Rajinder Singh
Analyst · Morgan Stanley. Your line is open
Thanks Lisa. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us for our earnings call. We posted the earnings release this morning. You must have seen it. $0.90 a share, I think that was a few cents ahead of estimates. We are happy to put a strong quarter and earnings. This was comparable to $0.62 a share that people understood this time last year. More importantly, we have been – for the last few quarters, we’ve been talking about our non-loss share earnings. Our non-loss share earnings this quarter came out at $0.64 compared to $0.50 at this time last year. Also that $0.64 compares to $0.59 that we posted just last quarter, which is 8.5% increase quarter-over-quarter. That's really as we've often called that the blue bar in the chart that we’ve now added to the earnings release that is sort of the ongoing earnings of the Company and that's what we are focused on building, and I have been reporting for the last few quarters. Let me take a minute to talk about the market and then we will get a little deeper into BankUnited’s numbers. My update on the market is not going to be very different from last time, which is the economic front. Things are very favorable. It’s a very strong economy. There are no credit issues that we see in the markets and the products that we play in. And it's a good environment to be a bank and to be a lender in. Business and consumer sentiment is very optimistic and very positive. There is some geopolitical concerns that we always have. We have the elections coming on in a few days. We obviously have some trade concerns. But overall, it doesn't feel that any of these things are a real issue, especially when we talk to our customers and we look at their financials as to how businesses are doing in our footprint. Things seem to be about as good as they can be. Again, that can change very quickly, so we stay very, very focused on the economy something we don't control, but it impacts us immensely, but has good news on the economic front. On the rate front, again, the story is the same as last few quarters, which is that that has been raising rates. The long-term has not moved enough, while [indiscernible] some seasoning of the curve very recently, and when I say very recently, I mean literally over the last three weeks. For the most part, the curve has been flattening for a better part of the last year or year and a half, if not more, and that has an impact on bank earnings. Deposit betas across the system seems to be now emerging. Even for the largest banks, those deposit betas as recently a three or six months ago were almost – were close to zero are suddenly now showing the emergence of those deposit betas. In a very progressed way, it actually feels good from a comparative perspective to see banks now beginning to catch up. We always said that betas will lag. Different banks deposit base will have a different kind of lag in their betas. Our deposit base is heavily commercial and also organically generated, that's why our betas probably emerged a little bit sooner. But now we are seeing our competitors large and small catching up to it. This is my theory, of course. That deposit betas being low. Deposit costs, funding costs are being low for so long despite moving great had created a widening of margins that banks with low betas were then using aggressively on the lending side and pricing down spreads on the loans. As banks deposits pricing goes up, it is my theory that deposit sort of wind flow was no longer be used to subsidize loans, and I'm hoping to see better spreads both in the securities world as well as the loan pricing over the course of next few quarters. We'll see if it comes out to be true or not. There's a fair amount of competition outside of the bank space actually these days. This year really has been about non-bank lenders really competing. It's not the community banks across the street or the regional bank across the street that we’re concerned about. It's actually we're seeing a lot of run-off in our loan book mostly coming out of the private equity world, credit funds, BDCs, and other non-bank players. So that has become a – that has been a big phenomenon this year. It was not the case so much the year before, the year before that. Coming back to our numbers, like I said, it was a pretty decent quarter in terms of our earnings. NIM declined, Leslie will get into it. What are the various reasons for it? NIM declined to 3.51% from 3.60%. Non-covered loans grew by $211 million for the quarter, and for the year, were up about $708 million. Deposits also increased. They grew by $127 million, so less than what loans grew by, and our loan to deposit ratio is now at about 100%. For the nine months, deposit grew by $427 million. The story here is as you will remember at the beginning of the year, we have said that growing DDA is the most critical thing for us for our short-term and long-term success, and we have not done a very good job of growing DDA in 2017. I think in all 2017, our demand deposits grew just by a little over $100 million. I am happy to report that the mix of deposits that we've grown this year, 80% of that deposit growth has come in the interest rate DDA category. So $343 million off that $427 million, so about 80% is non-interest DDA. And non-interest DDA at the end of the day is the a) most profitable product that we sell, but to the core of every relationship that we have. If you don't have the DDA, you don't have the relationship award that I have been repeating over and over again and I will keep doing so until everyone gets it in the context. And I'm very happy to report that while our deposit growth has been lower than what we wanted it to be, I'm glad that it is happening in the categories that generate the most earnings. A dollar worth of DDA has about five times the margin that a money market account – a dollar in the money market account does have today. So I would love to have more interest-bearing deposit growth as well and we are working towards it. What I don't want to miss out is on the DDA growth, which is where one generates the most earnings and most franchise value. I think our DDA percentage of our total deposits has grown from 14% to 15.3% in the nine months of this year. And as I look into fourth quarter, I see that trend continuing though deposits are notoriously hard to predict. So I don't want to say anything more than that other than that we're off to a pretty decent start this quarter better than what we’ve seen over the last two or three quarters, but we will see where we end the year. Loan growth like I said, the headwinds and loan growth, when you see the net number and obviously it’s a number that is lighter than we had wanted it to be. We did a lot of analysis leading up to the earnings call as