Peter Ho
Analyst · Bank of America
Thanks, Janelle. Hello, everyone, thanks for taking the time to listen in. Conditions in Hawaii and in the Hawaiian economy, in particular, are improving from 2020 levels. Tourism appears poised to begin the process of reemerging after a dismal year last year. And the viral environment appears controlled here in Hawaii. Home prices on Oahu, our primary market, continue to perform well. Bank of Hawaii had another solid quarter of performance for the period ended March 31. Credit risk remains stable, expense management, adjusted for onetime items was strong. Capital and liquidity are growing. In short, we continue to weather conditions well and are positioned to grow nicely as the economy allows. At this time, I'd like to highlight a few slides to give you a little more color on operating conditions, then I'll ask Dean to provide you an overview of our finances, our financials for the quarter, and Mary will discuss credit quality. I'll conclude with some thoughts on our digital banking efforts, and we'd be delighted to take your questions after that. So beginning with Slide 2, you see that unemployment here in the islands remains high by national standards, but is moving in the right direction for us at this point, down to about 9% as of the first quarter. If you turn to the next slide, you'll see that UHERO, which is the University of Hawaii Economic Research organization and is the -- really the organization that we base a number of our financial models and risk metrics off of has actually revised positively. So in the downward revision on unemployment for both 2021 and 2022. Here on this slide, you see that we've been revised downward on unemployment from 10.9% in the December forecast to 7.1% in the most recent March forecast. And then for '22, down from 5.6% in the prior forecast to 4.4% for the March forecast. This obviously is having a positive impact on forecasted GDP as well as personal income. Here, you see that 2020 GDP was revised upwards to minus 7.5% for minus 10.2% previously. And 2021 has been revised upward pretty significantly to plus 3.7% for the year versus basically flat for the year, the prior forecast. Much of this is driven by, I think, the improving unemployment situation, but also personal income, which for '21 is forecast to increase again on a percentage basis versus 2020, which was up already 6% for last year. Turning to the next slide. Real estate market in Hawaii, like many markets across the nation continues to perform exceptionally well. So on the single-family home side, both year-to-date as well as March period-to-period numbers are up 17.3% for single-family home. Median sales prices, I think perhaps more significantly, inventory is just getting down to, I think, almost record levels. So, we're now down to 9 days on market for a single-family home. And inventories dropped to 1.3 months. Condominium side performing well not as well as single-family, though median sales price year-to-date up 5.8% and March point-to-point up 3.7%. Inventory conditions on the condo side remain pretty interesting as well with median days on market of 14 and inventory at 2.9 months. Arrivals into Hawaii are beginning to pick up nicely. So you may recall that most of our forecasts had basically visitor arrivals, getting back to 2/3 historic levels by year-end. Here, you see in this chart that we're well on our way to that path. So, the experience we're having to date is indicating a strong trend in the visitor industry. And anecdotally, when you speak to people in the industry, the hotels and the airlines, there's a good amount of optimism for both, for the summer of this year being pretty darn strong. And most of that is, as you would imagine, being driven by U.S. domestic, international travel is still pretty muted with most of our international markets still, frankly, struggling with the pandemic and working to normalize, I think, to a level similar to our domestic markets. COVID cases in Hawaii are performing well. So you see on this chart, we are down near the bottom in terms of average cases per day per 100,000. That's a good sign and has really been pretty consistent through the entire pandemic. On the next slide, you'll see vaccination rates in Hawaii are towards the upper bound of the country. So getting good uptake there. Obviously, looking forward to getting as many Hawaii residents as possible vaccinated so that hopefully, we can move towards a herd immunity in the not-too-distant future. So I'll stop here. And let me turn the call over to Dean, who will update you on our finances for the first quarter. Dean?