Earnings Labs

BankUnited, Inc. (BKU)

Q2 2018 Earnings Call· Tue, Jul 24, 2018

$47.06

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen. And welcome to BankUnited Incorporated 2018 Second Quarter Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session and instructions will be given at that time. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to our host for today, Senior Vice President, Lisa Shim, Head of Corporate Development, Strategy and Marketing. You may begin.

Lisa Shim

Analyst

Thank you, good morning and thank you for joining us today on our second quarter 2018 earnings conference call. On our call this morning are Raj Singh, our President and CEO; Leslie Lunak, our Chief Financial Officer; and Tom Cornish, our Chief Operating Officer. Before we start, I’d like to remind everyone that this call contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the U.S. securities laws. Forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions and actual results may vary materially from those indicated in these statements. Additional information concerning factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated by the forward-looking statements can be found in our earnings release and our SEC filings. We do not undertake any obligation to update or revise any such forward-looking statements now or at any time in the future. And with that, I’d like to turn the call over to Raj.

Raj Singh

Analyst

Thank you, Lisa. I'd like to start the call by congratulating Ken Taylor [ph] getting his deals filing done. And I also want to thank everyone for joining us. I know that, that call is going on at the same time. So I am sure that's more exciting, than our call, we think ours is exciting but I understand we're looking at the stream as to how many people are joining our call and it’s a little less than what we usually see. Hopefully as the call goes on, we'll see more participants join, but thank you and welcome to our earnings call. Very happy to report another very strong quarter, $90 million in earnings, $0.82 per share, I think we're about $0.05 ahead of Street estimates so always happy when that happens. Earnings this time last year was $0.60 a share or about $66.5 million. So that's pretty impressive 37% growth in EPS. Now as of the end of last year we started talking to you in some detail around non-loss share earnings, which is earnings by backing out the contribution from -- or the revenue contribution from the loss share assets. And you will see that that number also grew impressively, I think last quarter it was $0.54 this quarter this quarter it's $0.59, which is 9% growth just over the last three months. So if you cut me along that trajectory we'll be in a very good place and that's I'm very happy to report that. Before getting into the numbers, let me give you a little bit of a macro view, I always like to do this on calls talk about things that we respond, but we don't control the respond to that’s the environment that’s the economy and regulation and so on. So it will…

Thomas Cornish

Analyst

Thank you, Raj. So as Raj mentioned, we had -- first I'll cover loans and leases we had non-covered growth of $431 million for the quarter. If we break that down as we typically do Florida grew by $301 million, our national companies grew by $280 million, while the New York portfolio declined by $150 million. All of that was within the commercial real estate space in New York. So in Florida, we talked a little bit about floating rate debt, and our focus on floating rate debt. The Florida C&I and owner occupied CRE portfolio grew by $305 million, most of that was attributable to our larger middle market banking teams, which generate predominantly floating rate debt. CRE in Florida did decline a little bit as Raj mentioned, primarily impacted by heightened level of pay-offs and in Florida, most of these were driven by assets sales. In New York, the multi-family market continue to decline and experiencing net run-off of $215 million, as we continue to see few opportunities to put that money out of the attractive risk adjusted returns, especially with what we're seeing in the tightness in fixed rate market in the New York market with properties generally going to the agency and CMBS markets. Like Florida, we did see good growth in C&I markets, again predominantly in our middle market banking teams with $104 million of growth in New York. In the national platforms, the mortgage warehouse business grew by $104 million, in line with expectations and continues to be one of our high growth businesses. Residential portfolio grew by $89 million and our Bridge Funding Group, which is our leasing and franchise financing organization grew by $75 million. There was some growth as well at Pinnacle as Raj mentioned $19 million. Although pricing remains very,…

