James O'Leary
Analyst · ROTH Capital Partners
Okay. So we're seeing green shoots, but remember, that's very specific to us. We had, when I think the industry was still doing okay, and I would say just okay, both residential and commercial. We would turnover and some self-inflicted issues, we had a challenging 2 or 3 years after the acquisition. So a lot of our year-over-year improvement, our month-over-month improvement, a lot of the things we're seeing are just introducing stability with Jim Bact, bringing back some employees who might have looked for green pastures, repairing some of the relationships that might have gotten a bit fray, both on the supplier side and the customer side. So we're seeing some Arcadia-specific green shoots, but I wouldn't read too much into that. And from everything you can see, it's observable and anecdotal, whether it's our public peers, even one like JELD-WEN today, which is far more residential than us. But it's a data point. If you subscribe to any of the credit agencies, you can see companies like Oldcastle and Pan Air. We're all struggling with exactly the same issues, persistently high interest rates, overall cost and affordability, and that applies to commercial as well. And I think that's starting to -- that should start getting better, but I wouldn't say you see the green shoots industry-wide. A Board of a company I'm on, I mean, we're in every MSA in the country. If you put a gun to my head, I couldn't tell you what MSA in the country is really doing well, maybe 1 or 2 in the Carolinas. So all of our year-over-year improvement and green shoots that you categorize that, all very Arcadia specific and all because we brought back stability and some self-help measures. Now on what we can do specifically, stabilized things, brought back some key players, repaired relationships, really soft -- the soft skills, which Jim is fantastic at. Jim would have a longer list of things that we can do next than I would. And a lot of it is we can still do better in terms of professionalization, maybe bringing some new skills in, maybe looking at -- we've been underspending CapEx for a while on things that we're going to have some decisions to make as to whether or not -- where and when we want to put it in. There's capital we might have put in, in 2021 that we've -- we have to do, but whether or not you do it now, if you think you're still going to be bouncing along the bottom is a really important question. But we both have a very long list of things we can do that would be -- and I wouldn't say it's -- I would say it's past self-help. It would be, okay, now we're at the point where professionalization, bringing some new skills. We're getting there now on the ERP implementation, some of the improvement to data quality for the first time in a while. So there's a long list of things we work on, including on capacitization. The question is when is the right time? You don't want to add it early if the market just doesn't doesn't fill up a paint line or fill up an anodizing line, right?