Earnings Labs

Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. (BR)

Q1 2009 Earnings Call· Thu, Nov 6, 2008

$160.65

+1.23%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning. This is [Carol] and I will be your conference facilitator today. (Operator Instructions) I will now turn the conference over to Marvin Sims, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir.

Marvin Sims

President

Thank you, Carol. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the Broadridge quarterly earnings call and webcast for the first quarter of the fiscal year 2009. I'm Marvin Sims, Vice President of Investor Relations. This morning I'm here with Rich Daly, Chief Executive Officer for Broadridge, and Dan Sheldon, Chief Financial Officer for Broadridge. I'm sure by now everyone has had the opportunity to review the earnings release we issued earlier this morning. The news release and slide presentation that accompanied today's earnings call and webcast can be found on the Investor Relations homepage of our website at Broadridge.com. Before we begin, I would like to remind everyone that during today's conference call we'll discuss some forward-looking statements that involve risks. These risks are discussed here on Slide 1 and in our periodic filings with the SEC. Now let's turn to the next slide to review today's agenda. Rich Daly will start today's call with his opening remarks and will provide you with a summary of the financial results for the quarter, followed by a discussion on a few key topics. Dan Sheldon will then review the first quarter results in further detail, including a review of the cash flows for the quarter. Rich will then return and summarize the fiscal year 2009 guidance and provide his overall summary and some closing thoughts before we head into the Q&A part of the call. Now please turn to the next slide and I'll turn the call over to Rich Daly. Rich?

Rich Daly

Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Marvin. Good morning, everyone. This morning I'll talk about a few topics: First, a summary of our first quarter financial results and the reaffirmation of our 2009 fiscal year nonGAAP EPS guidance; next, a general overview of the current market dynamics and how to put these dynamics into context at Broadridge as well as a discussion on the resiliency of our business. As part of this, I'll also talk about our clients and the recent industry consolidations and how we think it could affect Broadridge's overall revenue. Then, our strong cash flows and the thinking around our capital allocation strategy, and we'll end with Q&A. There is a lot we need to cover, so let's start. Overall, I'm pleased with our first quarter results, especially given the current environment. Our revenues for the quarter were up 5%. Net earnings, while better than anticipated, were down 1% as a result of the grow-over items related to last year's corporate build and investment spend, as we forecasted during our first quarter fiscal '08 earnings call. Again, both the revenue and earnings metrics are slightly better than what was contemplated in our guidance due to higher trade volumes in late September. Included in these results is a gain that resulted from a partial redemption of our bonds. This gain on our bond redemption is another benefit versus our overall original plan performance for the first quarter. As we look forward for the remainder of the fiscal year, we're reaffirming our full year guidance for EPS to be in the range of $1.45 to $1.55, which excludes the benefit of $0.04 for the onetime gain on the partial redemption of our bonds. We're anticipating revenue growth of zero to 3%, which is slightly down from our previous growth guidance of 2% to 4%,…

Dan Sheldon

Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Rich. I'm on Page 10. So our Q1 key highlights, as Rich mentioned, this has been a good quarter. We ended the quarter with 5% revenue growth and we're up over our plan, due, again as Rich mentioned, to the very high September trade volumes. And by the way, all the revenue growth is coming from the segments this year. We went into this year's plan, by the way, with the knowledge that we were already in a down market and appropriately managed expectations in August for fiscal year '09 would be a lower single-digit revenue growth period for us. Although pre-tax margins and earnings per share are down on a GAAP basis, we are in line with our plan and this is before the one-time gain from the $125 million bond redemption. Before turning to the segments, I'd like to remind everyone that although we're in a down market, 80% of our revenues are recurring and in up markets can drive our revenue growth upwards of 10%. And the other 20% of our revenue we call event-driven revenues, which I'll go into next, don't look to be as problematic this year as they were in fiscal year '03. So let's move on to the segments, and I'll start with Slide 11, our Investor Communications. For the quarter we had 5% revenue growth, and this, again, was in line with our plan. Fee revenue growth is from both net new business and internal growth. And with respect to internal growth, we saw an increase in all of our recurring revenue products this quarter. Event-driven revenues are down slightly for the quarter, primarily due to the registered mutual fund proxy and solicitation, which were partially offset by some higher mutual fund supplemental [inaudible]. Our distribution revenues are in line with…