Leslie Lunak

Analyst

Thanks, Tom, good morning. I want to start with a piece of really good news. And we received word in over the couple of weeks and many of you probably saw the press release that Moody's have upgraded the company's issuer ratings from BA1 to BAA3, so that's now an investment grade rating. Not only is that a real positive for us with respect to any future preferred stock or debt issuances. We think it will be a real help to us in onboarding some of the larger commercial deposit relationships that we're seeking. So that's a piece of good news. Little more detail on quarterly results. We dig into yields and the NIM a little bit. The yield on interest earning assets was 4.90% for the quarter up from 4.70% linked quarter and up from 4.65% for the comparable quarter of the prior year. We saw increases in yield on both non-covered and covered loans as well as the investment securities portfolio. The yield on non-covered loans increased to 3.96% for the quarter, up from 3.83% linked quarter and from 3.78% for the comparable quarter of the prior year. The tax equivalent yield on investment securities was 3.33% this quarter compared to 3.04% for the immediately preceding quarter and 3.05% for the comparable quarter of the prior year. This increase mainly was due to coupon rate increases on floaters in the portfolio and some changes in portfolio composition during the quarter. Duration of the portfolio remained low at around 150. Reminder that the tax equivalent yields on both non-covered loans and on investment securities when comparing it to the prior year still impacted by the reduction in the tax rate, each by about 8 basis points comparatively over the prior year. Raj has already spent some time talking about…

Raj Singh

Analyst

No, I'm good. We will open it up for Q&A.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Dave Rochester of Deutsche Bank. Your line is now open.

Dave Rochester

Analyst

Hey. Good morning, guys.

Raj Singh

Analyst

Good morning.

Dave Rochester

Analyst

Hey. On the loans, appreciated the commentary on the pipelines, but was just curious what your assumption was for pay downs in the back half. Because as you were saying those have been elevated and that has a way of cutting in to get loan production. So just wanted to get your thoughts there?

Thomas Cornish

Analyst

It's always very difficult to predict that. In the C&I portfolios, we do tend to see a lot of churn because just sort of how the corporate book works. You kind of see that every quarter from the difference between our production and ending that growth. But right now with level of asset sales and refinancings that's going on in the market. So it's a little tough for us to predict going forward what we think about pay offs.

Leslie Lunak

Analyst

I would say our growth guidance that we just gave you in corporate, the best estimate that we can make about that. But it is to Tom's point a little difficult to predict.

Dave Rochester

Analyst

Yes. Well, it's been pretty elevated I guess in the first half. Are you just assuming that that pace sort to continues through year-end or are you expecting a little bit of a slowdown on the pay-offs?

Raj Singh

Analyst

No there is no expectation of a slowdown. That's the environment we're in and we have to assume that until we see signs of a different environment.

Dave Rochester

Analyst

Okay. On the deposit front, I was just wondering how the national deposit team is doing at this point if you were to do an assessment through the first half of the year here, if they're on plan at this point. And I know you changed your incentives to value non-interesting bearing production more. So just curious how that's going?

Raj Singh

Analyst

Yes, so they have brought in DDA, it's -- they are being measured over a course of a year. We have more DDA in the pipeline, I'm certain that will close. But for the end of the year, hopefully at the end of this quarter. This quarter, overall growth was lighter than what their budget was, but if I look at their success over the course of the two -- more than two years have been here it’s been pretty strong. So we're happy DDA still is a tad under 10% of their portfolio. And we're hoping that they will get it up to about 50% range before the end of the year. That's where they will be for this year.

Dave Rochester

Analyst

And just one last one on capital, just given the slower balance sheet growth you guys were talking about. Are you possibly more willing to get more aggressive with the buyback at this point?

Raj Singh

Analyst

Yes, so, we didn’t give you an update on the buyback, let me do that. So, first quarter we bought back around $50 million of stock. Second quarter buyback was much lighter given the stock was much stronger. We didn’t really change meaningfully our metrics that we set-up for buyback, maybe we should have. But we are committed to finishing this buyback and then going back to the board and looking at our capital position at that time. The philosophy stays the same, which is it is a line of sight for deploying capital over a reasonable period of time, let’s hold on to it, if not, give us back. And give it back in the form of buyback rather than some one-time dividend rates like that. So, we will meet with our Board. Again, I think it will be a discussion for our November Board Meeting. At that point of time, once we’re done with our $150 million, there is always a possibility if we see less growth and excess capital then we will do another buyback.

Dave Rochester

Analyst

So, you’re thinking you’d probably finish this current buyback by the end of this year?

