $33 million lower than budget on the CapEx side. And that -- part of that came from the temporary change in sequencing at Fekola, so we had lower stripping in the period. We also had some lower stripping costs at what Otjikoto in the period. And then just the timing of some fleet purchases and rebuilds. If you put all those together, we were $33 million lower than budget for the period. But we think these are timing issues, and we expect to see those reverse later in the year. Just a couple of comments on guidance. So firstly, just to remind everyone I had mentioned earlier on this call. We are weighted pretty substantially 40% in the first half, 60% second half for production. We're maintaining our production guidance. We were 8,000 ounces ahead for the quarter. We're saying we're still on our overall guidance for the year. So our consolidated guidance is 990,000 to 150,000 ounces for the year. We haven't changed our reguide on the cost side. We reiterate our annual cost guidance. And we have seen, as I run through here, a very good first quarter where we beat budget on the cost and all-in sustaining cost side. And I think we can expect that that could benefit the first half of the year as well. However, on the other side, we are seeing some cost inflation, particularly some fuel increases I've mentioned already. And there's also the CapEx timing issues that I mentioned as well, so that we're going to see those reversed. So I think we're seeing some cost volatility in the market. We're going to continue to watch it, and we'll look at it again for the -- in the second quarter. So -- in the meantime, we've just maintained our annual cost guidance and also our annual production guidance. A couple of general comments maybe just on the operations as we just run through them. So we're still a big focus in Mali. In early February, we put out an updated mineral resource estimate for the Cardinal zone. So -- and now we had indicated resources of 430,000 ounces, and then we did an updated inferred resource of 740,000 ounces. Also, subsequent to the end of March, we completed the acquisition of the Bakolobi permit, and that allowed us to consolidate that whole land package from Fekola all the way up to Bantako, for an area of 20 square kilometers. And Anaconda remains a big focus. We got 17 million as Clive mentioned on the exploration side, 17 million budgeted on exploration for Anaconda for this year. We got a lot of -- 5 drill rigs on and active there. And then we -- in late March, we put out an updated resource for Anaconda. Reminder to the Anaconda includes MenankotoPermit and the BantakoNorth Permit. And that resource had initial indicated mineral resources of 1.1 million ounces and inferred resources of 2.3 million ounces. So a lot of upside in Mali. We budgeted $33 million to start developing the Anaconda area and has a potential, I think, with a view of Phase 1 saprolite mining that could start as early as late this year, could add 80,000 to 100,000 ounces per year to our production profile, which isn't in our budget right now. Cardinal was in our budget, but Anaconda is not. I think, Bill, maybe want to talk a bit more about this after my comments. And there's also a Phase 2 scoping study that we're starting to look at -- we actually are going to look at what beyond just saprolite trucking to thiscoal mill and what we might do in terms of stand-aloneat Anaconda. Then at Otjikoto, we continue to develop theWolfshag underground mine. First development ore production is expected by the end of the first half 2022. And then as I said, we kind of move into full tilt production there at Wolfshag in the second half of the year. Couple of comments on the income statement on the other operating results. Just gains on derivative instruments. We reported $19 million in gains for the period, that $13 million -- that all relates to fuel. $13 million was unrealized and $6 million was realized. But just so that you got it in your mind, our fuel book -- our hedge book at the end of the quarter was $29 million in the money. So about 2/3 of that will be benefit 2022. And we flow those benefits through the all-in sustaining cost number as realized. And then about 1/3 will come into 2023. And our comments as well that historically, we've said for fuel, we hedge up to 50% of 1 year's needs and 25% of the next year's. We're not quite at those levels at the minute, we're about 35% of 2022’sneeds and about 17% of 2023, and that's because we are realizing a ban for those hedges, but with some of the fuel pricing that we've seen, it's higher, not as keen to jump into the market with new hedges on. So we're -- but we're constantly watching it, and we'll jump in if we see like a different prices or something that looks like a good opportunity. On a net income basis, $90 million net income for the period, that was EPS of $0.08 per share for attributable to shareholder’s company. And then on an adjusted net income basis, $65 million or $0.06 per share. Just talk a little bit about the cash flow. Again, solid cash flow generating period. I’ll remind us all, because we're saying we're weighted so much in the second half of the year, we definitely see the majority of our cash flow, -- the greater part of our cash flows come in the second half of 2022. But even with that said, cash from operating activities in the first quarter was $107 million or $0.10 per share and I know a bunch of analysts look at it on operating cash before changes in working capital. So if you look at that number, it's $152 million for the period or $0.14 per share. We've maintained our guidance on operating cash flow for the year. This is net operating cash flow, $625 million. And we have seen some higher prices that we realized in Q1, as I talked about in terms of selling price for gold. But we're also seeing some slowdown in recoveries at several sites should expect as governments fight their way through the post-COVID period. So I think overall, we've maintained our operating cash flow guidance of $625 million for the year. On the financing side, $42 million went out in dividends as we've maintained our dividend at USD 0.04 per share. And as Clive said, that's providing one of the highest yields up there in the gold sector. Cash taxes for those that are interested in such things, we haven't changed it. Clive will probably talk in detail about those -- talk about cash taxes, but it's going to be -- we've maintained the $290 million same as we guided at the start of the year. Then on the investing side, $77 million or $78 million cash outflow from investing, that's quite a bit lower. That's about almost $70 million under budget for the period. We had sustaining CapEx of $40 million, which was $33 million lower than budget for the reasons I mentioned earlier. Then on the nonsustaining side, we're about $35 million lower than budget. That related to the timing of fleet rebuild purchases underground development at Wolfshag, just the timing of some of the payments related to that and then some of the timing of exploration activities. But we do expect those to be timing issues, and we do expect to see them reverse later in the year. And Gramalote, we continue work towards getting the feasibility study done, with -- we should know the results of that by the end of the second or the first half of the year with the feasibility study to come in Q3. And that left us, as Clive said, very healthy cash position, $648 million at the end of the quarter with $600 million undrawn on the revolver. And I think that concludes the comments I was going to make on the financial segment.