Rich Kinzley
Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open
Thanks Linn and good morning everyone. I'll start on slide nine. As Linn noted, we delivered strong fourth quarter financial performance, driving our full year EPS to the upper half of our 2019 guidance range. Fourth quarter EPS, as adjusted, was $1.13 compared to $1.05 in Q4 2018, reflecting a 13% increase in adjusted net income, partially offset by a 5% share dilution. Full year 2019 EPS as adjusted was $3.53 compared to $3.54 in 2018, reflecting 9.2% increase in adjusted net income offset by a 9.5% share dilution. I'll discuss operational earnings driver by business segment in a few slides, but we'll address consolidated weather earnings impacts here. Weather favorably impacted consolidated results compared to normal in both 2018 and 2019. In the fourth quarter of 2019, we estimate weather favorably impacted EPS by $0.04 compared to normal, which was $0.02 less favorable than the fourth quarter in 2018. For full year 2019, we estimate weather favorably impacted EPS by $0.06 compared to normal, which was $0.03 less favorable than 2018. On slide 10, we reconcile GAAP earnings to earnings as adjusted, a non-GAAP measure. We do this to isolate special items and communicate earnings that we believe better represent our ongoing performance. This slide displays the last five quarters and trailing 12 months as of December 31st, 2018 and 2019 and demonstrates the seasonality of our earnings. In the third quarter of 2019, we recorded a noncash pretax impairment of $20 million or $0.25 per share after tax related to an investment in a privately held company. We covered that in our third quarter earnings release. Special items in 2018, not reflective of our ongoing performance were all income tax related. The first item reflected the impact of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act during 2018. The second and larger item related to tax benefits of legal restructurings completed in 2018. The impairment in 2019 and tax-related items in 2018 are not indicative of our ongoing performance and accordingly, we reflect them on an as-adjusted basis. Slide 11 is a waterfall chart illustrating the primary drivers of our earnings results from Q4 2018 to Q4 2019. All amounts on this chart are net of income taxes. I'll add more detail by segment on Slide 13, but at a high level, our Electric Utilities, Gas Utilities, and Power Generation segments had solid gross margin improvements compared to Q4 last year. Total O&M increased by less than 1%, reflecting solid cost management during the quarter. Depreciation increased as a result of increased plant in service from our customer-focused capital investment program. Interest expense was flat compared to Q4 2018. Other expense was higher than last year due to development costs of approximately $5.4 million related to projects we no longer intend to construct. We experienced favorability in our effective income tax rate in Q4 2019 compared to the prior year when excluding the special items, I discussed on the previous slide. Our effective tax rate for the quarter was 9.3% compared to 18.8% last year, again, excluding the special items. The reduced effective rate in Q4 2019 was driven by a tax benefit from the federal tax loss carryback claim, higher production tax credits from our new wind generation assets, and increased repair and development credits. Slide 12 is a waterfall chart comparing full year 2019 to 2018, consistent with our Q4 waterfall chart on the previous page, all amounts here are net of income taxes. Our Electric Utilities and Gas Utilities both had strong gross margin improvements compared to last year, while our nonregulated margins were relatively flat year-over-year. Total O&M increased by 3%, reflecting prudent cost management over the full year. Depreciation expense increased as a result of increased plant in service from our customer-focused capital expenditure program. Interest expense was slightly higher than 2018. Other expense was higher than last year due to development cost I mentioned on the last slide. Our effective income tax rate in 2019 was 13% compared to 17.6% in 2018 when excluding the special items I discussed earlier. The reduced effective tax rate in 2019 was driven primarily by federal production tax credits and the state investment tax credit on our wind farms and from a tax benefit from the federal tax loss carryback claim. On slide 13, segment operating income results for the fourth quarter are compared to the prior year. I'll make a few comments here, and you can find additional details on Q4 year-over-year changes in gross margin and operating expenses in our earnings release. At our Electric Utilities, operating income for Q4 2019 increased by $2.3 million compared to Q4 2018. Gross margins increased by $5.8 million, driven primarily by higher industrial demand, lower purchase power capacity costs and rider recovery. Operating expenses increased $3.5 million over Q4 last year due to higher employee costs and depreciation expense. At our Gas Utilities, operating income for Q4 2019 increased by $4.3 million compared to 2018. Gross margins increased by $3.7 million, benefiting from customer growth in our service territories, higher transport and transmission margins and new rates. These benefits were partially offset by unfavorable weather compared to Q4 last year. Heating degree days were 2% above normal