Rich Daly

Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Dan. Let me quickly summarize our fiscal year 2009 guidance as Dan and I have already touched on most of these points. Our revenue growth for the year will be in the range of zero to 3%. This is down from our previous guidance of 2% to 4% primarily as a result of the anticipated continuation of the unfavorable foreign exchange rates due to the strengthening of the U.S. dollar [more than] driven revenue and lower distribution fees. We still expect our sales plan to be in the range of $160 million to $180 million. We expect EBIT margins of 15.9% to 16.8%, GAAP EPS of $1.49 to $1.59, non-GAAP EPS of $1.45 to $1.55, and a tax rate of 39%. And finally, we expect to generate free cash flows in the range of $180 million to $250 million. So let me summarize and leave you a few thoughts on how we feel about the business in these unprecedented times before we go into the Q&A part of the call. As you've just heard, our fiscal year is off to a good start as our first quarter results were slightly better than expected. The business fundamentals and the operating units are solid, and the business continues to demonstrate its resiliency as our business model is transaction based and not asset based, and thus is not directly tied to the level of the Dow. There have been significant events in these unprecedented times that have increased and reduced revenues for our business, but overall our business continues to be on track, which has put us in a position to reaffirm our full year EPS guidance. Consolidation in the financial service industry is proving more upside for new business opportunities than downside risk of losing business as more merging firms are…

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Your first question comes from Ian Zaffino - Oppenheimer & Co. Ian Zaffino - Oppenheimer & Co.: The question would be, I'm just trying to get a little bit better understanding of the tiering and the minimums in your Securities Processing Solutions. Is there anyway that you could almost help us understand when you talk about on the slide about your internal growth and you talk about these trades per day, if trades per day are up 3%, how much, you know, per se would revenues be up and, likewise, how much would your earnings be up and what would be the margin associated with that? Just trying to figure out the sensitivity in the model.

Rich Daly

Chief Executive Officer

I stated that a 1% change in trades per day is annualized revenue impact of $300,000 to $700,000 based on the mix of clients, whether it be institutional, retail, etc. We're not going to disclose individual client terms and differences in tiering that different clients have found beneficial to them. But I think the overall 1% change, $300,000 to $700,000, gives you a very good indication.

Dan Sheldon

Chief Financial Officer

Yes, Ian, this quarter - just so everybody knows if you're going back and doing the math - you would apply that same formula and you'd find out boy, it looks like they're more at $2 million for every 1%. But that's strictly due to what we saw in September and into October because of the retail side being up so significantly. And remember, retail has higher pricing per trade than institutional just because they're more difficult to process. But [you] not be thinking that that's not going to go on and continue for a long period of time, at least that's our expectation, and so Rich is statistics are very good to use on a long-term basis. Ian Zaffino - Oppenheimer & Co.: And is there anyway you could break out retail versus institutional?

Dan Sheldon

Chief Financial Officer

Yes, we can think about that, Ian. Ian Zaffino - Oppenheimer & Co.: And then the other question would be the cash flow. You talked about increasing the hurdle rate for acquisitions or maybe doing smaller acquisitions. You talked about a buyback program, but it's my understanding that a lot of that is just to offset dilution. Is there anyway that you were thinking about actually increasing that to in a way or in an effort to return the cash flow to shareholders?