Raj Singh

Analyst

Depends a little bit on where the market is, but I would think so that by the end of this year, if the stock goes to $50 maybe not, but if it stays where it is then, yes.

Dave Rochester

Analyst

Got you. Okay, great. Thanks, guys.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Jared Shaw of Wells Fargo Securities. Your line is now open.

Timur Braziler

Analyst

Hi, good morning. This is actually Timur Braziler filling in for Jared. Just looking at your deposit strategy and the growth projection for the back-end of the year, it looks like the growth rate is going to be accelerating a little bit from what we’ve seen in the first half. I’m just wondering where you’re projecting that growth is coming from, are there any specials currently ongoing that should drive higher balances and what is that going to do to the borrowing position?

Raj Singh

Analyst

Yes. So, that is really a -- like I said as recently as Friday of last week, we looked at our pipeline and we looked at the campaigns that we are running. So, it’s not trying to get it on any one big campaign that we have some 17 months CD spread [ph] or anything like that. It really is a client-by-client analysis on the commercial deposit. Remember we have more commercial deposit than we have consumer deposits. So, it’s really a client-by-client view of what mandates we have already won, what deposits we’re already -- accounts we’re already opening and what is the level of deposit build-up we expect over the course of next two or three months. Like Tom was talking about the loan pipeline, any pipeline is about what is coming in and what is going out. On the loan pipeline, what is coming in is generally we have a 90% accuracy in measuring what is coming in because you have term sheets, you have commitments and you know when loans are going to close. What you don’t have a view of when our loans -- what is going to pay-off unexpectedly. When it comes to deposits, both the inflow and outflow are much more difficult to predict because even when we know deposit accounts are being opened and money is coming in, sometimes it can take a month, sometimes it can take a year for X amount of dollars to come into that account that you’re expecting. That’s why deposit pipelines are much harder to predict and -- but the best prediction that we can give you is we should hit high single-digits based on what we see at this point in time.

Timur Braziler

Analyst

Okay, that’s helpful. Thank you. One more on the loss share timing. I guess what’s driving that decision between second quarter of next year, which is kind of the main number we are -- May date we’ve been hearing about and potentially as early as August or September of this year. Is that purely strategic from your standpoint, is there ongoing communication and approval has it be taken in considering with the FDIC? I guess what’s driving that timing and what could result in those sales happening in September versus 2019?

Raj Singh

Analyst

Sure. So, the loss share agreement ends in May of 2019. The final loan sale is something that we are allowed to do in the last nine months of the contract. So, that nine-month window starts in August. So, before that we cannot do the final loan sale. In fact, we cannot even request to the FDIC of what it is that we want to sell, whether it’s entire portfolio or part thereof. All those discussions officially open-up sometime in third week of August. So, we will start our discussions with the FDIC, remember the FDIC has the right to ask us not to sell the portfolio, but if they do that, the law share automatically extends for two years. And then at the end of two years, we again have the right to sell, and at that time the FDIC does not have the right to ask us to not sell the portfolio. So that's how the mechanics of the contract work, which is why those dates are important. The loan sale that we're doing this quarter is not a final loan sales, this is just the one that we generally do over the course of the year. Every quarter we sell $70 million or so. We did that already in the second quarter and we have about $168 million or so capacity left under the annual loan sale clause of the contract. That we're going to try and get done this quarter so that the only can left after this is a final loan sale, whether it happens I don't think it will happen in third quarter, because the timing is -- there is not enough time. So whether it happens in the fourth quarter or first quarter or second quarter it will depend a little bit upon our discussions with the FDIC and whatever approval process there is internally of the FDIC.

Timur Braziler

Analyst

Okay. And assuming that we keep with that May 2019 date as the expectation still for accretion to ramp higher here in the back end of 2018 or should we kind of see it stabilize at the current $85 million level?

Leslie Lunak

Analyst

If all of the loans are sold in the second quarter of 2019 as all our modeling has always been predicated on. The trend of earnings going up towards the tail end of that will continue to be true, yes.

Timur Braziler

Analyst

Great, thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Ebrahim Poonawala of Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Ebrahim Poonawala

Analyst

Good morning, guys.

