Bruce Flatt
Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead
Thank you, Brian and good morning, everyone. I will touch on four topics today and then Brian and I would be pleased to take any questions. First, I'll start with an outline of where we see markets today. Then we'll reflect on those market conditions and our approach to investing today in real assets. Third, I will talk about the launch of Brookfield Business Partners. And last, I'll make some brief comments on our involvement with Asciano in our infrastructure business. On investing, we continue to see opportunities to recycle capital by selling mature assets at excellent valuations, while in tandem utilizing our competitive advantages to put money to work at attractive returns. Of course, public markets have been volatile and sometimes this creates opportunity. With respect to capital raising, investors continue to increase allocations to real assets, as a dependable way of generating income and long-term growth. Our capabilities as a manager continue to serve us well, and as allocations continue to increase to this sector, we now have approximately $225 billion of total assets and fee-bearing capital close to $100 billion. With respect to the markets, as we said in past, our portfolio of businesses and operations are an excellent source of market intelligence. We have significant grassroots information based on our direct operations that provide us with knowledge. With respect to these markets and our views on them, based on that North American and European businesses continue to do relatively well and we see no retrenchment of the market. U.S. interest rates are likely to rise, although at a tepid pace and we do not think it will change any of the dynamics of our business. In fact, possibly do the opposite as people come to believe that we are in for lower for longer interest rates. The underlying trends in many Australia, Asia, South American countries are also better than what appears in the western press in our view. As an example of something occurring in the Asia, there are couple of things occurring in the Asian markets. I'd note that we recently sold a property in Shanghai at 2.5X acquisition cost a few years ago and continue to see strong interest in real assets from Asian investment managers. However, the upbeat outlook is not entirely universal. These are very difficult times for commodity-based companies. The prices for oil and gas and base metals have dropped far more than most people in the industry would have expected. This has caused stress for many energy and mining companies who need to raise capital to fix their balance sheets. In respect of our investment strategy towards these sectors and this environment, in North America our view is that valuations on real assets are excellent and we're using this environment to recycle capital by selling mature assets, and selectively putting money to work where our competitive advantages allow us to do that. By the time we're done with this process, we expect to sell in our real estate business, for example, a few billion dollars more on properties at very good valuations and in the process to have DP-wise balance sheet in excellent financial shape. From a deep value perspective, we've been investing in India, Brazil, and around oil and other commodities. For example, in Brazil we're in the process of buying a portion of the airport in Sao Paulo and the subway system in Rio from a construction company that ran into tough times. There are strong headwinds in Brazil, as most of you know, but we've seen this situation before. We believe that Brazil's emerging middle class, the strong corporate base, the abundance of resources, and believe that it makes it a compelling place to invest for the long-term. The same is true with energy and mining companies. As you know, we've had a long experience around mining companies and oil companies and our operational expertise is helping us as we try to work with these companies. One of the ways we can be useful to them is by acquiring infrastructure assets to free up capital as they need it for growth opportunities. The last comment I make on our investment strategy is that no investor can consistently time the private markets. Our view is that when great assets come available in a down market, one should invest, and what we've learned over the years is you can acquire great assets for value if you take a long-term view and you don't have to time the cycle perfectly to earn excellent returns. Third, I'll talk a little bit about Brookfield Business Partners, our new listed partnership. We announced that we planned to launch BBP at our investment and Investor Day and expect to spin out, the spinout to take place in early 2016. This will be done as a special dividend to shareholders of Brookfield Asset Management of approximately $500 million or $0.50 a share. And it will leave us owning approximately 65% of BBP at launch. Overtime, our ownership may be diluted, as BBP issues shares to fund its growth or we'll continue with that percentage. We will continue to update you on the launch of BBP as we get closer to the listing of the company. BBP will own a portfolio of our industrial and service businesses that are currently part of our private equity group. Most of these businesses are leaders in their sector, such as construction, home building, energy, and resources. The portfolio is increasing in size and scale, and to continue to grow this business, we decided it would be helpful to have permanent access to capital specifically for this group. We're using the same approach at this company as we've used to expand our property renewal power and infrastructure businesses where we created flagship listed partnerships that have grown significantly since we've launched them. The only difference here is that BBP will focus more on capital, long-term capital appreciation rather than current dividends. A permanent capital base will broaden the spectrum of investment opportunities for this group and we believe this should present a number of opportunities. We believe that this company will also find growth opportunities because it will be an attractive structure for companies with management teams that would prefer not to be public on their own and subject to the vagaries of the market. We expect therefore, this will be a very attractive investment and believe it can be a home for many great companies that we have, and can acquire in the future. Lastly, I'll make a few comments on the Asciano transaction, but respectfully advise you that afterwards in the question-and-answers, due to securities regulations we will not be able to take any questions related to this situation. As you know, our infrastructure group has been progressing a take private transaction of a rail and portico called Asciano. The company is listed in Australia and we have been working with the Board and management to effective privatization since the summer. Our scheme of arrangement was to be voted on mid-November and last week a group of investors went hostile on Asciano and purchased 20% of the shares of the companies with the objective of disrupting our bid. Following the close of trading on Thursday in Australia, we were successful in purchasing 14.9% of the shares of the company at 880 Australian per share by a series of off-market share purchases, and we've also entered into arrangements giving us economic interests in a further approximately 4.3% of Asciano. The total investment was approximately $1.2 billion, and we coupled this with an announcement indicating our intention to make a takeover offer to shareholders of the company with a 50.1% minimum acceptance condition with the full support of the company. While it is difficult to contemplate all outcomes in this process, it appears that three most likely scenarios are in front of us. First, our scheme of arrangement will be successful and we will receive enough shares voting in our favor to privatize the company. Second, our scheme will not be successful, but our tender offer will meet the minimum condition of 50.1%. In that case, we will take up the shares and own in excess of 50.1% of the shares. At that point, we will fully control Asciano and it will be maintained as a public company for some time, albeit with significantly reduced liquidity. Third, it is possible that we are not successful in our bid and retain our stake in a publicly listed Asciano entity that may or may not be controlled by others. If this is the case, we will ensure that the company operates with the highest degree of corporate governance, and we will not support any breakup of the company. You may recall that we are very comfortable being in this position. Many of you know that we owned a 20% position in Canary Wharf Group for close to 15 years prior to eventually taking the company private. In that situation, another group actually had a controlled position until we ultimately took the business private. As most of you know, we believe in long-term investing, and we will take advantage of the lessons learned at Canary Wharf for this investment as well. With those comments, operator, I'd like to turn it back to you, and Brian and I would be pleased to take any questions.