Rich Daly

Chief Executive Officer

Okay, I think there are two parts in that. If I'm missing one, let me know, Ian. The first part you talked about was acquisitions and increasing the hurdle rate. Valuations are down. It's a reality. So when we go out to look to do a deal, we're looking to get a very good return for our shareholders and, given that valuations are down, given that, you know, Broadridge is down, we would expect higher returns on a transaction right now versus where we were six months ago. So you should be thinking in the mid-20% plus range of a return we would look to get on a deal. And remember, that leveraging our infrastructure, where we have a unique benefit. Going to the question as it relates to buybacks, we're taking a long-term view here, all right? And so these are unprecedented times. I added that a new consideration in the use of cash is liquidity. I emphatically stated that we have the liquidity to deal with these unprecedented markets right now. But liquidity is certainly a bigger topic for everyone, including Broadridge, than it was six months ago, so that's something that gets considered in our use of cash, whether it be acquisitions or buybacks as well. Specifically as it relates to buybacks, it's regularly reviewed with the Board, okay? At every meeting it's discussed and we consider what's the best use of our cash to give our shareholders a return. I don't see that priority changing, but we will continue to look at this from a long-term point of view, so I simply stated where I was at this point in time through the last Board meeting with my discussions with the Board.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Anurag Rana - KeyBanc Capital Markets.

Anurag Rana - KeyBanc Capital Markets

Analyst

I'm actually going to beat a dead horse and talk about buybacks also. If your hurdle rate or your return that you're thinking you're going to get on these acquisitions is going to be about 20%, [given where] the stock price has gone over the last four months, why not, instead of small little acquisitions, just buy back a lot more shares? And second, I mean, it's good that you're not looking at any large acquisition at this point, but if you were to look at a large acquisition, what would your appetite be in terms of size?

Rich Daly

Chief Executive Officer

From the time of the [spin] we've been consistent in saying that we think Broadridge is well positioned, but we would continue to need to invest in our products, whether that's build or buy, to enable us to continue to win at higher rates in the industry. So there are two things you should be thinking about when I talk about acquisitions. One, we're looking to get a good return. Two, we also believe that will better position Broadridge to win more overall business in the marketplace. So when I talked about the Black Book of Outsourcing rating of number one, I believe that's because of our successful expansion of our product breadth to make our clients more efficient and more competitive. So the acquisitions fit into that model. Without question, we will not be just looking to buy revenue. And if we were ever looking to buy revenue, it of course would be benchmarked versus the good return we could get by buying our own stock at lower levels. So all of these things will be considered - liquidity, the strategy of the acquisition, what it will do for us long-term, and by all means, what's the best use of our cash, including buybacks, to give our shareholders a good return.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from David Togut - First Manhattan.

David Togut - First Manhattan

Analyst

First, if you could address pricing in the Investor Communications business - what are you seeing on a year-over-year basis and what are your expectations going forward?

Rich Daly

Chief Executive Officer

Sure. The Investor Communications space pricing has been relatively stable. We believe that we've been able to offset pricing pressures by consistently improving the accuracy, efficiency and functionality of the products. So we have made our services very close to being indispensable in this space. So it's relatively stable pricing. And on the issuer side, where we add registered issuers, because of our notice and access and our leadership in that activity, we see market opportunity there. But again, I think pricing there will remain relatively stable.

David Togut - First Manhattan

Analyst

And then the free cash flow guidance of $180 to $250 million is fairly broad. Could you discuss the assumptions at the low end versus the high end.

Rich Daly

Chief Executive Officer

You know, I almost added to my comments - I should say my formal comments - that Dan and I have an internal bet, and I guess you can guess who's betting at the higher end. So I think the $180 is conservative. We are in unprecedented times. Will people start to pay slower, things of that nature. I would expect our free cash flow to be consistent with what we've historically seen, and I'm certainly thinking in the midpoint of that as my starting point.

David Togut - First Manhattan

Analyst

[inaudible] tracts to possibilities around working capital changes as opposed to any variation in CapEx.

Dan Sheldon

Chief Financial Officer

Right. That's the important point to take away. If you look back at the top, you can see about, you know, $15 million is related to our earnings, and then absolutely we control CapEx. And the way to think about CapEx is we don't use a lot of it and we never have used a lot of it. And the rest is all working capital or something that can happen, even, with deferred taxes. So that's the way to look at it.

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Your next question comes from Tien-Tsin Huang - J.P. Morgan.

Tien-Tsin Huang - J.P. Morgan

Analyst

Rich, I really liked the disclosure on the SPS slide. It's really helpful. I just had a follow up question to some of the detail there. Can you talk more about the platform decision-making process in general in the event of consolidation? How long does it typically take for these decisions to happen? What's the typical outcome on pricing in the event of a win and who bears the conversion cost, the conversion times, etc. Kind of a loaded question, I know, but I get that question quite often.