Raj Singh

Analyst

Good morning.

Leslie Lunak

Analyst

Good morning, Ebrahim.

Ebrahim Poonawala

Analyst

So I wanted to first I think get a sense and I'm sorry if I missed it in your prepared remarks, but in terms of deposit betas, Raj, you talked about sort of the national deposit team and DDA expectations there. But also are you seeing tempering of deposit betas for commercial clients you acquired a year or two ago. And just overall, how you're feeling about betas today versus six months ago, 12 months ago?

Raj Singh

Analyst

Ebrahim, betas are increasing. Because more and more customers are getting the news that the Fed has moved and they should expect the higher rate. The older the client has been with us and the more products that we have sold to the clients especially in the treasury management side the better the betas, the lower the betas there is no question about that. So by definition if somebody came in about a month or two ago, and they have not yet been sold a lot of treasury management products, the beta tends to be higher. Somebody came in four years ago and has 23 accounts with us and has -- is using us for a number of their treasury management needs the beta is lower. So I'm generalizing, but that's generally a pretty good trend and you can look at the -- let's say there is an account from three or four years ago it was not for treasury management from us, beta will be higher and that's sort of part money. So our attention always is bring them in and sell the treasury management because if not, you know you will end up having a low margin customer on your balance sheet do this on their own if you don't do that. So it's time, but it's really -- it's time that's needed to sell treasury management, that's what it comes down to.

Ebrahim Poonawala

Analyst

Understood. And I guess just sort of sticking to that. I mean, obviously we saw one of your smaller competitors are getting acquired this morning. And just wondering if you or Tom can comment on how you think about just the pricing environment in Florida when you look at local competitors both on the deposit and lending side?

Raj Singh

Analyst

We’re happy to see that deal get done it's always good to see some M&A actions especially in your backyard. All I would say is the following. It's good to have long-term players as your competitors than short-term players, because long-term players tend to be more rational.

Ebrahim Poonawala

Analyst

Understood. And one last, if you can tag along in terms of FDIC, is it fair to assume that when come around third quarter or earnings around October, we should have a lot more clarity around the exact nature of how this all comes to an end in 2Q and what the FDIC is thinking or is that premature?

Raj Singh

Analyst

It's hard for me to say Ebrahim. I can tell you when we will start talking to them, which is third week of August. What I don't have clarity on is what is their internal sort of process like and how quickly will they engage with us and, I wish we could get it all done like as soon as possible so that 2019 is sort of a clean year. We’re not talking to you about loss share and all those funky accounting. But I realistic -- within realistic, we’re modeling as of this will take all the way to the very last day and hoping that it won’t take that much time and that we could get it all done in the fourth quarter.

Ebrahim Poonawala

Analyst

And does this prevent you from entering merger negotiations if something like that came around, like is it so punitive for a buyer or for a merger partner to sort of not engage with you until then or like how hard do you think about that?

Raj Singh

Analyst

No, I don’t think so. I think if somebody wants to really talk about it, is willing to invest half a day in understanding just this short-term mechanics over the next couple of quarters, we can explain this in maybe a couple of hours. So, it’s not that complicated. There is obviously no contractual impediment in doing the deal. But it’s just -- it’s just the noise that it creates in the numbers, which like I said if you are willing to spend half a day diving into it on the accounting side, you can figure it out.

Ebrahim Poonawala

Analyst

Understood, thanks for taking my questions.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Stephen Scouten of Sandler O’Neill. Your line is now open.

Stephen Scouten

Analyst

Yes. Good morning, guys. How are you doing?

Raj Singh

Analyst

Hi.

Thomas Cornish

Analyst

Good morning.

Stephen Scouten

Analyst

A question -- follow-up on the FDIC numbers. Have you guys started to put any thoughts out about what the expense base looks like post the FDIC loss share agreement, any significant reductions in terms of run rate expenses that we can look to kind of 3Q, 2019 or more possibly as you’ve talked about maybe even earlier than that. But have you started to, I guess, crystallize what that expense base ultimately will look like or could look like?

Leslie Lunak

Analyst

We haven’t yet, Stephen. I think there is just a lot of things still in play around that. But as the time gets closer, we’ll try to be a little bit more definitive around that.