to where the weakness is coming from. And a number that we generally don't share, but I will throw out a number is on production. Production for this year to get that $708 million of net loan growth, we've had production of $4.67 billion. So you have to produce that much to be able to grow $700 million. Last year, our production was about $50 million or $60 million less than what it has been in the nine months of this year, so just compared nine months of last year to nine months of this year, we're actually seeing more production, but the number in terms of net growth, there's a big difference. This time last year, we were up to $1.3 billion and this year we're up only $700 million. The difference is payoffs and payoff is pretty much across the Board, whether it’s C&I, whether it’s CRE, and a lot of that happening because of private equity deals and M&A deals in the C&I space and asset sales on this commercial real estate side, and even refinancing, even this late in the game, when rates have risen as much as they have. So that trend continues and we’re seeing that even in the fourth quarter. As rates rise even further, at least refinancings might slowdown, but there is a lot of non-bank funding out there chasing companies and there is a lot of activity. Also the health economy actually lends to it. The economy is good. People want to buy companies. People want to buy buildings, and that’s sort of the flipside of a good credit and good economic environment. Growth outlook for the fourth quarter, like I said, third quarter, fourth quarter seem similar. You may see a little more deposit growth just based on what we’ve seen over the last two or three weeks of this quarter. But like I said, it’s notoriously hard to predict. Cost of deposits, this quarter were up to a 135 basis points, so there is a 16 basis point move in cost of deposits this quarter. That’s about the same or maybe a basis point higher than what it was last quarter. But again, I will point to the fact that in an environment where most of our competition is seeing DDA run down. We are actually seeing strong DDA growth, and that is – and by the way it's not easy to do. That has been – that's a tough thing to do. We are swimming upstream, but we're succeeding and bringing on core DDA relationships. On the deposit front, Leslie, shall I talk about this? Okay. I’ll walk through a little bit on deposits front. You will see that we've actually run down our money market and we've increased our CD book and that's a deliberate strategy. We're trying to lock in rates. We think going out on the curve a little bit and getting 12 and 18-month money is from a spread perspective is a better place to be than in money market. That of course changes every day based on the competitive landscapes. But in third quarter and even in the second quarter, we were basically on using that as a strategy. We’re trying to lean heavily in deposits – on time deposits and less so on money market. Now that obviously as the mix changes, the duration of our deposit book is lengthening. That's another factor into why deposit cost is going up over and above the fact that rates are moving up anyway. Also even in our money market book, on the commercial money market, we have deployed a strategy of locking in some rates for a period of certain time. So money market generally is not a floating rate book, but about 10% of our money market like a $1.3 of it has been termed using deposit service agreements. So keep that in mind that the money market line item also has some term in it. It's something that we have deliberately worked on to protect us in a raising rate environment. So those two things, which are not very evident and we haven't talked about in the past, but there are importance points to note. Tangible book value per share is at $28.88. It’s up from $23.83 last year. We did complete our $150 million share buyback program, which was authorized earlier in the year. And the Board just yesterday authorized another $150 million share repurchase program. I would suspect that the share repurchase will probably happen a little faster than the last one, which took about nine months to occur, given just what the stock price is. Asset quality remains strong. Again, the only thing we talk about there is taxi, which by the way this quarter after many, many quarters actually feels like there is some stabilization there and Leslie will talk about that. But our NPL ratio is 96 basis points, 37 of that is directly attributable to taxi and our charge-off ratio is 21 basis points of that 9 worse accounted for about a taxi. A quick update on the FDIC loss share. There is a reasonable possibility that – again pending consent from the FDIC, which we have not received yet. We are talking to them. We’ve been talking to them since October 1, and we continue to do. So we’re hoping to get something from them before the earnings call, but we have not. But we are trying to get consent to do a loan sale this quarter rather than wait till the middle of next year or second quarter of next year. And then also not sell all the loans, but to sell part of the loans. Again, this is all up in the air. To the extent that 10 loans, let me say that these loans that if we do and the retaining will be loans with very high credit quality at least as good as the loans we have is not better in terms of LTV, in terms of FICO, and in terms of pay history, and also very importantly in terms of coupon. Most of these loans will be floating rate loans since they’ve been with us for 10 years. So in terms of – again, before I give this over to Tom, I would say that fourth quarter again feels similar to third quarter maybe a little bit better, but it's hard to say. In terms of some new initiatives, we generally don't make a bit – a lot of [indiscernible] about this. We generally like to launch things that have some success before coming out and talking about them. But we did hire a healthcare team earlier this year. They've been with us a few months now, working on setting up a healthcare practice. We have been a healthcare lender, but we've done this in a very broad-based manner out of our general corporate and industrial business line. But we started to focus on this earlier this year and created a healthcare vertical. And all the products, policies, the back office risk management is in place, and we expect to start growing that over the course of 2019. So that's on the new business line front. Not entirely new because like I said, we did some of this, but not in a very organized vertical fashion, but we are going to do that and we have the right people on Board [indiscernible] a few months have been working with the risk management and we are ready to launch this now. So with that, I will turn it over to Tom to talk about loans and deposits in a little more detail.