Ron Domanico
Analyst · Imperial Capital
Thanks, Doug. Good day, everybody. During the third quarter, we continue to pursue The Brink's value creation strategy that consists of four building blocks; enhancing credibility, accelerating profitable growth, margin expansion and increasing returns. We are making progress in each area and see plenty of opportunity for continued improvement. The entire Brink's team has rallied to deliver organic results ahead of our strategic plan, and the completed core acquisitions are already accretive with more in the pipeline. We just completed a comprehensive debt refinancing with attractive rates, extended maturities and investment-grade covenants. But more importantly, it expands our capacity to execute our strategic plan through additional, disciplined and accretive acquisitions and further investments in organic breakthrough initiatives. Doug provided you with the preliminary view of 2018 EBITDA that shows we are clearly on track to exceed the 2019 targets we share with you during the second quarter earnings call. We have a lot of momentum. Now, let’s take a deeper look at our 2017 performance. Please direct your attention to Slide 11. Revenue ForEx in the third quarter was $12 million favorable versus the same period last year. The euro, Mexican peso, and Brazilian real were stronger versus the U.S. dollar, while the Argentine peso was weaker. Adjusting for ForEx, revenue in the third quarter increased $82 million from $747 million in 2016 to $829 million in 2017. Organic revenue growth was 6% and the net impact of the business as we exited in 2016 and the acquisitions we completed in 2017 increased revenue 5%. South America delivered 15% organic growth driven by price increases in Argentina and price increases and BGS volume growth in Brazil. North America revenue grew organically 4% with Mexico, up 16% on growth from new retail customers and price increases. The U.S. was flat as the third quarter 2016 included higher revenue sales on – for on-site cash recycling to a national retailer which did not recur in 2017. The rest of the world grow organically by 2% as a 3% reduction in France due to tenders lost to pricing was more than offset by growth in other European businesses and a 4% increase in Asia Pacific. Our completed 2017 acquisitions that are prior year dispositions added $37 million, but most of that coming from Maco in Argentina. Turning to Slide 12. In the third quarter 2017, we faced several one-time unusual challenges to operating profit. Legacy claims in several countries for prior year’s payroll taxes, legal fees and settlements cost approximately $5 million. Historically, third quarter retroactive price increases in South America were postponed to the fourth quarter, and we impacted - we were impacted by natural disasters in the U.S., the Caribbean and Mexico. In addition, the improved business performance resulted in increased incentive-based compensation expense over $5 million. Nevertheless, third quarter 2017 operating profit was strong, and we are affirming full year 2017 guidance as adjusted for the amortization change. Third quarter 2016 adjusted non-GAAP operating profit was $63 million. 2017 third quarter operating profit grew 21% to $76 million, with $7 million of the growth being organic and $7 million from acquisitions. South America operating profit grew organically 25% or $9 million driven by margin expansion in Argentina. In Brazil results in 2016 included a favorable social tax credit. And in 2017, there was a negative impact from a 1994 tax withholding case. North America operating profit was up 76% or $7 million organically, primarily from productivity improvements in Mexico related to labor costs. As Doug described, the U.S. improves slightly despite some unexpected costs related to legacy claims, hurricane impacts, and the timing of salary increases related to the tight labor market. The $1 million organic decrease in rest of the world was due to lower results in France from lost tenders slightly offset by improvements in Asia Pacific. In total the segments had operating profit growth of 27%. That was partly offset by $8 million in higher corporate expenses through the incentive-based compensation accruals and legacy claims mentioned previously. Cost reductions taken during 2016 had a $1 million positive impact on corporate cost this year. Operating profit as a percent of revenue increased 60 bps from 8.6% in the third quarter of 2016 to 9.2% in the third quarter of 2017. The improvement was driven primarily by performance in Argentina and lower labor and vehicle cost associated with the breakthrough initiatives, partly offset by higher corporate expenses. Moving to Slide 13. This slide bridges operating profit, income from continuing operations, and adjusted EBITDA. The variance from prior year for each part of the bridge is included at the bottom of the slide. Third quarter 2017 non-GAAP operating profit of $76 million was reduced by $8 million of net interest and non-operating expense and $2 million of minority interest. We continue to expect our 2017 non-GAAP income tax rate to be around 35%, down from 37% in 2016. The decrease is due primarily to the rise of the BCO stock price from the associated deductibility of stock-based compensation. The lower tax rate was more than offset by higher earnings and third quarter 2017 taxes for $24 million, up $3 million from last year. The net was $43 million of income from continuing operations. This equates to $0.83 per share in the third quarter of 2017, which was up $0.15 per share or 22% higher than third quarter 2016. Third quarter depreciation and amortization of fixed assets was $34 million, up $3 million from last year. Adding back the $31 million of combined interest in taxes and $4 million of noncash stock-based compensation resulted in adjusted EBITDA of $112 million for the third quarter, 2017. This was up $19 million or plus 20% versus the same quarter last year. Onto Slide 14. Through nine months of 2017, we generated organic revenue growth of 6%, organic operating profit growth of 37% to $191 million, with margin expansion of 180 bps to 8.2%. Adjusted EBITDA was $295 million, up 28%; and the EBITDA margin was 