Stephen Scouten

Analyst

Okay. Fair enough. And maybe just thinking about the loan betas and the deposit betas, I mean, your quarter loan yields, I guess, went up a little less than your interest-bearing deposit costs. So, is that a phenomenon we should expect to see continue? Do you think you will see more pressure on interest-bearing deposits and a higher beta there than you will on your core loan yields, especially as deposit growth on a net basis has to increase to meet demand?

Raj Singh

Analyst

I know everyone is looking to talk about loan betas and deposit betas, that’s a very high level simplification of all that moves inside of a loan book. But if you were to look at those numbers just over the last quarter, our loan yields went up, I’m talking about not the covered loans, talking about our non-covered loans, went from 3.83% to 3.96%, that’s about -- what about 13 basis points and our securities yields went from 3.04% to 3.33%. So that’s about -- that’s a lot more. And you would expect that simply because our securities portfolio is predominantly floating rate and is much lesser duration. So, overall, if we’re starting at since I can’t do that math quickly enough in my head, I think they moved better than what deposits did. But I would again say that that’s a very high level simplification of looking at margin, there is a lot that moves on inside of the loan book, even the securities book. But if you were to just use that as a proxy for “core margin”, I would say the margin held in and probably got better by a basis point or two.

Thomas Cornish

Analyst

Yes.

Stephen Scouten

Analyst

Yes, that’s fair. Okay. And last one for me maybe on the deposit side, I mean, have you guys been surprised at all by the pressure on the commercial deposits in the commercial money market. I know in years prior when John was still were in the call, so he would always talk to his belief that those deposits were stickier and would have lower betas in time and obviously that’s not been the case. So, I mean, has that been a surprise and does that change your thinking about how you look to grow deposits any from here or is this kind of the business model at this point?

Raj Singh

Analyst

Yes. So, I would say that I have been pleasantly surprised on the consumer side where the betas have been lower than what we thought they would be. On the commercial side there is commercial deposits and the real commercial deposits. There is a very clear demarcation between what I would think of as excess money that people parked with you, and core operating deposits that people have with you. The deposit betas are very different in those two categories and that’s what we’re seeing. So overtime, just like we're doing on the lending side, we're also work on the deposit side trying to basically grow the business in a true profitable core sense and not grow it through business that is very price sensitive and transactional in nature. So it's not something you can achieve overnight it takes time. But that sort of the chart both on lending side and on deposit gathering side. There is a big difference between core business and transactional and non-core business. That's what we're seeing on the commercial side. But combined, yes, the deposit betas are high for commercial, but it's sort of a barbell thing that we're seeing. What I'm pleasantly surprised is the consumer beta that are actually been lower than what we've thought they would be. And -- but the story is not over there yet. We will see what happens the Fed pretty much told us they cannot be raising rates where as far as I can see. We'll see what happens.

Stephen Scouten

Analyst

No that's helpful. Thanks for the delineation Raj. Appreciate the color, guys.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Steven Alexopoulos of JPMorgan. Your line is now open.

Steven Alexopoulos

Analyst

Hey, good morning everybody. Not to beat the dead horse, the deposit beta side. But I'm really confused trying to figure out this rising in deposit costs, particularly given that balances fell. But essentially where you just responding to the competitive environment and needing to pay higher rates to keep your current customers, is that what you saw in the quarter.

Raj Singh

Analyst

Some of that, but also we've made a decision this quarter to actually push on the CD front and pull back on money market, which we have gone aggressively on money market instead of CDs you would have seen lesser increase in deposits and deposit costs. But we thought given where our CD maturities were for last quarter we wanted to make CDs the front in center for that quarter. Also where they currently is, if you measure from a spread perspective, we saw better pricing on a spread basis in one year CD, but not at a rate obviously rate is higher for one year CD than it is for money market. But we may call these efficient rates on spreads rather than rates. And we thought 12 month is a better place to be. So that's also impacting where the movement in deposit pricing.

Steven Alexopoulos

Analyst

Okay. And Raj you said there were some newer competitors on the deposit front, it was unexpected. Who are you seeing now?

