Earnings Labs

The Brink's Company (BCO)

Q1 2015 Earnings Call· Fri, May 1, 2015

$108.49

+1.56%

Key Takeaways · AI generated
AI summary not yet generated for this transcript. Generation in progress for older transcripts; check back soon, or browse the full transcript below.

Same-Day

+1.06%

1 Week

+8.29%

1 Month

+7.76%

vs S&P

+7.19%

Transcript

Operator

Operator

Welcome to The Brink's Company First Quarter,2015, earnings call. Brink's issued a press release on first quarter result this is morning. The company also filed an 8K that includes the release and slides that will be used in today's call. For those of you listening by phone, the release and slides are available on the company's website at brinks.com. [Operator Instructions] Now for the company's safe harbor statement. This call and the Q&A session contains forward-looking statements. Actual results could differ materially from projected or estimated results. Information regarding factor that could cause such differences is available in today's press release and in the company's most recent SEC filings. Information presented and discussed on this call is representative as of today only. Brink's assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements. The call is copyrighted and may not be used without written permission from Brink's. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Ed Cunningham, Vice President of Investor Relations and Corporate Communications. Mr. Cunningham, you may begin.

Ed Cunningham

Analyst

Thank you, Denise. Good morning everyone. Joining me today are CEO, Tom Schievelbein and CFO, Joe Dziedzic. Morning we reported results on both the GAAP and non-GAAP basis. The non-GAAP results exclude U.S. retirement expenses, severance and restructuring charge, certain compensation, employee benefit items, acquisitions, dispositions and some currency related items. In addition our non-GAAP results now exclude Venezuela due to a variety of factors including our inability to repay trade cash, Venezuela's fixed exchange rate policy and continued currency devaluations and the difficulties we face raising prices and controlling costs in a highly inflationary time. We believe the non-GAAP results make it easier for investors to assess operating performance between periods. Accordingly, our comments today including those referring to our guidance focused primarily on non-GAAP results. Some of the reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP results is provided on page 2 of the release. More detailed reconciliations are provided in the release and the appendix to the slides we're using today in this morning's 8-Kfiling and on our website. Finally page 7 of the press release provides a summary of several outlook items including the guidance on revenue operating profit and earnings per share. I will now turn the call over to Tom.

Tom Schievelbein

Analyst

Thanks, Ed. Good morning, everyone. We're off to a good start in 2015. First quarter earnings from continuing operations came in at $0.41 a share, up from $0.15 last year. As most of you know, our primary focus is on driving profitable growth in the U.S. and Mexico, and first quarter profits in both countries improved. This improvement, combined with a substantial reduction in corporate expenses more than offset the negative currency translation which reduced our revenue by almost a $100 million profits by $11 million. Excluding unfavorable currency, our first quarter EPS from continuing operations was $0.54 a share on organic growth of 4%. Our U.S. team delivered particularly strong performance achieving a margin rate of 4.5% on 4% revenue growth which puts the U.S. business squarely on track to achieve its full year targets. This is a second consecutive quarter of solid results in the U.S. We're certainly encouraged by this recent performance, and I can assure you that the team is well aware of the need to demonstrate sustainable improvements as we move forward. Now despite persistent currency headwinds and the removal of Venezuela from our results, our full year EPS guidance has not changed. We still believe 2015 earnings will come in-between $1.55 to $1.75 per share. We have reduced our revenue guidance from $3.4 billion to $3.1 billion we have actually raised our margin rate guidance 20 basis points. Now before I turn it over to Joe, I want to make few comments on our recent interactions with the investment community. During the quarter we met in person with substantial portion of our shareholder base as well as several prospective shareholders. We listened carefully to their questions about many topics including our ability to execution our profit improvement plan, the assumptions behind our guidance, capital…

