Ron Domanico
Analyst · Macquarie. Please go ahead
Thanks Doug and good day everyone. At our Investor Day in March I discussed Brink's value creation strategy. The first building block of that strategy is credibility. And our commitment was to reduce complexity, to increase transparency, to set aggressive targets, and to deliver consistently. It's only been two quarters but our performance demonstrates real progress. Profitable growth is the second building block. In the second quarter organic revenue grew 6% and the four acquisitions completed to-date and the one announced yesterday will accelerate growth further. The third building block of our value creation strategy is margin expansion and the second quarter operating margin of 7.9% as Doug said was up 240 bps versus last year. The fourth building block is increasing returns. Investment in our breakthrough initiatives and disciplined accretive acquisitions are driving higher ROI and higher shareholder returns. The momentum we've developed has enabled an increase in our 2017 guidance and our 2019 outlook. Our country and segment organic targets remain unchanged but, we were able to reduce the contingency that was built in. We've also added the accretive impact of the completed acquisitions. Let's take a deeper look at our 2017 performance. Please direct your attention to slide 12. Adjusting for FOREX the businesses we exited in 2016 and the acquisitions we completed in 2017, revenue in the second quarter increased $43 million from $717 million in 2016 to $760 million in 2017, an organic increase of 6%. South America delivered 16% organic growth driven by price increases in Argentina and volume growth in Brazil. North America revenue grew organically 4% with Mexico up 11% and the U.S. up 2%. Mexico delivered growth from retail customers and price increases. The U.S. growth was lower than the 8% achieved in the first quarter of 2017 which included higher sales of onsite cash recycling services to a national retailer. The rest of the world grew organically by 2% as a 3% reduction in France due to tenders lost to pricing was more than offset by growth in our other European businesses and a 9% increase in Asia Pacific. Revenue FOREX in the second quarter was $3 million unfavorable versus the same period last year. Declines in the Mexican Peso, the Argentine Peso, and the Euro were mostly offset by a much stronger Real in Brazil. Our second quarter revenue increased by $6 million from the two acquisitions that we told you about last quarter, a small armor tractor trailer company in the U.S. and a small payments business in Brazil. This increase was partially offset by the businesses we exited last year. While the impact from acquisitions has been relatively insignificant through June 30, we expect that 2017 full year impact of completed acquisitions to be approximately $90 million of revenue, $10 million of operating profit, $20 million of adjusted EBITDA, and $0.09 of earnings per share. Turning to slide 13, second quarter 2016 non-GAAP operating profit was $39 million. FOREX was $2 million unfavorable and our net acquisition and disposition activity generated $1 million favorable comparison. So the adjusted second quarter 2017 operating profit grew organically by $22 million or 55% to $60 million. South America grew organic profit $15 million driven by margin expansion in Argentina and Brazil. North American operating profit was up $13 million organically from the turnaround in the U.S. which continues to benefit from the breakthrough initiatives and productivity improvements in Mexico. The $2 million organic decrease and rest of world was due to lower results in France due to the lost tenders slightly offset by a $2 million increase in Asia Pacific. Segment operating profit growth was partially offset by higher corporate expenses. Cost reduction actions taken during 2016 had a $2 million positive impact on corporate expenses including $1 million on salary expense. But the $5 million increase in the second quarter of 2017 versus prior year was due primarily to an accrual for higher incentive based compensation associated with the significantly improved year-to-date performance. Operating profit as a percent of revenue increased 240 bps from 5.5% in the second quarter of 2016 to 7.9% in the second quarter of 2017. The improvement was driven primarily by lower labor costs and lower vehicle expenses associated with the break through initiatives. Moving to slide 14, this slide bridges operating profit, income from continuing operations, and adjusted EBITDA. The variance from the prior year for each part of the bridge is included at the bottom of the slide. Second quarter 2017 non-GAAP operating profit of $60 million was reduced by $7 million of net interest expense and $2 million of minority interest. We continue to expect our 2017 non-GAAP income tax rate to be around 35% down from 37% in 2016. The decrease is due primarily to the rise of the BCO stock price and the associated deductibility of stock based compensation. The lower tax rate was more than offset by higher earnings and second quarter 2017 taxes were $19 million, up $6 million from last year. The net was $33 million of income from continuing operations, this equates to $0.64 per share in the second quarter 2017 which was up $0.25 per share or 64% higher than the second quarter 2016. Second quarter depreciation and amortization was $34 million up only $1 million from last year. Adding back interest and taxes resulted in adjusted EBITDA of $91 million for the second quarter of 2017, this was up $21 million or plus 31% versus the same quarter last year. Onto slide 15, the strong results in the second quarter continued the momentum from the first quarter. For the first six months of 2017 versus the first half of 2016 organic revenue was up 7%, operating profit of $113 million was up 57%, while the operating profit margin of 7.5% was up 240 