Raj Singh

Analyst

So I was -- this is anecdotal, but I'll tell you that we've lost business at rates that make no sense to people as unusual as TD Bank for example. You’d not expect TD to be a player. And that has happened both in New York and in Florida.

Steven Alexopoulos

Analyst

Okay. And then on the loan side, so the new guidance is high single-digit you’re about 8% higher in period ended the midpoint. Is that about what you're thinking for this year?

Raj Singh

Analyst

I'm sorry. Say it again, Steve.

Steven Alexopoulos

Analyst

So period end loans were up at 8% at the midpoint of 2018. Is that about where you're estimating now for the new full year?

Raj Singh

Analyst

We're up 8%.

Steven Alexopoulos

Analyst

Period end loans are up 8% at the midpoint year-over-year?

Leslie Lunak

Analyst

No, trailing 12…

Raj Singh

Analyst

12 month we’re about 9%. Is that what's you're referring to?

Steven Alexopoulos

Analyst

I'm looking at total, yes.

Raj Singh

Analyst

Trailing 12 months we’re at about 9% I think, and we're expecting from December 31st to December 31st probably be in the same single high digits.

Steven Alexopoulos

Analyst

Okay. And what are you assuming on a commercial real estate front? What's embedded in that guidance?

Raj Singh

Analyst

What -- continue run-off in the New York book and slightly positive in CRE Florida, but not a lot of contribution from there.

Steven Alexopoulos

Analyst

Okay, thanks for taking my questions.

Raj Singh

Analyst

Yes.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Austin Nicolas of Stephens. Your line is now open.

Austin Nicolas

Analyst

Hey, guys. Thanks for taking my questions. Maybe just on the loan growth just hitting back on that, I guess, does the guidance imply that growth picks up in the back half. And then, I guess, the broader question assuming the economy stays in that optimist view. And you still see pay-offs of where they are now. Is the core asset generation ability of the bank still in that call it 10% to 15% range?

Raj Singh

Analyst

So, remember our business is a little seasonal first quarter is always our slowest quarter and fourth quarter is generally a pretty big quarter for us. So we're expecting the same kind of seasonality here. And so, if you look at -- we grew $430 odd million this quarter. We expect numbers that are sort of in that range and slightly better as the third quarter gets into fourth quarter. That’s sort of the pipeline as it looks to us right now. If you add it all up together, it ends up being high single-digits. But I would not take first six months and annualize it because that includes first quarter and first quarter is generally a flat quarter for us.

Austin Nicolas

Analyst

Understood. And then maybe just looking at the equipment finance business and maybe the franchise lending side of things, could you maybe give an update on your outlook for those business in terms of growth? And then any pressure you’re seeing on the credit side of things?

Thomas Cornish

Analyst

So, I would say on the equipment side, both on the equipment and the franchise side, our outlook is generally slightly more modest than our typical commercial loan outlook. The pricing remains extremely competitive in the equipment finance area. The franchise area we tend to see better pricing, but we look at long-term trends in terms of store closings and store openings and just overall consumer trends in that business segment are a little harder. So, while we think both businesses will continue to grow, our outlook for them would be slightly below that type of guidance number that we just gave on the loan side, just because of how we see the competitive nature of those businesses.

Austin Nicolas

Analyst

Understood. Well, thanks for taking my questions.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Lana Chan of BMO Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

Lana Chan

Analyst

Hi, good morning.

Raj Singh

Analyst

Hey, Lana.

Leslie Lunak

Analyst

Hello, Lana.

Lana Chan

Analyst

Just a question around lease financing income this quarter, you had a pretty nice result there in 2Q. Curious if there was anything unusual there? And then if I look at depreciation expense on operating leasing that didn’t really move up this quarter in line with the increase on the fee side. So, just wondering if there was anything unusual there as well?

Leslie Lunak

Analyst

Yes, actually Lana there is. There is about a $3 million gain in there related to some equipment that came off-lease and was sold. Those things will start to happen from time-to-time, but we’re not at the point yet where they’re necessarily be in the quarterly run rate.

