Raimundo Monge
Analyst · Tito Labarta from Deutsche Bank
Thank you, very much and good morning to all of you, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to Banco Santander Chile’s third quarter 2012 results conference call. My name Raimundo Monge, I’m the Director of Strategic Planning of the Bank and I’m joined today by Robert Moreno, Manager of Investor Relations. Thank you for attending today’s conference call, in which we will discuss our performance in 3Q of ‘13. Following the webcast presentation, we will be happy to answer your questions. Before we get into more details regarding our results, we would briefly give our latest update on the outlook for the Chilean economy in 2013 and 2014. We continue to be positive in the performance of the economy, but we have adjusted downwards our growth expectations for 2013 and 2014, due to lower growth of investments. We expect GDP growth to be around 4.2% up to 4.4% this year and to be close to 4% next year. As expected, the central bank has begun lowering interest rates, cutting them 25 basis points in October. We expect one or two more rate cuts of about 25 basis points in 2014. Inflation also as expected has become to rebound this quarter and reach 1%. For 2014, we expect U.S. inflation to be closer to 3%. Loan and deposit growth has also been following the recent economic trends. Loan growth accelerated slightly in the quarter as consumer spending remains strong, but we expect this to slow down in 2014. Corporate lending, also accelerate as companies look to the local market for financial need as external sources for loans became more expensive. For 2014, we expect loan growth to be closer to 10% for the financial system as a whole. Now we will review how the Bank continues to move forward in its strategic objective. During the quarter, the Bank show important advances in all its strategic objectives. We have seen throughout 2013 an acceleration of our loan growth, core deposit growth and more recently, client based growth. All of these have been fueled by the important transformation we are implementing in our retail banking business, led by the Bank’s customer relationship management platform, or CRM and lower cost credit tools. We believe, we are ahead of the rest of financial [indiscernible] in making the necessary changes in our business model and processes, that should allow us to have a bit of performance that our main peers in a slightly more challenging economic, regulatory and competitive environment. As far as these transformation projects, in 2012, we launched a new CRM that gladly [ph] has been showing positive results. Today, 100% of our branch employees are using these platforms. The results are encouraging. For example, those employees who are heavy users of CRM tools and capabilities are currently granting 60% more consumer loans, both in terms of number of operations and volumes, than those account offices that are still low users of CRM. The same issue [ph] for checking accounts where intensive users are opening 60% more, banking – checking accounts than loan users. At the same time, the clients being brought are less risky but we still have [indiscernible]. These commercial activity increases are starting to be visible in different volume growth rate. For example, in after income segment, total loans are growing 12% year-on-year, despite our lack of focus on mortgages and deposits are at 26% year-on-year. Apart from the CRM, the launching of the Santander select business models has been well received by clients. These platforms should be the cornerstone of our growth in high income banking segments going forward. The transformation project is also beginning to produce positive results and quality of service and client satisfaction, which is our second strategic objective. The number of clients entering the Bank has nearly doubled, since the beginning of the year. We have also reduced client churn rate. As a result, this client growth, which is the first quarter average close to zero, has risen to approximately 25,000 clients per month by the end of 3Q of 2013. These should lead to about 7% to 8% client based growth in 2014 and should be a key driver in the growth of fees going forward. Finally, as part of our third strategic goal, managing risks conservatively, our different risk metrics are rolling out as planned. Consumer loan, assets quality has reduced again in the quarter. Consumer non-performing loans decreased 111% Q-on-Q and 25.6% year-on-year. The coverage of non-performing loans reached 339% in the third quarter. At the same time, the amount of repair consumer loans has [indiscernible] favorably. The ratio of impaired consumer loans to total consumer loans reached 10.3% as of September 2013 compared to 13.1% as of September 2012. These tend to be a leading indicator for the evolution of future charge-offs in this product. The recollection efforts led to an important in consumer loan loss recoveries. These increased 80.7% in 2013. This should be another driver of our profitability going forward. Our loan [ph] business activities in the South are also starting to reflect this improvement. In the 3Q of ‘13, total loans increased 2.8% Q-on-Q and annualized rate of 11% and close to 10% year-on-year in line with our SMEs. In the quarter, the loan growth remained strong in the market the Bank is targeting, high income individual, small and middle priced enterprises and middle market of companies. Loans in these combined markets increased 3.1% Q-on-Q and 14.4% year-on-year. By sub-segment, loan to high income individuals led growth and increased 3.7% Q-on-Q and 12.4% year-on-year. This is in line with the Bank’s strategy of expanding loan volumes selectively and with our relentless focus on the strength of net of provisions. The evolution of our funding base was also positive in the third quarter. Total deposit grew 2.3% Q-on-Q and 6.1% year-on-year. In the quarter, the Bank’s funded strategy continue to be focused on increasing core deposits while lowering deposit for more