Joe Dziedzic

Analyst

Thanks, Tom. Good morning, everyone. I will start with summary of our quarterly results using the same format we have used in prior quarters and then I will review segment results and finish with some comments on our outlook for the rest of the year. Our reported revenue for the quarter declined 8% as a negative currency impact of $96 million was partially offset by organic growth of 31 million. Operating profit almost doubled to $41 million reflecting a margin rate that improved from 2.5% to5.4%. Operating profit grew by $20 million after overcoming $11 million of unfavorable currency. The U.S., Mexico and Latin America region were the primary drivers of the improvement along with a $9 million reduction in corporate expenses. Our recent reorganization restructuring contributed to this improvement and we’re on track to deliver the $45 million to $50 million of savings we previous communicated EPS up sharply at $0.41 versus $0.15 in last year's first quarter. The EPS bridge highlights the strong improvement from operations. The year-over-year earnings growth of $0.26 per share includes $0.13 of unfavorable currency that was more than offset by $0.39 of improvement from operations. Currency was worse than we expected as the U.S. dollar compared to the January 1, 2015 exchange rates. We have updated our guidance to reflect threats as of the end of the first quarter which are reasonably close to today's rates. First quarter cash flows usually the weakest of the year due to the normal first quarter payments such as annual bonuses and various insurance premium payments. This year's first quarter included $10 million of severance payments related to our recent organization and restructuring activity and an increase in working capital. Last year's cash flow was unusually strong duet 60% inflation in Venezuela at the very favorable exchange…

Q -JamesClement

Analyst

You gave us some tidbits but now with Venezuela removed from the non-GAAP, can you walks through your expectation of seasonality, like particularly historically the second quarter has typically been the weakest, and I think we understand some of the reasons for that, but the removal of Venezuela, does that make the second quarter less bad compared to the first, or how do we actually think about this?

TomSchievelbein

Analyst

The seasonality doesn't actually change from quarter to quarter. Venezuela's volatility occurred throughout the year at unpredictable points. We still have in Latin America across our other countries significant wage negotiations and wage increases that take affect during the second quarter within the resulting price increase negotiations with customers that follow. And depending upon the country and the environment, those price increases occur fairly quickly or they take more time, which is the biggest driver of our second quarter decline in Latin America region. But I don't expect any change in our seasonality quarter to quarter with Venezuela out but it certainly does remove some of the volatility that it's driven overtime.

JamesClement

Analyst

And just about Mexican margins, obviously a very, very good quarter. Has your target for the year, whatever it is, has that been revised upwards for Mexico or, you know, are you not -- I'm just curious whether you are further along in terms of your progress in Mexico than you might have thought three months ago?

TomSchievelbein

Analyst

Operationally, we're right in-line, right on track with where we were targeting for the year of 6% to 8% we did change some employee benefits that were optional for the employees and they selected to make the change that had an accounting benefit for us in the quarter. But in the context of our targets for the full year, it's not a material change or a material impact on the full year of targets. So we're right on track with what we had expected for the year.

JamesClement

Analyst

And then last question then I will get back in the queue. One thing of the things I was just a little bit confused about in terms of the foreign -exchange reconciliation table. For example, if you look at the other LatAm one the implied margin associated with the currency headwinds looked like it was a lot less than the underlying margin rate of Latin America and it was I just -- it was -- there could be small differences but it looked like a pretty big difference there, so what am I missing?

TomSchievelbein

Analyst

I think you're referring to the currency. The revenue went down '14, and the operating profit impact was 1?

JamesClement

Analyst

Yes. But then the underlying margin of the region is more like 18%, I think, if my numbers are correct?

TomSchievelbein

Analyst

Yes. So if it's a 10% margin impact, its 1.4 million which rounds down and the currency impact it's an aggregate of each individual country. So the margins, where we had the biggest revenue impact, we had a smaller margin rate in the quarter. It's mix by country.

Operator

Operator

The next question will come from Ashish Sinha of Gabelli. Please go ahead.

