Rich Kinzley
Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Your line is now open
Very good. Thank you Linn and good morning everyone. As Linn, noted we enjoyed strong financial performance in the fourth quarter and for the full year 2018. I'll start on Slide 12 where we reconcile gap earnings to earnings from continuing operations as adjusted a non gap measure. We do this to isolate special items and communicate earnings that better represent our ongoing performance. This slide displays the last five quarters in full year 2017 and 2018. Working from top to bottom on the slide. The first special item is related to onetime acquisition costs incurred as part of the source gas integration which wrapped up in 2017. The second item relates primarily to tax reform. At the end of 2017, we recorded a benefit related to tax reform. In 2018, certain benefits and expenses associated with the new law netted to $0.7 of expense for the full year. The tax reform items this year related to our continued evaluation of the impact of the new law on our financial statements, as well as impacts from continued revisions and IRS guidance regarding the new law. The largest special item you see is related to the tax benefit of legal restructuring is completed in 2018, as part of an effort to simplify our legal organization in Q1 and Q4, we restructured certain entities acquired as part of the source gas acquisition. The restructurings increased goodwill that is amortizable able for tax purposes resulting in a $49 million deferred tax benefit in the first quarter and $23 million deferred tax benefit in the fourth quarter for a total of $31 per share for the full year. The special items on this page are not indicative of ongoing performance and accordingly, we reflect them on an adjusted basis. As adjusted EPS for the fourth quarter grew 7% to a $1.5 per share compared to $0.98 cents per share in the fourth quarter of 2017. For the full year as adjusted EPS increased 5% in 2018 to $3.54 per share compared to $3.36 per share in 2017. This growth was driven mainly by strong performance at our gas utilities as Linn noted earlier we benefited from colder than normal weather across our service territories in 2018 and we estimate that sixth sense of EPS in the fourth quarter and $0.9 of EPS for the full year resulted from favorable weather, compared to normal. Backing the sixth sense in the fourth quarter of the $3.54, our EPS would have been $3.48, which is within the high end of the guidance range of $335 to $350 that we issued in early November. The waterfall chart on Slide 13, illustrates major drivers bridging net income from Q4 2017 to Q4 2018. All amounts on this chart are net of income tax. You'll note we had a revenue reduction in 2018, as a result of passing tax reform benefits on to our utility customers. These revenue reductions are offset by reduced income tax. Outside of tax reform the biggest item of note is that our gas utilities gross margin for the fourth quarter demonstrated substantial improvement driving our 13% increase in as adjusted net income compared to the fourth quarter last year. I'll detail segment performance shortly. The waterfall chart on slide 14, illustrates major drivers bridging net income for full year 2017 to full year 2018. As with the fourth quarter chart all amounts on this chart or net of income taxes. Again we had a revenue reduction in 2018. As a result of passing tax reform benefits onto our utility customers which is offset by reduced taxes. And strong margin improvement at the gas utilities drove our 6% percent increase in as adjusted net income. Slide 15, displays our fourth quarter and full year income statements comparing 2018 to 2017, we delivered growth in income from continuing operations as adjusted for both the fourth quarter and the full year. Operating income and EBITDA decreased in 2018, mainly due to the reductions in revenue and gross margin from delivering approximately $43 million of tax reform benefits to our utility customers. Again this reduction in revenue gross margin is offset by reduced income taxes so the effect on the bottom line is neutral, Operating expenses increased by over 5% year over year. However, 2018, operating expenses included a few non-recurring items such as the 30 day Wygen I major outage, which included $1.3 million of O&M and bad debt was $2.1 million higher in 2018, due to increased revenue recognized. Backing these amounts out of 2018, operating expenses, yields and approximately 4% normalized increase in operating expenses year over year. We did make targeted O&M investments during 2018, by hiring additional people in our higher growth areas like Arkansas and in areas such as gas engineering and regulatory to support our customer focused capital program. Looking ahead, we expect O&M escalation to be near inflationary. We remain committed to our long term objective of improving efficiencies for our customers. Also of note is that during 2018, we recognized approximately $69 million in onetime reductions of income tax expense. Related primarily to the legal restructurings, I mentioned previously. Excluding those onetime net benefits in our tax expense line our effective tax rate would have been 17.6% for the full year, which is about what we would have expected. Income from continuing operations as adjusted increased 6% from $185.3 million in 2017 to $196.5 million in 2018. You'll note our diluted share count increased year over year. On November 1, 2018, we issued 6.37 million common shares upon conversion of the unit mandatory Securities issued in late 2015 to help fund the source gas acquisition. This brought our year and actual diluted share count to just under 60 million shares. Overall we're pleased with the earnings per share growth from 336 to 354. Slide 16, displays our electric utilities gross margin and operating income. The electric utilities gross margin was relatively flat for the fourth quarter and full year compared to 2017, predominantly, driven by increases from shared facility revenue returns on transmission investments and favorable weather, offset by lower revenue due to tax reform. The shared facility revenues new and in 2018 it is reflective of South Dakota electric, owning our new corporate headquarters and receiving rent from all our subsidiaries. This amounted to $9.8 million in 2018 over 2017. This comparison difference in our segment information will go away in 2019. Another notable gross margin item relates to the $7 million, Wyoming PCA settlement, we reached in October. We recorded $1.7 million reserve associated with this issue in 2017 and another $4.3 million in 2018. So, we have $6 million of