expensive short term in additional sources. Core deposits expanded 4.2% Q-on-Q and 18% year-on-year. Among core deposits, the bulk of growth came from individuals. These deposit increased 3.5% Q-on-Q and 21.8% year-on-year. Core deposits now represent 85% of the Bank’s total deposit base. It is important to note that as the central bank continues to cut interest rates, our focus on core deposits should help support net interest margins. Core deposit tends to be cheaper than institutional deposits and generally have a shorter contractual ratio. Therefore, as rates decline, our interest bearing liabilities will reply [ph] quicker than our interest earning assets. The Bank’s margin are also beginning to benefit from the Bank’s strategy. In the third quarter, net interest income increased 15.7% Q-on-Q and 20.5% year-on-year. Loan growth, a better funding mix and high inflation rates drove this rise in the interest income. The net interest margin NIM in 3Q13 reached 5.3%, compared to 4.7% in both 2Q ‘13 and 3Q ‘12. The volatility of our total net interest margin and income is mainly due to the quarterly inflation – fluctuations [ph] of inflation. The 3Q13, the variation of the Unidad de Fomento, an inflation indexed of currency unit, was 1% compared to negative 0.1% in the 2Q13 and negative 0.2% in the 3Q of ‘12. The Bank has more assets than liability related to inflation and as a result, margins have a positive sensitivity to variations in inflation. The gap between assets and liabilities index with the UF, average approximately CH$3.4 trillion in 3Q ‘13. This implies that 100 basis point change in inflation, our net interest income increases or decreases by ‘13 or CH$1 billion, all other factors being equal. Client net interest margin, defined as client net interest income divided by average loans, reached 5.6% in 3Q decreasing 20 basis points from previous quarters. These lower client margins was mainly due to the higher growth of corporate loans and lower growth in the low ends of the consumer market. Nevertheless, as it has been mentioned in previous call, our key goal at the time is to gradually achieve a higher client margin, net of provision expense, even though this could result in lower gross client margin. In consumer lending for example, gross spreads are down 190 basis points in the last year, but spreads net of provision expense, have increased 60 basis points in the same period. For the remainder of 2013 and 2014, the evolution of margins should reflect various factors; first, we expect the net inflations to normalize at a constant [ph] rate of approximately 0.7% 0.8% per quarter with seasonal inflation. In addition, the central bank reduced interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.75. As the central bank continues to cut rate, our focus on core deposits should sell [indiscernible] retail margins since our liabilities price factors therefore increasing our margins. The stronger operating trends we have in this slide were partially offset by the reduction in fees which are still being affected by changes in reparations. The good news is that, as we just showed, the client base and commercial activities are all trading upwards, which we believe will lead to fee growth in 2014. The added accounts and balancing effects has been a 17% drop Q-on-Q in the amount of financial reflections net early due to lower margin volatility. All of the above, resulting in operating profits increasing 7.8% Q-on-Q and 13.6% year-on-year, which is the highest level in the last eight quarters. The Bank’s non-performing loans ratio fell from 3.1% in the 2Q of ‘13 to 3% in the 3Q of ‘13 and the risk index was stable at 2.9%. Total coverage of non-performing loans in 3Q ‘13 reached 94.8% compared to 91.3% in the 2Q and 98.3% in the third quarter of 2012. Despite these positive trends, net provision of loan loss in the quarters increased 11.3% Q-on-Q while decreasing 19.2% year-on-year. At the same time, cost of credit increased 10 basis points reaching 1.9% in the 3Q of ‘13. The rise in provision expense was mainly due to one-time events in commercial lending. During the quarter, the Bank lowered the risk rating of various clients in the middle market segment, which signifies approximately CH$4 billion higher provisions. This was not effective statistical phenomenon, but occurred among clients in various sectors. The second driving force was stronger loan growth led to higher loan loss provisions as the Bank turned up provision in recognized provisions once the loan is granted. Costs are also rolling as planned. Operating expenses were flat Q-on-Q as the Bank continues to wrap up its investment program in the transformation projects. The 10.9% year-on-year increasing of the interest expenses was mainly due to high investment technology and systems and higher client service cost in retail banking. As a consequence, the efficiency ratio reached 39.8% in 3Q ‘13 compared to 42.5% in 2Q ‘13 and 41.9% in 3Q ‘12. Despite a larger loss in the other income and expenses line compared to 2Q ‘13 and 3Q ‘12, net income attributable to shareholders totaled CH$101 billion in the third quarter increasing 17.8% compared to the second quarter ‘13. These resulted in our ROE close to 19% in the quarter. In summary, the Chilean economy we believe is in good health with a moderate slowdown of provision. On the other hand, a lower rate environment and an uptick in inflation are helping to boost profitability. Loan growth and asset quality trends remain positive. The funding mix continue to improve and core deposit growth has been solid. Net interest margin rebounded with higher inflation. Asset quality trends are encouraging and core growth was flat. Fees are a trending [ph] matter that the positive evolution of our client base should boost the growth in 2013. That is why we believe the Bank’s dividend outlook is solid, as the transformation process should help to support our growth and efficiency going forward. At this time, we will gladly answer any questions you might have.