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B&G Foods, Inc. (BGS)

Q1 2012 Earnings Call· Thu, Apr 19, 2012

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for holding. Welcome to the B&G Foods, Inc. First Quarter 2012 Financial Results Conference Call. Today's conference is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to turn the conference over to David Wenner, Chief Executive Officer of B&G Foods. Please go ahead, sir.

David Wenner

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets

Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to the B&G Foods First Quarter 2012 Conference Call. You can access detailed financial information on the quarter and our earnings release issued today, which is available on our website at bgfoods.com. Before we begin our formal remarks, I need to remind everyone that part of the discussion today includes forward-looking statements. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and therefore, undue reliance should not be placed upon them. We refer all of you to our most recent annual report on Form 10-K and subsequent SEC filings for a more detailed discussion of the risks that could impact our future operating results and financial condition. The company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. We also will be making reference on today's call to the non-GAAP financial measure EBITDA. Reconciliations of this measure to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures are provided in today's press release. We'll start the call with our CFO, Bob Cantwell, discussing our financial results for the quarter. After Bob's remarks, I'll discuss the various factors that affected our results for the quarter, selected business highlights and our thoughts concerning the next 9 months. Bob?

Robert Cantwell

Analyst · Piper Jaffray

Thank you, Dave. Net sales for the first quarter of 2012 increased $25.9 million or 19.7% to $157.3 million compared to $131.4 million for the first quarter of 2011. Net sales of the Culver Specialty Brands, which we acquired at the end of November 2011, contributed $25.6 million to the overall increase. The remaining $0.3 million net sales increase was attributable to $2.5 million of price increases, largely offset by $2.2 million unit volume decrease for our base business. Net sales increased by $1.7 million for Ortega and $1.2 million for Maple Grove Farms of Vermont. These increases were offset by a reduction in net sales for Cream of Wheat of $1.5 million, and B&G of $0.7 million. All other brands decreased $0.4 million in the aggregate. Gross profit increased $11.9 million for the first quarter of 2012 or 26.7% to $56.8 million from $44.9 million for the first quarter of 2011. Gross profit expressed as a percentage of net sales increased 200 basis points to 36.1% for the first quarter of 2012 from 34.1% for the first quarter of 2011. The increase in gross profit as a percentage of net sales was primarily due to pricing gains of $2.5 million and a sales mix shift to higher margin products, primarily due to the Culver Specialty Brands acquisition, partially offset by commodity cost increases. Selling, general and administrative expenses increased $2.4 million or 17.6% to $16.6 million for the first quarter of 2012 compared to $14.2 million for the first quarter of 2011. This increase is primarily due to increases in consumer marketing and trade spending of $1.8 million, brokerage expenses of $0.4 million and warehousing costs of $0.2 million. However, expressed as a percentage of net sales, our selling, general and administrative expenses decreased 20 basis points to 10.6%…

David Wenner

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets

Thanks, Bob. Good afternoon, again, everyone. This was another excellent quarter for our business. Perhaps the most single most important aspect of our performance for the quarter was the successful integration of the Culver Specialty Brands into the B&G Foods portfolio. That success paved the way for our record-breaking numbers in several important metrics, as Bob cited. Net sales for the quarter increased by 19.7% to $157.3 million. Net income increased by 26.1%. Diluted earnings per share increased by 29.6%, and EBITDA increased by 29% to a quarterly record figure of $42.6 million. Last but certainly not the least, as a result of our strong performance in fiscal 2011 and in anticipation of the performance of the Culver acquisition, our Board of Directors increased the quarterly dividend by 17.4% to $0.27 per share on February 15. As you can see from the numbers in our press release and in Bob's comments, the acquisition of the Culver Specialty Brands delivered the top and bottom line contributions that we expected when we made the acquisition. Net sales of the CSB portfolio totaled $25.6 million. While this number is well ahead of the roughly $90 million annual sales estimate that we modeled, there is modest seasonality to the business. When that is considered, the first quarter number is in line with our estimates. The first quarter number certainly reflects the fact that the overall portfolio is in generally good health. In fact, this portfolio is probably the healthiest we have acquired in terms of stability at the time of purchase. That's not to say there were no prompt issues that needed to be addressed, but the issues that we have encountered in the first 4 months of ownership were all very manageable. The transition of the business from Unilever went very smoothly, with…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We will take our first question from Ed Aaron of RBC Capital Markets.

Edward Aaron

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets

Maybe you should start with the Culver business. It sounds like you maybe gained some really sales synergies there. Can you maybe just talk a little bit about just order of magnitude, how much you picked up and what that could mean for in terms of sales contribution? And then also, as a follow-up to that, could you, if you have it, give the comparable Culver sales number from last year's Q1?

