Thomas C. Schievelbein
Analyst · today only. Brink's assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements. The call is copyrighted and may not be used without written permission from Brink's. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Ed Cunningham, Director of Investor Relations and Corporate Communications. Mr. Cunningham, you may begin
Thanks, Joe. In response to investor request for more details regarding performance targets and milestones, I'm now going to shift from a quarterly perspective to discuss our longer-term expectations and how we plan to achieve them. We expect results to strengthen in the second half of the year. More importantly, we expect the momentum to continue through 2015 and 2016. Our goal over this time period is to deliver substantial growth in segment profit, earnings and cash flow. So how do we get there? We will have to execute on many fronts, but the short answer begins with fixing the U.S. and Mexico. These 2 countries combined for about $1.2 billion of revenue in 2013 at a blended margin rate of about 3%, so they are clearly our biggest opportunities to create substantial value for our shareholders. Bottom line? If we execute in the U.S. and Mexico and achieve relatively modest revenue and margin growth in the rest of the world, we can grow earnings to a range between $2.50 and $3 by the end of 2016. Our teams around the world are highly focused on achieving these results. This slide covers what I just said in a bit more detail. To achieve a segment margin goal of about 8%, we need to boost the U.S. margin by about 400 basis points to 6%, Mexico by 500 basis points to 10% and the rest of our operations by about 100 basis points. Achieving these margin goals, even with no revenue growth, will generate about $75 million of incremental profit and get us to the $290 million in total segment profit. It would also drive earnings up to about $2.50 per share, an increase of more than 50% over 2013 adjusted earnings of $1.64, and this represents the lower end of our targeted EPS range. If we layer in relatively modest annual organic growth of 5%, segment profit could reach $330 million, which equates to about $3 per share earnings. So we have a great opportunity to create substantial value for our shareholders, and it starts with the successful execution of our turnaround efforts in the U.S. and Mexico. This chart shows the progression of our margin expectations for North America, excluding the impact of the -- of our planned spending in our global payments business. We expect to expand our margins somewhere between 3% and 4% this year and to reach 7% by the end of 2016. Now let's focus on the U.S., specifically. We expect relatively modest revenue growth in the U.S. over the next couple of years, so the bulk of our targeted profit growth has to come from operational improvements at the branch level. We feel good about the progress we're making through most of our branch network and expect to add $20 million or more of profit by the end of 2016. Percentage of what we call performing branches is one of the metrics we track to support the achievement of our profit goals in the U.S. We revised the way we measure this metric to be more consistent with the industry, but our goal is the same, and that is to grow the number of performing branches by about 10% in each of the next 3 years. We're also making structural -- in the previous chart, we're also making structural changes to the SG&A level that we have that should add another $12 million or so in profits. So successful execution on these 2 fronts should get us to our 6% margin target in the U.S. and add $30 million or more of operating profit in the U.S. So when we talk about the performing branches again, we have several initiatives underway at the branch level that we expect to drive cost lower and increase productivity. For example, we are investing in IT-based productivity tools to improve route logistics. We're rolling out handheld devices to enable our employees to capture premise time and other data that will help us price more effectively while billing our customers more quickly and accurately. Both of these initiatives are expected to yield productivity-based savings. More importantly, they should enhance our ability to provide higher-quality services that are more targeted to the needs of our customers. To our new global procurement team, we're actively pursuing new approaches to reducing vehicle acquisition and maintenance cost. In addition, later this year, we expect to be piloting one-man vehicles in 1 or 2 selected markets where safety and service would not be compromised. During 2015, we will add additional markets with our one-man crews. The transition of our fleet and the crews will take some time, but we expect to begin generating significant savings in 2016. In summary, North America has been underperforming for several years now, and it remains the single biggest challenge that we face as a company. But it's also our single-biggest opportunity to create shareholder value. Many of the operating and structural initiatives I have just covered were adopted by our competitors several years ago, so we're admittedly playing catch up. But catching up to and eventually surpassing our competition is the opportunity we have in front of us right now. We expect solid profit growth in the second half of this year to build momentum through 2015 and '16. Now most of this optimism is based on cost and productivity initiatives we discussed today, but we're also beginning to see progress in our efforts to win new cash-in-transit, ATM, money processing and CompuSafe business. The structural changes that we made last year within our IT operations to focus on compliance and customer support had helped us win additional business from some large financial institutions and retail customers. In fact, we're currently working to finalize 3 new contracts that would add about $35 million of annualized revenue in 2015. I should point out that this new revenue is not entirely incremental as we win and lose pieces of business every year. Nonetheless, it's encouraging to see that we can realize some organic growth in this mature market. I'm now going to turn it over to Joe, who will update you on our progress in Mexico and provide some additional color on our IT and our global procurement initiatives. Joe?