AshishSinha

Analyst

I have three. Firstly on Mexico and Brazil. So Mexico you’re anniversarying the loss banking business in the second quarter, and Brazil you talk about a seasonally strong second half. Could you talk about your organic growth expectations relative to the macro situation there I mean could you talk about volumes, what volumes on the ground you’re seeing in terms what you transporting or processing? Secondly on France, you mentioned about focusing the business on the cash supply chain which is higher margin. I presumed that the cash supply chain business comes along with the cash in transit. So you’ve to do both forth customer I mean to get the business. So once obviously is a lower margin business. How does that have any impact on your long-term margin outlook for France. And lastly, a housekeeping question, out of the $45 to $50 million restructuring benefit, how much came through in the first quarter if we saw any, and in terms of the cost of the restructuring program, what should we modeling for the remainder of 2015 or are we done there? Thanks.

TomSchievelbein

Analyst

Ashish, , let me just handle Brazil quick and I'm going to let Joe take care of Mexico and France. So Brazil, their economic environment is pretty tough right now, Brazil did get 4% growth. We haven't seen a big pickup in terms of volume. And so it's a little bit hard to say. Brazil does a good job of increasing organically. So we're still bullish on the results in Brazil, and think that they'll have a very good year, but we haven't seen a big pickup in volume. In fact, it's probably going to the other way for a while. France, let me just say that clearly you get into the supply chain, that include cash in transit but it also includes [indiscernible] management, it includes cash forecasting, it includes a number of products or services. You need to be able to do the cash transit, but we do view that we can take on more of our customers supply chain for the cash and that we can provide them with further savings and that we can increase our margins. Joe?

JoeDziedzic

Analyst

So Ashish on Mexico, we did see good volume improvement in the retail channel. Obviously, the bank business that we lost did continue to impact us, as you can see from second quarter through the first quarter this year. We would expect second quarter, for those year over year comparisons to start to abate, start to see some growth, driven primarily by the retail sector growth that we have experienced and we see that accelerating. So retail channel volume growth financial institution channel still suffering from the bank losses but that should turn around second quarter, third quarter time frame. To add on to Tom's comment on France. We are seeing in the core CIT, ATM business, a difficult environment. The slow to no growth that we're experiencing. The lack of consumption in the economy is clearly affecting that business. And as we move towards serving more of our customers cash supply chain and now that we have the license to be designated a payment institution, we can provide services for our customers that are differentiated from our competitors as of today and we expect to be able to start to benefit from that in the second half of this year as we bring on customers under this new structure and in 2016 we expect to see some meaningful revenue growth and margin important in France. To address your question regarding the restructuring, we're on track for the realized $45 million to $50 million of savings during 2015. The first quarter was not a full quarter of that on the run-rate basis. Many of the actions we took were in the late fourth quarter, early first quarter this year. So we had very good quarter in terms of the savings but we'll see small pickup in the second quarter and expect to get to our full annualized run rate by the third quarter for those savings. In terms of the cost at year end last year in the fourth quarter, we accrued $22 million of expense. We added about $1.5 million to that reserve in the first quarter. We are finding in a couple of places the estimated cost is coming in a little bit lower. So I would anticipate that we would likely reduce that a little bit in the second quarter. But we’re still very much within the previous guidance of $22 million to $25 million of cost for restructuring to deliver the $45 million to $50 million of savings for 2015. I'll just note, we did incur -- we made $10 million worth of payments, cash outflow for that restructuring in the first quarter. I would expect the bulk of the remaining cash Togo out in the second quarter. So I would expect another second quarter cash flow that includes that which will obviously be a drag on cash, but the savings are beginning to grow to offset that.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. The next question will come from Jeff Kessler of Imperial Capital. Please go ahead.

JeffKessler

Analyst

Tom and Joe, you both were able to kind of enumerate series of say five or six leading programs to both reduce costs and improve efficiency in the United States to get you to the margin improvement --overall margin improvement that you are talking about. Could you get a little more granular and tell us where you’re beginning to both save money and where you are beginning to drive revenue to get the U.S. margins up and the revenues up?