for the quarter, but 3% lower than Q4 2018. Operating expenses decreased by $0.5 million, primarily from lower outside services and employee costs, partially offset by higher depreciation. On the bottom half of slide 13 at our Power Generation segment, operating income for Q4 2019 increased $1.9 million compared to Q4 2018. Revenue increased in 2019 due to higher contract prices received and increased generation from our new wind generation assets we added this year. Operating expenses increased due to higher depreciation and property taxes from those new wind assets. The primary earnings benefit from our new wind projects comes through reduced income tax expense due to the federal production tax credits we received from these projects. Operating income in our Mining segment was comparable to the prior year. On slide 14, segment operating results for full year 2019 are compared to the prior year. Again, I'll make a few comments here, and you'll find additional details on year-over-year changes in gross margin and operating expenses in our earnings release. At our Electric Utilities, operating income for 2019 increased by $4.4 million compared to 2018. Gross margins increased by $17 million, driven primarily by lower purchase power capacity costs, a regulatory settlement in the prior year, Wyoming Electric, and rider recovery. Operating expenses increased $12 million over last year, primarily due to higher employee costs, higher outside service expenses and higher depreciation expense. At our Gas Utilities, operating income for 2019 increased by $4.8 million compared to 2018. Gross margins increased by $21 million, benefiting from new rates, customer growth in our service territories and higher transport and transmission margins. These benefits to gross margin were partially offset by unfavorable weather compared to last year and changes in unrealized mark-to-market gains and losses on commodity contracts. Last year, we had a gain of $1.6 million on these contracts. And this year, we had a $1.7 million loss. Heating degree days were 5% above normal in 2019 compared to 2% above normal in 2018. This benefit to gross margins was offset by excessive precipitation that negatively impacted irrigation loads for agricultural customers in our Nebraska Gas service territory during the second and third quarters of 2019. In total, for the year, we estimate weather adversely impacted margins at the Gas Utilities by $2.2 million compared to the prior year, but was favorable by $2.7 million when compared to normal. Operating expenses increased by $16 million from higher outside services, employee cost, property taxes and depreciation. On the bottom half of slide 14 at our Power Generation segment, operating income for 2019 increased $2.2 million when compared to 2018. Revenue increased in the current year due to higher contract prices received and increased wind generation, but was partially offset by higher operating expenses from higher depreciation and property taxes on the joint assets. As I mentioned previously, the primary earnings benefit from our new wind projects comes to reduced income tax due to the federal production tax credits we received on these projects. Operating income at our Mining segment decreased by $3.7 million compared to the prior year. The decrease from the prior year was driven primarily by planned and unplanned outages at the Wyodak plant, which negatively impacted sales of the mine. Slide 15 shows our financial position through the lens of capital structure, credit ratings and financial flexibility. Our credit ratings remain at BBB+ at both Fitch and S&P and Baa2 at Moody's, with a stable outlook at all three agencies. We remain committed to maintaining our strong investment-grade credit ratings. Given low interest rates and favorable market conditions, we issued $700 million of new long-term public debt in early October to pay off maturities we had upcoming in 2020 and 2021. And we are in good shape from a debt maturity and liquidity perspective. At December 31st, our net debt-to-capitalization ratio was 59.6%, slightly higher than where we were at the end of 2018, mainly due to our 2019 capital investment program of $850 million. We issued $100 million of equity through our At-the-Market equity offering program in 2019 to help fund our CapEx. We expect to issue $100 million to $120 million of equity through our At-the-Market program in 2020, an increase of $20 million on each end of the range from our prior guidance. The additional equity helps fund our increased capital investment as we increased our CapEx from previous disclosures by $76 million for 2019 and 2020 combined and by $112 million in total for 2019 through 2023. While debt to total capitalization will likely remain in the 58% to 59% range through 2020, given our plan to invest $669 million in CapEx in 2020, we continue to target a debt to total cap ratio in the mid-50s over the longer term. Linn will speak to our CapEx program shortly. Slide 16 illustrates our dividend track record. As Linn mentioned, we are on track to deliver 50 consecutive years of increased dividends in 2020. And we've grown the dividend at a strong rate in recent years with $0.12 annual increases in 2018 and 2019, demonstrating our confidence in our future earnings growth potential. We maintain our dividend payout ratio target of 50% to 60% of EPS. I'll turn it back to Linn now for his strategic overview.