Raj Singh

Analyst

The leasing business, an important part of the revenue is residual income. This business was started three, four years ago and it takes time to build the book for that book to start then producing this kind of residual income on the bank end. So, we’re just beginning to reach that point where some of the leases, the earliest leases we’ve put on are coming off. So, episodically you will start to see this kind of income pop-up. But it will still take a little more time for it to become a routine sort of quarter-over-quarter thing because it’s still just beginning to happen. But it’s residual income, it is part of the economics of that business, it just takes time to get to it on the bank end.

Lana Chan

Analyst

Okay, thank you. And my follow-up question is around the reserve to loan coverage ratio, you talked about the qualitative factors being a little bit lower in the second quarter. Could you remind us Leslie about where we should think about that ratio going forward?

Leslie Lunak

Analyst

I think it will be in the neighbourhood of where it is now. We also had the impact this quarter, which brings that down a little bit of taking more charge-offs on the taxi portfolio that tends to -- that affects one half of the equation by more than the other half, but I don’t expect material movements in that ratio, Lana.

Lana Chan

Analyst

Okay. Thanks, Leslie.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Dave Bishop of FIG Partners. Your line is now open.

David Bishop

Analyst

Yes. Good morning, guys.

Leslie Lunak

Analyst

Good morning, Dave.

Raj Singh

Analyst

Good morning, Dave.

David Bishop

Analyst

Just turning back to -- I think you mentioned there were some impact in terms other -- the positive from the underlying economic activity, some business sales that had some deposit outflows. Any sense what maybe the pay downs on the deposit side were from sort of that ancillary sale of underlying businesses, other business activities in the economy?

Raj Singh

Analyst

It’s hard for me to give you a number. This is more just a very granular look at various accounts. When I see deposits go out, I’m always checking why they went out. And more often than not, the answer I’m getting back is somebody is doing a buyback or somebody is buying another company or somebody is doing something, which I can’t blame our bankers for. I’m always looking for, tell me did we mess up, did we do something stupid, was our service not good enough, did we not have a product they were looking for, was our rate not competitive, what happened? And you can’t -- often the answer comes back, listen they used the money for something and what can you do. So, that’s -- I don’t have a number that I can give to you, but on my various calls that I’ve -- it’s almost a daily occurrence where I’m always checking why somebody -- why some business left. And then that is by far the number one reason that money being used for stuff.

Thomas Cornish

Analyst

That's a good sign at least our clients are the ones that are doing the acquiring and buying eventually those opportunities come back to us.

David Bishop

Analyst

Got it. And then maybe a question to Leslie, security yields this maybe a little bit of repositioning maybe or remix. Do you think that that yield holds up and maybe grows from here? And maybe from a balance sheet ratio, I think we ended up about 24% assets up a little bit. Do you think that ratio holds you it stick to grow that, just curious in terms of directional change in balances and yield.

Raj Singh

Analyst

I don't think we're doing any massive repositioning of the securities book. You shouldn't expect the duration to change materially. I will say this will impact from our book and just talking about all the fixed income assets out there. My comments that I made at the beginning of the call that spreads have been tightening for loans, especially for fixed rate loans for now several quarters. That was true on the bond side and look bond market has been tightening and tightening and tightening for now better part of two years not more than two years. It was only in the last quarter, this is the first time after maybe seven or eight quarters straight of tightening that we saw some widening of spreads in the fixed income market, which I'm hoping this time, I can't call it a trend because it's only one quarter long. But we have seen some widening of spreads fixed income, the bond market tend to be the smartest money, tends to be the -- show the rest of the market where things are headed. So I'm hoping that eventually leads into loan market as well. But we are -- that was one optimistic sign on the spread side that we saw last quarter. And we were -- we took advantage of that and we participated and we brought aggressively into that. We'll see, we'll give you an update again next quarter. Whether that trend continues and maybe things get even wider. But that was beginning to happen in March and has continued to-date. It's still not as good as it was let's say back in 2016 spreads are sort of nowhere near where spreads were in 2016. But they have at least bottomed out towards the bottom was the first quarter of this year.

David Bishop

Analyst

Got it. And then just one follow-up question. Maybe just make sure I heard you right, covered loans sales this past quarter and second quarter and what you expect next quarter? I think you said you might look to ramp that up to the $150 million mark.

