Bruce Flatt
Analyst · BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead
Thank you, Brian and good morning everyone. Today I’ll cover four topics, the first is fund raising; second, investment opportunity; third, our views on markets and fourth, I’ll make some comments on our balance sheets and capital recycling. As always, afterward we welcome your questions on the phone. Starting with fund raising, our institutional and sovereign fund partners continue to increase their allocation to real assets. We’re completing the marketing of two of our flagship funds just now, which will close in the first quarter, with approximately $12 billion of commitments. We also expect to complete the first close of one of our other flagship funds at upwards of $10 billion in the first half of the year. With each of the funds at least 50% larger than their respective predecessor. This sets us up well for continued growth in the business. To answer the question, many have asked us, we continue to see very strong allocations from institutional clients for real assets from every market in the world, some with large increases to the sector. Based on our pipeline, we should be able to complete fundraising in 2016 for all of our new flagship fundraised capital for a number of other investments from our institutional partners and advanced fundraising for a number of other funds. Our private fundraising capacity continues to strengthen with our institutional relationships deepening. Increasingly, we’re offering our largest partners of range of products, which include their participation in our funds, but also for many co-investments and transactions with us and direct investment alongside our listed partnerships. Examples of recent co-investments and direct investments are Isagen in Columbia, our Canary Wharf investment in London, other London and Australian and U.S. office properties, and more recently an office retail complex in Europe. This integrated approach which often involves large transactions can only be offered by the largest managers with scale. And this stands us in good stead with our partners. With respect to investment opportunities, we’re seeing significant numbers of investment opportunities that meet our investment criteria across the board. This is the result of the accentuated macro themes over the last few years that we’ve been focused on namely, number one, the lack of capital in the emerging markets. Two, the significant declines in commodity prices virtually across the board, three, in the currency rate movements against the U.S. dollar and therefore making a cheaper to buy things in other markets around the world. And four, the broad selloff in the U.S. high-yield bond market. Specifically to the U.S. high-yield market, we’ve been and are investing significant amounts of dollars into high-yield bond positions today across most of our funds at what we see as exceptional yields to maturity and some which may turn into further opportunities in those funds. With respect to the market environment, our view is that the U.S. economy continues to improve making – it made 2015 the first year of interest rate increases since 2006. We expect more in 2016, but this will only happen in the event of continued growth in the United States. Jobless claims in the U.S. recently came in at their lowest numbers in over 40 years and many industries are doing well including a number of ours, despite what catches the headlines in the news. Given this our view is that U.S. interest rates will slowly grind upward over the next number of years. And in this environment, real assets will and/or performing extremely well. They should continue to hold their value as cash flows increase, and at a minimum, offset any interest rate increases and for most assets will exceed them. Should rates not increase, real assets are the place to be. We also continue to see exceptional pricing for mature high-quality real assets, and therefore, we’re continuing to sell some of those in order to free up capital for investment elsewhere, lock in returns in some of our funds, return capital to our partners and they’re stronger than they are today. Turning to Europe, it has recovered from a very difficult situation and is ever slowly seeing life. With the euro at closer to par to the U.S. dollar, many businesses are doing better, manufacturing, tourism, retail. The European market will exhibit very slow growth for a long time and real assets may be the only place to find yield in a market where trillions of dollars of government bonds have been forced to negative yields by quantitative easing. We’ve been finding exceptional assets to acquire and we’re able to finance them with very long-term low rate financing, generating strong cash yields to equity and we hope to continue to do this. In the rest of the world, the U.S. dollar was strong against almost every other currency in 2015. This was caused in part by the divergence in money monetary policy, but also because of the emerging markets and commodity currencies were dragged downward with an unrelenting pressure of declining commodity prices. While the lower currency showed our short-term results, as a result of converting foreign currencies into fewer U.S. dollars, we had many of our assets hedged and most of the short-term negative detraction from results will shortly be over. Lastly, I want to cover funding of our balance sheet and recycling capital. As Brian mentioned, we’re in excellent financial shape with very good access to many forms of capital. In this environment, this is clearly a competitive advantage. We primarily invest two forms of capital. The first is private capital on behalf of a largely institutional and sovereign fund partners which I spoke about earlier. In this category our access is very robust and in fact, has never been better. The second is our listed markets capital on behalf of retail oriented investors. This capital is either deployed in our three listed Brookfield partnerships or within our listed markets business. Our private funds have durations usually 10 to 12 years, and therefore capital recycling occurs within those funds naturally. As we continue to harvest capital from earlier generation funds, we return capital clients and our portion of that capital is then available for investment in the new funds or other investments on our own balance sheet. As our private funds have become larger, we’ve been decreasing our percentage commitments to each fund, even though the quantum is large and still increasing, because the funds are getting larger. As a result of the capital harvested from earlier funds, should be sizable enough to fund the commitments we have made to later funds on new funds on a self-sustaining basis. With respect to our listed partnerships, we now have achieved critical mass in each of them to the point where they can grow themselves either through internally generated cash or by refinancing or selling assets that have matured on their balance sheet. This means that each of these entities is self-sustaining and doesn’t need to fund their business model by accessing the capital markets. Other than for some reason we believe the right strategy is to issue equity. For example, Brookfield Property Partners now has an equity base of $22 billion. Internally within the company we sold $2 billion of equity in assets at excellent prices over the last 12 months and trying to sell about the same in 2016. It has enabled us to repay 100% of the acquisition facility put in place to acquire the other half of the office company two years ago, fund our development pipeline to make a number of acquisitions in the company and we will continue to use the resources inside the company to do that. Brookfield’s infrastructure has increased its equity base to $8 billion and has been redeploying capital from more mature assets into ones with what we perceive this greater upside over the longer-term. This included selling electricity, transmission lines in the U.S., New Zealand and more recently in Canada. And we have a few asset sales targeted for this year. As a result, we do not need to access the public markets to continue to grow our business. The last partnership, Brookfield Renewable is also self-sustaining and it has been for over 10 years. To fund further investments over and above our operations and developments, we utilize the sizable cash generated in the company and also have been up financing assets as the values increase, as well as selling some mature assets within the company. That concludes my remarks. Operator, I’ll turn it back to you, and Brian or I would be pleased to take any questions if there are any.