Rich Kinzley
Analyst · Bank of America. You may proceed with your question
Thanks, Linn, and good morning, everyone. I'll start on Slide 9. As Linn noted, we delivered strong financial performance for the quarter with EPS as adjusted of $0.58, up $0.14 from last year, driven by strong year-over-year Q3 results at our gas utilities. Notable in the quarter were returns on invested capital of our utilities, favorable weather impacts, customer growth and favorable tax items. We estimate weather positively impacted Q3 EPS by $0.05 compared to normal and by $0.11 compared to Q3 2019. Results for the third quarter of this year include negative COVID impacts of approximately $0.03 per share, in line with our expectations. Net income as adjusted increased 35% quarter-over-quarter, while EPS as adjusted increased 32% quarter-over-quarter, the difference driven by dilution from additional common shares outstanding from our equity issuance earlier this year. On Slide 10, you see we increased our 2020 earnings guidance and initiated our 2021 earnings guidance, as Linn noted earlier in his remarks. Our earnings guidance assumptions are shown in more detail in the appendix. On Slide 11, we reconciled GAAP earnings to earnings as adjusted, a non-GAAP measure. We do this to isolate special items and communicate earnings that we believe better represent our ongoing performance. This slide displays the last five quarters and demonstrates the seasonality of our earnings. There were no special items in the third quarter this year. Slide 12 is a waterfall chart illustrating the primary drivers of our earnings results from third quarter of 2019 to third quarter of 2020. All amounts on this chart are net of income taxes. While I talk through the gross margin comparisons, I will refer to pre-tax margin impacts. Our Electric Utilities gross margin benefited from rider revenues, power marketing results and a pickup related to the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, which I will cover more in a moment. Our Gas Utilities gross margin benefited from new rates, favorable weather conditions that increased agricultural loads, customer growth and mark-to-market gains on gas commodity contracts. A bit more color on agricultural loads. Last year was a record precipitation year in our Nebraska service territory and our irrigation loads were correspondingly low in the third quarter. This year was hotter and drier than normal in Nebraska compared to normal for agricultural loads, last year's Q3 pre-tax margins were negatively impacted by approximately $5 million, while this year's Q3 pre-tax margins were positively impacted by approximately $2 million. So we had a $7 million pre-tax swing related to the agricultural loads comparing Q3 2019 to Q3 2020. When looking at weather overall for this year's Q3, including the agricultural impacts, our Electric Utilities gross margin benefited by $1.6 million pre-tax compared to normal and our Gas Utilities gross margin benefited by $2.6 million pre-tax compared to normal. The final comment on our utilities gross margins relates to COVID impacts which generally played out as we had forecast. The combination of COVID net load impacts and forgiven late fees impacted our utilities gross margin by approximately $1 million pre-tax. Our non-regulated margins were slightly higher than last year, reflecting higher revenues from our new wind assets at our Power Generation segment, partially offset by lower tons sold in our Mining segment. Total O&M increased compared to the prior year, largely driven by a $2.4 million after-tax expense from the retirement of certain assets at our Power Generation segment. Net COVID-related O&M of $800,000 after-tax resulted from higher bad debt expense accruals and sequestration of the essential employees, partially offset by lower costs related to travel, training and outside services. Depreciation increased as a result of additional plant placed in service. Interest expense increased due to higher debt balances resulting from new debt issued to fund our capital investment program. Other income expense was unfavorable to the prior year reflecting additional expense for our non-qualified benefit plans this year related to stock market performance and higher pension expense. We had a favorable effective tax rate in Q3 compared to the prior year. This was driven by additional production tax credits from our wind assets placed in service last year and the release of reserves associated with the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, a bit more color on that. We finalized certain regulatory proceedings around the TCJA during the third quarter and we're able to release associated reserve amounts, benefiting our electric utility gross margins by $1.5 million and income taxes by $2.1 million. Additional third quarter detail on segment earnings can be found on Slide 24 in the appendix and you can also find additional details on Q3 year-over-year changes in gross margin and operating expenses in our earnings release and in our 10-Q that we will file later today. Slide 13 shows our financial position through the lens of capital structure, credit ratings and financial flexibility. We are in excellent shape from a debt maturity and liquidity perspective and we continue to maintain solid investment grade credit ratings. In February, we issued $100 million of equity to help support our 2020 capital investments. We don't expect to issue any more equity in 2020. You'll note in our 2021 guidance assumptions in the appendix we expect to issue $80 million to $100 million of equity through our at-the-market equity offering program in 2021. We've mentioned previously the need to issue up to $50 million of equity in 2021 based on our previously disclosed forecast and the addition of $142 million to forecasted capital investments for 2020 and 2021 drives the increased equity need. In June, we issued $400 million of 2.5% 10-year notes to term out our short-term debt and support our ongoing capital investment program, further enhancing our liquidity position. This debt issuance was a great outcome and provides our customers low cost debt for the next decade. At quarter end, we had $84 million of borrowings on our credit facility with no material debt maturities until late 2023. As at the end of October, we continue to have over $600 million of liquidity available from capacity on our revolving credit facility. Slide 14 illustrates our dividend growth track record. We completed 50 consecutive years of increasing dividends in 2020 with strong and consistent increases in the past few years. We maintain our target for a long-term dividend payout ratio of 50% to 60% of EPS, demonstrating our confidence in our long-term earnings growth prospects. I'll turn it back to Linn now for his strategic overview.