12.7%, up 190 bps. Earnings per share of $2.06 was up 47%, versus $1.40 per share in the first nine months of last year. Turning to capital expenditures on Slide 15. Excluding CompuSafe and including our completed acquisitions, we're projecting to invest approximately $180 million of CapEx in 2017. Capital expenditures facilitate our breakthrough initiatives and include new generation armored vehicles, high-speed money processing automation equipment, IT productivity improvement and other investments to drive operating profit growth. Capital expenditures and capital-lease additions in the first nine months of 2017, excluding CompuSafe, of $120 million. In addition, there was $28 million invested in CompuSafe. Slide 16 illustrates Brink’s debt and leverage position. The bars on the left side of the slide represent our debt at the end of 2015 and 2016 and at September 30, 2017. The height of each bar represents gross debt, the top part of each bar represents our cash position and the bottom part of each bar represents the net debt position. As of September 30, 2017, our net debt was $570 million, up $323 million from year-end 2016 and up $301 million from year-end 2015. The majority of this increase is due to our 2017 acquisitions. Normal seasonality and increased capital expenditures also contributed to the increase. On the right side of the slide, the bars illustrate our trailing 12 months or TTM adjusted EBITDA at the end of 2015 to 2016 and at September 30, 2017. As a final reminder, adjusted EBITDA no longer includes stock-based compensation and all prior periods have been similarly adjusted. Above the EBITDA bars is the financial leverage ratio of net debt divided by TTM adjusted EBITDA. Our financial leverage at September 30, 2017 was 1.4 turns, increasing from 0.9 turns at June 30 2017. Including a full year of pro-forma trailing 12 months EBITDA of $40 million from our completed acquisitions, our financial leverage ratio on a pro forma basis would be 1.3 turns. Moving to Slide 17, to facilitate the execution of our strategy, we needed additional debt capacity. Last week we closed new bank credit facilities and notes offering for a total of $2.1 billion. On October 17, we entered into a five-year $1.5 billion credit facility that includes a $1 billion revolver and a $500 million term loan A. The current interest rate is approximately 3%. The interest rate is based on LIBOR plus a margin that fluctuates based on our financial leverage. The facility matures in October of 2022 and the $500 million term loan A amortizes 5% per year through maturity. On October 20, 2017, we issued $600 million of 10-year unsecured notes that their interest at 4.625% and mature on October 20, 2027. Proceeds from the term loan A and the notes were used to repay most existing indebtedness and costs related to closing the transactions. Proceeds in excess of those amounts are currently held in cash and liquid investments and are expected to be used during the remainder of 2017 and 2018 to fund acquisitions for capital expenditures and working capital needs. The billion dollar revolver is undrawn. Turning to Slide 18. This slide illustrates Brink's debt capital structure. The height of each bar represents that capacity. The top part of each bar represents availability and the bottom represent debt outstanding. The two bars on the left represent our actual debt situation at December 31, 2016 and September 30, 2017. The last bar on the right is a pro forma representation of debt at September 30, 2017 assuming the new credit facility in notes. With the financing and subject to the terms of the credit facility, we have increased our total availability to approximately $1.5 billion. As you can see on the top right side of the slide, our credit rating remains strong. The credit facility gives us the flexibility to borrow in several currencies to reduce foreign transaction rate exposure. And based on today's rates, we expect that our weighted average cost of debt pretax will increase by 40 bps to around 4.7% in 2018. This cost includes the amortization of fees associated with the refinancing. On the Slide 19, this slide illustrates our net leverage history and outlook at the end of each calendar year. Prior to the implementation of our acquisition strategy this year, net leverage was less than one term. Our new debt facilities give us credit for the pro forma TTM impact of our completed acquisitions, including synergy. And as I mentioned on Slide 16, applying that methodology would generate net leverage of approximately 1.3 turns at year end 2017. If we complete additional acquisitions approximating $400 million in enterprise value each year in 2018 and 2019 and we maintained CapEx spending around $180 million per year, we expect that net leverage will remain in the range of 1.3 to 1.4 turns. This implies that adjusted EBITDA is growing at about the same rate as net debt. 2017 year-to-date net cash provided from operating activities was a $116 billion, more than double last year. And now, Slide 20. We believe that adjusted EBITDA is the most meaningful non-GAAP metric for stakeholders to assess cash flow. We calculated adjusted EBITDA on a trailing 12-month basis. TTM adjusted EBITDA in September 30, 2017 was $407 million. This was up 29% versus 2016 and was driven by the organic growth in operating profit. Adjusted EBITDA as a percent of revenue increased [110] bps to 13.1%. Applying a new credit facility methodology for completed acquisitions to our reported results would add approximately $40 billion of EBITDA and $180 million of revenue. Our adjusted EBITDA margin as a percent of revenue would have increased by another 50 basis points to 13.6%. As Doug mentioned, our preliminary target for 2018 EBITDA is around $500 million to $525 million. At the bottom of the slide, you can see that the BCO stock price has increased more than 125% in 12 months and has doubled this year. The entire Brink's team has embraced the strategy. Their execution has exceeded our expectations in both performance and speed. There’s a sense of urgency, teamwork and excitement driving organic growth, and the acquisitions are significant and accretive. With that, I’ll turn it back to Doug.