David Wenner

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets

Well, as far as where it's going to go, it's too early to say. I mean, we are seeing, gaining distribution, but so far, it's a kiss and a promise. I mean, we have acceptances of the product, but to nail down a contribution number from a sales point of view, you really need to get to the timing of the shipment. And that's highly variable depending on the customer, and I can't say. But we do know that we have a significant number of promises to add distribution on this and we are seeing some orders already. And it's really going to depend on the timing. But we're very encouraged by the trend. As far as the prior year, the earlier number...

David Wenner

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets

We're up a little over $1 million versus prior year same timeframe on Culver for the first quarter.

Edward Aaron

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets

Okay, great. And then last year, I think you had a little bit of an impact in your first quarter from the Eater timing shift. Was that a benefit on the year-over-year basis in Q1 that will reverse out in Q2 this year?

David Wenner

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets

We really didn't see volume move around Easter like we did last year. It was pretty neutral this year.

Edward Aaron

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets

All right. And then one, last one for me is that I think you made a comment about inventory changes in the channel. Was that kind of specific to 1 or 2 retailers? Or was it something that you kind of saw more broadly speaking across the business?

David Wenner

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets

I don't think I actually said anything about inventory in the channels. But we did see a couple of wholesalers we believe pull back on inventory at the end of the quarter.

Operator

Operator

And we will take our next question from Sean Naughton of Piper Jaffray.

Sean Naughton

Analyst · Piper Jaffray

So I think you had mentioned before the inflation in the cost of goods sold for this year x Maple syrup, it was going to be up around a little bit less than 2%. And given the fact that Maple syrup has come in maybe a little bit better than what people may be expecting. How should we think about the inflation and COGS for 2012?

David Wenner

Analyst · Piper Jaffray

Well, the number we talked about really ignored or set aside Maple syrup. And for it to come in neutral, which we believe it will, we're still around 2% cost increase.

Sean Naughton

Analyst · Piper Jaffray

Okay. And then given the fact that EBITDA looks like it was up about 200 basis points in Q1, is that a fair way to think about kind of the total for the year on a year-over-year comparison? Do you continue to expect to generate that kind of nice improvement year-over-year on the margin front?

Robert Cantwell

Analyst · Piper Jaffray

Yes, I mean, the acquisition itself brings that mix of EBITDA or up about 200 basis points.

Sean Naughton

Analyst · Piper Jaffray

Okay, great. And then I guess just lastly, a couple -- the cash taxes, looks like it was up a little bit from what we talked about in Q1. Is there anything -- excuse me, on the Q4 call, is there anything that has kind of changed there or how should we think about that?

David Wenner

Analyst · Piper Jaffray

No, not at all. That's just a better reflection of where we expect to be. It's a pretty accurate number at this point of exactly where we'll be for the year.

Sean Naughton

Analyst · Piper Jaffray

Okay, fair enough. And then maybe one last question on -- anything on the negotiation's front in Portland, Maine, I know there had been some -- there's an agreement coming up I think at the end of April.

David Wenner

Analyst · Piper Jaffray

The contract goes for a vote on Saturday. So I can't, other than that, I really can't comment.

Operator

Operator

And we will take our next question from Reza Vahabzadeh of Barclays.

Reza Vahabzadeh

Analyst · Barclays

So on the acquired Culver portfolio, is it accurate to assess your comments that you haven't found any negative surprises since you've acquired it in numbers or essentially in line with your expectations?

David Wenner

Analyst · Barclays

Yes, I think that's a fair comment. There's no -- there's -- you always have a few little surprises, but nothing that I would call meaningful.

Reza Vahabzadeh

Analyst · Barclays

Got it. And then any positive surprises? Anything that maybe you underestimate as far as the potential for the portfolio?

David Wenner

Analyst · Barclays

Well, I think, as I said in the last call, we were very pleased with the Static Guard. It really was a little bit -- a little jewel in the portfolio and I don’t think we fully appreciated how good a brand that was. Speed to get into this transition has helped us significantly in terms of I think securing some things that otherwise wouldn't have happened. And the primary example of that is that Baker's Joy went into the baking aisle at Wal-Mart for the Easter bake season, and that helped Baker's Joy tremendously. And as I said earlier, we're really making a lot of headway in terms of going out there and pounding on the doors with the customers and pointing out distribution gaps, and as the year progresses, hopefully filling those gaps. So there's a lot of opportunity.

Reza Vahabzadeh

Analyst · Barclays

Right. And then as far as the -- you made some comments in the prior calls that consumer is showing some elasticity of demand as promotive price points go higher, and volumes have been on the soft side in packaged food. Are you still seeing that? Do you see any signs that maybe the consumer is adapting to the higher promoter price points?