TomSchievelbein

Analyst

So clearly with the reduction in headcount that we talked about, the U.S. participated in the reduction that got us to the $35 million to $50 million in savings, so there was cost reductions there in terms of the increased revenue, we're getting more traction from some of our financial institution customers. We had a higher percentage of, higher margin services like ATM in the quarter. And so we're starting to get traction on some of those changes. Now we clearly expect to get traction from -- as Joe talked in his comments from both our business reengineering which typically people talk about IT, but their business reengineering in terms of handhelds, in terms of route optimization, in terms of our billing system. And we absolutely believe that our one man vehicle, both pilots and the implementation of that will provide additional benefits to both our revenue not so much revenue but more to the bottom-line. Joe, any further comments?

JoeDziedzic

Analyst

Yes. The only thing I would add is that we had good revenue growth across all lines of business, it was particularly strong in ATM and money processing. So we're seeing the benefits of that. You can see very good volume growth, physical volume growth in the fourth quarter last year and the first quarter of this year. We do expect that to taper some starting in the second quarter with that one money processing contact that will transition. When you think about the volume growth that we have experienced a physical volume growth combined with the SG&A and head count actions that we have taken in the U.S. and you match that up against the projects we're implementing and the nature of how we implement those projects is over a 100 branches in the U.S. and you have to roll out each project, project by project, branch by branch. We've been very focused on the delivering on the volume growth and serving our customers. Although those projects are critically important, delivering on the service and the volumes take priority. On those projects and some of those we're a moving little bit more slowly than we had anticipated, butte good news is we’re doing that because we're focusing on delivering on the incremental volumes and serving our customers.

JeffKessler

Analyst

The second question is on CompuSafe. You started moving about a quarter or so ago away from the sales model and toward the -- if you want to call it a service model and you have now gotten more specific as to how you're going to service that with the lease back type of agreement. Can you go through how is that taking -- what type of lead or lag period are we going to have to wait through to begin to see the results on a financial basis, but more importantly how are the customers -- how is traction with customers going in CompuSafe now that you changed the business model on how they can finance it.

TomSchievelbein

Analyst

We continue to see tremendous growth potential with CompuSafe service. The way I would to think about it or offer to think about it is we’re just providing a different option for our customers if they prefer an operating lease structure versus us owning it. It's a different way of financing it for us. Obviously, we would prefer not to have the capital on our books. This is a way for us to reduce the total investment that we make in this line of business which we think creates additional growth capacity for us. In terms of the service we provide, nothing has changed. It's really more about the financing structure.

JeffKessler

Analyst

Also with regard to Europe, was there any head way made with branch transformation if you were getting revenues in branch transformation, does that indicate that there were other areas, like CIT, that were actually weaker if in fact branch transformation revenues were beginning to roll-in, is that something that has been, is that material at this point or is it still pilot phase?

TomSchievelbein

Analyst

In Europe and I assume you're talking specifically France?

JeffKessler

Analyst

Yes

TomSchievelbein

Analyst

It's not so much branch transformation as it is transforming the services that we offer in all of those branches to our customers. So it becomes much more of a cash supply chain offering as opposed to a dollars per stop. So it tends not be individual branch because honestly France does a very good job on their individual branches but it's change in the way we approach the business.

JeffKessler

Analyst

Final question is with regard to the customers in the United States that you probably lost a few years ago due to either price or -- I hate to say the word arrogance, or what or just the way you ran, you approached them. How you are getting their confidence back that this is a new Brinks, and a different Brinks that can compete against folks who provide just good enough service with lower pricing. You still have a brand name that you can throw out at them and that brand name should have some leverage in getting customers back. How are you getting these customers back though?

TomSchievelbein

Analyst

So, I mean, we clearly agree that we have a good brand name. But that doesn't really get the customers back, what gets the customers back, what gets the customers back is what we have been doing which is outreach is making sure that we spend time with our customers, we're explaining what those changes are, we're explaining how we have addressed some of the IT issues we have had in the past. We’re explaining what the plan is to address efficiency. So I think then the customers have listened to that. We're talking about how we can improve our service levels, how we can take some of the lessons we've learned from Europe, from France in particular in terms of cash supply chain. So I think it's a combination of all that. More than anything, it's just a change in the focus we have on customers.