Rich Daly

Chief Executive Officer

Okay, I'm going to break it into two pieces, Tien-Tsin. First of all, each one of these deals, if it's not related to a consolidation is really separate in terms of all the activities. We've seen them move quickly, we've seen then move quickly install, we've seen them move slow and get to end of job, we've seen them move quickly and get to end of job. So it's a firm by firm activity. The good news that I'm feeling is that the people on our platform really have far more flexibility in these high trading times. We always got them to the settlement cycles on time, and we always enable them to open on time. And there aren't a lot of people out there that can say that. This Black Book of Outsourcing clearly rating us number one versus any other player in some many categories - the lowest, I think, we were rated in any category out of the 52 vendors was number four - so the strength of our value proposition will enable some of these conversation and closing cycles, I believe, to improve. Now, separately in consolidations, far more activity, far faster because they have to make a decision which platform to go on. And most firms are looking at this right now as through this consolidation there are opportunities to take out costs. They're not seeing near-term opportunities to grow a lot of revenue. And that's faring well for us as well because that puts more focus on how to get to the best and most efficient platform, and I like the dialogues that we're having right now. They're still major decisions. It's not over until it's over. But I'm going to end with my comment from the script, which is I expect to leave these unprecedented times better than we went into them.

Tien-Tsin Huang - J.P. Morgan

Analyst

How about the outcome on pricing, typically in the margin profile of the combined deal in the event of a win?

Rich Daly

Chief Executive Officer

What you have - and I apologize for not addressing that - what you have is, if you take two firms who have tiered pricing, the acquiring firm will look to take the best contract and then have the combined volumes reflected in the best contract. But what we're seeing here - so on a specific service you could see a reduction in revenue. What we're seeing here, though, is that, as you saw in the checkmarks there, there are people that weren't on both services and, as long as one of the entities was on the service - whether it be fixed income or equities - we're generally leaving with both services right now. And so we're getting more volume where we hadn't had it before, and we're generally getting the opportunity to offer new services and to have dialogues even around things like outsourcing. So consolidation, higher volumes means you have higher scale, it means you get better pricing. That's a reality and they deserve it. But for us, I think we can become a better and more strategic partner and create more opportunities as we go forward, and that's also why our focus on product expansion, whether it be internally developed or strategically acquired, will remain a high priority.

Tien-Tsin Huang - J.P. Morgan

Analyst

And then I just had a question on Clearing, two parts, really. Is your liquidity focus, the comment there, is that primarily for the benefit of the Clearing business? And secondarily, given the current environment, how does the pipeline look for adding Clearing clients?

Rich Daly

Chief Executive Officer

Great question. Clearing absolutely adds to the liquidity equation for Broadridge, and if we hadn't had the Clearing business, the tone of this call would have been slightly different because we wouldn't have been able to add the Neuberger business. And the fact that we added the Neuberger business in days - that client was converted in days; I don't think anyone has ever heard someone being converted in days before - not only enabled us to retain or add a significant new line of revenue, but what it also enabled us to do is demonstrate to the world that this really is the most reliable and I would argue safest platform for you to be on as you consider your business needs going forward. So Clearing uses liquidity, but the Clearing model has given us the flexibility to win in these very difficult market times.

Dan Sheldon

Chief Financial Officer

I would just add that when we're thinking about liquidity, it is correct the Clearing business is what we're focused on here. And we said we feel very good about it. I mean, we've shared with everyone that we have a $500 million revolver, and that revolver is good for another 3.5 years. As well as we have our uncommitted lines. They're with very good, solid banks who have also said to us there's no reason to be concerned that those bank lines are going to go away. So that's what gives us the overall comfort in saying - and again, you saw the debt level; it was only $238. You've got a revolver of $500 plus an additional line. That's not considering, for us, to be thinking we have any kind of a liquidity issue.

Tien-Tsin Huang - J.P. Morgan

Analyst

And then just adding, the opportunity to add Clearing clients in the current environment and then also a lot of regulatory changes going on, I'm curious as to how you might benefit from that.