David Wenner

Analyst · Barclays

It's very hard to say what's going on, whether it's price or what's going on with the consumer. I know everybody is very baffled by that, so I can't say it's push back on price necessarily, because the response -- the weakness in the industry seems to be very broad. I had a -- the latest run of all the categories we compete in the other day, and it -- as you would expect, it's a page-long list of all the categories, and anything that's negative is red. Well, it was a sea of red. There were literally 3 categories that weren't down in unit sales for that 13 weeks. So I think it's more than price. And I think everybody is seeing a general malaise in the industry from the consumer and of course, the overlying question is what are they eating. But it certainly, to me, is more than a push back on price. You see that in very specific categories, where the price increases are more substantial than our average price increase, but there's a broader trend than that.

Reza Vahabzadeh

Analyst · Barclays

Got it. And I'm sorry, I didn't -- can you just highlight some of the brands that were affected by, whether I think you mentioned Cream of Wheat? Anything else that may have been affected by the warmer-than-usual weather?

David Wenner

Analyst · Barclays

Well, we think our preserve business, our pancake syrup business, the maple syrup business to a small degree but not nearly as much as the pancake syrup business. Even recipe beans, which is all about making chili and things like that, even that was somewhat weak. But definitely, hot cereal was, by far, the worst.

Reza Vahabzadeh

Analyst · Barclays

Got it. And then do you have fuel cost inflation in your COGS inflation estimate for the year?

David Wenner

Analyst · Barclays

Well, we estimated that we would see an increase in the first quarter. And then, hopefully, it was going to be neutral for the rest of the year. The first quarter, our fuel surcharge number was probably -- and then we're talking hundreds of thousands of dollars here, it was probably couple of hundreds of thousand dollars higher than we expected for the quarter. But as I said, we saw more dilution of the cost as a percent of sales coming out of Culver. It didn't add the expense we thought it might, and so we ended up with a positive net affect there. For a lack of better information, we're forecasting that everything is going to be neutral for the rest of the year.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We'll go next to Gary Albanese of Auriga.

Gary Albanese

Analyst · Auriga

I just wanted you to expand upon the Jarden alliance. I believe you mentioned 3 different styles by September, with plans to build out on that line in the future. Can you sort of quantify what your thoughts are and then how big that product is going to be?

David Wenner

Analyst · Auriga

Well, we really don't know how big it's going to be. That's the fun of doing new products, is you put them out there and you pray somebody buys them. But the first good sign is that retailers, as I said, are reacting very, very positively and we're starting to ship products here in the third -- in the first -- second quarter. So it's not going to happen in September, it's going to happen now. And we'll be shipping product in some quantity here next week. Could that -- it'll be $1 million, $2 million at the pace we're going right now. But certainly, that could accelerate. If it's successful, we will obviously look at expanding the offerings and trying to expand on the opportunity. But when you're just getting the distribution out there and you haven't got a clue whether the consumers are going to buy the product or not, it's very hard to make a forecast.

Gary Albanese

Analyst · Auriga

Okay. I know I'm getting a little bit ahead of myself, but I mean, is there a potential to expand upon the relationship with Jarden, either through stuff with the Coleman line or the Sunbeam line. I mean, there seems to be some pretty good overlaps that you guys could do with them.

David Wenner

Analyst · Auriga

No, there is a potential to do that. I mean, we have a number of products that are good for cooking on grills and things like that. Absolutely. We just thought this was the most obvious one because people know what to do with a slow cooker, and these are great recipes for that particular appliance.

Gary Albanese

Analyst · Auriga

Okay, okay. And then just lastly, I mean, the capital needs for this product, for these products, I mean, that's probably going to be fairly minimal to start, is that fair to say?

David Wenner

Analyst · Auriga

Oh, yes. Minimal inventory needs and we are not -- it's being co-packed, so that reduces your working capital needs substantially, no equipment, anything like that.

Operator

Operator

One question remaining at this time that comes from Andrew Lazar of Barclays.

Andrew Lazar

Analyst · Barclays

Just a couple of things, I guess. First, and I'm thinking about your comment around some of the scanner data that you looked at across all of your categories and seeing all the categories are kind of a lot of them in the red and whatnot, have you seen any change in that data, if you think about it for the quarter versus kind of more recently? In other words, is there a sense there that there's been any real stabilization, potentially just things looking less bad? I know we don’t have a lot of great explanation for why vibes in the industry as a whole has been weak. But maybe I can just hang on to some comments from companies, let's say, it's the least, getting less weak for whatever reason?