the $7 million settlement recorded through year in 2018, with $500,000 to be expensed in each 2019 and 2020, per the terms of the settlement. Other gross margin changes for the quarter and year over year are detailed in our press release yesterday. Operating expenses were $4.6 million higher in the fourth quarter and $19.2 million for the full year, as the result of increased expenses associated with vegetation management shared facility rent and depreciation. Operating income decreased by approximately $22 million for full year 2018 compared to 2017. Again this decrease in operating income is attributed to delivering approximately $22 million in tax reform benefits to our customers, which is offset by lower income tax. Moving to Slide 17, from an operating income perspective our gas utilities were flat year over year, which is remarkable given the effect of tax reform on operating income. Gross margin increased by $25 million despite delivering approximately $21 million of tax reform benefits to customers. The year-over-year margin increase was the result of new rates from three completed rate reviews return on new infrastructure investments residential customer growth increased usage per customer and favorable weather. Operating expenses were approximately $25 million higher year over year offsetting the increase in gross margin. Operating its operating expenses increased as a result of higher employee and contractor related costs associated with growth in our service territories, higher facility costs, higher on collectible accounts and increased from increased revenue and higher depreciation expense. Again achieving flat operating income at our gas utilities year over year is quite remarkable given the effective tax reform. As you saw back on slide 10 on an as adjusted basis the gas utilities increased their contribution to earnings by nearly $18 million, comparing 2018 to 2017. Next I'll talk about gross margin impact from weather at both our electric and gas utilities, were compared to normal as opposed to compared to last year. In the fourth quarter compared to normal weather favorability impacted our gas utilities gross margin by an estimated $4.1 million and our electric utilities gross margin by approximately $400,000. For the full year compared to normal weather favor ability impacted our gas utilities gross margin by an estimated $4.6 million and our electric utility gross margins by an estimated $1.8 million. On Slide 18, you see that power generation operating income decreased $3.2 million for the fourth quarter 2018 compared to 2017 and decreased by $4.1 million year-over-year, primarily driven by a planned major turbine outages on Wygen I that occurred in the fourth quarter of 2018. This scheduled outage reduced revenue by $2.9 million year-over-year and increased O&M by approximately $1.3 million year-over-year. Outside of that outage, the power generation segment continued to realized strong contract availability from its generating units and continued its strong cash flow contributions. On Slide 19, in the fourth quarter of 2018, our mining segment had an $800,000 operating income increase compared to the fourth quarter in 2017. For the quarter, revenue decline $900,000 with unfavorable tons sold primarily driven by the Wygen 1 outage. This revenue decrease was more than offset by decreased maintenance and overburden removal costs compared to the prior year. For the full year of 2018, mining and operating income increased by $2.8 million. Revenue was $1.4 million higher for the full-year with the benefit of increased pricing, partially offset by lower tons sold compared to full year 2017. On the cost side, we had decreased costs of $1.4 million, primarily driven by lower maintenance and mining costs in 2018. The mine continues to perform at a high level and sales almost entirely to on-site mine-mouth plants with roughly half our sales based on a cost plus pricing methodology. Slide 20 shows our financial position through the lens of capital structure, credit ratings and financial flexibility. Our credit ratings are strong and triple B plus at both Finch and S&P and BAA through at Moody's. We remain committed to maintaining our strong investment-grade credit ratings. At the end of 2018, our debt to total capital ratio of 58.9% was a was 710 basis point improvement from year-end 2017. We met our commitment to improve our capital structure after the acquisition of Source Gas and reduced our debt to cap ratio below 60% by the end of 2018. This improvement was in large part driven by the final settlement of our equity units and the resulting conversion of the unit mandatories to common equity on November 1. We used the proceeds received from the settlement to pay off the $250 million notes due January 2019 and reduced short-term debt. We continue to target a debt-to-total capitalization ratio in the mid-50s over the long-term. Looking to the future, we had strong and stable cash flows from our businesses, a very manageable debt maturity schedule and access to liquidity through our revolver and at the market equity program, providing us plenty of flexibility to fund our strong capital expenditure program. Slide 21 illustrates our dividend track record. We've grown the dividend at a faster rate the past few years demonstrating our confidence in our future earnings growth potential. As we've stated in the past, our intent is to not reduce the amount of the annual dividend increase and we maintain our dividend payout ratio policy of 50% to 60% of earnings. On Slide 22, we're reaffirming our earnings guidance for 2019 with a range of $3.35 to $3.55 per share and for 2020 with a range of $3.50 to $3.80 per share. As I noted on our third quarter call back in November, we don't intend to make two years of guidance our regular practice, but are providing this pulmonary 2020 guidance demonstrate confidence in our customer-focused growth strategy, which includes substantial capital expenditures to support the growth and maintain and enhance the safety and reliability of our utility systems. The major assumptions relied upon to formulate the earnings guidance for both 2019 and 2020 are noted on Slides 59 and 60 in the appendix. Our CapEx disclosure has once again increased this quarter primarily due to the addition of the Corey Dale wind project. In total 2018 through 2020 CapEx increased by $90 million from our previous disclosure in November. We've continue to assume annual equity issuances through our at the market equity program of $25 million to $50 million in both 2019 and 2020 to help fund our CapEx program. With that, I am going to turn it back to Linn to talk about our strategy.