James Hayward
Analyst · ROTH Capital Partners. Please, go ahead
Okay. Thank you, Beth. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us on this call. We're pleased to have delivered a third consecutive quarter of year-over-year revenue growth, driven in large part by demand for safeCircle, our pooled COVID-19 testing program. Demand for safeCircle dropped in the third quarter due to the seasonality inherent to our academic clients and progressively higher vaccination rates and lower positivity rates in our operating area. However, our recently-secured award for COVID-19 testing services for the City University of New York affirms the need for ongoing and consistent COVID testing. With this contract in hand, we expect to continue to drive strong year-over-year revenue growth over the contract period of performance, contingent on ongoing demand for testing. I'll begin this afternoon with a brief overview of the award. We already started an initial low volume of testing just this week, but we do not expect weekly testing levels to really equilibrate until after the start of the academic year that begins the week of August 25. What we can detail at this time are the operating assumptions that guide our execution under this award. But before I begin, I want to take a moment to thank our absolutely remarkable employees. This award is testament to their efforts and their dedication to your company's goals. I'm really extraordinarily proud of this accomplishment for each and every one of them. Despite the clinical success of COVID-19 vaccines, infections across the country are spiking due to the steady evolution of viral variants aided and amplified by vaccine hesitance, with the confluence of fully vaccinated, partially vaccinated and unvaccinated populations returning to campuses this fall. K-12 schools and institutions of higher education are faced with a much more complicated reopening than just a year ago. We have deployed our safeCircle Testing Service, which is a high throughput pooled COVID-19 testing program to provide weekly asymptomatic COVID-19 screening of on-campus unvaccinated students, staff and faculty, and a random sampling of vaccinated individuals across the CUNY system. While New York City enjoys a high vaccination rate relative to the national average, the 16 to 34 years of age group comprising the bulk of the CUNY population is only about 61% vaccinated according to current New York state data. We are building a high testing rate program, which is especially needed due to the delta variant even in the face of increasing vaccination. The testing of vaccinated individuals is a key component of CUNY's plan. The CDC recently published an interim public health recommendation that among other measures, recommends that fully vaccinated people who have a known exposure to someone with suspected or confirmed COVID-19 should be tested three to five days after their exposure. We applaud CUNY's decision to include testing of vaccinated individuals given the high transmission environment likely in most classrooms. This is especially pression [ph], juxtaposed against recent data from the CDC that vaccinated people may be able to spread the delta variant just as easily as unvaccinated people. I would like to also add that in New York City, delta and its higher transmission rate currently account for 83% of all positive samples. In fact, all five boroughs of the city, each with at least one CUNY institution now meet the CDC guidelines to be considered high transmission areas. Now, recap the terms of our contract. We're providing a turnkey asymptomatic pooled COVID-19 screening testing to the CUNY population comprising students, staff and faculty. Unvaccinated individuals will be tested weekly, supplemented by a random sampling of vaccinated individuals across the entirety of the CUNY school system. The contract is a 12-month period of performance with no minimum testing commitment by CUNY. The contract has a maximum value of $35 million. And while we would like to provide a forecast of weekly testing numbers under the contract, accurate modeling before full implementation is difficult, given the multiple dynamic variables in play, which include ever-changing vaccination rates, in-person student enrollment figures and impacts caused by the delta variant. Based on these facts, we will be able to give guidance on weekly testing numbers once students start classes on August 25 and full testing under the contract begins. Based on current information provided by CUNY, we believe actual weekly testing numbers will fall in the previously-stated weekly range of 20,000 to 65,000. This is potentially the largest contract in the company's history and it's fair to say that we've been preparing for scenarios like this for more than a year. Our ability to execute on this contract is grounded in our safeCircle Testing Service. In just over one calendar year, we develop, secured EUA approval for and commercialized our Assay Kit. We pioneered and refined the COVID-19 pooled surveillance testing method with which to test large populations efficiently; we established partnerships to enable the scaling of high volume clients; we developed unique expertise in the testing of clients in the educational sector; and we established our Applied DNA Clinical Labs subsidiary as a CLEP-CLIA certified laboratory, purpose-built for rapidly scalable high throughput testing. Now from a capacity perspective, our clinical lab currently has two automated testing lines that can process 10,000 tests daily in two shifts, and we could add a third shift contingent on demand that would expand testing capacity by another third. Our testing lines are analogous to manufacturing lines where demand is met by simply increasing the number of lines. Our newly completed clinical laboratory space easily accommodates multiple automated testing lines. A third automated testing line is just being added as we speak and we have three additional lines being assembled in reserve. We are employing an integrated solution that will offer individual scheduling, sampling, testing, and reporting of results performed in concert with our subcontracting partners. The use of subcontracting