Raj Singh

Analyst

Yes, we will.

Leslie Lunak

Analyst

And that's really Dave taking the sales that we would normally spread out of over several quarters and combining them. So…

David Bishop

Analyst

Got it, thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Brock Vandervliet of UBS. Your line is now open.

Brock Vandervliet

Analyst

Good morning. I was just trying to square up with the deposit growth guide, which seems to be high single-digit. It would seem to hit that target for the year that the trends we saw in Q2 would have to be once and done really with higher performance or performance returning to the norm I should say in the second half. And how do -- how confident are you that we see that?

Raj Singh

Analyst

Again looking at the pipeline as you looked at it as recently as two days ago it is certainly achievable. If my confidence level the same as it is on the loan side, the answer is, no. I have less confidence because these are extremely difficult to predict.

Brock Vandervliet

Analyst

Okay. And as a follow-up, any more color on the qualitative adjustments you made affecting your provisioning methodology?

Leslie Lunak

Analyst

No, we didn't change anything about our methodology as with all banks we have certain qualitative factors that inform our allowance for loan losses and some of those the metrics that cause those to move, so some of those came off this quarter. But we don't usually get into a lot of detail about the specifics of what those are.

Brock Vandervliet

Analyst

Okay, thanks.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from David Chiaverini of Wedbush Securities. Your line is now open.

David Chiaverini

Analyst

Hi, thanks. I have a follow-up on deposits. You mentioned that the Moody’s upgrade should help attract commercial deposit relationships. And I was curious, how often do customer sight the credit rating when discussing bringing over deposits and what type of tailwind could that provide going forward?

Raj Singh

Analyst

It’s not something that impacts the consumer business, it doesn’t even impact the small business. It is generally on the higher end of commercial is where that can become an issue. Being -- a lot of times larger companies would have investment policies that will mandate that they do business with banks with the certain ratings, very often it’s investment grade rating and we were just at the cusp of being on the wrong side of investment grade and now we’re on the right side. So, that’s the business we’re referring to. It’s not all but our deposit business, it’s just a very high-end of commercial where this is an issue. It’s an incremental gain, it’s not like a game changer that suddenly there is $2 billion, which were sitting at the doorstep and now can come in, that’s not -- don’t expect that. But it helps a lot of people over the course of the last couple years, have sighted that as a reason that they were not ready to do business with us, we will be going back to each one of those clients and saying okay now we are matured to the level that we are investment grade, how about now starting those relationships or growing those relationships. It's hard to quantify what that will be, but it is -- nevertheless, it is positive news. And our deposit gatherers will focus on larger commercial business are quite excited about it.

Thomas Cornish

Analyst

And this would be like the institutional, municipal, large corporate kind of space.

Raj Singh

Analyst

Yes. It’s not small business consumer.

Thomas Cornish

Analyst

Or even middle market.

Raj Singh

Analyst

Yes.

Leslie Lunak

Analyst

Right.

David Chiaverini

Analyst

Thanks for that. And then shifting gears to expenses. So, the guidance going from high single-digit to the new mid-single-digit range for expense growth and that’s in line with the lower loan and deposit growth. I was curious just what’s driving that lower expense growth. Is it less incentive comp, is it less hiring, just what’s going in for that?

Leslie Lunak

Analyst

It’s both of those things and more. If you’re going to have a little bit slower growth rate, you don’t need to hire quite as many people especially some of the back-office people you might otherwise would have to hire, you don’t need to lease new space for them to sit in, just generally. But most of that would probably be in the comp volume because frankly that’s the line where most of our expenses are not for any other reasons, but it just corresponds to a little bit slower growth rate.

David Chiaverini

Analyst

Thanks very much.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude our question-and-answer session. I would now like to turn the call back over Raj Singh for any further remarks.

Raj Singh

Analyst

Thank you very much for joining us, taking the time. I appreciate your interest in the company. We’re excited about where we are and what we’ve achieved this quarter. And while there are some headwinds, overall, we feel very positive about business, where it’s headed, and we’ll talk to you again in 90 days. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in today’s conference. This concludes today’s program. You may all disconnect. Everyone have a great day.