bps. Adjusted EBITDA was $174 million up 32% and the EBITDA margin was 11.6%. Earnings per share of $1.21 was up 73% versus $0.70 per share in the first six months of last year. Turning to capital expenditures on slide 16, excluding CompuSafe and including our completed acquisitions we are projecting to invest approximately $180 million of CAPEX in 2017. Capital expenditures facilitate our breakthrough initiatives and include new generation armored vehicles, high speed money processing automation equipment, IT productivity improvement, and other investments to drive operating profit growth. Capital expenditures in the first half of 2017 excluding CompuSafe were $70 million. In addition there was $23 million in CompuSafe investment. The 2017 CAPEX outlook anticipates a rate of investment throughout the rest of the year that is higher than the first half. Moving to slide 17, this slide illustrates Brink's debt and leverage position. The bars on the left side of the slide represent our debt at June 30, 2016 at the end of 2016, and at the end of June 30, 2017. The height of each bar represents gross debt. The top part of each bar represents our cash position and the bottom part of each bar represents the net debt position. As of June 30, 2017 our net debt was $360 million, up $47 million from a year ago and up $113 million from year-end 2016. This increase is due to normal seasonality, the acquisitions we completed in the first and second quarter, and increased capital expenditures. The Maco acquisition in Argentina will add approximately $220 million in net debt during 2017. Around $210 million from the purchase price and $10 million for integration costs. A portion of the payment to the sellers will occur in 2018. To fund these acquisitions we expect to borrow under our U.S. revolving credit facilities and the debt will be serviced from the cash flows from the acquired businesses. Based on our current and anticipated financing costs, we expect additional interest expense of $3 million in 2017 and an additional $6 million to $8 million in 2018. On the right side of the slide the bars illustrate our trailing 12 month or TTM adjusted EBITDA at the end of 2015, 2016, and at June 30, 2017. Above these bars is the financial leverage ratio of net debt divided by TTM adjusted EBITDA. Our financial leverage at June 30, 2017 was 1.0 increasing from 0.9 at March 31, 2017. Including the additional $220 million of net debt to be incurred with the Maco acquisition and assuming $30 million of trailing 12 month EBITDA from our completed acquisitions, our financial leverage on a pro forma basis would be 1.4 times. Even at the pro forma leverage our balance sheet enables us to continue making disciplined investments in capital expenditures and accretive acquisitions to accelerate profitable growth to close the gap and to increase shareholder returns. Turning a slide 18, we believe that adjusted EBITDA is the most meaningful non-GAAP metric for stakeholders to assess cash flow. We calculate adjusted EBITDA on a trailing 12 month basis. TTM adjusted EBITDA at June 30, 2017 was $375 million. This was a 32% increase versus 2016 and was driven by the organic growth and operating profit. The adjusted EBITDA margin as a percent of revenue increased 250 bps to 12.5% and Brink’s enterprise value divided by adjusted EBITDA resulted into 3.9 turn expansion in the multiple from 6.1 times to 10 times. Including the additional $220 million of net debt to be incurred with the Maco acquisition and assuming the trailing 12 month EBITDA plus synergies from our completed acquisitions, our pro forma multiple at the end of 2017 would be approximately 8.5 times. Perhaps the greatest relevance in the past year, the BCO stock price has risen about $39 per share up approximately 135%. Looking at the right side of the chart on the top you can see how the Brink's multiple has increased over the last six quarters. Below that you can see that we've eliminated the valuation gap with some of our peers but, we have a ways to go to match our most successful peer. We believe this gap will continue to close as we further implement our strategy and consistently achieve projections. Turning to slide 19, given our strong start, the acquisitions we've completed, and currency rates that are better than we initially assumed we are raising our 2017 outlook. We now expect revenue to be approximately 3.2 billion up from around 3 billion from $92 million in favorable FOREX and $52 million from acquisitions. We've raised our operating profit outlook $35 million, $20 million from organic growth, $5 million from currency rates, and $10 million from acquisitions, to a range between $270 million and $280 million. EBITDA is now projected to be between $415 million and $425 million up $45 million. Earnings per share is expected to be in the range of $2.95 to $3.05. More details on our 2017 guidance can be found on the first two pages of our press release. Turning to slide 20. As Doug mentioned we're also raising our 2019 targets to reflect the 2017 improvement, the acquired businesses, and the synergies we expected to achieve through integration. 2019 revenues is now expected to be $3.55 billion up $275 million from $3.3 billion. The operating profit target has increased to $400 million up $70 million primarily due to the $45 million expected from the acquisitions and the balance from the 2017 organic momentum. The EBITDA target has been raised by $85 million to $560 million with $60 million of the increase from acquisitions. And new 2019 EPS target is $4.25 up around 21% from the original target of $3.50 per share. The entire Brink’s team has embraced the strategy. Their execution has exceeded our expectations in both performance and speed. There's a sense of urgency, teamwork, and excitement driving organic growth and the acquisitions are significant and accretive. With that I'll turn it back over to the Doug.