partners allows us to service CUNY while remaining focused on our core competency, namely, testing and the ability to return results rapidly within 24 to 48 hours. Now, we serve as the prime contractor for 20 testing sites that will cover the entirety of CUNY's 25 campuses and five administrative centers. We've partnered with CLEARED4 and its health verification platform to provide value-added services of campus access management, contact tracing and results reporting. A management layer has been put in place with oversight and staff management led by a new consultant hire, a senior executive and logistician with an international emergency services organization. Leveraging his unique expertise, we have established operations structured as four zones across the five boroughs that contain the 20 sample collection sites. Samples are collected across all zones multiple times per day with testing centralized at Applied DNA Clinical Labs in Stony Brook. In addition to CLEARED4, we've also grown on a staffing agency to help staff all field operations. With the help of this subcontractor we've deployed, approximately 100 new field staffers. Subcontracted staffers will allow our clinical labs to scale CUNY without additional direct hiring. In addition, a medical courier backed up by our own drivers will ensure timely delivery of samples to our lab. Testing will be conducted using our Linea COVID-19 Assay Kit, both in a pooled screen modality and with reflex individual diagnostic testing of those samples contained in a positive pool. Now, one note about our assay. The high-sensitivity and high-specificity of our assay means that we can detect as little as two copies of the virus in a pooled sample. This means that the assay potentially allows for very early detection of an infection and the sooner we can identify an infected individual, the sooner we can alert CUNY and the individual to mitigate virus spread. So, in this way, we are enabling CUNY to achieve the enhanced population safety they seek. To-date, we have completed all site selections and site installations, we have established field operations and training at the first 16 of those 20 locations with the remaining four sites coming online shortly. Testing began this week for CUNY faculty and staff. Testing for the students will begin Monday, August 16. We expect the volume of testing to approach equilibrium by mid-September with subsequent modulations in response to population positivity, the potential need to test vaccinated participants, regional epidemiology and variant evolution. We intend to update analysts and investors when we begin to have predictable weekly testing levels. Our collaboration with CUNY and the administrative team has been a remarkable and really invigorating experience. We applaud their foresight and commitment to the health and safety of their community. We look forward to continuing our close collaboration and we have the capacity to manage CUNY testing throughput in all circumstances while serving other testing clients. While the CUNY contract is top of mind, I want to highlight two points of operational progress made in this quarter. The first relates to our Linea SARS-CoV-2 mutation panel, formerly our SGS mutation panel, through which we are broadening our COVID testing offerings. Subject to the FDA's evolving EUA review priorities, we expect to enter the formal EUA process shortly. The Linea mutation panel has been revised to target three mutations designated by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, as substitutions or mutations of therapeutic concern due to the potential impacts on the efficacy of certain EUA-authorized antibody treatments. We believe that if granted the EUA, the revised mutation panel offers a compelling proposition for its use in determining the applicability of monoclonal antibody treatments for COVID-19 by mutation, thereby potentially making clinically relevant again those treatments whose EUAs have been revoked or have been demonstrated a reduction in efficacy due to the mutational impacts. The second point of operational progress made in the quarter relates to our veterinary COVID-19 vaccine candidate. On the heels of compelling data from our clinical trial in cats, in the coming weeks, we will launch a clinical trial to determine safety and immunogenicity of the vaccine candidate in ferrets. As you are probably aware, the commercial application of our vaccine candidate targets the farmed mink population that really has been decimated by the virus. It's with our sense of ironies then that the mink used in clinical studies come from the very farms that have contracted COVID-19, thereby forcing us to proceed with another member of their mustelid family, the ferret, and ferrets that are bred specifically for biomedical research. We'll offer more details on our clinical trial when we formally begin it. Now turning to our supply chain business as we approach the annual start of the cotton ginning season in the U.S. Our recent planning discussions with textile partners and brands suggest a path to revenues from cotton tagging before the end of the calendar year. Of particular relevance is our cotton business that is rebounding with our current partners. Beyond the U.S. market, our pipeline of potential orders today includes opportunities in Egypt and India. India, which is the world's leading cotton producer wants to elevate the profile of its cotton on the world stage, while also differentiating it from the cultivated cotton in the Xinjiang region of China, against which claims of forced labor have been levied. Particularly exciting for me is that the brands are awakening to the utility of our platform and securing their supply chains and then protecting themselves against the unintended use of cotton that may have benefited from forced labor. The U.S. Customs and Border Protection Agency has taken a hard line against the importation of textiles without clear country of origin representation. We are cognizant that a hardening regulatory environment against forced labor could serve to catalyze interest in our certainty program. Now, this concludes my prepared remarks. Operator, please open the call to questions.