JeffKessler

Analyst

And finally, I apologize. One final question on global services. We didn't talk about it a lot, about global services. I know it's just a small part of the company, but it is a part that kind of sticks out from time to time because of its higher margins, higher value, proposition, and sometimes just say higher -- if you want to call a newspaper articles and things like that that affect it. The idea -- what I am getting to is, can you discuss a little bit how global services is performing right now and whether or not you have any plans to try to increase the percentage of global services as apportion of the total revenue base

TomSchievelbein

Analyst

First I'll address the last thing first. The global services shows upon almost every country. Every country is pushing to improve their global services revenues and margins. So whether it's diamonds and jewelry, whether it's bank notes, whether it's precious metals and moving goods from the mines in Latin America, for instance. All of those things are being worked on by each of the countries in the various groups. And then we have some countries that are just primarily global services. So, obviously, global services is one of the gems that we have. And we continue to push on that. And there's always up in terms of when bank note volumes are up, down when golds is down, we get some diamond and jewelry down, or up. So you do get movement within the global services offering. But in general, every country is pushing global services to those higher margins.

JeffKessler

Analyst

Okay. But is it fair to say that the margin between your other businesses, cash and transit, cash logistics, and global services is that margin differential getting a little bit smaller overtime?

TomSchievelbein

Analyst

You know obviously we don't disclose the margins but the answers no.

Operator

Operator

Our next question will come from [indiscernible]. Please go ahead.

UnidentifiedAnalyst

Analyst

I just wanted to ask on your March 17th presentation you gave the organic growth piece of $200 million to get to the $3.4 billion of total revenue for 2015. And as 150, I just wanted to understand what's the -- I know Venezuela is now out of there, what else is contributing to that?

TomSchievelbein

Analyst

That's the primary driver is Venezuela. We had assumed that the same exchange rate during the year, but assumed 50% to 60% continued inflation at a fixed exchange rate.

UnidentifiedAnalyst

Analyst

Okay, so you had expected 50 million contribution from Venezuela?

TomSchievelbein

Analyst

Yes.

UnidentifiedAnalyst

Analyst

Got it. Just a follow-up on the seasonality point. It seems like in the U.S. and France there was a little bit of slowing from 4Q to 1Q. And Brazil was kind of -- I guess Brazil was flat on the organic growth trend. I wanted to understand why 4Q was so strong compared to 1Q?

JoeDziedzic

Analyst

4Q is always a very strong quarter for us. The increased economic activity in the different parts of the world, the 13th month payments, the annual extra payment to employees drives higher economic activity, particularly in cash intensive societies that drives increased volumes for us whether it's increased money processing activity, increased ATM activity or the values that we're transporting in CIT are increased. And given that some countries have Ad valorem pricing so we get a get a percent of the value we carry that drives incremental revenues. So it clearly has to do with the seasonality of the business.

UnidentifiedAnalyst

Analyst

Okay. So we could expect towards the end of the year a ramp in organic growth number in those markets?

JoeDziedzic

Analyst

Relative to first, second and third quarter, third and fourth quarter are typically stronger than first and second. Last year we did have a particularly fourth quarter that will be challenging to exceed in 2015.

Operator

Operator

And our next question will be a follow-up from James Clement of Macquarie. Please go ahead.

JamesClement

Analyst

Clearly with the dollar strengthening, that impacts revenue and earnings but if you are looking to put money to work in the form of acquisitions, in some countries you can make an argument that the acquisitions got 15% cheaper over the last year. If this topic hadn't been discussed in a while, but are you thinking about expanding in a limited basis anywhere?

TomSchievelbein

Analyst

The 15% cheap, we left the currency and country maybe. We continue to, we're always exploring opportunities for growth, both organic and inorganic. And if the economics makes sense, we'll pursue them. So M&A is always something that’s on our radar.

JoeDziedzic

Analyst

We don't have anything to announce today, James.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, that will conclude our question and answer session. The Brink's Company First Quarter 2015 Earnings Conference Call has now concluded. We thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect your lines.