David Wenner

Analyst · Barclays

Well, I don't have any more recent information, the latest 4 weeks hasn't come out yet. At least I haven't seen any yet, the one that would come out mid -- right about now, as a matter fact, or mid-April. So I don't have any more information beyond that. My sense is that we may start to flatten out some, once we get past this anomaly in terms of year-to-year, weather patterns and things like that, but that -- or we may not. I mean, I'm just speculating because, as you say, I'm not sure exactly what's going on. And I would say that the effect on most of our brands is very, very minor. But it certainly detracts from positive sales that would have helped you on something as clear as the hot cereal negative.

Andrew Lazar

Analyst · Barclays

Right. And that was my next question. I was getting into this, kind of parse out what the issues were on your base volume versus those of the industry is seeing, and I guess you said in your prepared remarks, you really don't think your volume weakness has a whole lot to do with the broader sort of industry malaise. And I think you said you thought that, I mean, you may not have said this, whether your estimation is kind of hard, but was that the lion's share, do you think of your volume weakness as opposed to -- you do this, but as opposed to just kind of the overall industry piece?

David Wenner

Analyst · Barclays

I think it was the lion's share of the decline we saw. I think the overall industry piece took away from upside in other areas that wouldn't otherwise have been weather affected and kept us from compensating for weakness. One of the real strengths of our business, the way we look at it is, when we have as broad a portfolio over as many categories as we have, a specific category issue is one out of many, and is more than compensated for by the others assuming the others are performing normally. So when the whole world falls out of bed, which is very, very unusual, you just don't have -- you don't have those positives to pull the 1 or 2 real negatives up.

Andrew Lazar

Analyst · Barclays

Yes. And then the comment around retailers' merchandise some of your items in certain categories are a bit less given the higher promoted price points. Is that -- was -- that sounds like it was something a more minor issue versus impacting your volume in the quarter. And has that pretty much now worked itself through the best of your knowledge?

David Wenner

Analyst · Barclays

I -- yes, I'm assuming it's going to be the same as it was in 2009. Everybody has a little -- it gets a huffy because what was $0.99 is now for 4 for $5. But when they realized, well, that's the game now because this cost associated with that went up 60%, then we get over it. And actually, the one brand B&M that was -- that had that kind of event actually was up a little bit for the quarter in dollar sales, even though we missed some pretty good sized promotions we would normally have done otherwise. And that's the brand that the same thing happened 3 years ago, and we all made up and moved on with the higher promotional prices.

Andrew Lazar

Analyst · Barclays

And then maybe just 2 other things. One, last quarter, I think you had said that for the full year, you'd anticipate sort of base volume growth maybe in the -- up in the low single-digit range. Is the start to the year, if you will, around base volumes? Does that change that thought process, just the slower start on the base side?

David Wenner

Analyst · Barclays

Well, obviously, it's not a great way to start when you're trying to get to those kind of growth numbers. So it puts us in a little bit of a hole to get to those numbers. I think it's too soon to say whether we're going to be able to totally climb out of that hole fast enough with only 3 months under our belts.

Andrew Lazar

Analyst · Barclays

Got it, okay. Last thing is the -- and I assume again this is somewhat more weather related, but when you reported your fourth quarter, it was about really like about 2 months ago. And at that point, you'd said, hey, the quarter is off to a really good start from sort of a volume perspective. Was it just obviously again from your standpoint, sort of the weather shift as happened later in the quarter that just impacted kind of Cream of Wheat volume primarily?

David Wenner

Analyst · Barclays

Yes, I was thinking, as I was rereading my remarks, I was thinking the same thing. Because we were having a very good January, had a very good January and had a decent December, and then it all fell out of bed on the hot cereal side in February, and then volumes firmed again some in March. So it's not a steady thing like it normally is. Usually, our business is very, very level, predictable. There is certainly more gyrations to it than there are normally and -- but I think the hot cereal thing, I think you may have had -- here is my speculation. The hot cereal thing, you may have had retailers ordering as normal, consumer sales didn't happen, now retailers have too much inventory, so you'd see a dramatic pullback in orders from the retailers, so you had January chugging along in good shape, and then February, you get that kind of a response. Everybody lowers their inventories and now you would go back to normal or more normal in March. That's very possibly what happened.

Operator

Operator

And at this time, there are no additional questions. I will turn the call back to our moderators for any additional or closing remarks.

David Wenner

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets

Thank you, operator. As I said, our base business did better than most in first quarter. We're very encouraged by the fact that we got the pricing we needed to get to cover cost in the quarter. We will see what happens with volume, but the volume drop was fairly modest. But more importantly, the Culver acquisition, which is a substantial addition to our company performed as we expected it to, and really presents us with a lot of opportunities to improve performance as we go through the year and we're looking forward to executing on that. Thank you all for joining us.

Operator

Operator

And this does conclude today's conference call. Once again, we thank you for your participation, and have a wonderful day.