Rich Daly

Chief Executive Officer

Bear in mind our focus - when we add Clearing clients is they have to meet our very, very strict creditworthiness standards. So it's business as usual, but we're very pleased that we have the credit policies we have. Those credit policies will remain in place. And so our focus will be to add high-quality Clearing clients, but our primary focus in this business - and the key strategic reason why we went into it - was because we have the unique opportunity to add outsourcing clients, which no one else in the industry has the ability to offer at this point in time.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Maharth Kapur - Credit Suisse.

Maharth Kapur - Credit Suisse

Analyst

Dan, would you be able to walk me through some of the changes on your balance sheet from the last quarter in terms of the cash balances, the rise in short-term debt and some of the securities payables and when you expect that, if you expect that, you know, to go back to, I guess, the levels of last quarter, when would that happen?

Dan Sheldon

Chief Financial Officer

Yes, absolutely. You mentioned cash first. I think you can see that the cash is down, you know, from the - we'll call it June 30, and that's all due primarily to the payment of the purchase back of the bond. And when you're thinking about all the other changes in receivables, payables, I'll call it short-term debt as well as securities with regulatory groups, the way to think about that is all those changes are primarily due to the conversion of Neuberger. And as far as any concern of being that the debt levels at $238 will come back down to the - and this is, again, the short-term debt levels - back to the level I talked about in the call, which was anywhere between zero and $150 million and maybe spiking a couple of times, there's no reason to believe that those debt levels won't come back down. And all the receivables and payables, by the way, are back down to what I'll call the normal kind of levels now that we've got Neuberger fully integrated inside the business. And actually, you could probably see - and, you know, we're just projecting here - that as we move forward in some of the quarters, we'll probably see where those margin lending debits start shrinking some more and also we'll see an increase in how much what we call payables, which will be showing much where people are holding onto cash.

Maharth Kapur - Credit Suisse

Analyst

So you're saying these levels already are a bit more - I guess, have come down by now at the end of the quarter since Neuberger's already come on?

Dan Sheldon

Chief Financial Officer

Yes. Now that Neuberger's fully integrated in. During the September 30, Neuberger was actually converting in, so that absolutely - when you've got assets and liabilities coming in on a little bit different timing, that creates a little bit of what we'll call the increase that you saw. At the same time, I believe that those - and I already have seen in October where they have come down, including the debt levels have absolutely come down.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Anurag Rana - KeyBanc Capital Markets.

Anurag Rana - KeyBanc Capital Markets

Analyst

Rich, I just wanted to get an idea about [SEC starts] about notice and access now. Now it's been some time and, you know, if you think the change at the center might have an impact. Just anything on that would be helpful.

Rich Daly

Chief Executive Officer

Well, first of all, our friends at the SEC have been a little busy these days, so even though we're meeting with the staff on notice and access and future activities, obviously the organization is consumed by the current financial activities going on in the markets. The thing I feel best about is on new dialogues about communications, there's a clear recognition that, although notice and access may have added efficiency to the markets in terms of cost, there's a significant reduction in individual investor participation caused by it. So as we go forward and look at the opportunities to use technology, to deliver different communications, I am hopeful and I've certainly in my dialogues and our dialogues with the staff of the SEC, there's a full recognition that push models really are the way you need to communicate with individual investors. Beyond that, I think notice and access has been viewed as being successful. We have been asked to see if there's ways through technology and through creativity we can increase the individual investor participation rate in both voting and looking at material when notice and access is used. And although I didn't mention it here, it's our investor network that we think would be one of the key ways to do that. The only update I can give you on the investor network is we're rolling out an internal pilot for friends and family, and I'm hoping in the future to be talking more about that with a very excited tone.

Operator

Operator

I'm showing that we have no further questions at this time. I'll now turn the call back to Mr. Daly.

Rich Daly

Chief Executive Officer

All right. Well, I know we gave you a lot of information today. I really want to thank you for your patience through that. I want to thank you for your thoughtful questions, and Dan, Marvin and I are going to look forward to chatting with you in the near future. Thanks so much.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. first quarter fiscal 2009 earnings conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.